twixt.ch.35.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
I've been requested to follow twixt.ch.35.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | spd_iv | 2511 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 81.46% | 1.00% | 0.08% |
| 2 | David J Bush | 2257 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 10.50% | 0.75% | 6.99% |
| 3 | Sam Dakota | 2170 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.39% | 0.49% | 20.80% |
| 4 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.61% | 0.27% | 33.44% |
| 5 | Mirko Rahn | 2090 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.93% | 0.16% | 45.85% |
| 6 | David | 2068 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.63% | 0.10% | 54.19% |
| 7 | elroy | 2014 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.19% | 0.05% | 71.32% |
| 8 | Cassiel | 1983 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.02% | 79.27% |
| 9 | matjazo | 1937 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 88.07% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Mirko Rahn 2 - 0 elroy

Games completed: 1/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Mirko Rahn | 2077 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.95% | 0.17% | 37.18% |
| 2 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 85.39% |
| 3 | Cassiel | 1983 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.03% | 77.13% |
| 4 | elroy | 2001 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.01% | 83.17% |
| 5 | David | 2075 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.70% | 0.13% | 50.39% |
| 6 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.56% | 0.25% | 35.06% |
| 7 | Sam Dakota | 2170 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.42% | 0.47% | 23.19% |
| 8 | spd_iv | 2511 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 81.38% | 0.93% | 0.12% |
| 9 | David J Bush | 2257 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 10.68% | 0.72% | 8.37% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* David J Bush 2 - 0 David

Games completed: 2/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Mirko Rahn | 2085 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.08% | 0.24% | 32.95% |
| 2 | David J Bush | 2265 | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 13.40% | 0.90% | 3.22% |
| 3 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 84.80% |
| 4 | Cassiel | 1983 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.02% | 76.71% |
| 5 | David | 2067 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.19% | 0.06% | 59.99% |
| 6 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.59% | 0.32% | 33.67% |
| 7 | Sam Dakota | 2170 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.30% | 0.50% | 21.91% |
| 8 | spd_iv | 2511 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 78.99% | 1.08% | 0.09% |
| 9 | elroy | 1981 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 86.66% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* David 2 - 0 Mirko Rahn

Games completed: 3/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2265 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 13.52% | 0.88% | 2.87% |
| 2 | David | 2083 | 0 | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.42% | 0.13% | 36.54% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2069 | _ | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.33% | 0.07% | 55.18% |
| 4 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 85.31% |
| 5 | Cassiel | 1983 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.02% | 77.36% |
| 6 | spd_iv | 2511 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 79.38% | 1.04% | 0.09% |
| 7 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.63% | 0.29% | 33.96% |
| 8 | Sam Dakota | 2170 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.33% | 0.55% | 22.20% |
| 9 | elroy | 1981 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.00% | 86.49% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Sam Dakota 2 - 0 Mirko Rahn

Games completed: 4/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2265 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 13.35% | 1.13% | 2.60% |
| 2 | David | 2083 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.49% | 0.13% | 35.77% |
| 3 | Sam Dakota | 2181 | _ | _ | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4.78% | 0.84% | 10.28% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2058 | _ | 0 | *0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.01% | 70.65% |
| 5 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 85.11% |
| 6 | Cassiel | 1983 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.01% | 76.89% |
| 7 | elroy | 1981 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 85.27% |
| 8 | spd_iv | 2511 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 78.14% | 1.26% | 0.07% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 1.57% | 0.30% | 33.36% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Mirko Rahn 0 - 2 David J Bush

Games completed: 5/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2272 | - | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 16.00% | 1.24% | 1.07% |
| 2 | David | 2083 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.40% | 0.12% | 34.40% |
| 3 | Sam Dakota | 2181 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4.42% | 0.90% | 9.79% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2051 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 80.96% |
| 5 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.00% | 83.77% |
| 6 | Cassiel | 1983 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.02% | 74.92% |
| 7 | elroy | 1981 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 83.57% |
| 8 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.41% | 0.33% | 31.45% |
| 9 | spd_iv | 2511 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 76.11% | 1.34% | 0.06% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* elroy 2 - 0 David J Bush <--- major upset!

Games completed: 6/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2246 | - | *0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 7.26% | 0.56% | 5.16% |
| 2 | elroy | 2010 | *2 | - | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.25% | 0.03% | 54.32% |
| 3 | David | 2097 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.81% | 0.11% | 38.21% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2050 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.00% | 0 | 84.04% |
| 5 | Sam Dakota | 2181 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 5.42% | 0.42% | 13.55% |
| 6 | Cassiel | 1983 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.01% | 79.47% |
| 7 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 87.64% |
| 8 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.67% | 0.23% | 37.47% |
| 9 | spd_iv | 2513 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 83.49% | 0.74% | 0.14% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* David J Bush 2 - 0 Cassiel
\* spd_iv 0 - 2 Mirko Rahn <--- astonishing! [°_°]

Games completed: 8/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2251 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 6 | 12 | 16.89% | 2.57% | 4.16% |
| 2 | Mirko Rahn | 2079 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.02% | 0.03% | 37.80% |
| 3 | elroy | 2010 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.60% | 0.20% | 66.33% |
| 4 | Sam Dakota | 2181 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 10.49% | 1.50% | 16.40% |
| 5 | David | 2098 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 1.47% | 0.41% | 46.86% |
| 6 | spd_iv | 2484 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 63.15% | 3.20% | 0.93% |
| 7 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.18% | 0.64% | 46.04% |
| 8 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.04% | 91.36% |
| 9 | Cassiel | 1978 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.03% | 90.11% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* David 0 - 2 Sam Dakota

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2251 | - | _ | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 12 | 15.14% | 2.72% | 3.91% |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2192 | _ | - | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 15.56% | 1.91% | 6.32% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2105 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.02% | 0.04% | 31.41% |
| 4 | elroy | 2010 | 2 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.55% | 0.15% | 64.62% |
| 5 | David | 2073 | 0 | *0 | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.15% | 0.09% | 67.04% |
| 6 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.02% | 90.79% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1980 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.02% | 89.21% |
| 8 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.01% | 0.63% | 45.73% |
| 9 | spd_iv | 2484 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 61.32% | 3.20% | 0.97% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* David 0 - 2 spd_iv

Games completed: 10/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2251 | - | _ | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 12 | 14.30% | 2.38% | 3.95% |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2192 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 13.78% | 1.75% | 6.27% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2105 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 0.03% | 0.02% | 28.58% |
| 4 | elroy | 2010 | 2 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.54% | 0.21% | 61.17% |
| 5 | David | 2020 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | *0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 79.03% |
| 6 | spd_iv | 2486 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 64.33% | 2.88% | 0.50% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1980 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.04% | 87.62% |
| 8 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.02% | 90.16% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 3.19% | 0.62% | 42.72% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Sam Dakota 2 - 0 elroy

Games completed: 11/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Sam Dakota | 2200 | - | _ | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 16 | 17.93% | 1.47% | 2.12% |
| 2 | David J Bush | 2251 | _ | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 13.93% | 2.22% | 3.24% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2105 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 26.78% |
| 4 | elroy | 2002 | *0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.11% | 0.07% | 72.51% |
| 5 | David | 2020 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 77.33% |
| 6 | spd_iv | 2486 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 61.60% | 2.67% | 0.45% |
| 7 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.02% | 89.22% |
| 8 | Cassiel | 1980 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.03% | 87.17% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.89% | 0.64% | 41.18% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Sam Dakota 0 - 2 David J Bush

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2264 | - | *2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 24 | 23.38% | 2.80% | 0.20% |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2187 | *0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 16 | 7.14% | 1.02% | 3.84% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2105 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 27.47% |
| 4 | elroy | 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 16 | 0.14% | 0.05% | 71.19% |
| 5 | David | 2020 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 77.92% |
| 6 | spd_iv | 2486 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 62.82% | 2.96% | 0.45% |
| 7 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.04% | 89.48% |
| 8 | Cassiel | 1980 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.02% | 87.52% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.78% | 0.74% | 41.92% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* David J Bush 2 - 0 dushoff

Games completed: 13/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2245 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | *2 | 10 | 24 | 25.66% | 3.35% | 0 |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2187 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 16 | 6.26% | 1.01% | 3.20% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2105 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 25.10% |
| 4 | elroy | 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 20 | 0.15% | 0.07% | 67.52% |
| 5 | David | 2020 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.68% |
| 6 | spd_iv | 2486 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 63.57% | 2.98% | 0.38% |
| 7 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.03% | 88.24% |
| 8 | Cassiel | 1980 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.02% | 86.22% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2113 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.58% | 0.18% | 53.67% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* elroy 2 - 0 David

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2245 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 23.90% | 3.08% | 0 |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2187 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 20 | 6.47% | 1.12% | 3.69% |
| 3 | elroy | 2018 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 24 | 0.40% | 0.23% | 45.20% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2105 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 26.27% |
| 5 | David | 2004 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | - | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 93.57% |
| 6 | spd_iv | 2486 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 64.84% | 3.00% | 0.45% |
| 7 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.03% | 88.74% |
| 8 | Cassiel | 1980 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.02% | 86.75% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2113 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.59% | 0.24% | 55.33% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Wild. Both of the top players (by rating)
have losses already. And both of the players that beat them have multiple losses already.

I just caught David J. Bush flat-footed I think. Every once in awhile I actually stay focused for a whole game. I am clearly punching above my weight class in league 1. A wild tournament indeed.

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Cassiel 2 - 0 Sam Dakota <--- upset!

Games completed: 15/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2245 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25.19% | 3.93% | 0 |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2163 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | *0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 20 | 1.96% | 1.04% | 14.89% |
| 3 | elroy | 2018 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 24 | 0.60% | 0.04% | 48.70% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2105 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 29.36% |
| 5 | Cassiel | 2004 | 0 | *2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.22% | 0.14% | 65.75% |
| 6 | David | 2004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 94.32% |
| 7 | spd_iv | 2486 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 66.91% | 3.55% | 0.57% |
| 8 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.04% | 89.34% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2113 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.70% | 0.29% | 57.06% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* elroy 0 - 2 dushoff

Games completed: 16/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2245 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 10 | 32 | 26.31% | 4.76% | 0 |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2163 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 20 | 1.65% | 0.99% | 14.85% |
| 3 | elroy | 2007 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | *0 | _ | _ | 4 | 24 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 66.99% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2105 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 29.66% |
| 5 | Cassiel | 2004 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.17% | 0.13% | 64.20% |
| 6 | David | 2004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 93.10% |
| 7 | dushoff | 2124 | 0 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 1.20% | 0.43% | 41.18% |
| 8 | spd_iv | 2486 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 4 | 65.46% | 4.26% | 0.59% |
| 9 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.04% | 89.43% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Mirko Rahn 2 - 0 dushoff

Games completed: 17/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2245 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 10 | 36 | 28.09% | 5.03% | 0 |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2163 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 24 | 1.83% | 1.06% | 13.85% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2121 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 0 | *2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 0.05% | 0.03% | 7.62% |
| 4 | elroy | 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | 4 | 24 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 65.71% |
| 5 | Cassiel | 2004 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.20% | 0.10% | 64.35% |
| 6 | David | 2004 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 92.82% |
| 7 | dushoff | 2108 | 0 | _ | *0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.17% | 0.15% | 65.05% |
| 8 | spd_iv | 2486 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 4 | 64.45% | 4.18% | 0.69% |
| 9 | matjazo | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.02% | 89.91% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Mirko Rahn 0 - 2 matjazo <--- upset!

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2245 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 36 | 25.28% | 4.93% | 0 |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2163 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 24 | 1.64% | 0.97% | 14.08% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2102 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | *0 | _ | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 27.69% |
| 4 | elroy | 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | _ | 4 | 24 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 67.05% |
| 5 | matjazo | 1965 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.36% | 0.14% | 70.40% |
| 6 | Cassiel | 2004 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.15% | 0.11% | 63.51% |
| 7 | David | 1980 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 94.61% |
| 8 | dushoff | 2108 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.18% | 0.39% | 62.06% |
| 9 | spd_iv | 2486 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | 2 | 4 | 67.10% | 4.55% | 0.59% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* David 2 - 0 Cassiel

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2245 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 40 | 24.65% | 4.68% | 0 |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2163 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 2.17% | 1.13% | 12.28% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2102 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 24.59% |
| 4 | elroy | 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 4 | 28 | 0.03% | 0.02% | 64.99% |
| 5 | David | 1997 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | *2 | _ | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 86.32% |
| 6 | matjazo | 1965 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.37% | 0.13% | 70.31% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1987 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.03% | 0.04% | 79.98% |
| 8 | dushoff | 2108 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.13% | 0.36% | 61.00% |
| 9 | spd_iv | 2486 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 8 | 67.58% | 4.23% | 0.53% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* dushoff 0 - 2 David

Games completed: 20/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2245 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 44 | 24.18% | 4.12% | 0 |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2163 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | 6 | 32 | 2.44% | 1.22% | 10.35% |
| 3 | David | 2017 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | *2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 58.13% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 28.39% |
| 5 | elroy | 2007 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 4 | 32 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 61.69% |
| 6 | matjazo | 1965 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.37% | 0.11% | 71.51% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1987 | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.01% | 0.04% | 82.75% |
| 8 | spd_iv | 2486 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 12 | 68.56% | 3.64% | 0.42% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2088 | 0 | _ | *0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 8 | 0.00% | 0.02% | 86.76% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Cassiel 0 - 2 Mirko Rahn

Games completed: 21/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2245 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 24.41% | 4.25% | 0 |
| 2 | Mirko Rahn | 2124 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1.72% |
| 3 | Sam Dakota | 2163 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 6 | 36 | 3.06% | 0.99% | 10.98% |
| 4 | David | 2015 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 64.56% |
| 5 | elroy | 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 4 | 32 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 62.17% |
| 6 | matjazo | 1965 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 16 | 0.42% | 0.13% | 74.41% |
| 7 | spd_iv | 2488 | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 67.80% | 3.26% | 0.50% |
| 8 | Cassiel | 1977 | 0 | *0 | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0.00% | 94.85% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2088 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0.01% | 90.80% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* David J Bush 0 - 2 spd_iv
\* dushoff 0 - 2 Cassiel
\* Sam Dakota 0 - 2 matjazo <--- upset!
\* dushoff 0 - 2 spd_iv

Games completed: 25/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2250 | - | 2 | 2 | *0 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 4.32% | 5.37% | 0 |
| 2 | Mirko Rahn | 2130 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1.65% |
| 3 | Sam Dakota | 2139 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | *0 | 0 | _ | 6 | 36 | 0.01% | 0.03% | 49.29% |
| 4 | spd_iv | 2496 | *2 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 6 | 36 | 89.02% | 5.16% | 0.02% |
| 5 | David | 2020 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 61.07% |
| 6 | elroy | 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 4 | 32 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 63.69% |
| 7 | matjazo | 1989 | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 4 | 28 | 1.12% | 0.46% | 42.57% |
| 8 | Cassiel | 2014 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | *2 | 4 | 16 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 82.17% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2066 | 0 | 0 | _ | *0 | 0 | 2 | _ | *0 | - | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 99.54% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* matjazo 0 - 2 David J Bush
\* dushoff 0 - 2 Sam Dakota

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2266 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 64 | 6.05% | 7.45% | 0 |
| 2 | Sam Dakota | 2151 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | *2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 19.11% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2130 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1.78% |
| 4 | spd_iv | 2496 | 2 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 40 | 86.15% | 7.07% | 0.02% |
| 5 | David | 2003 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 69.68% |
| 6 | elroy | 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 70.87% |
| 7 | matjazo | 1984 | *0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 4 | 32 | 0.35% | 0.48% | 53.03% |
| 8 | Cassiel | 2008 | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 85.50% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2054 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Cassiel 2 - 0 elroy
\* spd_iv 2 - 0 elroy

Games completed: 29/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2274 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 68 | 9.40% | 9.26% | 0 |
| 2 | spd_iv | 2497 | 2 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 48 | 81.15% | 8.91% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2109 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1.21% |
| 4 | Sam Dakota | 2151 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 29.12% |
| 5 | David | 2029 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 46.05% |
| 6 | Cassiel | 2023 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | *2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 73.11% |
| 7 | elroy | 1991 | 2 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | *0 | - | _ | 0 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | matjazo | 1984 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 4 | 32 | 0.19% | 0.35% | 50.50% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2054 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* matjazo 2 - 0 dushoff

Games completed: 30/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2280 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 72 | 10.87% | 9.34% | 0 |
| 2 | spd_iv | 2497 | 2 | - | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 48 | 79.19% | 8.83% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2109 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 2.50% |
| 4 | Sam Dakota | 2151 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 39.19% |
| 5 | matjazo | 2006 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 6 | 36 | 0.61% | 0.51% | 25.66% |
| 6 | David | 2017 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 59.44% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 2023 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 73.22% |
| 8 | elroy | 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* elroy 0 - 2 matjazo

Games completed: 31/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2280 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 76 | 18.35% | 2.55% | 0 |
| 2 | spd_iv | 2497 | 2 | - | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 48 | 77.56% | 2.55% | 0.01% |
| 3 | matjazo | 2021 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 1.54% | 0 | 3.87% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2109 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 3.82% |
| 5 | Sam Dakota | 2151 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 66.51% |
| 6 | David | 2004 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 52.40% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 2023 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 73.39% |
| 8 | elroy | 1976 | 2 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Cassiel 0 - 2 spd_iv

Games completed: 32/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2280 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 76 | 15.04% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | spd_iv | 2504 | 2 | - | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 83.28% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | matjazo | 2021 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 1.68% | 0 | 2.30% |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2106 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 3.40% |
| 5 | Sam Dakota | 2151 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 62.79% |
| 6 | David | 2005 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 52.65% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1986 | 0 | *0 | _ | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 78.86% |
| 8 | elroy | 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* spd_iv 2 - 0 Sam Dakota

Games completed: 33/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | spd_iv | 2507 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 76 | 94.76% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | David J Bush | 2280 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 76 | 3.89% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Mirko Rahn | 2106 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | matjazo | 2005 | _ | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 1.35% | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Sam Dakota | 2148 | *0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 73.42% |
| 6 | David | 2005 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 49.95% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1986 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 76.63% |
| 8 | elroy | 1976 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* matjazo 0 - 2 David

Games completed: 34/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | spd_iv | 2507 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 80 | 94.84% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | David J Bush | 2280 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 80 | 5.16% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | David | 2024 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mirko Rahn | 2116 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | matjazo | 2003 | _ | 0 | *0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Sam Dakota | 2148 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1976 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | elroy | 1962 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

spd_iv is the baüs. Just dominating.

Congrats to Mirko Rahn for figuring out a way to against that buzz saw.

er..."baus", aka "boss"

(board didn't like my U-umlaut)

baüs

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* matjazo 2 - 0 Cassiel

Games completed: 35/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | David J Bush | 2280 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 84 | 5.59% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | spd_iv | 2509 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 80 | 94.41% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | matjazo | 2017 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | David | 2039 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Mirko Rahn | 2116 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Sam Dakota | 2148 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1962 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | elroy | 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: twixt.ch.35.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* spd_iv 2 - 0 matjazo

Games completed: 36/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | spd_iv | 2515 | - | 2 | *2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 100 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | David J Bush | 2280 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | matjazo | 2016 | *0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | David | 2040 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Mirko Rahn | 2114 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Sam Dakota | 2148 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Cassiel | 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | elroy | 1980 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | dushoff | 2035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Congrats to spd_iv for winning!

and to Mirko Rahn for beating the champion ;)

Congratulations to spd_iv again. Congratulations also to David and Matjazo for a good tournaments and staying up in league 1. Thanks for the fun tournament. 1 astonishing, 1 major upset and 2 upsets. Fun.

Congrats to spd again! (My win was based not on my skills rather than a temporary blindness of the champion.)

How is it: Am I 'officially' on place 5 or is place 4 shared?

thanks, my blindness wasnt casual, i was in bad position after 12.s12. i should have played 13.r13 but Mirko still would have been in a winning position. i tried to make Mirko confused with 13.n13 but it didnt work (i confused myself :P).

Mirko, you share 4th place officially :)

Congrats to all of you for a good tournament :)

BTW David J Bush made a mistake playing unnecessarily 13.e16 and giving me 14.g20, which assured me easy win.

Now I'm the one that has the most recent win against spd and against maciej and against alan, all at the same time. :-)

When does the next championship start?

I'm guessing it's going to be awhile still. Could be another month. I'm seeing two games still in progress: one in Level 2 and one in Level 4. They're moving kind of slowly.

I am hoping it isn't a month, maybe 2 weeks or so. I have been peeking in at the two games and waiting for moves to happen has been excruciatingly slow. I have yet to figure out the mystery of how games actually time out here on LG but the 9 hours left in one of the games may mean little.

One game down. One to go. The last one (twixt.ch.35.3.4) could be over in a couple of moves, so it mayb just be a matter of days.

My brother is coming in the next championship, so be prepared :)

Who is your brother? LG name?

Be gentle with mtbikesman and let him find out about the best hex player in the world.

@mtbikesman: Be prepared!

My dog could beat me at Hex and I don't even have a dog.

Remember not to discuss games in progress. I'm referring to the comment "could be over in a couple of moves". Probably not a big deal, but still we should be careful.