When will littlegolem reach 2,000,000 games?

6K now or more accurately 5.9K (that is 5900 games to go)

BTW does anyone know, why the number of players on the main site is so tremendously incorrect?

What do you mean incorrect? Do you mean that there is a difference between the number of players shown and the max id of current players?

That's well known, there are some gaps (of around 986 id values missing).

SYSTEM has id = 1

Richard (the webmaster and owner of the site) has id = 1002.

Other players have ids from 1003 and above.

There are some (test) players with ids between 2 and 1001 but not for all id values.

According to the main page, the number of players is 118,092.

On the list of players:

https://littlegolem.net/jsp/info/player_list.jsp?gtvar=&filter=&countryid=&page=1

there are 84 sites with 20 players per site, so the number of players is 1,680 (actually less, as there is no full 20 players on the site no. 84).

So the number on the main page is approx. 116.000 higher (and approx. 70x higher) than the number of actual players.

1667 games to go for 5877 active players that's just less than 4 each

@GaldianI think that list shows only "active" players. Not sure about the exact definition of "active" but probably has to do with either having games going on or recently finished or having logged in recently.

For example, my friend agoui (from Cyprus) who doesn't have any open game and his last login shows as 2016, doesn't appear in the list (easy to check, no one is listed from Cyprus).

Ok, that can explain it, thanks! :)

5030 (my previous comment had numbers wrong way round!)

5013

4813

4727

4665

4397

I'm not sure a live countdown is really necessary...

4298 which is 2% less, but should an update be if the % difference is maybe 5, 10 or even 20 (always give 3 choices there's a 50 chance they will pick the middle one {if they did that in politics they would only spend time talking and voting})

4000

3311 which is 43*11*7 (spot 11's divide by =301 spot subtracting 280 (multiple of 7) leaves a multiple of 7)

Do you have any statistics, how each game contributes to the total number of almost 2 million?

2789 quick guess it's prime

A bit less than 2K games

Can you remind me: are we going by the homepage number?

Yes.

@Force majeure, no but it could be estimated by taking the number of games of each type of most active players.

950

today is my prediction date, everyone spam games pls, thx

(today=monday, i realise its not yet monday in server time)

Congrats:

Purgency for 2018-11-05 on the 22nd of September : 13.27

you will get between 12.27 and 13.27 points depending when this occurs and no one can do better !

Luck or skill ?

Its mostly a matter of trying to win. Like, I was the only one who changed his predictions whenever the current/previous one seemed unrealistic. Frequently checking how many games were being started in like a week or a month or whatever, calculate the average games started per day and then just divide the number of games left to 2m by that average number of games started per day, to find out what approximately should be the days left until the 2m are hit. And I know that you did something similar too, Carroll, since our first two guesses were fairly close to each other. So I wouldn't call it luck, but also not really call it skill. Just the simple way to do predictions based on current trends and graphs, and then actually doing that more than once to update predictions.

690

100 to go!

So we are not today anymore...

I think it will be today in the US. Do I recall correctly that LG's clock setting is New York time?

It will likely be still 6th of November in Europe, too.

75

I think we just passed 2 million games!

And (I could be wrong but) I think this is it:

https://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=2003400

There must have been a sudden surge. A couple of hours ago the pace was about 10 or 20 new games per hour. Now we're way over. So much for my plan to get a screenshot at 2,000,000.  :(

Here are the final points  ( 2*sqrt(delta)) - date error) :

mmKall for 2018-06-05 05:06:20.1: 26.46 - 154.5 = -128

Ypercube for 2018-08-16: 25.92 - 82.5 = -56.58

Carroll for  2019-02-08: 30.79 - 94.5 = -63.71

Purgency for 2018-11-05 on the 22nd of September : 13.27 - 1.5 = +11.77

The_Burglar for 2019-01-19 20:19:10: 25.53 - 74 = -48.47

Gamesorry for 2019-01-09 01:01:09 : 35.38 - 64 = -28.62

Kpato for 2018-12-12 on the 22nd of September: 18 - 36.5 = -18.5

Thanks to all for participating !

Now any prediction for 3 millions games?

A bit early how about 2030-10-20 10:10

Congratulations to LG!  That's a lot of games....

oh, nice! we hit it. around 5pm it seems. 2030 seems like a fine guess for 3m, we better keep this place alive till then to see the day :p

Fantastic news! Massive congratulations to LG and everyone who had helped make this happen!

I'm back for the time being, btw. Also am willing to implement Squadro for the site, it would be a great fit. :)

ypercube shows the game

Start time was 2018-11-16 16:22

Next target could be when 2 million games are finished, I would expect alot weren't even started

Start time: 2018-11-06 16:22 "safer to copy and paste"

Yes.

Maybe somebody with database skill could check how many games were concluded by game rules or resign rather than by time. An approximation is the number of games above 20 moves

I predict 3 million game will be reached at 28th February of 2022.

Shall we start a new thread for "When will littlegolem reach 3,000,000 games?"?

Yes please do and select a way to count points.

You did not specify the hour of the day, and sure it is not of the 29th ?

My prevision for 3 millions games is Friday 5th of September 2025.

My prediction is 22 May 2029 for reaching 3 million games

My prediction for reaching 3 million games is December 26, 2025.