oski.ch.16.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
I've been requested to follow oski.ch.16.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 2043 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 48.97% | 2.57% | 0.53% |
| 2 | BigChicken | 1985 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 31.10% | 2.50% | 1.36% |
| 3 | Guardiana | 1905 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 14.54% | 2.23% | 5.11% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1719 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.92% | 0.24% | 42.98% |
| 5 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.79% | 0.21% | 47.81% |
| 6 | andrew1976 | 1662 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.34% | 0.10% | 63.88% |
| 7 | Lieven Marchand | 1639 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.18% | 0.05% | 71.02% |
| 8 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.12% | 0.04% | 76.57% |
| 9 | docfarm | 1539 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 90.76% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Guardiana 1 - 1 BigChicken

Games completed: 1/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Guardiana | 1909 | - | *1 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 1 | 1 | 13.70% | 3.26% | 3.71% |
| 2 | BigChicken | 1982 | *1 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 1 | 1 | 25.39% | 3.26% | 1.33% |
| 3 | docfarm | 1535 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0 | 90.09% |
| 4 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.01% | 74.68% |
| 5 | Lieven Marchand | 1639 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.22% | 0.01% | 70.14% |
| 6 | andrew1976 | 1662 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.34% | 0.02% | 63.58% |
| 7 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.86% | 0.04% | 49.70% |
| 8 | Ragnar Wikman | 1719 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.06% | 0.03% | 46.10% |
| 9 | Nagy Fathy | 2044 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 54.92% | 0.09% | 0.68% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* docfarm 0 - 2 BigChicken

Games completed: 2/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1984 | - | 1 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 3 | 1 | 26.85% | 3.34% | 0.92% |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1909 | 1 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 1 | 3 | 12.97% | 3.34% | 3.75% |
| 3 | docfarm | 1533 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 91.85% |
| 4 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.01% | 74.68% |
| 5 | Lieven Marchand | 1639 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.19% | 0.01% | 69.97% |
| 6 | andrew1976 | 1662 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.33% | 0.01% | 63.96% |
| 7 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.82% | 0.02% | 48.71% |
| 8 | Ragnar Wikman | 1719 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.97% | 0.04% | 45.52% |
| 9 | Nagy Fathy | 2044 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 54.31% | 0.07% | 0.64% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ragnar Wikman 0 - 2 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 3/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1984 | - | _ | 1 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 3 | 1 | 24.79% | 3.03% | 0.88% |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2048 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 58.44% | 0.04% | 0.21% |
| 3 | Guardiana | 1909 | 1 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 1 | 3 | 12.21% | 3.03% | 3.58% |
| 4 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0 | 73.58% |
| 5 | docfarm | 1527 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 92.19% |
| 6 | Lieven Marchand | 1639 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.00% | 69.00% |
| 7 | andrew1976 | 1662 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.29% | 0.01% | 62.16% |
| 8 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.70% | 0.02% | 47.98% |
| 9 | Ragnar Wikman | 1715 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.24% | 0.01% | 50.42% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* docfarm 0 - 2 Ragnar Wikman

Games completed: 4/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1984 | - | _ | _ | 1 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 3 | 1 | 24.51% | 2.94% | 1.05% |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2048 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 58.75% | 0.03% | 0.25% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 1723 | _ | 0 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.32% | 0.01% | 39.92% |
| 4 | Guardiana | 1909 | 1 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 1 | 3 | 12.11% | 2.94% | 3.58% |
| 5 | docfarm | 1534 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.48% |
| 6 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.00% | 75.65% |
| 7 | Lieven Marchand | 1639 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.20% | 0.01% | 70.28% |
| 8 | andrew1976 | 1662 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.28% | 0.01% | 64.37% |
| 9 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.73% | 0.01% | 49.40% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* BigChicken 2 - 0 Ragnar Wikman

Games completed: 5/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1989 | - | _ | *2 | 1 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 5 | 5 | 29.41% | 3.46% | 0.33% |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2048 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 55.18% | 0.03% | 0.20% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 1718 | *0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.02% | 0 | 46.48% |
| 4 | Guardiana | 1909 | 1 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 1 | 5 | 10.73% | 3.46% | 3.64% |
| 5 | docfarm | 1540 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.72% |
| 6 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.69% | 0.01% | 46.63% |
| 7 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.01% | 74.59% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1639 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.18% | 0.00% | 69.95% |
| 9 | andrew1976 | 1662 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.22% | 0.01% | 63.46% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nagy Fathy 2 - 0 docfarm

Games completed: 6/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1989 | - | _ | 2 | 1 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 5 | 5 | 28.63% | 3.40% | 0.29% |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2049 | _ | - | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 56.49% | 0.03% | 0.16% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 1718 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 46.20% |
| 4 | Guardiana | 1909 | 1 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 1 | 5 | 10.22% | 3.40% | 3.59% |
| 5 | docfarm | 1539 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.75% |
| 6 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.00% | 74.26% |
| 7 | Lieven Marchand | 1639 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.01% | 68.97% |
| 8 | andrew1976 | 1662 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.26% | 0.00% | 62.57% |
| 9 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.71% | 0.02% | 48.19% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Lieven Marchand 0 - 2 BigChicken

Games completed: 7/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1992 | - | _ | 2 | 1 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 7 | 5 | 31.20% | 3.56% | 0.09% |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2049 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 54.55% | 0.02% | 0.14% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 1718 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 45.14% |
| 4 | Guardiana | 1909 | 1 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 1 | 7 | 9.69% | 3.56% | 3.46% |
| 5 | Lieven Marchand | 1636 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0 | 72.96% |
| 6 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0 | 73.65% |
| 7 | andrew1976 | 1662 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.24% | 0.01% | 61.63% |
| 8 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.59% | 0.01% | 46.79% |
| 9 | docfarm | 1539 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.14% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* BigChicken 2 - 0 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 8/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 2010 | - | *2 | 2 | 1 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 9 | 13 | 71.84% | 7.83% | 0.00% |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2031 | *0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 14.21% | 0.02% | 0.47% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 1718 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 45.00% |
| 4 | Guardiana | 1909 | 1 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 1 | 9 | 5.19% | 7.83% | 3.29% |
| 5 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.00% | 73.07% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1539 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.74% |
| 7 | Lieven Marchand | 1636 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0 | 72.98% |
| 8 | andrew1976 | 1662 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.21% | 0.01% | 61.99% |
| 9 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.55% | 0.01% | 47.46% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* BigChicken 2 - 0 andrew1976
\* docfarm 0 - 2 andrew1976
\* Ragnar Wikman 2 - 0 andrew1976

Games completed: 11/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 2013 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 1 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 11 | 21 | 78.02% | 8.45% | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2031 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 9.85% | 0 | 0.45% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 1731 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.01% | 0 | 27.73% |
| 4 | andrew1976 | 1657 | *0 | _ | *0 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 74.42% |
| 5 | Guardiana | 1909 | 1 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 1 | 11 | 3.17% | 8.45% | 3.55% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1528 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.72% |
| 7 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0 | 73.92% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1636 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 73.74% |
| 9 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.43% | 0 | 47.47% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ragnar Wikman 0 - 2 Guardiana

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 2013 | - | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 11 | 23 | 72.93% | 11.98% | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2031 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 9.86% | 0 | 0.34% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 1723 | 0 | 0 | - | *0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 35.96% |
| 4 | Guardiana | 1917 | 1 | _ | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 3 | 19 | 4.70% | 11.98% | 1.26% |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1657 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 73.06% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1528 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.37% |
| 7 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0 | 72.49% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1636 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0 | 72.35% |
| 9 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.45% | 0 | 46.17% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Guardiana 2 - 0 docfarm

Games completed: 13/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 2013 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 11 | 25 | 71.69% | 13.52% | 0 |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1919 | 1 | - | _ | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 5 | 19 | 4.78% | 13.52% | 0.87% |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2031 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 9.49% | 0 | 0.36% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1723 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 36.30% |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1657 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 72.92% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1515 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.47% |
| 7 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0 | 72.00% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1636 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 72.21% |
| 9 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.42% | 0 | 45.88% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* andrew1976 0 - 2 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 2013 | - | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 11 | 29 | 70.37% | 13.28% | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2034 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 12 | 11.05% | 0.00% | 0.16% |
| 3 | Guardiana | 1919 | 1 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 5 | 19 | 4.86% | 13.28% | 0.77% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1723 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 34.76% |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1654 | 0 | *0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77.02% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1515 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.44% |
| 7 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.00% | 71.69% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1636 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 71.52% |
| 9 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.38% | 0 | 44.64% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Guardiana 2 - 0 Lieven Marchand

Games completed: 15/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 2013 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 11 | 31 | 66.88% | 16.40% | 0 |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1924 | 1 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 7 | 19 | 5.41% | 16.40% | 0.21% |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2034 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 12 | 10.80% | 0.00% | 0.12% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1723 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 32.52% |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1654 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75.98% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1515 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.32% |
| 7 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.00% | 70.61% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1631 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77.72% |
| 9 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.44% | 0.00% | 43.52% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nagy Fathy 0 - 2 Guardiana
\* andrew1976 0 - 2 Guardiana

Games completed: 17/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 2013 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 11 | 35 | 25.04% | 56.93% | 0 |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1949 | 1 | - | *2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 11 | 35 | 17.61% | 56.93% | 0 |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2014 | 0 | *0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 12 | 0.02% | 0 | 0.34% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1723 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30.50% |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1649 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83.42% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1515 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.26% |
| 7 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0 | 69.19% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1631 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75.87% |
| 9 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.37% | 0 | 41.42% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Lieven Marchand 0 - 2 docfarm

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 2013 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 11 | 39 | 24.83% | 57.46% | 0 |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1949 | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 11 | 39 | 17.20% | 57.46% | 0 |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2014 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 16 | 0.02% | 0 | 0.26% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1723 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26.17% |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1649 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 81.38% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1536 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.33% |
| 7 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0 | 67.59% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1610 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | *0 | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87.25% |
| 9 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.44% | 0 | 40.02% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nagy Fathy 2 - 0 Lieven Marchand

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 2014 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 11 | 43 | 25.33% | 57.03% | 0 |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1949 | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 11 | 43 | 17.18% | 57.03% | 0 |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2016 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 8 | 16 | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.11% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1723 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.93% |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1649 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 81.16% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1536 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.30% |
| 7 | michael | 1619 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0 | 66.95% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1608 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89.62% |
| 9 | Hollo | 1708 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.40% | 0.00% | 38.93% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* michael 0 - 2 Nagy Fathy
\* michael 0 - 2 Guardiana
\* michael 0 - 2 Lieven Marchand
\* Lieven Marchand 0 - 2 Ragnar Wikman
\* michael 0 - 2 Hollo

Games completed: 24/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Guardiana | 1953 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | 13 | 55 | 20.34% | 62.08% | 0 |
| 2 | BigChicken | 1986 | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 11 | 57 | 16.81% | 62.08% | 0 |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2018 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1734 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | _ | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 8.54% |
| 5 | docfarm | 1536 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 96.49% |
| 6 | andrew1976 | 1649 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 82.80% |
| 7 | Lieven Marchand | 1612 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.52% |
| 8 | Hollo | 1719 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.77% | 0 | 24.13% |
| 9 | michael | 1587 | *0 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | *0 | *0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.53% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* BigChicken 2 - 0 michael

Games completed: 25/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1988 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | 13 | 57 | 16.93% | 68.22% | 0 |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1953 | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 13 | 57 | 14.15% | 68.22% | 0 |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2018 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1734 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 7.99% |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1649 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 81.46% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1536 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 97.43% |
| 7 | Hollo | 1719 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.69% | 0 | 23.09% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1612 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.89% |
| 9 | michael | 1585 | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.14% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* docfarm 2 - 0 michael

Games completed: 26/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1988 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 13 | 61 | 16.92% | 68.74% | 0 |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1953 | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 13 | 61 | 13.66% | 68.74% | 0 |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2018 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1734 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 5.16% |
| 5 | docfarm | 1554 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | *2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 92.12% |
| 6 | andrew1976 | 1649 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 80.62% |
| 7 | Lieven Marchand | 1612 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.07% |
| 8 | Hollo | 1719 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.67% | 0 | 27.03% |
| 9 | michael | 1567 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ragnar Wikman 2 - 0 michael

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Guardiana | 1953 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 13 | 65 | 14.05% | 67.96% | 0 |
| 2 | BigChicken | 1988 | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 13 | 65 | 17.31% | 67.96% | 0 |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2018 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1742 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1.53% |
| 5 | docfarm | 1554 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 93.45% |
| 6 | andrew1976 | 1649 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 82.10% |
| 7 | Hollo | 1719 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.68% | 0 | 26.32% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1612 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.60% |
| 9 | michael | 1559 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nagy Fathy 1 - 1 Hollo
\* Hollo 0 - 2 Ragnar Wikman
\* andrew1976 2 - 0 michael
\* Lieven Marchand 0 - 2 andrew1976
\* Hollo 0 - 2 BigChicken

Games completed: 32/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1993 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 85 | 20.02% | 79.98% | 0 |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1954 | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 13 | 81 | 0 | 79.98% | 0 |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2007 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | *1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1673 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | *2 | *2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 55.10% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1554 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Hollo | 1711 | *0 | _ | *1 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 44.90% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1599 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | michael | 1548 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* andrew1976 2 - 0 Hollo

Games completed: 33/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1993 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 89 | 18.60% | 81.40% | 0 |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1954 | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 13 | 85 | 0 | 81.40% | 0 |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2007 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1690 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 8.14% |
| 6 | docfarm | 1554 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Hollo | 1694 | 0 | _ | 1 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 91.86% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1599 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | michael | 1548 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Hollo 1 - 1 Lieven Marchand

Games completed: 34/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1993 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 93 | 17.88% | 82.12% | 0 |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1954 | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 87 | 0 | 82.12% | 0 |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2008 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1690 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 12.29% |
| 6 | Hollo | 1690 | 0 | _ | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | *1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 87.71% |
| 7 | docfarm | 1554 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1603 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *1 | 0 | - | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | michael | 1548 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Guardiana 1 - 1 Hollo

Games completed: 35/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | BigChicken | 1993 | - | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 96 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guardiana | 1944 | 1 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | *1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 2008 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | andrew1976 | 1690 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hollo | 1700 | 0 | *1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 1 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | docfarm | 1554 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Lieven Marchand | 1603 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | michael | 1548 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

OK, what's p(draw) in oski? I can improve RoRoRo's predictions if he knows there's a probability of a draw.

Just a gut feel would do, from people who play the game. Please don't hammer the server finding an exact value. (Which is why I ask here, I could happily hammer the server myself, but that's not fair to the poor server.)