hex.ch.31.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
I've been requested to follow hex.ch.31.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2559 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 63.39% | 1.53% | 0.08% |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2449 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 28.79% | 1.43% | 0.91% |
| 3 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.89% | 0.70% | 17.10% |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2241 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.57% | 0.66% | 18.84% |
| 5 | Zeycus | 2114 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.24% | 0.11% | 57.32% |
| 6 | Arne Regier | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.21% | 0.08% | 62.13% |
| 7 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.02% | 74.58% |
| 8 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 83.80% |
| 9 | Marcin Pindral | 2013 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 85.24% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Marcin Pindral 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk

Games completed: 1/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2423 | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 25.77% | 1.39% | 1.03% |
| 2 | Marcin Pindral | 2018 | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 84.31% |
| 3 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 81.88% |
| 4 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.02% | 73.04% |
| 5 | Arne Regier | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.23% | 0.04% | 61.34% |
| 6 | Zeycus | 2114 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.28% | 0.10% | 57.98% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2243 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.97% | 0.68% | 20.38% |
| 8 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.20% | 0.65% | 19.88% |
| 9 | Maciej Celuch | 2561 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 65.75% | 1.46% | 0.14% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Marcin Pindral 0 - 2 Art Duval

Games completed: 2/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Art Duval | 2249 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 3.59% | 0.94% | 12.82% |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2423 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 24.95% | 1.57% | 1.05% |
| 3 | Marcin Pindral | 2012 | *0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 90.53% |
| 4 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.00% | 81.93% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2059 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.03% | 73.66% |
| 6 | Arne Regier | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.23% | 0.07% | 61.33% |
| 7 | Zeycus | 2114 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.31% | 0.07% | 58.68% |
| 8 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.05% | 0.74% | 19.85% |
| 9 | Maciej Celuch | 2561 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 65.86% | 1.64% | 0.15% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ignatius J Reilly 2 - 0 Marcin Pindral

Games completed: 3/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Art Duval | 2249 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 3.42% | 0.84% | 13.77% |
| 2 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2072 | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.04% | 61.70% |
| 3 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2423 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 24.84% | 1.51% | 1.36% |
| 4 | Marcin Pindral | 1999 | 0 | *0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.06% |
| 5 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 83.03% |
| 6 | Arne Regier | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.23% | 0.05% | 62.85% |
| 7 | Zeycus | 2114 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.28% | 0.09% | 59.66% |
| 8 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.95% | 0.69% | 20.38% |
| 9 | Maciej Celuch | 2561 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 66.28% | 1.61% | 0.19% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Daniel Sepczuk 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 4/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2570 | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 88.86% | 1.21% | 0.01% |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2414 | *0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 3.27% | 1.00% | 1.92% |
| 3 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2072 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.03% | 60.68% |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2249 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 3.26% | 0.66% | 14.58% |
| 5 | Marcin Pindral | 1999 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.08% |
| 6 | Zeycus | 2114 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.23% | 0.06% | 58.21% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.71% | 0.56% | 19.56% |
| 8 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 83.70% |
| 9 | Arne Regier | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.03% | 64.26% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zeycus 2 - 0 Marcin Pindral

Games completed: 5/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2570 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 88.99% | 1.25% | 0.02% |
| 2 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2072 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.04% | 63.17% |
| 3 | Zeycus | 2124 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.40% | 0.11% | 48.11% |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2249 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3.18% | 0.64% | 16.30% |
| 5 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2414 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3.07% | 0.99% | 2.60% |
| 6 | Arne Regier | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.19% | 0.04% | 64.06% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.62% | 0.54% | 21.30% |
| 8 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 85.07% |
| 9 | Marcin Pindral | 1991 | _ | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.36% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Daniel Sepczuk 2 - 0 Arne Regier

Games completed: 6/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2418 | - | 0 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 0 | 3.65% | 1.13% | 1.13% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2570 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 88.73% | 1.34% | 0.01% |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2249 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 3.03% | 0.69% | 14.14% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.43% | 0.09% | 46.67% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2072 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.04% | 64.00% |
| 6 | Arne Regier | 2098 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.04% | 70.15% |
| 7 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 83.99% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 1997 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.24% |
| 9 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.48% | 0.60% | 20.67% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 Marcin Pindral

Games completed: 7/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2571 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 89.37% | 1.30% | 0.01% |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2418 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 0 | 3.04% | 1.07% | 1.11% |
| 3 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2072 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.12% | 0.03% | 61.87% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.44% | 0.11% | 46.70% |
| 5 | Art Duval | 2249 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 2.96% | 0.68% | 15.88% |
| 6 | Marcin Pindral | 1996 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.51% |
| 7 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0 | 83.74% |
| 8 | Arne Regier | 2098 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.02% | 70.17% |
| 9 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.61% | 0.50% | 21.01% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Art Duval 2 - 0 Arne Regier

Games completed: 8/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2571 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 8 | 88.18% | 1.55% | 0.01% |
| 2 | Art Duval | 2258 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 0 | 4.14% | 1.02% | 7.36% |
| 3 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2418 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 0 | 3.10% | 1.30% | 1.11% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2124 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.37% | 0.09% | 44.34% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2072 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.03% | 62.87% |
| 6 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.40% | 0.57% | 18.88% |
| 7 | Arne Regier | 2089 | _ | *0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 81.64% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.42% |
| 9 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.00% | 84.37% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zeycus 2 - 0 Ignatius J Reilly

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2571 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 87.98% | 1.63% | 0.01% |
| 2 | Zeycus | 2137 | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.71% | 0.18% | 26.67% |
| 3 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2418 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 0 | 3.15% | 1.42% | 1.13% |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2260 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 0 | 4.03% | 1.05% | 7.57% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2059 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 79.76% |
| 6 | Marcin Pindral | 2028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.26% |
| 7 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 84.20% |
| 8 | Arne Regier | 2089 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 82.05% |
| 9 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.34% | 0.51% | 19.35% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Daniel Sepczuk 2 - 0 Art Duval

Games completed: 10/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2427 | - | 0 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 4.45% | 1.79% | 0.22% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2571 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 89.24% | 1.92% | 0.01% |
| 3 | Zeycus | 2137 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.61% | 0.22% | 26.06% |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2251 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 0 | 1.52% | 1.12% | 10.97% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2059 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.00% | 79.15% |
| 6 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.12% | 0.59% | 18.03% |
| 7 | Arne Regier | 2089 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 81.82% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 2028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.29% |
| 9 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 84.45% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ignatius J Reilly 0 - 2 Art Duval

Games completed: 11/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2427 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 4.50% | 2.26% | 0.14% |
| 2 | Art Duval | 2258 | 0 | - | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 4 | 2.12% | 1.53% | 4.97% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2571 | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 88.20% | 2.34% | 0.01% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2137 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.56% | 0.20% | 26.04% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2052 | _ | *0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 88.12% |
| 6 | Marcin Pindral | 2028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.07% |
| 7 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.00% | 82.91% |
| 8 | Arne Regier | 2089 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 80.81% |
| 9 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.14% | 0.66% | 17.92% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Arne Regier 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2427 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 3.30% | 2.25% | 0.15% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2572 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 89.47% | 2.32% | 0 |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2258 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 4 | 2.24% | 1.54% | 4.63% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2137 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.53% | 0.21% | 25.25% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2052 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 87.67% |
| 6 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.01% | 0.61% | 16.35% |
| 7 | Arne Regier | 2088 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83.23% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 2028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.16% |
| 9 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 83.55% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 Frode Lillevold
\* Frode Lillevold 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2576 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 16 | 93.71% | 2.68% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2435 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 12 | 2.03% | 2.66% | 0.01% |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2258 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1.15% | 2.42% | 3.87% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2137 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.38% | 0.23% | 22.74% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2052 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 85.97% |
| 6 | Frode Lillevold | 2235 | *0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 25.13% |
| 7 | Arne Regier | 2088 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81.63% |
| 8 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 81.63% |
| 9 | Marcin Pindral | 2028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.03% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ignatius J Reilly 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk
\* Marcin Pindral 0 - 2 Arne Regier

Games completed: 16/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2438 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 20 | 2.17% | 2.85% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2576 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 24 | 93.56% | 2.87% | 0 |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2258 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 0.99% | 2.62% | 3.97% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2137 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.38% | 0.25% | 24.40% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2049 | *0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90.28% |
| 6 | Arne Regier | 2099 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72.56% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2235 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 26.91% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 1987 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 81.89% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Frode Lillevold 2 - 0 Marcin Pindral

Games completed: 17/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2438 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 24 | 2.20% | 2.94% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2576 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 28 | 93.66% | 2.94% | 0 |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2258 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0.85% | 2.67% | 4.28% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2137 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.32% | 0.24% | 25.21% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2241 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20.05% |
| 6 | Arne Regier | 2099 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75.47% |
| 7 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2049 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92.59% |
| 8 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 82.40% |
| 9 | Marcin Pindral | 1981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 Ignatius J Reilly

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2577 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 32 | 94.55% | 2.90% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2438 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 24 | 1.37% | 2.90% | 0 |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2258 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 0.81% | 2.63% | 4.08% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2137 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.35% | 0.24% | 25.01% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2241 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 19.59% |
| 6 | Arne Regier | 2099 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 74.91% |
| 7 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2048 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.27% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 1957 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 82.13% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zeycus 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2442 | - | 0 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 32 | 1.59% | 3.50% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2577 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 36 | 94.55% | 3.50% | 0 |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2258 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 0.32% | 3.26% | 3.66% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2133 | *0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.03% | 0.22% | 29.28% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2048 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.98% |
| 6 | Arne Regier | 2099 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72.32% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2241 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22.21% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 1934 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 80.55% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Arne Regier 2 - 0 Zeycus

Games completed: 20/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2442 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 36 | 1.49% | 3.30% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2577 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 40 | 94.86% | 3.31% | 0 |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2258 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 0.33% | 3.28% | 3.72% |
| 4 | Arne Regier | 2116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 41.99% |
| 5 | Zeycus | 2116 | 0 | _ | _ | *0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.00% | 0 | 57.84% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2048 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92.36% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2241 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23.83% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 1934 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 80.26% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ignatius J Reilly 0 - 2 Arne Regier

Games completed: 21/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2442 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 12 | 40 | 1.50% | 3.40% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2577 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 44 | 94.76% | 3.40% | 0 |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2258 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0.33% | 3.37% | 4.00% |
| 4 | Arne Regier | 2128 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 26.54% |
| 5 | Zeycus | 2116 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 62.82% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2036 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.11% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2241 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 25.82% |
| 8 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 81.71% |
| 9 | Marcin Pindral | 1905 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 Zeycus

Games completed: 22/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2579 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 52 | 95.66% | 3.56% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2442 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 40 | 0.44% | 3.56% | 0 |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2258 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 0.34% | 3.54% | 3.52% |
| 4 | Arne Regier | 2128 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.22% |
| 5 | Zeycus | 2114 | *0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 66.21% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2036 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.97% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2241 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24.93% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 1899 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | wojtex | 2020 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 81.14% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* wojtex 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 23/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 14 | 52 | 96.10% | 3.51% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2415 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 40 | 0 | 3.51% | 0 |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2258 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 0.40% | 3.51% | 3.49% |
| 4 | Arne Regier | 2128 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 24.64% |
| 5 | Zeycus | 2114 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 66.06% |
| 6 | Frode Lillevold | 2241 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24.60% |
| 7 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2036 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.13% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 1899 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | wojtex | 2019 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82.08% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Frode Lillevold 0 - 2 Ignatius J Reilly <--- upset!
\* Arne Regier 2 - 0 Frode Lillevold

Games completed: 25/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 95.66% | 3.94% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2415 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 48 | 0 | 3.94% | 0 |
| 3 | Arne Regier | 2149 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1.02% |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2258 | _ | 0 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 24 | 0.40% | 3.94% | 2.15% |
| 5 | Zeycus | 2114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 49.71% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2059 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 96.31% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2197 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | *0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 70.85% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 1921 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | wojtex | 2019 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79.97% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Arne Regier 2 - 0 wojtex

Games completed: 26/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 64 | 95.56% | 3.98% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2415 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 12 | 52 | 0 | 3.98% | 0 |
| 3 | Arne Regier | 2159 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2258 | _ | 0 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 28 | 0.45% | 3.98% | 1.16% |
| 5 | Zeycus | 2114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 45.53% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2059 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 95.96% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2197 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 69.14% |
| 8 | wojtex | 2009 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 88.22% |
| 9 | Marcin Pindral | 1921 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* wojtex 0 - 2 Frode Lillevold
\* Marcin Pindral 2 - 0 wojtex

Games completed: 28/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 95.52% | 4.13% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2415 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 60 | 0 | 4.13% | 0 |
| 3 | Arne Regier | 2159 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2258 | _ | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 32 | 0.34% | 4.13% | 0.94% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2059 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 84.91% |
| 6 | Zeycus | 2114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 53.10% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | *2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 63.35% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 1940 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | wojtex | 1983 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | *0 | *0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.70% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Daniel Sepczuk 2 - 0 wojtex

Games completed: 29/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 76 | 95.34% | 4.66% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2417 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 14 | 60 | 0 | 4.66% | 0 |
| 3 | Arne Regier | 2159 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2258 | _ | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 4.66% | 0.88% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2059 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 84.43% |
| 6 | Zeycus | 2114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 53.04% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 62.95% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 1940 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | wojtex | 1981 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.71% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.31.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Art Duval 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 30/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2583 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 88 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2392 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Arne Regier | 2159 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2236 | *0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1.36% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2059 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 86.16% |
| 6 | Zeycus | 2114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 52.03% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 61.96% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 1941 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | wojtex | 1981 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.48% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Congratulations, Maciej!

Thank you :)