wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
I've been requested to follow wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Super Chicken | 1986 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 16.61% | 1.65% | 16.55% |
| 2 | passenger | 1799 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.90% | 0.24% | 73.41% |
| 3 | chianti | 1904 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.53% | 0.84% | 40.23% |
| 4 | imperatore | 2061 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 37.15% | 2.26% | 6.36% |
| 5 | bloke | 1951 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 10.70% | 1.24% | 26.05% |
| 6 | Jeff | 1732 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.20% | 0.06% | 89.11% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 1894 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.79% | 0.76% | 45.41% |
| 8 | AaronM | 2001 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 19.79% | 1.81% | 15.87% |
| 9 | hermionka | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.29% | 0.07% | 87.02% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* imperatore 2 - 0 Super Chicken

Games completed: 1/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | imperatore | 2073 | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 52.89% | 2.29% | 1.93% |
| 2 | Super Chicken | 1974 | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.62% | 0.89% | 26.10% |
| 3 | passenger | 1810 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.05% | 0.20% | 70.43% |
| 4 | chianti | 1904 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.95% | 0.63% | 39.95% |
| 5 | bloke | 1951 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 9.98% | 1.07% | 26.08% |
| 6 | Jeff | 1732 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.18% | 0.06% | 88.45% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 1894 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.29% | 0.66% | 44.56% |
| 8 | AaronM | 2001 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 18.45% | 1.54% | 15.58% |
| 9 | hermionka | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.26% | 0.05% | 86.92% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Super Chicken 2 - 0 AaronM

Games completed: 2/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | imperatore | 2073 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 57.34% | 2.66% | 1.90% |
| 2 | Super Chicken | 1993 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 10.31% | 1.81% | 10.04% |
| 3 | passenger | 1810 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.15% | 0.21% | 70.91% |
| 4 | chianti | 1904 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.24% | 0.71% | 40.45% |
| 5 | bloke | 1951 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 10.14% | 1.19% | 26.60% |
| 6 | Jeff | 1732 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.05% | 88.87% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 1894 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.31% | 0.67% | 45.31% |
| 8 | AaronM | 1984 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.14% | 1.36% | 28.89% |
| 9 | hermionka | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.27% | 0.06% | 87.05% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Super Chicken 2 - 0 passenger

Games completed: 3/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Super Chicken | 2002 | - | 0 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 0 | 13.06% | 2.10% | 5.41% |
| 2 | imperatore | 2083 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 58.94% | 2.62% | 1.45% |
| 3 | passenger | 1802 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.29% | 0.09% | 80.16% |
| 4 | chianti | 1904 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.84% | 0.67% | 39.55% |
| 5 | bloke | 1941 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 8.04% | 0.94% | 28.87% |
| 6 | Jeff | 1732 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.05% | 88.63% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 1904 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.53% | 0.69% | 41.96% |
| 8 | AaronM | 1984 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.17% | 1.13% | 28.96% |
| 9 | hermionka | 1758 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.30% | 0.06% | 85.01% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* AaronM 2 - 0 hermionka

Games completed: 4/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Super Chicken | 2002 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 13.10% | 2.08% | 5.11% |
| 2 | imperatore | 2083 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 57.96% | 2.77% | 1.54% |
| 3 | AaronM | 1990 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 7.64% | 1.44% | 19.90% |
| 4 | passenger | 1802 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.21% | 0.11% | 80.63% |
| 5 | chianti | 1904 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.54% | 0.63% | 40.93% |
| 6 | bloke | 1941 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.88% | 0.95% | 29.71% |
| 7 | Jeff | 1732 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.18% | 0.04% | 88.88% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 1904 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.54% | 0.61% | 42.68% |
| 9 | hermionka | 1752 | _ | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.03% | 90.61% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* passenger 2 - 0 AaronM <--- upset!

Games completed: 5/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Super Chicken | 2009 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 14.13% | 1.97% | 4.69% |
| 2 | imperatore | 2083 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 61.91% | 2.42% | 1.45% |
| 3 | passenger | 1825 | 0 | _ | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 1.12% | 0.30% | 54.03% |
| 4 | AaronM | 1966 | 0 | _ | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.88% | 0.64% | 43.19% |
| 5 | chianti | 1892 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.03% | 0.62% | 45.34% |
| 6 | bloke | 1941 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 8.13% | 1.05% | 29.93% |
| 7 | Jeff | 1732 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.18% | 0.06% | 88.79% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 1904 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.89% | 0.72% | 42.81% |
| 9 | hermionka | 1752 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.18% | 0.03% | 89.76% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* AaronM 2 - 0 bloke

Games completed: 6/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Super Chicken | 2010 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 13.90% | 2.11% | 4.34% |
| 2 | AaronM | 1980 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3.61% | 1.15% | 22.18% |
| 3 | passenger | 1825 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 1.21% | 0.34% | 53.62% |
| 4 | imperatore | 2094 | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 65.72% | 2.48% | 1.43% |
| 5 | chianti | 1892 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.89% | 0.55% | 45.90% |
| 6 | bloke | 1927 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.33% | 0.58% | 45.22% |
| 7 | Jeff | 1718 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.12% | 0.03% | 91.19% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 1900 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.51% | 0.64% | 45.51% |
| 9 | hermionka | 1752 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.02% | 90.60% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* AaronM 2 - 0 imperatore

Games completed: 7/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | AaronM | 2001 | - | 0 | 0 | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12.92% | 3.48% | 4.89% |
| 2 | Super Chicken | 1994 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 23.59% | 3.75% | 5.60% |
| 3 | passenger | 1834 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 2.24% | 0.58% | 52.90% |
| 4 | imperatore | 2073 | *0 | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 38.13% | 3.66% | 4.72% |
| 5 | chianti | 1900 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.08% | 0.90% | 46.78% |
| 6 | bloke | 1927 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.30% | 0.69% | 50.71% |
| 7 | Jeff | 1710 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.07% | 93.44% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 1900 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.98% | 0.85% | 48.81% |
| 9 | hermionka | 1752 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.07% | 92.17% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* chianti 2 - 0 AaronM
\* passenger 0 - 2 bloke

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | AaronM | 1981 | - | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0.45% | 0.52% | 13.15% |
| 2 | Super Chicken | 1998 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 22.02% | 2.55% | 7.83% |
| 3 | passenger | 1826 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.53% | 0.25% | 74.02% |
| 4 | chianti | 1920 | *2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 14.61% | 1.81% | 24.40% |
| 5 | imperatore | 2073 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 42.10% | 3.09% | 5.29% |
| 6 | bloke | 1938 | 0 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8.31% | 1.27% | 38.62% |
| 7 | Jeff | 1710 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.04% | 93.92% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 1907 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.85% | 0.93% | 49.60% |
| 9 | hermionka | 1752 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.22% | 0.08% | 93.17% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* imperatore 2 - 0 passenger
\* bloke 2 - 0 Super Chicken
\* bloke 0 - 2 imperatore

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | imperatore | 2094 | - | 0 | 2 | *2 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 20 | 69.88% | 3.20% | 0.43% |
| 2 | AaronM | 1981 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0.45% | 0.37% | 10.80% |
| 3 | Super Chicken | 1980 | 0 | 2 | - | *0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 2.76% | 1.45% | 17.25% |
| 4 | bloke | 1955 | *0 | 0 | *2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 2.47% | 1.10% | 21.46% |
| 5 | passenger | 1821 | *0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 85.57% |
| 6 | chianti | 1930 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 14.22% | 1.79% | 23.94% |
| 7 | Jeff | 1710 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.03% | 94.65% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 1907 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.89% | 0.96% | 52.06% |
| 9 | hermionka | 1752 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.06% | 93.83% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* hermionka 2 - 0 Super Chicken <--- upset!
\* hermionka 0 - 2 imperatore

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | imperatore | 2097 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 8 | 24 | 73.44% | 2.29% | 0.15% |
| 2 | AaronM | 1989 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 0.51% | 0.39% | 7.07% |
| 3 | Super Chicken | 1955 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 0.20% | 0.23% | 38.45% |
| 4 | bloke | 1955 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 1.56% | 1.10% | 23.25% |
| 5 | passenger | 1821 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.01% | 0.03% | 82.13% |
| 6 | chianti | 1930 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 15.03% | 1.58% | 22.47% |
| 7 | hermionka | 1774 | *0 | 0 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.09% | 0.05% | 83.12% |
| 8 | Jeff | 1710 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.03% | 93.98% |
| 9 | Paradoxx | 1907 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 6.23% | 0.83% | 49.38% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* imperatore 0 - 2 chianti

Games completed: 15/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | imperatore | 2053 | - | 0 | *0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 24 | 21.81% | 4.03% | 0.64% |
| 2 | AaronM | 1989 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 1.20% | 0.89% | 9.29% |
| 3 | chianti | 1974 | *2 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 28 | 59.36% | 4.23% | 3.37% |
| 4 | Super Chicken | 1955 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 0.57% | 0.55% | 43.79% |
| 5 | bloke | 1955 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 4.39% | 2.72% | 26.38% |
| 6 | passenger | 1826 | 0 | 2 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.05% | 0.10% | 84.84% |
| 7 | hermionka | 1774 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.20% | 0.12% | 85.50% |
| 8 | Jeff | 1710 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.05% | 94.61% |
| 9 | Paradoxx | 1907 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 6.28% | 1.07% | 51.58% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* AaronM 2 - 0 Paradoxx

Games completed: 16/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | AaronM | 2001 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | *2 | 8 | 28 | 1.80% | 1.48% | 0.43% |
| 2 | imperatore | 2053 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 24 | 21.67% | 2.28% | 0.66% |
| 3 | chianti | 1974 | 2 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 32 | 63.48% | 3.54% | 3.10% |
| 4 | Super Chicken | 1955 | 2 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 0.78% | 0.67% | 40.22% |
| 5 | bloke | 1957 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 4.39% | 2.32% | 25.36% |
| 6 | passenger | 1826 | 2 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 16 | 0.07% | 0.13% | 84.01% |
| 7 | hermionka | 1774 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.15% | 0.10% | 85.32% |
| 8 | Jeff | 1710 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.04% | 94.58% |
| 9 | Paradoxx | 1895 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.86% | 0.53% | 66.32% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Paradoxx 2 - 0 Super Chicken

Games completed: 17/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | AaronM | 2001 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 1.90% | 1.18% | 0.14% |
| 2 | imperatore | 2053 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 24 | 20.61% | 1.77% | 0.91% |
| 3 | chianti | 1975 | 2 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 32 | 62.90% | 3.55% | 2.46% |
| 4 | Super Chicken | 1937 | 2 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | *0 | 0 | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 69.69% |
| 5 | bloke | 1957 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 3.96% | 1.84% | 25.61% |
| 6 | passenger | 1826 | 2 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 16 | 0.09% | 0.15% | 81.11% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 1913 | 0 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 6.03% | 1.13% | 40.50% |
| 8 | hermionka | 1774 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.16% | 0.08% | 85.35% |
| 9 | Jeff | 1710 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.05% | 94.23% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Super Chicken 2 - 0 chianti

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | AaronM | 2001 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 3.03% | 2.19% | 0.25% |
| 2 | imperatore | 2053 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 28 | 34.67% | 1.30% | 1.17% |
| 3 | Super Chicken | 1954 | 2 | 0 | - | *2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 39.05% |
| 4 | chianti | 1958 | 2 | 2 | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 32 | 43.45% | 3.83% | 6.70% |
| 5 | bloke | 1957 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 5.56% | 1.88% | 32.45% |
| 6 | passenger | 1826 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 16 | 0.12% | 0.31% | 87.95% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 1913 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 8.04% | 1.05% | 47.78% |
| 8 | hermionka | 1774 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.17% | 0.10% | 88.85% |
| 9 | Jeff | 1710 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.09% | 95.80% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* hermionka 0 - 2 passenger

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | imperatore | 2053 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 35.41% | 1.52% | 1.26% |
| 2 | AaronM | 2001 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 2.23% | 2.13% | 0.37% |
| 3 | Super Chicken | 1959 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 37.10% |
| 4 | chianti | 1958 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 32 | 42.60% | 3.75% | 8.15% |
| 5 | passenger | 1839 | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | _ | *2 | _ | 4 | 20 | 0.23% | 0.51% | 79.78% |
| 6 | bloke | 1968 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 6.45% | 2.04% | 31.06% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 1913 | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 8.02% | 1.13% | 50.18% |
| 8 | hermionka | 1761 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.01% | 0.03% | 95.93% |
| 9 | Jeff | 1710 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.05% | 96.18% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Paradoxx 0 - 2 imperatore
\* hermionka 2 - 0 chianti <--- upset!

Games completed: 21/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | imperatore | 2062 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | _ | 10 | 40 | 80.23% | 1.38% | 0 |
| 2 | AaronM | 2001 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 40 | 1.64% | 1.29% | 0.09% |
| 3 | Super Chicken | 1959 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 34.74% |
| 4 | chianti | 1934 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | *0 | _ | _ | 4 | 36 | 13.27% | 0.75% | 18.23% |
| 5 | passenger | 1839 | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 24 | 0.02% | 0.08% | 75.26% |
| 6 | bloke | 1968 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 2.25% | 0.10% | 30.29% |
| 7 | hermionka | 1775 | 0 | 0 | 2 | *2 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 84.93% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 1914 | *0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.69% | 0.04% | 60.69% |
| 9 | Jeff | 1710 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.06% | 95.78% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* bloke 2 - 0 hermionka

Games completed: 22/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | imperatore | 2062 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 44 | 79.77% | 1.15% | 0 |
| 2 | AaronM | 2001 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 44 | 1.40% | 1.02% | 0.12% |
| 3 | Super Chicken | 1959 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 34.41% |
| 4 | bloke | 1975 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 3.09% | 0.10% | 18.12% |
| 5 | chianti | 1934 | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 0 | _ | _ | 4 | 36 | 13.40% | 0.72% | 18.51% |
| 6 | passenger | 1839 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 24 | 0.01% | 0.05% | 77.76% |
| 7 | hermionka | 1762 | 0 | 0 | 2 | *0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 95.13% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 1914 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.72% | 0.04% | 60.13% |
| 9 | Jeff | 1710 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.06% | 95.83% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Paradoxx 2 - 0 hermionka
\* Jeff 0 - 2 hermionka
\* Jeff 0 - 2 bloke
\* Jeff 0 - 2 Paradoxx
\* Jeff 0 - 2 AaronM
\* chianti 2 - 0 Jeff
\* passenger 2 - 0 Jeff
\* imperatore 2 - 0 Jeff

Games completed: 30/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | imperatore | 2065 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 12 | 64 | 85.65% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AaronM | 2005 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 10 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | bloke | 1979 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 17.40% |
| 4 | Super Chicken | 1959 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 6 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 46.53% |
| 5 | chianti | 1940 | 2 | 2 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | *2 | 6 | 44 | 14.35% | 0 | 11.95% |
| 6 | passenger | 1848 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | *2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 77.80% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 1929 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | *2 | *2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 46.32% |
| 8 | hermionka | 1766 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | *0 | - | *2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Jeff | 1665 | *0 | *0 | *0 | _ | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* chianti 0 - 2 bloke

Games completed: 31/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | imperatore | 2065 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 68 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AaronM | 2005 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | bloke | 2007 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Super Chicken | 1959 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | 6 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 49.98% |
| 5 | chianti | 1898 | 2 | 2 | *0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 2 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 27.21% |
| 6 | passenger | 1848 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 77.46% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 1929 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 45.35% |
| 8 | hermionka | 1766 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Jeff | 1665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted