Championship predictions

RoRoRo please post your predictions

*Tournament: polyomino.ch.1.1.1
I've been requested to follow polyomino.ch.1.1.1 by FatPhil

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:
\* matjazo 0 - 2 Tellmarch
\* MarleysGhost 0 - 2 matjazo <--- upset!
\* MarleysGhost 2 - 0 z
\* MarleysGhost 2 - 0 Crelo
\* MarleysGhost 2 - 0 LEESD
\* z 2 - 0 matjazo
\* z 0 - 2 vstjrt
\* z 0 - 2 LEESD
\* z 2 - 0 David Scott
\* vstjrt 1 - 1 MarleysGhost
\* vstjrt 2 - 0 Crelo
\* vstjrt 0 - 2 Tellmarch
\* Crelo 2 - 0 matjazo
\* Crelo 0 - 2 z
\* Crelo 0 - 2 LEESD
\* Crelo 0 - 2 David Scott
\* LEESD 0 - 2 Tellmarch
\* LEESD 0 - 2 David Scott <--- upset!
\* Tellmarch 2 - 0 MarleysGhost
\* Tellmarch 2 - 0 z
\* Tellmarch 2 - 0 Crelo
\* Tellmarch 2 - 0 sembazuru
\* sembazuru 0 - 2 MarleysGhost
\* sembazuru 0 - 2 z
\* sembazuru 0 - 2 Crelo
\* David Scott 0 - 2 MarleysGhost
\* David Scott 0 - 2 Tellmarch

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Tellmarch | 1814 | - | *2 | *2 | *2 | *2 | *2 | *2 | *2 | *2 | 16 | 76 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | MarleysGhost | 1677 | *0 | - | *2 | *1 | *2 | *2 | *2 | *0 | *2 | 11 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | z | 1710 | *0 | *0 | - | *0 | *0 | *2 | *2 | *2 | *2 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 24.86% |
| 4 | vstjrt | 1687 | *0 | *1 | *2 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 5 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 10.26% |
| 5 | LEESD | 1730 | *0 | *0 | *2 | _ | - | *0 | *2 | _ | _ | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 25.32% |
| 6 | David Scott | 1571 | *0 | *0 | *0 | _ | *2 | - | *2 | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 60.82% |
| 7 | Crelo | 1558 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | - | *2 | *2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | matjazo | 1541 | *0 | *2 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | *0 | - | _ | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 79.42% |
| 9 | sembazuru | 1461 | *0 | *0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | *0 | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.31% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Congrats Tellmarch!

Thanks!
Winning this is quite a nice surprise :-)