rev10.ch.16.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: "rev10.ch.16.1.1":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/tournament/tournament.jsp?trnid=rev10.ch.16.1.1*
I've been requested to follow rev10.ch.16.1.1 by FatPhil

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page.
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | alkosan | (2170) | -| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443129| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443139| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443122| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443137| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443136| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443138| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443141| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443140 | 6 | 24 | 63.90% | 3.41% | 0.73% |
| 2 | erwin vd berg | (2167)| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443129 | -| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443133| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443121| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443131| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443130| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443132| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443135| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443134 | 6 | 16 | 8.23% | 2.10% | 3.24% |
| 3 | CloD | (2024)| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443139| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443133 | -| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443126| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443148| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443144| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443151| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443155| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443154 | 4 | 16 | 9.19% | 2.01% | 23.62% |
| 4 | Detasio (Rubén) | (2217)| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443122| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443121| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443126 | -| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443124| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443123| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443125| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443128| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443127 | 4 | 12 | 4.11% | 1.31% | 10.01% |
| 5 | Gaelic Wolf | (2067)| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443137| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443131| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443148| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443124 | -| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443142| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443147| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443150| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443149 | 2 | 12 | 2.51% | 0.73% | 41.22% |
| 6 | Super Chicken | (2057)| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443136| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443130| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443144| "0":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443123| "2":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443142 | -| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443143| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443146| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443145 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 92.27% |
| 7 | beppi: herogame.org | (2068)| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443138| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443132| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443151| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443125| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443147| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443143 | -| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443153| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443152 | 0 | 0 | 6.43% | 1.34% | 47.11% |
| 8 | Diamante | (1901)| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443141| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443135| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443155| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443128| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443150| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443146| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443153 | -| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443156 | 0 | 0 | 0.28% | 0.12% | 90.92% |
| 9 | Mirek Voracek | (1902)| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443140| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443134| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443154| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443127| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443149| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443145| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443152| "_":http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1443156 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.28% | 0.09% | 90.89% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted