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wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1 predictions

Public forum discussion.

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#1 · RoRoRo the Bot

11 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
I've been requested to follow wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | Lieven Marchand | 1825 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.29% | 0.27% |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 1848 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.91% | 0.40% |
| 3 | beppi: herogame.org | 1933 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.87% | 1.02% |
| 4 | Super Chicken | 1904 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.81% | 0.80% |
| 5 | chianti | 1904 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.89% | 0.74% |
| 6 | imperatore | 2056 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 34.98% | 2.19% |
| 7 | bloke | 1884 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.77% | 0.60% |
| 8 | Paradoxx | 1935 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 8.06% | 0.98% |
| 9 | AaronM | 2034 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 28.25% | 2.07% |

#2 · RoRoRo the Bot

14 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* AaronM 2 - 0 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 1/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | AaronM | 2042 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 32.17% | 2.15% |
| 2 | Lieven Marchand | 1838 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.32% | 0.22% |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 1840 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.48% | 0.18% |
| 4 | beppi: herogame.org | 1933 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.80% | 0.97% |
| 5 | Super Chicken | 1924 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.72% | 0.75% |
| 6 | chianti | 1893 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.42% | 0.54% |
| 7 | imperatore | 2067 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 35.13% | 2.21% |
| 8 | bloke | 1901 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.13% | 0.55% |
| 9 | Paradoxx | 1935 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 6.94% | 0.91% |

#3 · RoRoRo the Bot

14 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* AaronM 2 - 0 imperatore

Games completed: 2/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | AaronM | 2058 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 58.43% | 2.51% |
| 2 | Lieven Marchand | 1812 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.85% | 0.17% |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 1840 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.39% | 0.16% |
| 4 | beppi: herogame.org | 1954 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 9.57% | 1.12% |
| 5 | Super Chicken | 1924 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.06% | 0.82% |
| 6 | chianti | 1893 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.69% | 0.56% |
| 7 | imperatore | 2030 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.97% | 1.33% |
| 8 | bloke | 1870 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.41% | 0.42% |
| 9 | Paradoxx | 1935 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 6.98% | 0.92% |

#4 · RoRoRo the Bot

17 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Lieven Marchand 0 - 2 Nagy Fathy
\* imperatore 2 - 0 Lieven Marchand
\* Lieven Marchand 2 - 0 AaronM <--- major upset!

Games completed: 5/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | AaronM | 2033 | - | *0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 34.55% | 2.57% |
| 2 | Lieven Marchand | 1815 | *2 | - | *0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.60% | 0.19% |
| 3 | Nagy Fathy | 1855 | 0 | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 1.54% | 0.30% |
| 4 | imperatore | 2037 | 0 | *2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 17.92% | 1.73% |
| 5 | beppi: herogame.org | 1969 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 13.87% | 1.55% |
| 6 | Super Chicken | 1924 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.21% | 0.99% |
| 7 | chianti | 1893 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.34% | 0.74% |
| 8 | bloke | 1870 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.06% | 0.54% |
| 9 | Paradoxx | 1960 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 12.23% | 1.52% |

#5 · RoRoRo the Bot

20 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nagy Fathy 2 - 0 Super Chicken

Games completed: 6/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | AaronM | 2033 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 36.96% | 2.51% |
| 2 | Nagy Fathy | 1874 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 3.74% | 0.66% |
| 3 | Lieven Marchand | 1825 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.50% | 0.21% |
| 4 | imperatore | 2037 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 18.12% | 1.60% |
| 5 | beppi: herogame.org | 1969 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 13.79% | 1.55% |
| 6 | Super Chicken | 1905 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.39% | 0.50% |
| 7 | chianti | 1893 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.55% | 0.81% |
| 8 | bloke | 1870 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.04% | 0.63% |
| 9 | Paradoxx | 1960 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 12.35% | 1.43% |

#6 · RoRoRo the Bot

24 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nagy Fathy 2 - 0 imperatore
\* beppi: herogame.org 0 - 2 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 8/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1916 | - | 0 | 2 | *2 | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 8 | 27.97% | 2.43% |
| 2 | AaronM | 2033 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 38.78% | 2.63% |
| 3 | Lieven Marchand | 1825 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.35% | 0.16% |
| 4 | imperatore | 2014 | *0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 2.64% | 0.56% |
| 5 | beppi: herogame.org | 1950 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.17% | 0.84% |
| 6 | Super Chicken | 1905 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.58% | 0.44% |
| 7 | chianti | 1893 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.94% | 0.89% |
| 8 | bloke | 1891 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.70% | 0.80% |
| 9 | Paradoxx | 1946 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 11.18% | 1.40% |

#7 · RoRoRo the Bot

25 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* bloke 2 - 0 AaronM

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1916 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 8 | 36.81% | 3.15% |
| 2 | AaronM | 2011 | 2 | - | 0 | *0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 20 | 13.57% | 1.91% |
| 3 | Lieven Marchand | 1825 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.51% | 0.24% |
| 4 | bloke | 1913 | _ | *2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 15.28% | 2.21% |
| 5 | imperatore | 2014 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4.05% | 1.12% |
| 6 | beppi: herogame.org | 1950 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.71% | 0.87% |
| 7 | Super Chicken | 1905 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.78% | 0.48% |
| 8 | chianti | 1893 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.85% | 0.98% |
| 9 | Paradoxx | 1946 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 12.72% | 1.62% |

#8 · RoRoRo the Bot

26 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* chianti 0 - 2 Nagy Fathy

Games completed: 10/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1930 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | _ | 10 | 8 | 53.88% | 2.90% |
| 2 | AaronM | 2011 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 24 | 10.33% | 1.10% |
| 3 | Lieven Marchand | 1825 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.21% | 0.20% |
| 4 | bloke | 1913 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 13.97% | 1.87% |
| 5 | imperatore | 2014 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 1.73% | 0.82% |
| 6 | beppi: herogame.org | 1950 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.40% | 0.68% |
| 7 | Super Chicken | 1905 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.07% | 0.36% |
| 8 | chianti | 1879 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.61% | 0.20% |
| 9 | Paradoxx | 1946 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 11.43% | 1.37% |

#9 · RoRoRo the Bot

26 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Paradoxx 2 - 0 AaronM

Games completed: 11/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1930 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 52.48% | 3.80% |
| 2 | AaronM | 1993 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 24 | 0.45% | 0.19% |
| 3 | Lieven Marchand | 1825 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.24% | 0.17% |
| 4 | bloke | 1913 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 12.57% | 1.85% |
| 5 | Paradoxx | 1964 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 23.52% | 2.51% |
| 6 | imperatore | 2014 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 2.06% | 1.24% |
| 7 | beppi: herogame.org | 1950 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.07% | 0.64% |
| 8 | Super Chicken | 1905 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.97% | 0.30% |
| 9 | chianti | 1879 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.63% | 0.20% |

#10 · RoRoRo the Bot

26 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* chianti 0 - 2 imperatore

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(up) |_. p(stay) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1930 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 52.58% | 4.03% | 81.49% | 18.50% | 0.01% |
| 2 | AaronM | 1993 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 28 | 0.42% | 0.27% | 9.46% | 59.20% | 31.34% |
| 3 | imperatore | 2024 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 4 | 4 | 2.97% | 1.87% | 23.06% | 51.02% | 25.92% |
| 4 | Lieven Marchand | 1825 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.18% | 0.11% | 1.60% | 17.71% | 80.69% |
| 5 | bloke | 1913 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 12.26% | 1.88% | 27.10% | 41.52% | 31.38% |
| 6 | Paradoxx | 1964 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 23.06% | 2.64% | 41.94% | 39.61% | 18.45% |
| 7 | beppi: herogame.org | 1950 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.14% | 0.52% | 9.97% | 34.19% | 55.84% |
| 8 | Super Chicken | 1905 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.98% | 0.31% | 5.33% | 24.65% | 70.02% |
| 9 | chianti | 1869 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.05% | 1.11% | 12.55% | 86.34% |

p(up) is the probability of being in the top 2, and thus being promoted
p(stay) is the probability of staying in this division
p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#11 · RoRoRo the Bot

28 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Super Chicken 2 - 0 Lieven Marchand
\* imperatore 2 - 0 Super Chicken

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1930 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 51.98% | 4.30% | 0.02% |
| 2 | imperatore | 2035 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5.00% | 2.86% | 14.00% |
| 3 | AaronM | 1993 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 32 | 0.37% | 0.19% | 29.97% |
| 4 | Lieven Marchand | 1813 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | *0 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.03% | 0.02% | 89.89% |
| 5 | bloke | 1913 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 12.20% | 1.90% | 29.61% |
| 6 | Paradoxx | 1964 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 22.81% | 2.89% | 17.19% |
| 7 | Super Chicken | 1906 | 0 | *0 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.28% | 0.11% | 70.94% |
| 8 | beppi: herogame.org | 1929 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.54% | 0.40% | 62.44% |
| 9 | chianti | 1869 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.03% | 85.94% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#12 · RoRoRo the Bot

29 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* imperatore 2 - 0 Paradoxx
\* Nagy Fathy 0 - 2 Paradoxx

Games completed: 16/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1916 | - | 2 | 0 | *0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 33.38% | 6.55% | 0.04% |
| 2 | imperatore | 2047 | 0 | - | 0 | *2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16.11% | 6.51% | 4.02% |
| 3 | AaronM | 1993 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 36 | 0.94% | 0.43% | 32.36% |
| 4 | Paradoxx | 1966 | *2 | *0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 28 | 23.25% | 5.09% | 11.50% |
| 5 | Lieven Marchand | 1813 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | _ | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.04% | 0.04% | 91.85% |
| 6 | bloke | 1913 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 13.29% | 2.25% | 32.43% |
| 7 | Super Chicken | 1906 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.48% | 0.13% | 74.54% |
| 8 | beppi: herogame.org | 1929 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.68% | 0.60% | 65.30% |
| 9 | chianti | 1869 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.04% | 87.98% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#13 · RoRoRo the Bot

29 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* bloke 0 - 2 Lieven Marchand
\* AaronM 2 - 0 chianti

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1916 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 34.90% | 5.94% | 0.02% |
| 2 | imperatore | 2047 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16.80% | 6.08% | 3.78% |
| 3 | AaronM | 2003 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | *2 | 6 | 36 | 1.79% | 0.88% | 17.31% |
| 4 | Paradoxx | 1966 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 32 | 27.03% | 5.97% | 11.29% |
| 5 | Lieven Marchand | 1833 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | *2 | 0 | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 0.13% | 0.18% | 78.76% |
| 6 | bloke | 1893 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 6.70% | 1.53% | 54.10% |
| 7 | Super Chicken | 1906 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.56% | 0.09% | 73.70% |
| 8 | beppi: herogame.org | 1929 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.72% | 0.64% | 66.33% |
| 9 | chianti | 1859 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 94.71% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#14 · RoRoRo the Bot

29 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* chianti 2 - 0 Paradoxx

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1916 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 49.42% | 2.99% | 0.01% |
| 2 | imperatore | 2047 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 24 | 19.67% | 2.98% | 3.86% |
| 3 | AaronM | 2003 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 40 | 2.99% | 1.14% | 15.02% |
| 4 | Paradoxx | 1946 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | *0 | _ | 4 | 32 | 11.37% | 2.93% | 23.59% |
| 5 | Lieven Marchand | 1833 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 0.10% | 0.20% | 77.81% |
| 6 | bloke | 1893 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 7.61% | 1.96% | 53.77% |
| 7 | Super Chicken | 1906 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.54% | 0.09% | 73.72% |
| 8 | chianti | 1879 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0.03% | 84.83% |
| 9 | beppi: herogame.org | 1929 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.56% | 0.42% | 67.39% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#15 · RoRoRo the Bot

30 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Paradoxx 0 - 2 Lieven Marchand

Games completed: 20/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1916 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 57.76% | 2.55% | 0 |
| 2 | imperatore | 2047 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 28 | 22.11% | 1.60% | 4.18% |
| 3 | AaronM | 2003 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | _ | 6 | 40 | 3.52% | 1.57% | 16.04% |
| 4 | Lieven Marchand | 1854 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | *2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 24 | 0.39% | 0.50% | 46.66% |
| 5 | Paradoxx | 1925 | 2 | 0 | 2 | *0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | _ | 4 | 32 | 1.51% | 0.82% | 50.36% |
| 6 | Super Chicken | 1906 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 0.53% | 0.07% | 72.13% |
| 7 | bloke | 1893 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 7.21% | 2.14% | 56.58% |
| 8 | chianti | 1879 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0.02% | 86.55% |
| 9 | beppi: herogame.org | 1929 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.64% | 0.29% | 67.50% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#16 · RoRoRo the Bot

30 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Paradoxx 0 - 2 Super Chicken
\* Super Chicken 2 - 0 bloke
\* Lieven Marchand 2 - 0 chianti

Games completed: 23/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1916 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 62.60% | 3.85% | 0 |
| 2 | imperatore | 2047 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 40 | 21.89% | 0.58% | 3.06% |
| 3 | Lieven Marchand | 1871 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | _ | 8 | 28 | 0.02% | 0.19% | 26.86% |
| 4 | AaronM | 2003 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 6 | 40 | 3.52% | 2.99% | 18.22% |
| 5 | Super Chicken | 1937 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | *2 | *2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 2.91% | 0.33% | 31.53% |
| 6 | Paradoxx | 1909 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | *0 | - | _ | 0 | _ | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 80.01% |
| 7 | bloke | 1878 | _ | _ | 0 | 2 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 2.21% | 1.12% | 76.29% |
| 8 | chianti | 1862 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 98.13% |
| 9 | beppi: herogame.org | 1929 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.59% | 0.10% | 65.90% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#17 · RoRoRo the Bot

30 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* AaronM 2 - 0 beppi: herogame.org

Games completed: 24/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1916 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 59.82% | 5.45% | 0 |
| 2 | imperatore | 2047 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 40 | 22.27% | 0.75% | 3.02% |
| 3 | AaronM | 2015 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 2 | *2 | 8 | 40 | 5.62% | 5.26% | 3.45% |
| 4 | Lieven Marchand | 1871 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 0.03% | 0.32% | 24.29% |
| 5 | Super Chicken | 1937 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 2.86% | 0.45% | 31.22% |
| 6 | Paradoxx | 1909 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | _ | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 80.94% |
| 7 | bloke | 1878 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 16 | 2.60% | 1.35% | 77.31% |
| 8 | chianti | 1862 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 98.78% |
| 9 | beppi: herogame.org | 1917 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.59% | 0.03% | 80.98% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#18 · RoRoRo the Bot

30 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Super Chicken 0 - 2 AaronM
\* Lieven Marchand 2 - 0 beppi: herogame.org

Games completed: 26/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1916 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 55.06% | 16.85% | 0 |
| 2 | AaronM | 2027 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | *2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 16.85% | 0 |
| 3 | Lieven Marchand | 1889 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 10 | 36 | 0.09% | 1.26% | 0 |
| 4 | imperatore | 2047 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 44 | 24.03% | 1.51% | 3.07% |
| 5 | Super Chicken | 1925 | 0 | *0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0.09% | 45.35% |
| 6 | Paradoxx | 1909 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | _ | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 80.65% |
| 7 | bloke | 1878 | _ | 2 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 20 | 3.73% | 1.73% | 78.80% |
| 8 | chianti | 1862 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 98.04% |
| 9 | beppi: herogame.org | 1899 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.09% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#19 · RoRoRo the Bot

31 Aug 2012

*Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.13.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nagy Fathy 2 - 0 bloke

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Nagy Fathy | 1930 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AaronM | 2027 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lieven Marchand | 1889 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | imperatore | 2047 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0.82% |
| 5 | Super Chicken | 1925 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 38.36% |
| 6 | Paradoxx | 1909 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | _ | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 77.27% |
| 7 | bloke | 1864 | *0 | 2 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 92.94% |
| 8 | chianti | 1862 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 97.68% |
| 9 | beppi: herogame.org | 1899 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92.93% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#20 · bloke

17 Dec 2012

How do you refresh the statistics of these tornaments?

#21 · FatPhil

21 Dec 2012

After someone's reached 100% for the win, he shuts up.