hex.ch.29.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
I've been requested to follow hex.ch.29.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Frode Lillevold | (2234) | -| _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ | 0 | 0 | 16.50% | 1.35% | 9.69% |
| 2 | Bill LeBoeuf | (2140)| _ | -| _ _ _ _ _ _ _ | 0 | 0 | 4.89% | 0.66% | 29.62% |
| 3 | Jonathan | (2018)| _ _ | -| _ _ _ _ _ _ | 0 | 0 | 0.59% | 0.13% | 70.19% |
| 4 | Ignatius J Reilly | (2044)| _ _ _ | -| _ _ _ _ _ | 0 | 0 | 0.96% | 0.19% | 62.42% |
| 5 | Art Duval | (2161)| _ _ _ _ | -| _ _ _ _ | 0 | 0 | 6.50% | 0.84% | 25.06% |
| 6 | Nekromanta | (2003)| _ _ _ _ _ | -| _ _ _ | 0 | 0 | 0.40% | 0.09% | 75.56% |
| 7 | Marcin Pindral | (2030)| _ _ _ _ _ _ | -| _ _ | 0 | 0 | 0.75% | 0.14% | 68.41% |
| 8 | Daniel Sepczuk | (2387)| _ _ _ _ _ _ _ | -| _ | 0 | 0 | 65.64% | 1.76% | 1.07% |
| 9 | Pessoa | (2065)| _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ | - | 0 | 0 | 1.35% | 0.24% | 58.00% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Games completed: 1/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2391 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 68.45% | 1.58% | 0.44% |
| 2 | Frode Lillevold | 2234 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 15.45% | 1.16% | 9.30% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2140 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.55% | 0.60% | 29.20% |
| 4 | Jonathan | 2018 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.51% | 0.10% | 69.38% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2044 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.89% | 0.17% | 61.92% |
| 6 | Art Duval | 2161 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.13% | 0.76% | 24.63% |
| 7 | Nekromanta | 2003 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.38% | 0.07% | 74.91% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 2027 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.08% | 72.88% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 2065 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 1.38% | 0.23% | 57.34% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Bill LeBoeuf 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk

Games completed: 2/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2400 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 0 | 75.43% | 1.21% | 0.17% |
| 2 | Frode Lillevold | 2234 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 14.10% | 0.87% | 8.71% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2134 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.81% | 0.26% | 34.14% |
| 4 | Jonathan | 2018 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.48% | 0.08% | 67.93% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2044 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.73% | 0.12% | 60.48% |
| 6 | Art Duval | 2161 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.52% | 0.58% | 23.32% |
| 7 | Nekromanta | 1999 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.31% | 0.05% | 74.41% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 2009 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.03% | 75.34% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 2065 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 1.06% | 0.17% | 55.49% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Daniel Sepczuk 2 - 0 Nekromanta

Games completed: 3/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2402 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 0 | 77.61% | 1.11% | 0.07% |
| 2 | Frode Lillevold | 2234 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 13.17% | 0.81% | 8.88% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2134 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.63% | 0.30% | 33.59% |
| 4 | Jonathan | 2018 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.46% | 0.08% | 67.08% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2044 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.61% | 0.12% | 59.89% |
| 6 | Art Duval | 2161 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.09% | 0.59% | 23.01% |
| 7 | Nekromanta | 1997 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.03% | 77.56% |
| 8 | Marcin Pindral | 2009 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.03% | 75.28% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 2065 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.96% | 0.15% | 54.63% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Pessoa 0 - 2 Marcin Pindral
\* Pessoa 0 - 2 Nekromanta
\* Daniel Sepczuk 2 - 0 Pessoa
\* Pessoa 0 - 2 Frode Lillevold
\* Pessoa 0 - 2 Bill LeBoeuf

Games completed: 8/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2407 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 8 | 12 | 78.17% | 1.03% | 0.02% |
| 2 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 14.92% | 0.86% | 5.56% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2146 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.63% | 0.36% | 22.99% |
| 4 | Nekromanta | 2014 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.03% | 61.56% |
| 5 | Marcin Pindral | 2026 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.06% | 59.21% |
| 6 | Jonathan | 2018 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.33% | 0.04% | 67.63% |
| 7 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2044 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.48% | 0.08% | 60.16% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2161 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.17% | 0.53% | 23.61% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 2008 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.27% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ignatius J Reilly 2 - 0 Pessoa

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2407 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 12 | 77.92% | 1.13% | 0.01% |
| 2 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14.55% | 0.92% | 6.20% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2146 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.59% | 0.38% | 24.38% |
| 4 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2058 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.98% | 0.22% | 46.41% |
| 5 | Nekromanta | 2014 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.03% | 65.58% |
| 6 | Marcin Pindral | 2026 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.04% | 62.79% |
| 7 | Jonathan | 2018 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.29% | 0.04% | 69.90% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2161 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.24% | 0.55% | 24.73% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Jonathan 2 - 0 Pessoa

Games completed: 10/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2407 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 12 | 77.46% | 1.25% | 0.03% |
| 2 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14.17% | 0.99% | 6.75% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2146 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.64% | 0.40% | 26.41% |
| 4 | Jonathan | 2032 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.62% | 0.10% | 56.96% |
| 5 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2058 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.04% | 0.22% | 49.52% |
| 6 | Nekromanta | 2014 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.04% | 68.32% |
| 7 | Marcin Pindral | 2026 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.06% | 66.13% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2161 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.43% | 0.60% | 25.88% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Marcin Pindral 2 - 0 Bill LeBoeuf

Games completed: 11/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2407 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 16 | 77.29% | 1.03% | 0.04% |
| 2 | Marcin Pindral | 2047 | 0 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.24% | 0.17% | 35.06% |
| 3 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15.05% | 0.84% | 7.07% |
| 4 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2125 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.09% | 51.23% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2032 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.67% | 0.11% | 58.77% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2058 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.10% | 0.18% | 51.02% |
| 7 | Nekromanta | 2014 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.01% | 70.07% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2161 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.29% | 0.57% | 26.73% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Jonathan 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2410 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 20 | 79.46% | 0.79% | 0 |
| 2 | Marcin Pindral | 2019 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.09% | 0.09% | 39.73% |
| 3 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14.18% | 0.71% | 6.56% |
| 4 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2125 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.05% | 49.58% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2029 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.04% | 61.99% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2058 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.01% | 0.14% | 49.24% |
| 7 | Nekromanta | 2014 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.04% | 67.80% |
| 8 | Art Duval | 2161 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.15% | 0.52% | 25.11% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1980 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Art Duval 2 - 0 Pessoa

Games completed: 13/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2410 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 78.42% | 0.94% | 0.00% |
| 2 | Marcin Pindral | 2019 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.11% | 0.08% | 40.56% |
| 3 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13.81% | 0.87% | 6.88% |
| 4 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2125 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.06% | 50.22% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2029 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.04% | 62.31% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2058 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.91% | 0.16% | 50.57% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2169 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 5.47% | 0.74% | 20.03% |
| 8 | Nekromanta | 2014 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.04% | 69.44% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nekromanta 0 - 2 Bill LeBoeuf

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2410 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 78.26% | 0.95% | 0 |
| 2 | Marcin Pindral | 2010 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0.09% | 0.08% | 41.00% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2136 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.13% | 0.12% | 36.05% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13.94% | 0.85% | 7.32% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2029 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.05% | 63.33% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2058 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.90% | 0.17% | 50.94% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2169 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5.46% | 0.69% | 20.35% |
| 8 | Nekromanta | 2003 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 81.01% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ignatius J Reilly 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk

Games completed: 15/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2413 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 80.92% | 0.74% | 0 |
| 2 | Marcin Pindral | 2010 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0.07% | 0.06% | 39.99% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2136 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.07% | 0.07% | 35.48% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12.88% | 0.79% | 6.98% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2029 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.04% | 62.01% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2055 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.07% | 55.42% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2169 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5.10% | 0.66% | 19.47% |
| 8 | Nekromanta | 2003 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 80.65% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Daniel Sepczuk 2 - 0 Art Duval

Games completed: 16/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2419 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 87.41% | 0.41% | 0 |
| 2 | Marcin Pindral | 2010 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0.02% | 38.72% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2136 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 33.65% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12.17% | 0.41% | 6.68% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2029 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 60.94% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2055 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 54.91% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2163 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.35% | 25.00% |
| 8 | Nekromanta | 2003 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80.10% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Marcin Pindral 2 - 0 Ignatius J Reilly

Games completed: 17/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2419 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 87.12% | 0.41% | 0 |
| 2 | Marcin Pindral | 2028 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0.08% | 17.04% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2136 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 34.32% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12.47% | 0.41% | 6.79% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2029 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 60.95% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2037 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76.88% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2163 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.31% | 24.02% |
| 8 | Nekromanta | 2003 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80.00% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Bill LeBoeuf 2 - 0 Ignatius J Reilly

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2419 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 87.15% | 0.39% | 0 |
| 2 | Marcin Pindral | 2028 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0.10% | 16.78% |
| 3 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2147 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21.73% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12.46% | 0.39% | 6.58% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2029 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 61.77% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2026 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 88.58% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2163 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.27% | 23.91% |
| 8 | Nekromanta | 2003 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80.64% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Bill LeBoeuf 2 - 0 Art Duval

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2419 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 44 | 87.05% | 0.15% | 0 |
| 2 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2163 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4.36% |
| 3 | Marcin Pindral | 2028 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0.13% | 16.16% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2242 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12.80% | 0.15% | 6.32% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2029 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 61.29% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89.39% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2147 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41.08% |
| 8 | Nekromanta | 2003 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 81.40% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: hex.ch.29.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Frode Lillevold 0 - 2 Daniel Sepczuk

Games completed: 20/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Daniel Sepczuk | 2427 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 48 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bill LeBoeuf | 2163 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4.04% |
| 3 | Marcin Pindral | 2028 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 15.43% |
| 4 | Frode Lillevold | 2234 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.11% |
| 5 | Jonathan | 2029 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61.18% |
| 6 | Ignatius J Reilly | 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89.26% |
| 7 | Art Duval | 2147 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40.49% |
| 8 | Nekromanta | 2003 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80.49% |
| 9 | Pessoa | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Wow, congratulations to Daniel Sepczuk! What a stellar result. And your rating has gone up 40 points. All in just one month's time!

Thanks David J Bush. It seems like it was easy win and i thinkt it was. It's my fourth won champ, but the first with all games. However, without Maciej Celuch it is'nt the same :)

Congratulations to Daniel Sepczuk. I've played him several times, and whenever I feel I have a chance, it just shows how much better he is at perceiving the situation.