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gwg.ch.26.1.1 predictions

Public forum discussion.

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#1 · RoRoRo the Bot

13 Sep 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
I've been requested to follow gwg.ch.26.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 2418 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 34.92% | 1.65% | 0.30% |
| 2 | Nevermind | 2165 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.33% | 1.18% | 13.16% |
| 3 | Rob | 1994 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.04% | 59.54% |
| 4 | michael | 2497 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 59.65% | 1.64% | 0.07% |
| 5 | Prastudy | 1847 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 91.14% |
| 6 | brenda | 1790 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.90% |
| 7 | Ragnar Wikman | 2015 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.18% | 0.07% | 54.76% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2024 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.20% | 0.08% | 53.20% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.82% | 0.33% | 31.93% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#2 · RoRoRo the Bot

21 Sep 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* brenda 0 - 2 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 1/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 2418 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 35.64% | 1.57% | 0.25% |
| 2 | Nevermind | 2165 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.27% | 1.09% | 13.19% |
| 3 | Rob | 1994 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.04% | 60.29% |
| 4 | michael | 2497 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 59.10% | 1.61% | 0.09% |
| 5 | Prastudy | 1847 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 91.66% |
| 6 | brenda | 1821 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 94.52% |
| 7 | Ragnar Wikman | 2015 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.09% | 54.90% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2024 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.08% | 53.40% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.84% | 0.34% | 31.71% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#3 · RoRoRo the Bot

27 Sep 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nevermind 0 - 2 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 2/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 2424 | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 40.07% | 1.23% | 0.06% |
| 2 | Nevermind | 2159 | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.51% | 0.67% | 16.27% |
| 3 | Rob | 1994 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.12% | 0.05% | 59.57% |
| 4 | michael | 2497 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 56.91% | 1.22% | 0.06% |
| 5 | Prastudy | 1847 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 91.19% |
| 6 | brenda | 1821 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.43% |
| 7 | Ragnar Wikman | 2015 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.09% | 54.86% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2024 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.07% | 52.39% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.77% | 0.34% | 31.16% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#4 · RoRoRo the Bot

28 Sep 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Rob 0 - 2 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 3/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 2426 | - | 2 | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 0 | 41.12% | 1.20% | 0.02% |
| 2 | Nevermind | 2159 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.43% | 0.63% | 16.18% |
| 3 | Rob | 1992 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 62.49% |
| 4 | michael | 2497 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 56.23% | 1.19% | 0.07% |
| 5 | Prastudy | 1847 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 90.91% |
| 6 | brenda | 1821 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.33% |
| 7 | Ragnar Wikman | 2015 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.07% | 53.58% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2024 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.11% | 51.97% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.63% | 0.40% | 30.47% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#5 · RoRoRo the Bot

29 Sep 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ragnar Wikman 0 - 2 michael

Games completed: 4/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 2426 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 0 | 40.86% | 1.10% | 0.03% |
| 2 | michael | 2498 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 56.81% | 1.09% | 0.04% |
| 3 | Nevermind | 2159 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.43% | 0.61% | 15.60% |
| 4 | Rob | 1992 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 62.18% |
| 5 | Prastudy | 1847 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 90.59% |
| 6 | brenda | 1821 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.04% |
| 7 | Ragnar Wikman | 2014 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.04% | 55.85% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2024 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.06% | 51.60% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.58% | 0.38% | 30.08% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#6 · RoRoRo the Bot

1 Oct 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Rob 0 - 2 brenda
\* Nagy Fathy 0 - 2 michael

Games completed: 6/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 2414 | - | *0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 2.99% | 1.51% | 0.03% |
| 2 | michael | 2510 | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 94.18% | 1.55% | 0.00% |
| 3 | brenda | 1860 | 0 | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79.48% |
| 4 | Nevermind | 2159 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.61% | 1.09% | 15.32% |
| 5 | Rob | 1970 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 82.07% |
| 6 | Prastudy | 1847 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 90.46% |
| 7 | Ragnar Wikman | 2014 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 54.39% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2024 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.08% | 49.88% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.48% | 0.36% | 28.37% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#7 · RoRoRo the Bot

1 Oct 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* michael 2 - 0 brenda
\* Rob 0 - 2 Ragnar Wikman
\* michael 2 - 0 Rob

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | michael | 2511 | - | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 20 | 95.43% | 1.64% | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2414 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 1.65% | 1.62% | 0.05% |
| 3 | brenda | 1860 | *0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82.06% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 2027 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 37.89% |
| 5 | Nevermind | 2159 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.60% | 1.17% | 16.22% |
| 6 | Rob | 1956 | *0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.29% |
| 7 | Prastudy | 1847 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 90.91% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2024 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.07% | 49.95% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.51% | 0.39% | 28.62% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#8 · RoRoRo the Bot

2 Oct 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* brenda 0 - 2 Ragnar Wikman

Games completed: 10/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | michael | 2511 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 24 | 95.47% | 1.51% | 0.00% |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2414 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 1.66% | 1.49% | 0.06% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 2035 | 0 | _ | - | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 26.83% |
| 4 | brenda | 1852 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.64% |
| 5 | Nevermind | 2159 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.62% | 1.12% | 16.44% |
| 6 | Rob | 1956 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.21% |
| 7 | Prastudy | 1847 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.03% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2024 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.07% | 51.18% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.53% | 0.32% | 28.62% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#9 · RoRoRo the Bot

3 Oct 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* michael 2 - 0 Paradoxx
\* Nevermind 2 - 0 Paradoxx

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | michael | 2512 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 10 | 24 | 95.47% | 2.04% | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2414 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 8 | 0.99% | 2.03% | 0.04% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 2035 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 24.74% |
| 4 | Nevermind | 2169 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.97% | 1.71% | 6.70% |
| 5 | brenda | 1852 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.43% |
| 6 | Rob | 1956 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.76% |
| 7 | Prastudy | 1847 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 90.49% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2013 | *0 | _ | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66.03% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.51% | 0.33% | 26.80% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#10 · RoRoRo the Bot

15 Oct 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nagy Fathy 2 - 0 Ragnar Wikman

Games completed: 13/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | michael | 2512 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 10 | 28 | 95.22% | 2.35% | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2417 | 0 | - | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 16 | 1.21% | 2.35% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 2032 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27.19% |
| 4 | Nevermind | 2169 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.77% | 1.98% | 7.08% |
| 5 | brenda | 1853 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91.03% |
| 6 | Rob | 1956 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.38% |
| 7 | Prastudy | 1847 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 89.99% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2013 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64.90% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.44% | 0.37% | 26.43% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#11 · RoRoRo the Bot

25 Oct 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* michael 2 - 0 Nevermind

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | michael | 2515 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 12 | 32 | 99.07% | 0.39% | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2417 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 16 | 0.11% | 0.39% | 0.01% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 2032 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26.60% |
| 4 | Nevermind | 2166 | *0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.82% |
| 5 | brenda | 1854 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90.89% |
| 6 | Rob | 1956 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.39% |
| 7 | Prastudy | 1847 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90.05% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2013 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64.84% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.44% | 0.39% | 26.40% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#12 · RoRoRo the Bot

27 Oct 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Prastudy 0 - 2 michael

Games completed: 15/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | michael | 2515 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | 14 | 32 | 99.15% | 0.42% | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2417 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0.42% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 2032 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26.47% |
| 4 | Nevermind | 2166 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.95% |
| 5 | brenda | 1854 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90.83% |
| 6 | Rob | 1956 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.29% |
| 7 | Prastudy | 1847 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90.68% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2013 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64.36% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.44% | 0.42% | 26.41% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#13 · RoRoRo the Bot

30 Oct 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* brenda 0 - 2 Prastudy

Games completed: 16/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | michael | 2515 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 14 | 36 | 99.17% | 0.42% | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2417 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0.42% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 2032 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 29.25% |
| 4 | Prastudy | 1863 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 81.96% |
| 5 | Nevermind | 2166 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.41% |
| 6 | brenda | 1838 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.67% |
| 7 | Rob | 1956 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92.54% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 2013 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64.57% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 2098 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.42% | 0.42% | 26.59% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#14 · RoRoRo the Bot

1 Nov 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kingofthebesI 2 - 0 Ragnar Wikman

Games completed: 17/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | michael | 2515 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 98.40% | 0.88% | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2417 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0.88% | 0 |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 2020 | 0 | 0 | - | *0 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 44.83% |
| 4 | kingofthebesI | 2110 | _ | _ | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.72% | 0.88% | 10.07% |
| 5 | Prastudy | 1863 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 82.58% |
| 6 | Nevermind | 2166 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.59% |
| 7 | brenda | 1838 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.72% |
| 8 | Rob | 1956 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92.70% |
| 9 | Paradoxx | 2013 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64.51% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#15 · RoRoRo the Bot

3 Nov 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Paradoxx 2 - 0 brenda

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | michael | 2515 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 98.46% | 0.81% | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2417 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0.81% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | 2020 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 47.36% |
| 4 | kingofthebesI | 2110 | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.73% | 0.81% | 10.67% |
| 5 | Nevermind | 2166 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.94% |
| 6 | Prastudy | 1863 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 84.31% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 2021 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | *2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 57.90% |
| 8 | brenda | 1830 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | *0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.23% |
| 9 | Rob | 1956 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92.58% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#16 · RoRoRo the Bot

5 Nov 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nagy Fathy 0 - 2 kingofthebesI <--- major upset!

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | michael | 2515 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 94.50% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2390 | 0 | - | *0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0.04% |
| 3 | kingofthebesI | 2137 | _ | *2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 24 | 5.50% | 0 | 1.03% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 52.71% |
| 5 | Nevermind | 2166 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9.14% |
| 6 | Prastudy | 1863 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 85.78% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 2021 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 57.76% |
| 8 | brenda | 1830 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.39% |
| 9 | Rob | 1956 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.15% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#17 · RoRoRo the Bot

8 Nov 2012

*Tournament: gwg.ch.26.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kingofthebesI 0 - 2 michael

Games completed: 20/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | michael | 2518 | - | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 48 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 2390 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0.03% |
| 3 | kingofthebesI | 2134 | *0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1.13% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 52.37% |
| 5 | Nevermind | 2166 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9.11% |
| 6 | Prastudy | 1863 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 85.87% |
| 7 | Paradoxx | 2021 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 58.10% |
| 8 | brenda | 1830 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.52% |
| 9 | Rob | 1956 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.86% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted