twixt.ch.37.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
I've been requested to follow twixt.ch.37.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Steven | 2206 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.71% | 0.38% | 9.17% |
| 2 | technolion | 1981 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.04% | 70.36% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2523 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 88.84% | 0.55% | 0.02% |
| 4 | Hartmut | 2053 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.64% | 0.08% | 47.47% |
| 5 | Zandor | 1994 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.20% | 0.04% | 67.33% |
| 6 | dushoff | 2101 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.39% | 0.16% | 33.14% |
| 7 | elroy | 2049 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.60% | 0.11% | 50.93% |
| 8 | Mirko Rahn | 2062 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.74% | 0.13% | 46.96% |
| 9 | Cassiel | 1976 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.03% | 74.63% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

300 points between the top- and second-rated players! Pretty wild.

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zandor 0 - 2 Mirko Rahn
\* Mirko Rahn 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 2/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2524 | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 88.90% | 0.53% | 0.01% |
| 2 | Mirko Rahn | 2041 | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.07% | 40.81% |
| 3 | Steven | 2212 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.36% | 0.43% | 8.42% |
| 4 | technolion | 1981 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.12% | 0.02% | 70.21% |
| 5 | Hartmut | 2053 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.62% | 0.09% | 47.62% |
| 6 | Zandor | 1980 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.00% | 81.72% |
| 7 | dushoff | 2101 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.43% | 0.21% | 32.92% |
| 8 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.61% | 0.11% | 47.26% |
| 9 | Cassiel | 1987 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.03% | 71.04% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Hartmut 2 - 0 Zandor

Games completed: 3/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2524 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 88.92% | 0.55% | 0.01% |
| 2 | Hartmut | 2065 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.98% | 0.12% | 33.14% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2041 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.07% | 42.88% |
| 4 | Steven | 2213 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.14% | 0.41% | 9.01% |
| 5 | technolion | 1981 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.02% | 71.07% |
| 6 | Zandor | 1968 | _ | *0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 91.75% |
| 7 | dushoff | 2101 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.38% | 0.20% | 33.44% |
| 8 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.57% | 0.10% | 47.41% |
| 9 | Cassiel | 1987 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.02% | 71.30% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* technolion 2 - 0 Hartmut

Games completed: 4/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2000 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.39% | 0.05% | 47.11% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2524 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 89.20% | 0.47% | 0.01% |
| 3 | Hartmut | 2046 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.25% | 0.04% | 55.68% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2041 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.06% | 44.49% |
| 5 | Steven | 2214 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.29% | 0.36% | 9.03% |
| 6 | Zandor | 1968 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 91.25% |
| 7 | dushoff | 2101 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.41% | 0.16% | 33.38% |
| 8 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.63% | 0.12% | 47.83% |
| 9 | Cassiel | 1987 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.02% | 71.21% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zandor 0 - 2 Cassiel

Games completed: 5/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2000 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.40% | 0.07% | 47.97% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2524 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 88.61% | 0.51% | 0.01% |
| 3 | Hartmut | 2046 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.28% | 0.06% | 57.98% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2041 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.06% | 45.72% |
| 5 | Cassiel | 2002 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.31% | 0.05% | 57.46% |
| 6 | Steven | 2218 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.65% | 0.41% | 9.31% |
| 7 | Zandor | 1953 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.18% |
| 8 | dushoff | 2101 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.40% | 0.20% | 34.97% |
| 9 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.65% | 0.11% | 49.39% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Hartmut 0 - 2 Mirko Rahn

Games completed: 6/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Mirko Rahn | 2057 | - | 0 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.29% | 0.11% | 25.85% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2524 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 89.01% | 0.52% | 0.01% |
| 3 | technolion | 2000 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.33% | 0.05% | 50.49% |
| 4 | Hartmut | 2030 | *0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 78.41% |
| 5 | Cassiel | 2002 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.29% | 0.06% | 56.39% |
| 6 | Steven | 2219 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.48% | 0.42% | 8.59% |
| 7 | Zandor | 1953 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 97.18% |
| 8 | dushoff | 2101 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.37% | 0.20% | 34.16% |
| 9 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.60% | 0.08% | 48.93% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Steven 2 - 0 Mirko Rahn

Games completed: 7/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Mirko Rahn | 2049 | - | *0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 33.86% |
| 2 | Steven | 2228 | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 9.94% | 0.40% | 3.50% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2524 | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 87.01% | 0.48% | 0.01% |
| 4 | technolion | 2000 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.35% | 0.06% | 49.73% |
| 5 | Hartmut | 2030 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 77.62% |
| 6 | Cassiel | 2002 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.28% | 0.05% | 56.54% |
| 7 | Zandor | 1953 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.99% |
| 8 | dushoff | 2101 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.28% | 0.17% | 33.83% |
| 9 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.55% | 0.11% | 47.91% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* dushoff 2 - 0 Hartmut

Games completed: 8/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Mirko Rahn | 2067 | - | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 31.61% |
| 2 | Steven | 2228 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 9.82% | 0.53% | 3.26% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2524 | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 86.20% | 0.62% | 0.02% |
| 4 | technolion | 2000 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.29% | 0.08% | 51.85% |
| 5 | dushoff | 2113 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 2.10% | 0.36% | 20.50% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2018 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | *0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 91.23% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 2002 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.25% | 0.05% | 57.09% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1953 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.81% |
| 9 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.64% | 0.10% | 47.65% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* technolion 2 - 0 Zandor

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2013 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.50% | 0.10% | 37.97% |
| 2 | Mirko Rahn | 2067 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 35.75% |
| 3 | Steven | 2228 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 9.77% | 0.50% | 3.75% |
| 4 | Maciej Celuch | 2524 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 86.22% | 0.62% | 0.02% |
| 5 | dushoff | 2113 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 2.01% | 0.33% | 21.65% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2018 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92.56% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 2002 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.26% | 0.07% | 59.53% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1940 | *0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.48% |
| 9 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.54% | 0.11% | 49.29% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* dushoff 2 - 0 Zandor

Games completed: 10/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2013 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.48% | 0.12% | 38.74% |
| 2 | dushoff | 2121 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 2.62% | 0.51% | 15.62% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2067 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.03% | 0.02% | 38.43% |
| 4 | Steven | 2228 | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 9.40% | 0.67% | 4.13% |
| 5 | Maciej Celuch | 2524 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 85.79% | 0.78% | 0.02% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 92.59% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 2002 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.23% | 0.06% | 60.98% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1932 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.98% |
| 9 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.57% | 0.12% | 49.51% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Cassiel 0 - 2 Mirko Rahn

Games completed: 11/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Mirko Rahn | 2080 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 0.03% | 0.04% | 19.34% |
| 2 | technolion | 2013 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.43% | 0.10% | 40.41% |
| 3 | dushoff | 2121 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 2.70% | 0.48% | 17.30% |
| 4 | Steven | 2228 | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 9.54% | 0.58% | 3.78% |
| 5 | Maciej Celuch | 2524 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 85.95% | 0.69% | 0.02% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.40% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1989 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.03% | 76.53% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.96% |
| 9 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.53% | 0.09% | 49.26% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Mirko Rahn 0 - 2 technolion
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 Zandor

Games completed: 13/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2031 | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 1.24% | 0.24% | 15.09% |
| 2 | Mirko Rahn | 2056 | *0 | - | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 43.94% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2525 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 85.37% | 0.78% | 0.01% |
| 4 | dushoff | 2121 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 2.68% | 0.49% | 17.06% |
| 5 | Steven | 2228 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 9.32% | 0.64% | 4.01% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2018 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.30% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1989 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.01% | 76.93% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1931 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.50% | 0.10% | 49.67% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 Hartmut

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2031 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 1.09% | 0.25% | 14.91% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2526 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 86.07% | 0.73% | 0.01% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2056 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 43.35% |
| 4 | dushoff | 2121 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 2.52% | 0.50% | 16.92% |
| 5 | Steven | 2228 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 8.94% | 0.71% | 3.96% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2017 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.10% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1989 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.01% | 76.32% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1931 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.46% | 0.11% | 49.43% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* elroy 0 - 2 technolion

Games completed: 15/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2048 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | 8 | 16 | 2.19% | 0.49% | 2.87% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2526 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 85.54% | 0.93% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2056 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 39.64% |
| 4 | dushoff | 2121 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 2.38% | 0.53% | 14.32% |
| 5 | Steven | 2228 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 8.73% | 0.83% | 3.21% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.29% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1989 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.02% | 74.83% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1931 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2042 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.02% | 69.84% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* technolion 0 - 2 dushoff
\* dushoff 2 - 0 Cassiel
\* Hartmut 2 - 0 Cassiel

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | dushoff | 2143 | - | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 28 | 5.55% | 1.25% | 0.90% |
| 2 | technolion | 2036 | *0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 0.82% | 0.11% | 1.38% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2526 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 83.73% | 1.30% | 0.01% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2056 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 38.99% |
| 5 | Hartmut | 2031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 92.20% |
| 6 | Steven | 2229 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 8.47% | 1.18% | 3.02% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1965 | *0 | _ | _ | 0 | *0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.55% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1931 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2042 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.01% | 68.94% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Cassiel 0 - 2 technolion

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2049 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 1.40% | 0.24% | 0.00% |
| 2 | dushoff | 2143 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 5.46% | 1.29% | 0.73% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2526 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 83.32% | 1.36% | 0 |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2056 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 37.68% |
| 5 | Hartmut | 2031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 91.86% |
| 6 | Steven | 2229 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 8.35% | 1.14% | 2.71% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1960 | *0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.72% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1931 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2042 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.02% | 68.30% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Cassiel 0 - 2 Steven

Games completed: 20/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2049 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 1.25% | 0.22% | 0.00% |
| 2 | dushoff | 2143 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 5.33% | 1.59% | 0.70% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2526 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 82.01% | 1.64% | 0 |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2056 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 37.53% |
| 5 | Steven | 2234 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 9.63% | 1.45% | 1.57% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 92.65% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1955 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | *0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.77% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1931 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2042 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.01% | 67.77% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zandor 0 - 2 Steven

Games completed: 21/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2049 | - | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 1.18% | 0.18% | 0.01% |
| 2 | dushoff | 2143 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 4.81% | 1.77% | 0.72% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2526 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 81.39% | 1.83% | 0.00% |
| 4 | Steven | 2238 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 10.65% | 1.67% | 0.95% |
| 5 | Mirko Rahn | 2056 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 38.31% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 92.50% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1955 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.73% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1927 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2042 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.02% | 67.77% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 Cassiel

Games completed: 22/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2049 | - | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 1.26% | 0.19% | 0.00% |
| 2 | dushoff | 2143 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 4.89% | 1.97% | 0.72% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2527 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 24 | 81.12% | 1.98% | 0.00% |
| 4 | Steven | 2238 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 10.60% | 1.86% | 0.87% |
| 5 | Mirko Rahn | 2056 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 37.72% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 92.65% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1927 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2042 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.01% | 68.03% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Mirko Rahn 2 - 0 elroy

Games completed: 23/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2049 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 1.21% | 0.17% | 0.01% |
| 2 | dushoff | 2143 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 4.68% | 1.85% | 1.22% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2527 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 28 | 81.65% | 1.90% | 0.00% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2071 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 13.96% |
| 5 | Steven | 2238 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 10.52% | 1.75% | 0.86% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 94.02% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1927 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2027 | 0 | _ | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 89.92% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* elroy 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 24/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | technolion | 2049 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 1.17% | 0.17% | 0.00% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2528 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 10 | 28 | 82.16% | 1.87% | 0 |
| 3 | dushoff | 2143 | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 4.53% | 1.90% | 0.99% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2071 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12.81% |
| 5 | Steven | 2238 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 10.25% | 1.73% | 0.77% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 94.07% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1927 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2026 | 0 | *0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.36% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* technolion 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 25/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2529 | - | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 83.80% | 1.80% | 0 |
| 2 | technolion | 2048 | *0 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 |
| 3 | dushoff | 2143 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 4.26% | 1.81% | 0.90% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2071 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12.80% |
| 5 | Steven | 2238 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 10.12% | 1.81% | 0.73% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 94.13% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1927 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2026 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.44% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Hartmut 2 - 0 Steven <--- upset!

Games completed: 26/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2529 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 89.22% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | technolion | 2048 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | dushoff | 2143 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 36 | 5.75% | 0.01% | 0.73% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2071 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 32.19% |
| 5 | Steven | 2216 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | *0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 5.02% | 0.01% | 2.48% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 72.81% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1927 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2026 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.79% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zandor 2 - 0 elroy

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2529 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 89.18% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | technolion | 2048 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | dushoff | 2143 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 40 | 5.82% | 0 | 0.30% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2071 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 28.73% |
| 5 | Steven | 2216 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 24 | 5.00% | 0 | 2.06% |
| 6 | Hartmut | 2055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 71.00% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1947 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 2006 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | *0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.91% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* elroy 0 - 2 Hartmut

Games completed: 28/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2529 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 60 | 88.96% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | technolion | 2048 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | dushoff | 2143 | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 44 | 6.03% | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2071 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 49.70% |
| 5 | Hartmut | 2068 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 44.02% |
| 6 | Steven | 2216 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 24 | 5.01% | 0 | 6.28% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1947 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 1993 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Steven 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 29/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2533 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 94.17% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | technolion | 2048 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | dushoff | 2143 | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 44 | 5.83% | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2072 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 47.04% |
| 5 | Hartmut | 2068 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 45.17% |
| 6 | Steven | 2212 | *0 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 7.79% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1947 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 1993 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Steven 2 - 0 elroy

Games completed: 30/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2533 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 76 | 94.16% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | technolion | 2048 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | dushoff | 2143 | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 44 | 5.84% | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Steven | 2219 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Hartmut | 2068 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 39.82% |
| 6 | Mirko Rahn | 2072 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 60.18% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1947 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 1986 | 0 | 0 | _ | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Mirko Rahn 0 - 2 dushoff

Games completed: 31/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2533 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 76 | 91.32% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | dushoff | 2155 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 60 | 8.68% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | technolion | 2048 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Steven | 2223 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Hartmut | 2068 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Mirko Rahn | 2061 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1947 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 1986 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* elroy 0 - 2 dushoff

Games completed: 32/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2533 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 76 | 89.30% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | dushoff | 2163 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 12 | 60 | 10.70% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | technolion | 2048 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Steven | 2223 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Hartmut | 2068 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Mirko Rahn | 2064 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1947 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 1982 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Congratulations to Maciej! Again.

*Tournament: twixt.ch.37.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* dushoff 2 - 0 Steven
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 dushoff

Games completed: 34/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2536 | - | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 104 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | dushoff | 2178 | *0 | - | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | technolion | 2048 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Steven | 2205 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Hartmut | 2068 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Mirko Rahn | 2064 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1954 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1947 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | elroy | 1982 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Even it is no surprise it still is a great result - Congrats Maciej!

thank you!

And if Steven could finally make another move we could even finish this tournament. Wouldn't that be great?

Congrats !

I'll play the next championship, I'll try to prepare some special things for Maciej ! You should all do the same, cause this is enough ^_^

:P

then maybe i'll play too ;)

and what about khorlo, he seems to be a very good player like tasuki and korubko. his openings are quite simmilar what Maciek plays.

I'll drop out, and make another space for a serious challenger, then. I'll be watching with interest.

I'll still be in second league for 38, but maybe 39 I will get back.

Why would Mirko Rahn be demoted? Tied for 5th with Hartmut.

If six players of the 37th championship will stay in the first league (i think Harmut will stay), 4 players will come from 2nd league and Florian and my brother will come either, so it will be 12 players. It's going to be big tournament ;-)

Yeah !!! I love this :P

Oh yeah- Awesome result Maciej! By my count, that is your eighth championship, and your fourth perfect score.

Maciej, can you explain? I thought if I stay I will deny the place to a high ranked player who sat out this championship. Is that wrong?

In any case, I may drop out because I don't have time to play with so many superior players, if I can't drop out to be altruistic :-).

Both Hartmut and Mirko Rahn should remain in league 1st league. I think RoRoRo the Bot's formula is wrong.

That puts 6 players from 37.1.1 holding over for 38.1.1 if they all opt in.
Add at khorlo and either Flemming Jensen or diego44 (or both) from 37.2.1 and mtbikesman and either David or matjazo (again, could both be possible?) from 37.2.2, and that's 10-12 right there.

I don't think spd or Florian being added to the mix changes the equation for anyone else, other than at-large entrants. Seems that beyond some threshold, you get grandfathered in.

I'm not registered so I'll just be watching from the peanut gallery. This next championship looks like it'll be a murderer's row of competition. Wish I could jump into the fray but I just don't have the time lately.

Good luck to all.

@Yibyab, Mirko will tie in 4th-6th positions and stay only if technolion wins the last game. In any other case, (lose or draw), Mirko will be 6th.

@Yibyab: I think everybody from the top ten is qualified automatically.
@yper: Not sure I wish technolion wins the game. ._.

@Mirko: what do you mean???

@technolion: I assume Mirko is worried about being tempted into the super-Championship, and the associated time drain.