amzn.ch.32.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
I've been requested to follow amzn.ch.32.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | p_a_k_o | 1965 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.80% | 0.83% | 34.44% |
| 2 | mungo | 2036 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 17.16% | 1.58% | 16.41% |
| 3 | Tobias Lang | 1988 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 9.18% | 1.08% | 28.44% |
| 4 | Arrow2_bot | 1977 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.79% | 0.97% | 32.41% |
| 5 | _Rafael_ | 1955 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.84% | 0.77% | 40.00% |
| 6 | Vladek | 2138 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 47.77% | 2.33% | 4.41% |
| 7 | bennok | 1856 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.05% | 0.23% | 73.15% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1826 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.60% | 0.12% | 80.55% |
| 9 | pim | 1773 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.20% | 0.07% | 90.19% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Arrow2_bot 0 - 2 Tobias Lang
\* Arrow2_bot 2 - 0 eaeaeapepe
\* bennok 0 - 2 pim

Games completed: 3/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16.04% | 1.66% | 12.45% |
| 2 | pim | 1792 | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.46% | 0.13% | 77.68% |
| 3 | Arrow2_bot | 1972 | *0 | _ | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 3.42% | 0.69% | 38.00% |
| 4 | eaeaeapepe | 1816 | _ | _ | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.06% | 87.78% |
| 5 | bennok | 1837 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.31% | 0.06% | 86.44% |
| 6 | _Rafael_ | 1962 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.98% | 0.83% | 37.37% |
| 7 | p_a_k_o | 1965 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.21% | 1.00% | 37.67% |
| 8 | Vladek | 2143 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 47.65% | 2.37% | 4.21% |
| 9 | mungo | 2036 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 16.00% | 1.57% | 18.41% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Arrow2_bot 0 - 2 Vladek

Games completed: 4/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 13.92% | 1.29% | 11.99% |
| 2 | Vladek | 2151 | _ | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 56.89% | 2.04% | 1.33% |
| 3 | Arrow2_bot | 1964 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.39% | 0.20% | 47.09% |
| 4 | pim | 1792 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.41% | 0.09% | 77.21% |
| 5 | eaeaeapepe | 1816 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.19% | 0.04% | 86.99% |
| 6 | bennok | 1837 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.21% | 0.04% | 85.97% |
| 7 | _Rafael_ | 1962 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.36% | 0.70% | 36.34% |
| 8 | p_a_k_o | 1965 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.46% | 0.79% | 36.04% |
| 9 | mungo | 2036 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 14.26% | 1.40% | 17.03% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Arrow2_bot 0 - 2 _Rafael_

Games completed: 5/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Vladek | 2159 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 56.43% | 2.08% | 1.12% |
| 2 | _Rafael_ | 1970 | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8.31% | 1.03% | 18.80% |
| 3 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12.58% | 1.28% | 13.16% |
| 4 | pim | 1792 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.35% | 0.06% | 77.00% |
| 5 | Arrow2_bot | 1948 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 69.98% |
| 6 | mungo | 2036 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 13.76% | 1.35% | 16.05% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1840 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.30% | 0.06% | 82.70% |
| 8 | bennok | 1837 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.03% | 85.84% |
| 9 | p_a_k_o | 1965 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 5.20% | 0.72% | 35.35% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* _Rafael_ 2 - 0 eaeaeapepe

Games completed: 6/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 1980 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 11.28% | 1.30% | 10.94% |
| 2 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12.32% | 1.36% | 12.66% |
| 3 | Vladek | 2159 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 54.79% | 2.05% | 1.28% |
| 4 | pim | 1792 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.30% | 0.08% | 76.18% |
| 5 | Arrow2_bot | 1948 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 71.18% |
| 6 | bennok | 1837 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.20% | 0.03% | 85.56% |
| 7 | mungo | 2036 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 13.17% | 1.32% | 16.04% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1830 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.02% | 91.17% |
| 9 | p_a_k_o | 1965 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 4.87% | 0.72% | 34.98% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* p_a_k_o 2 - 0 Arrow2_bot

Games completed: 7/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 1980 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 10.22% | 1.28% | 11.19% |
| 2 | p_a_k_o | 1980 | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8.64% | 1.10% | 16.73% |
| 3 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 11.46% | 1.22% | 12.78% |
| 4 | Vladek | 2159 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 53.06% | 2.11% | 1.27% |
| 5 | Arrow2_bot | 1933 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89.67% |
| 6 | pim | 1792 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.34% | 0.08% | 77.30% |
| 7 | mungo | 2036 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 12.99% | 1.28% | 14.35% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1830 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 90.56% |
| 9 | bennok | 1837 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.03% | 86.15% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* _Rafael_ 2 - 0 Vladek <--- upset!

Games completed: 8/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2003 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 8 | 36.33% | 2.78% | 1.82% |
| 2 | p_a_k_o | 1980 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 10.22% | 1.40% | 17.16% |
| 3 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 13.51% | 1.78% | 13.36% |
| 4 | Vladek | 2140 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 19.49% | 2.32% | 4.60% |
| 5 | pim | 1792 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.50% | 0.12% | 78.73% |
| 6 | Arrow2_bot | 1933 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.40% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1836 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.02% | 90.22% |
| 8 | bennok | 1837 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.24% | 0.04% | 87.26% |
| 9 | mungo | 2036 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 15.17% | 1.77% | 15.45% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* eaeaeapepe 0 - 2 Vladek

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2003 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 35.72% | 2.89% | 1.62% |
| 2 | Vladek | 2148 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 22.09% | 2.45% | 2.77% |
| 3 | p_a_k_o | 1980 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 9.77% | 1.37% | 16.88% |
| 4 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12.82% | 1.69% | 13.23% |
| 5 | pim | 1792 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.39% | 0.11% | 78.51% |
| 6 | Arrow2_bot | 1933 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.15% |
| 7 | mungo | 2036 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 14.58% | 1.72% | 14.81% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1832 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 93.86% |
| 9 | bennok | 1837 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.21% | 0.05% | 87.15% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* mungo 2 - 0 Arrow2_bot

Games completed: 10/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2003 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 33.49% | 2.80% | 1.86% |
| 2 | Vladek | 2148 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 20.83% | 2.51% | 2.72% |
| 3 | p_a_k_o | 1980 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 9.00% | 1.36% | 16.74% |
| 4 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 11.87% | 1.72% | 12.91% |
| 5 | mungo | 2047 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 19.65% | 2.28% | 7.53% |
| 6 | pim | 1792 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.38% | 0.10% | 78.45% |
| 7 | Arrow2_bot | 1922 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.37% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1832 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 93.29% |
| 9 | bennok | 1837 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.19% | 0.03% | 87.13% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* pim 0 - 2 Arrow2_bot

Games completed: 11/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2003 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 33.81% | 2.94% | 1.37% |
| 2 | Vladek | 2148 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 8 | 20.58% | 2.57% | 2.29% |
| 3 | Arrow2_bot | 1932 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | *2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.16% |
| 4 | mungo | 2047 | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 19.88% | 2.19% | 6.26% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1980 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 8.87% | 1.37% | 15.18% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 11.98% | 1.63% | 11.78% |
| 7 | pim | 1782 | _ | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.03% | 85.05% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 93.43% |
| 9 | bennok | 1837 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.20% | 0.04% | 86.49% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* pim 0 - 2 mungo

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2003 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 32.69% | 3.01% | 1.24% |
| 2 | mungo | 2052 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 21.99% | 2.39% | 3.79% |
| 3 | Vladek | 2148 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 8 | 20.40% | 2.56% | 2.02% |
| 4 | Arrow2_bot | 1932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.24% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1980 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 8.76% | 1.31% | 14.10% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 11.42% | 1.63% | 10.96% |
| 7 | pim | 1777 | _ | *0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 90.27% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1832 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 93.44% |
| 9 | bennok | 1837 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.18% | 0.04% | 85.93% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* mungo 0 - 2 _Rafael_

Games completed: 13/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2042 | - | *2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 24 | 64.01% | 2.71% | 0.05% |
| 2 | mungo | 2035 | *0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 4.01% | 0.84% | 7.80% |
| 3 | Vladek | 2098 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8.38% | 1.57% | 3.72% |
| 4 | Arrow2_bot | 1932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.28% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1980 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 8.57% | 1.18% | 13.49% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 11.57% | 1.57% | 10.38% |
| 7 | pim | 1777 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 89.42% |
| 8 | bennok | 1837 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.02% | 84.24% |
| 9 | eaeaeapepe | 1832 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 92.62% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Vladek 2 - 0 pim

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2044 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 28 | 64.37% | 2.64% | 0.04% |
| 2 | Vladek | 2102 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 9.10% | 1.52% | 2.04% |
| 3 | mungo | 2035 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 3.83% | 0.83% | 7.68% |
| 4 | Arrow2_bot | 1932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.10% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1980 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 8.24% | 1.35% | 12.93% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 11.10% | 1.58% | 9.97% |
| 7 | pim | 1773 | _ | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 92.77% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1832 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92.27% |
| 9 | bennok | 1837 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.02% | 84.18% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Wow, Rafael started with 1955 and 5.84% (estimated) chance and is now at 2044 and if I'm reading well, has already winning positions in 2 or 3 of his (4) remaining games.

Well played.

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* bennok 0 - 2 _Rafael_

Games completed: 15/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2054 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | *2 | 10 | 28 | 71.19% | 2.58% | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2103 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 5.85% | 1.49% | 1.42% |
| 3 | mungo | 2035 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 2.49% | 0.77% | 6.35% |
| 4 | Arrow2_bot | 1932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 97.78% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1980 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 7.43% | 1.13% | 11.36% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 10.07% | 1.57% | 8.60% |
| 7 | pim | 1773 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 92.65% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1832 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.86% |
| 9 | bennok | 1830 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 90.00% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* mungo 2 - 0 eaeaeapepe

Games completed: 16/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2054 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 70.86% | 2.66% | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2103 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 5.80% | 1.45% | 1.44% |
| 3 | mungo | 2042 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 3.12% | 0.94% | 3.16% |
| 4 | Arrow2_bot | 1932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 97.50% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1980 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 7.34% | 1.24% | 10.31% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 9.87% | 1.56% | 7.88% |
| 7 | pim | 1773 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 92.85% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1825 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.71% |
| 9 | bennok | 1830 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 90.16% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* eaeaeapepe 0 - 2 p_a_k_o
\* eaeaeapepe 2 - 0 bennok
\* bennok 0 - 2 Arrow2_bot

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2054 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 67.91% | 2.88% | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2103 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 6.02% | 1.75% | 0.46% |
| 3 | mungo | 2042 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 3.04% | 1.06% | 1.08% |
| 4 | Arrow2_bot | 1942 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 96.45% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 4 | 16 | 10.17% | 1.71% | 3.98% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 9.62% | 1.54% | 5.49% |
| 7 | pim | 1773 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.46% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | - | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.43% |
| 9 | bennok | 1804 | 0 | _ | _ | *0 | _ | _ | 0 | *0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.66% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* pim 0 - 2 _Rafael_

Games completed: 20/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2059 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 72.89% | 3.01% | 0 |
| 2 | mungo | 2042 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 2.01% | 1.01% | 0.66% |
| 3 | Vladek | 2111 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 4.29% | 2.02% | 0.28% |
| 4 | Arrow2_bot | 1942 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 95.97% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 16 | 9.03% | 1.83% | 2.97% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 2003 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 8.54% | 1.61% | 4.51% |
| 7 | pim | 1768 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.61% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.41% |
| 9 | bennok | 1804 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.59% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* _Rafael_ 2 - 0 Tobias Lang

Games completed: 21/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2072 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 48 | 90.84% | 1.48% | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2111 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 0 | 1.01% | 0.21% |
| 3 | mungo | 2042 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0.39% | 0.62% |
| 4 | Arrow2_bot | 1942 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 93.51% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 16 | 7.68% | 1.48% | 2.60% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 1990 | *0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0.08% | 8.54% |
| 7 | pim | 1768 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.82% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.59% |
| 9 | bennok | 1804 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.10% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* pim 0 - 2 eaeaeapepe

Games completed: 22/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2072 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 90.52% | 1.56% | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2111 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 24 | 0 | 1.05% | 0.18% |
| 3 | mungo | 2042 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0.40% | 0.51% |
| 4 | Arrow2_bot | 1942 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 93.00% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 7.93% | 1.56% | 1.72% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1848 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | *2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 99.17% |
| 7 | Tobias Lang | 1990 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0.11% | 8.58% |
| 8 | pim | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.68% |
| 9 | bennok | 1804 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.15% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* mungo 0 - 2 Vladek

Games completed: 23/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2080 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 56 | 90.86% | 2.06% | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2123 | 0 | - | *2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 36 | 0 | 1.96% | 0 |
| 3 | mungo | 2030 | 0 | *0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0.85% |
| 4 | Arrow2_bot | 1942 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 93.16% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 7.08% | 2.06% | 1.79% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1848 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 99.12% |
| 7 | Tobias Lang | 1990 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0.10% | 8.40% |
| 8 | pim | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.68% |
| 9 | bennok | 1804 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.01% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Tobias Lang 0 - 2 p_a_k_o
\* Tobias Lang 0 - 2 mungo

Games completed: 25/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2080 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 82.77% | 4.33% | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2123 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 40 | 0 | 4.33% | 0 |
| 3 | mungo | 2044 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0.01% |
| 4 | p_a_k_o | 2004 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | _ | _ | 6 | 24 | 12.90% | 4.33% | 0.05% |
| 5 | Arrow2_bot | 1942 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 73.56% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1853 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Tobias Lang | 1961 | 0 | _ | *0 | *0 | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 31.76% |
| 8 | pim | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.24% |
| 9 | bennok | 1804 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.39% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Vladek 0 - 2 Tobias Lang
\* Vladek 2 - 0 bennok

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2080 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 68 | 82.56% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2105 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | *0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | mungo | 2044 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | p_a_k_o | 2004 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 17.44% | 0 | 0.04% |
| 5 | Arrow2_bot | 1942 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 98.54% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 1983 | 0 | *2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 2.49% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1853 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | pim | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.51% |
| 9 | bennok | 1800 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.41% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Tobias Lang 0 - 2 bennok <--- upset!

Games completed: 28/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2080 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 82.89% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2105 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | mungo | 2044 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | p_a_k_o | 2004 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 17.11% | 0 | 0.22% |
| 5 | Arrow2_bot | 1942 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 93.27% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 1960 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | *0 | _ | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 10.85% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1853 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | bennok | 1823 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | *2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 96.98% |
| 9 | pim | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.68% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* bennok 0 - 2 mungo

Games completed: 29/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2080 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 76 | 82.96% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2105 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | mungo | 2051 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | p_a_k_o | 2004 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 17.04% | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Arrow2_bot | 1942 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 92.74% |
| 6 | Tobias Lang | 1960 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | 0 | _ | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 8.45% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1853 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | bennok | 1816 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | pim | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.81% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* eaeaeapepe 0 - 2 Tobias Lang

Games completed: 30/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2082 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 80 | 83.16% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2105 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | mungo | 2051 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tobias Lang | 1971 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | *2 | 0 | _ | 6 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0.26% |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 2004 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 32 | 16.84% | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Arrow2_bot | 1942 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1842 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | bennok | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | pim | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 99.74% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Congrats to @_Rafael_ !

*Tournament: amzn.ch.32.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* _Rafael_ 2 - 0 p_a_k_o

Games completed: 31/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | _Rafael_ | 2100 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 92 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vladek | 2105 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | mungo | 2051 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tobias Lang | 1971 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 6 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | p_a_k_o | 1992 | *0 | _ | _ | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Arrow2_bot | 1942 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1836 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | bennok | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | pim | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Congrats Rafael, incredible first time!

And have you noticed how well he's doing in his other games? After just 5 months of playing here?! Incredible indeed!!