hex.ch.30.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
I've been requested to follow hex.ch.30.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2415 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 22.97% | 1.00% | 1.61% |
| 2 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 82.79% |
| 3 | Jonathan | 2042 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.01% | 81.45% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2067 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.02% | 75.58% |
| 5 | Marius Halsor | 2125 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.35% | 0.07% | 58.21% |
| 6 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2130 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.33% | 0.06% | 57.11% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.39% | 0.24% | 32.98% |
| 8 | Frode Lillevold | 2253 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.21% | 0.58% | 20.01% |
| 9 | Maciej Celuch | 2565 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 70.29% | 1.08% | 0.07% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1999 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0 | 90.20% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Bill LeBoeuf 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk

Games completed: 1/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2420 | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 25.62% | 0.96% | 0.75% |
| 2 | Arty Sandler | 1999 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0 | 88.27% |
| 3 | Frode Lillevold | 2253 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.01% | 0.61% | 17.31% |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.39% | 0.26% | 30.46% |
| 5 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2125 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.02% | 62.86% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2125 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.29% | 0.05% | 57.87% |
| 7 | Zeycus | 2067 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.02% | 76.25% |
| 8 | Jonathan | 2042 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 82.14% |
| 9 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.02% | 83.98% |
| 10 | Maciej Celuch | 2565 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 68.22% | 1.05% | 0.10% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Frode Lillevold 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk

Games completed: 2/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2428 | - | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 31.22% | 0.90% | 0.15% |
| 2 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2125 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.02% | 60.65% |
| 3 | Maciej Celuch | 2565 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 65.47% | 0.87% | 0.06% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2245 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.69% | 0.36% | 23.74% |
| 5 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.20% | 0.30% | 29.81% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2125 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.24% | 0.05% | 56.68% |
| 7 | Zeycus | 2067 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.01% | 75.04% |
| 8 | Jonathan | 2042 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.00% | 81.21% |
| 9 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 83.33% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1999 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 89.33% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Daniel Sepczuk 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 3/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2419 | - | *0 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 4.91% | 0.86% | 0.30% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2574 | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 91.70% | 0.93% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Frode Lillevold | 2245 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.92% | 0.45% | 23.52% |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.02% | 0.20% | 29.06% |
| 5 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2125 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.05% | 61.62% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2125 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.21% | 0.04% | 56.21% |
| 7 | Zeycus | 2067 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.02% | 74.91% |
| 8 | Jonathan | 2042 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.00% | 81.40% |
| 9 | Arty Sandler | 1999 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 89.50% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 83.46% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 Frode Lillevold

Games completed: 4/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2578 | - | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 95.43% | 0.40% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2419 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 2.80% | 0.38% | 0.26% |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.97% | 0.24% | 28.70% |
| 4 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2125 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.03% | 60.06% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2241 | *0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 27.78% |
| 6 | Arty Sandler | 1999 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 88.41% |
| 7 | Zeycus | 2067 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.01% | 74.23% |
| 8 | Jonathan | 2042 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.00% | 80.93% |
| 9 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0 | 82.73% |
| 10 | Marius Halsor | 2126 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.18% | 0.04% | 56.89% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Daniel Sepczuk 2 - 0 Marius Halsor

Games completed: 5/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2423 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3.27% | 0.41% | 0.06% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2578 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 95.22% | 0.44% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.83% | 0.21% | 27.59% |
| 4 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2125 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.05% | 59.42% |
| 5 | Marius Halsor | 2122 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.03% | 60.96% |
| 6 | Zeycus | 2067 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.01% | 73.17% |
| 7 | Jonathan | 2042 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 79.88% |
| 8 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 81.44% |
| 9 | Arty Sandler | 1999 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 88.42% |
| 10 | Frode Lillevold | 2241 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 29.06% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Marius Halsor 0 - 2 Bill LeBoeuf

Games completed: 6/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2423 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3.23% | 0.41% | 0.06% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2578 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 95.25% | 0.45% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2140 | 0 | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.10% | 40.05% |
| 4 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.84% | 0.22% | 28.01% |
| 5 | Marius Halsor | 2107 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 78.87% |
| 6 | Zeycus | 2067 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.00% | 73.11% |
| 7 | Jonathan | 2042 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 80.09% |
| 8 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 81.91% |
| 9 | Arty Sandler | 1999 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 88.73% |
| 10 | Frode Lillevold | 2241 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 29.18% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Arty Sandler 0 - 2 Frode Lillevold
\* Zeycus 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk
\* Arty Sandler 0 - 2 Bill LeBoeuf

Games completed: 9/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2426 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 12 | 3.81% | 0.47% | 0.01% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2578 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 94.71% | 0.49% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2149 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 4 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.14% | 30.01% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 21.65% |
| 5 | Zeycus | 2064 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 78.41% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2115 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 78.94% |
| 7 | Jonathan | 2042 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.00% | 80.48% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.78% | 0.25% | 30.59% |
| 9 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 82.77% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1984 | _ | _ | *0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.13% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 Bill LeBoeuf

Games completed: 10/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2426 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 12 | 2.44% | 0.30% | 0.02% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 96.49% | 0.33% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32.64% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2247 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20.99% |
| 5 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.69% | 0.25% | 28.93% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2115 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 78.47% |
| 7 | Jonathan | 2042 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 80.25% |
| 8 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 82.26% |
| 9 | Zeycus | 2064 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 79.41% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1984 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.03% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Frode Lillevold 0 - 2 Bill LeBoeuf

Games completed: 11/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2426 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 16 | 2.29% | 0.36% | 0.01% |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 32 | 96.59% | 0.37% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2167 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 9.92% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2227 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42.57% |
| 5 | Arty Sandler | 1984 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.54% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2115 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 78.43% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.70% | 0.27% | 29.62% |
| 8 | Zeycus | 2064 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 79.14% |
| 9 | Jonathan | 2042 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 80.96% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 82.80% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Daniel Sepczuk 2 - 0 Jonathan

Games completed: 12/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2429 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 16 | 2.72% | 0.30% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 36 | 96.27% | 0.32% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2167 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 0.00% | 0 | 9.50% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2227 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42.07% |
| 5 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 80.88% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2115 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 78.17% |
| 7 | Arty Sandler | 1984 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.02% |
| 8 | Jonathan | 2039 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 83.37% |
| 9 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.67% | 0.27% | 29.78% |
| 10 | Zeycus | 2064 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79.22% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Daniel Sepczuk 2 - 0 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 13/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2431 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 12 | 16 | 2.70% | 0.30% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 40 | 96.25% | 0.31% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2167 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9.56% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2227 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42.25% |
| 5 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.72% | 0.26% | 28.02% |
| 6 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 81.35% |
| 7 | Jonathan | 2039 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 83.57% |
| 8 | Zeycus | 2064 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 78.37% |
| 9 | Marius Halsor | 2115 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 78.87% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1982 | *0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.00% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Arty Sandler 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 14/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 12 | 16 | 2.25% | 0.35% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 40 | 96.81% | 0.36% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2167 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 9.30% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2227 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41.86% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2039 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 83.15% |
| 6 | Arty Sandler | 1982 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.20% |
| 7 | Zeycus | 2064 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 77.70% |
| 8 | Marius Halsor | 2115 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 77.95% |
| 9 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.57% | 0.30% | 29.54% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.00% | 82.29% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Jonathan 2 - 0 Frode Lillevold <--- upset!

Games completed: 15/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 12 | 20 | 2.29% | 0.38% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 40 | 96.68% | 0.39% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2167 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10.70% |
| 4 | Jonathan | 2062 | 0 | _ | _ | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.00% | 0.03% | 57.27% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72.25% |
| 6 | Zeycus | 2064 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 76.32% |
| 7 | Arty Sandler | 1982 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.67% |
| 8 | Marius Halsor | 2115 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 76.91% |
| 9 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.62% | 0.31% | 28.13% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.00% | 80.75% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Bill LeBoeuf 0 - 2 Zeycus

Games completed: 16/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 2.47% | 0.40% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 40 | 96.39% | 0.41% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | 0 | - | *0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26.54% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2084 | 0 | _ | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.02% | 0.04% | 51.77% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2062 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.01% | 0.03% | 60.05% |
| 6 | Frode Lillevold | 2204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 74.35% |
| 7 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 80.89% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.68% | 0.31% | 29.79% |
| 9 | Marius Halsor | 2115 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78.45% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1982 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.17% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Bill LeBoeuf 0 - 2 Art Duval

Games completed: 17/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 2.51% | 0.68% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 40 | 95.56% | 0.69% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2134 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | *0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 42.96% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2084 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.02% | 0.04% | 52.57% |
| 5 | Art Duval | 2215 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 1.18% | 0.60% | 14.07% |
| 6 | Jonathan | 2062 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 59.68% |
| 7 | Frode Lillevold | 2204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73.76% |
| 8 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 81.12% |
| 9 | Marius Halsor | 2115 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 77.72% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1982 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.11% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Marius Halsor 2 - 0 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 18/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 12 | 28 | 2.56% | 0.73% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 40 | 95.48% | 0.74% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2134 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 42.89% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2084 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.03% | 0.04% | 53.93% |
| 5 | Art Duval | 2215 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 1.15% | 0.63% | 14.72% |
| 6 | Jonathan | 2062 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.02% | 0.03% | 61.33% |
| 7 | Marius Halsor | 2125 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 70.56% |
| 8 | Frode Lillevold | 2204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75.49% |
| 9 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 81.63% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | *0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.45% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Marius Halsor 0 - 2 Frode Lillevold
\* Marius Halsor 0 - 2 Jonathan

Games completed: 20/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 12 | 36 | 2.57% | 0.68% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 44 | 95.56% | 0.68% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2134 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 47.27% |
| 4 | Jonathan | 2080 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0.05% | 0.08% | 37.96% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 65.91% |
| 6 | Zeycus | 2084 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 55.79% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2215 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 1.09% | 0.58% | 16.45% |
| 8 | Marius Halsor | 2096 | 0 | _ | 0 | *0 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.52% |
| 9 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 81.69% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.41% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Arty Sandler 0 - 2 Zeycus

Games completed: 21/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 12 | 40 | 2.61% | 0.73% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 44 | 95.48% | 0.73% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2134 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 51.16% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2095 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 4 | 12 | 0.06% | 0.05% | 45.25% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2080 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0.04% | 0.08% | 40.38% |
| 6 | Frode Lillevold | 2215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 68.19% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2215 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 1.04% | 0.60% | 16.99% |
| 8 | Marius Halsor | 2096 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.62% |
| 9 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 82.42% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.98% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Frode Lillevold 2 - 0 Zeycus

Games completed: 22/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 12 | 44 | 2.44% | 0.71% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2580 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 48 | 95.71% | 0.71% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2134 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 49.02% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 51.61% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2080 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 0.05% | 0.08% | 40.04% |
| 6 | Zeycus | 2085 | 0 | _ | 2 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 62.17% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2215 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 1.05% | 0.62% | 18.47% |
| 8 | Marius Halsor | 2096 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.00% |
| 9 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0 | 82.70% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.98% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Marius Halsor 2 - 0 Maciej Celuch <--- astonishing! [°_°]

Games completed: 23/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 48 | 19.67% | 0.29% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2550 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 48 | 77.46% | 0.45% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2134 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 55.31% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 56.28% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2080 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 0.11% | 0.05% | 44.09% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2126 | 0 | *2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 65.52% |
| 7 | Zeycus | 2085 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 69.63% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2215 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 2.25% | 0.18% | 23.13% |
| 9 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 86.03% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Jonathan 0 - 2 Zeycus
\* Jonathan 0 - 2 Bill LeBoeuf

Games completed: 25/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 56 | 19.39% | 0.25% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2550 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 52 | 77.81% | 0.37% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 31.24% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2100 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | 0 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 24 | 0.01% | 0.05% | 49.74% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 55.79% |
| 6 | Jonathan | 2052 | 0 | _ | *0 | *0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 86.30% |
| 7 | Marius Halsor | 2126 | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 67.59% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2215 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 16 | 2.36% | 0.14% | 23.27% |
| 9 | Piotr Karas | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 86.06% |
| 10 | Arty Sandler | 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Arty Sandler 2 - 0 Piotr Karas

Games completed: 26/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 12 | 60 | 19.40% | 0.29% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2550 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 56 | 77.96% | 0.38% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 25.88% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2100 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 28 | 0.00% | 0.02% | 48.72% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 54.88% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2126 | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 67.65% |
| 7 | Jonathan | 2052 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 86.87% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2215 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 16 | 2.23% | 0.12% | 23.59% |
| 9 | Arty Sandler | 1980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2016 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 92.42% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Jonathan 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 27/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 12 | 60 | 16.21% | 0.28% | 0 |
| 2 | Maciej Celuch | 2551 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 10 | 64 | 81.09% | 0.41% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 25.40% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2100 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 28 | 0.02% | 0.06% | 48.28% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 54.50% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2126 | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 66.54% |
| 7 | Jonathan | 2051 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 89.54% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2215 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 16 | 2.24% | 0.14% | 23.73% |
| 9 | Arty Sandler | 1980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2016 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 92.01% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 Zeycus

Games completed: 28/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2553 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 12 | 76 | 85.82% | 0.24% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 12 | 60 | 11.94% | 0.16% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 23.95% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2098 | *0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 51.46% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 54.33% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2126 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 65.63% |
| 7 | Jonathan | 2051 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 89.59% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2215 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 16 | 1.99% | 0.11% | 23.23% |
| 9 | Arty Sandler | 1980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2016 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 91.82% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Jonathan 0 - 2 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 29/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2553 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 12 | 80 | 85.74% | 0.23% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 12 | 64 | 12.00% | 0.18% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 23.73% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2098 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 50.98% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 50.57% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2126 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 62.77% |
| 7 | Jonathan | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | *0 | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 96.70% |
| 8 | Arty Sandler | 1999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *2 | - | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Art Duval | 2215 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 16 | 2.01% | 0.09% | 22.51% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2016 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 92.73% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Art Duval 2 - 0 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 30/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2553 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 80 | 85.29% | 0.27% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 64 | 11.94% | 0.17% | 0 |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 25.59% |
| 4 | Zeycus | 2098 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 52.81% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 51.89% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2131 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 63.52% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2222 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | 4 | 24 | 2.49% | 0.13% | 17.30% |
| 8 | Jonathan | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 96.34% |
| 9 | Arty Sandler | 1992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2016 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 92.54% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zeycus 2 - 0 Marius Halsor

Games completed: 31/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2553 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 84 | 85.09% | 0.26% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2434 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 68 | 12.32% | 0.14% | 0 |
| 3 | Zeycus | 2115 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | *2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 15.75% |
| 4 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 37.49% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2225 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 51.12% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2114 | 2 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 90.51% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2222 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 24 | 2.33% | 0.14% | 15.79% |
| 8 | Jonathan | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 97.26% |
| 9 | Arty Sandler | 1992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2016 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92.08% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Piotr Karas 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk
\* Maciej Celuch 2 - 0 Piotr Karas

Games completed: 33/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2554 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | *2 | 14 | 88 | 88.16% | 0.13% | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2436 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | *2 | 14 | 68 | 9.81% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Zeycus | 2115 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 14.97% |
| 4 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 36.28% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2225 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 50.60% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2114 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 90.62% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2222 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 24 | 1.90% | 0.13% | 15.55% |
| 8 | Jonathan | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 97.40% |
| 9 | Arty Sandler | 1992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2013 | *0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.59% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Art Duval 0 - 2 Maciej Celuch

Games completed: 34/45
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Maciej Celuch | 2558 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 96 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2436 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Zeycus | 2115 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 14.61% |
| 4 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 35.41% |
| 5 | Frode Lillevold | 2225 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 49.81% |
| 6 | Marius Halsor | 2114 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 90.12% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2218 | *0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 18.28% |
| 8 | Jonathan | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 97.51% |
| 9 | Arty Sandler | 1992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | Piotr Karas | 2013 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.25% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted