einstein.ch.17.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
I've been requested to follow einstein.ch.17.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1846 | - | > | _ | = | = | = | _ | = | _ | = | _ | > | 0 | 0 | 19.57% | 1.38% | 30.20% |
| 2 | hershoff | 1718 | < | - | = | _ | = | _ | = | _ | = | _ | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.02% | 0.18% | 85.08% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1753 | _ | = | - | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.10% | 0.34% | 72.19% |
| 4 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 4.39% | 0.50% | 66.19% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1794 | = | = | = | _ | - | = | _ | = | _ | = | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 6.72% | 0.68% | 57.44% |
| 6 | kpato | 1795 | = | _ | _ | _ | = | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 7.13% | 0.72% | 57.20% |
| 7 | CHJ | 1802 | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.91% | 0.74% | 54.42% |
| 8 | simon craddock | 1814 | = | _ | _ | _ | = | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 9.66% | 1.01% | 49.88% |
| 9 | jano_wol | 1822 | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 10.77% | 0.96% | 47.26% |
| 10 | luiser | 1827 | = | _ | _ | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 11.94% | 1.01% | 45.40% |
| 11 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 13.12% | 1.06% | 42.74% |
| 12 | Martyn Hamer | 1685 | < | = | _ | = | = | = | _ | = | _ | = | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.48% | 0.09% | 92.00% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* jano_wol 2 - 0 RoRoRo the Bot

Games completed: 1/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1839 | - | = | *2 | = | _ | = | = | = | _ | = | < | _ | 2 | 0 | 20.40% | 1.47% | 29.02% |
| 2 | Martyn Hamer | 1673 | = | - | < | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.43% | 0.08% | 92.13% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1833 | *0 | > | - | = | = | = | = | > | = | < | > | _ | 0 | 0 | 9.97% | 1.05% | 41.96% |
| 4 | luiser | 1803 | = | = | = | - | _ | = | _ | = | _ | = | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 8.93% | 0.84% | 52.05% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1814 | _ | = | = | _ | - | = | _ | = | _ | = | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 10.32% | 0.90% | 48.22% |
| 6 | CHJ | 1802 | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | _ | = | = | _ | 0 | 0 | 8.79% | 0.83% | 52.64% |
| 7 | kpato | 1795 | = | = | = | _ | _ | = | - | = | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 7.41% | 0.73% | 56.85% |
| 8 | Omo321 | 1794 | = | = | < | = | = | = | = | - | _ | = | < | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.76% | 0.52% | 69.22% |
| 9 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | _ | = | = | _ | _ | _ | = | _ | - | = | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.97% | 0.51% | 65.81% |
| 10 | Carroll | 1753 | = | = | > | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.57% | 0.44% | 67.91% |
| 11 | hershoff | 1702 | > | = | < | _ | _ | = | = | > | _ | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 1.51% | 0.23% | 82.60% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | = | - | 0 | 0 | 14.72% | 1.15% | 41.57% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Martyn Hamer 2 - 0 RoRoRo the Bot

Games completed: 2/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1695 | - | < | *2 | = | = | = | > | = | = | = | = | _ | 2 | 0 | 2.12% | 0.35% | 75.57% |
| 2 | jano_wol | 1839 | > | - | 2 | = | _ | = | = | = | _ | = | < | _ | 2 | 0 | 22.33% | 1.58% | 26.67% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1811 | *0 | 0 | - | = | = | = | > | > | = | < | > | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.22% | 0.54% | 64.48% |
| 4 | luiser | 1803 | = | = | = | - | _ | = | _ | = | _ | = | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 9.53% | 0.94% | 50.63% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1814 | = | _ | = | _ | - | = | _ | = | _ | = | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 11.35% | 1.04% | 46.83% |
| 6 | CHJ | 1802 | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | _ | = | = | _ | 0 | 0 | 9.62% | 0.92% | 51.28% |
| 7 | kpato | 1795 | < | = | < | _ | _ | = | - | = | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 5.68% | 0.56% | 63.11% |
| 8 | Omo321 | 1785 | = | = | < | = | = | = | = | - | _ | = | < | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.41% | 0.50% | 68.27% |
| 9 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | = | _ | - | = | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.36% | 0.66% | 64.64% |
| 10 | Carroll | 1753 | = | = | > | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.56% | 0.57% | 66.92% |
| 11 | hershoff | 1702 | = | > | < | _ | _ | = | = | > | _ | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 1.76% | 0.25% | 81.77% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | = | - | 0 | 0 | 15.65% | 1.27% | 39.84% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* RoRoRo the Bot 2 - 0 hershoff
\* Omo321 0 - 2 RoRoRo the Bot

Games completed: 4/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1835 | - | 0 | 0 | _ | = | = | > | *2 | = | < | *2 | = | 4 | 0 | 6.33% | 0.90% | 45.40% |
| 2 | Martyn Hamer | 1717 | 2 | - | < | _ | = | = | > | > | = | < | > | = | 2 | 8 | 3.75% | 0.43% | 65.73% |
| 3 | jano_wol | 1839 | 2 | > | - | _ | _ | = | = | = | _ | = | < | = | 2 | 8 | 24.16% | 1.57% | 25.34% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | = | _ | 0 | 0 | 15.48% | 1.19% | 39.57% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1814 | = | = | _ | _ | - | = | _ | = | _ | = | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 11.08% | 0.98% | 48.01% |
| 6 | CHJ | 1802 | = | = | = | _ | = | - | = | = | _ | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 9.08% | 0.84% | 52.95% |
| 7 | kpato | 1795 | < | < | = | = | _ | = | - | = | = | = | = | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.08% | 0.48% | 68.62% |
| 8 | Omo321 | 1753 | *0 | < | = | _ | = | = | = | - | _ | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.40% | 0.21% | 83.14% |
| 9 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | _ | - | = | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.00% | 0.54% | 65.70% |
| 10 | Carroll | 1753 | > | > | = | _ | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 5.47% | 0.59% | 64.24% |
| 11 | hershoff | 1719 | *0 | < | > | = | _ | = | = | = | _ | = | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.91% | 0.16% | 87.19% |
| 12 | luiser | 1803 | = | = | = | _ | _ | = | _ | = | _ | = | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 9.03% | 0.88% | 54.11% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* jano_wol 2 - 0 Omo321
\* hershoff 2 - 0 jano_wol
\* Omo321 0 - 2 Martyn Hamer
\* hershoff 0 - 2 Omo321
\* jano_wol 2 - 0 Martyn Hamer

Games completed: 9/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1842 | - | *2 | 2 | *0 | *2 | = | > | > | > | = | _ | = | 6 | 20 | 43.53% | 2.11% | 6.19% |
| 2 | Martyn Hamer | 1813 | *0 | - | 2 | > | *2 | = | < | = | < | > | = | = | 4 | 12 | 9.06% | 0.78% | 32.49% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1835 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | < | = | = | = | > | = | = | 4 | 8 | 3.87% | 0.46% | 47.81% |
| 4 | hershoff | 1739 | *2 | < | 0 | - | *0 | < | = | < | > | = | _ | = | 2 | 12 | 0.12% | 0.03% | 92.28% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1740 | *0 | *0 | 0 | *2 | - | = | = | < | > | > | _ | = | 2 | 4 | 0.13% | 0.04% | 90.08% |
| 6 | Carroll | 1771 | = | = | > | > | = | - | < | > | > | > | = | = | 0 | 0 | 10.49% | 1.02% | 43.47% |
| 7 | luiser | 1710 | < | > | = | = | = | > | - | = | < | > | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.31% | 0.20% | 80.50% |
| 8 | CHJ | 1802 | < | = | = | > | > | < | = | - | = | = | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 5.50% | 0.59% | 58.13% |
| 9 | simon craddock | 1814 | < | > | = | < | < | < | > | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.47% | 0.37% | 64.73% |
| 10 | kpato | 1820 | = | < | < | = | < | < | < | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 2.27% | 0.34% | 75.07% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | _ | = | = | _ | _ | = | = | _ | = | = | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.11% | 0.46% | 67.54% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 12.55% | 1.02% | 41.70% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* hershoff 0 - 2 Carroll
\* jano_wol 0 - 2 Carroll
\* Carroll 2 - 0 RoRoRo the Bot

Games completed: 12/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Carroll | 1821 | - | *2 | = | *2 | *2 | = | < | = | = | > | > | = | 6 | 24 | 36.51% | 2.36% | 11.52% |
| 2 | jano_wol | 1823 | *0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | = | = | > | > | < | 6 | 20 | 14.27% | 1.86% | 16.90% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1814 | = | 0 | - | 2 | > | 2 | < | = | > | = | < | < | 4 | 12 | 7.44% | 0.84% | 42.80% |
| 4 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1830 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | = | = | > | = | = | = | 4 | 8 | 1.25% | 0.32% | 63.15% |
| 5 | hershoff | 1712 | *0 | 2 | < | 0 | - | 0 | = | = | < | < | > | = | 2 | 12 | 0.05% | 0.01% | 96.28% |
| 6 | Omo321 | 1741 | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | > | = | > | < | > | = | 2 | 4 | 0.31% | 0.09% | 88.49% |
| 7 | luiser | 1710 | > | < | > | = | = | < | - | = | > | = | < | < | 0 | 0 | 1.23% | 0.18% | 82.65% |
| 8 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 4.28% | 0.53% | 67.81% |
| 9 | kpato | 1820 | = | = | < | < | > | < | < | = | - | = | = | > | 0 | 0 | 3.38% | 0.47% | 68.96% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1802 | < | < | = | = | > | > | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 5.64% | 0.56% | 60.12% |
| 11 | simon craddock | 1814 | < | < | > | = | < | < | > | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 3.91% | 0.44% | 66.71% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | = | > | > | = | = | = | > | = | < | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 17.38% | 1.34% | 34.60% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* RoRoRo the Bot 2 - 0 kpato

Games completed: 13/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Carroll | 1821 | - | 2 | 2 | < | 2 | > | = | = | > | < | > | = | 6 | 28 | 34.79% | 2.44% | 11.64% |
| 2 | jano_wol | 1823 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | = | = | > | > | > | < | 6 | 24 | 13.59% | 1.66% | 19.41% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1844 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | = | > | > | = | > | 6 | 8 | 3.12% | 0.50% | 40.62% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1814 | > | 0 | 2 | - | > | 2 | > | = | > | < | < | < | 4 | 16 | 13.27% | 1.33% | 27.99% |
| 5 | hershoff | 1689 | 0 | 2 | 0 | < | - | 0 | < | = | < | = | > | = | 2 | 12 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 97.62% |
| 6 | Omo321 | 1755 | < | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | > | = | < | > | > | = | 2 | 4 | 0.18% | 0.06% | 90.79% |
| 7 | kpato | 1786 | = | = | *0 | < | > | < | - | = | = | < | = | > | 0 | 0 | 1.11% | 0.15% | 84.40% |
| 8 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 4.60% | 0.50% | 68.22% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1802 | < | < | < | < | > | > | = | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.69% | 0.38% | 69.46% |
| 10 | luiser | 1710 | > | < | < | > | = | < | > | = | = | - | < | < | 0 | 0 | 0.90% | 0.14% | 86.82% |
| 11 | simon craddock | 1814 | < | < | = | > | < | < | = | = | = | > | - | = | 0 | 0 | 5.11% | 0.55% | 63.53% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | = | > | < | > | = | = | < | = | = | > | = | - | 0 | 0 | 15.25% | 1.28% | 39.50% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kpato 2 - 0 jano_wol

Games completed: 14/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Carroll | 1821 | - | 2 | 2 | < | = | 2 | > | < | = | > | > | = | 6 | 28 | 37.21% | 2.15% | 12.43% |
| 2 | jano_wol | 1806 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | *0 | 0 | 2 | > | = | > | > | < | 6 | 24 | 5.74% | 0.87% | 33.40% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1844 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | = | > | = | > | 6 | 12 | 4.19% | 0.84% | 38.38% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1793 | > | 0 | 2 | - | > | > | 2 | < | = | > | < | < | 4 | 16 | 13.56% | 1.14% | 32.03% |
| 5 | kpato | 1803 | = | *2 | 0 | < | - | > | < | < | = | = | = | > | 2 | 12 | 2.70% | 0.41% | 70.52% |
| 6 | hershoff | 1689 | 0 | 2 | 0 | < | < | - | 0 | = | = | < | > | = | 2 | 12 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 97.87% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1755 | < | 0 | 0 | 0 | > | 2 | - | > | = | < | > | = | 2 | 4 | 0.28% | 0.08% | 89.82% |
| 8 | luiser | 1710 | > | < | < | > | > | = | < | - | = | = | < | < | 0 | 0 | 1.05% | 0.21% | 85.75% |
| 9 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 4.83% | 0.49% | 68.07% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1802 | < | < | < | < | = | > | > | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 4.23% | 0.46% | 69.08% |
| 11 | simon craddock | 1814 | < | < | = | > | = | < | < | > | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 5.93% | 0.58% | 63.20% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | = | > | < | > | < | = | = | > | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 16.08% | 1.38% | 39.46% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Martyn Hamer 2 - 0 kpato

Games completed: 15/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1806 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | > | > | = | < | 6 | 28 | 5.46% | 0.71% | 32.33% |
| 2 | Carroll | 1821 | 2 | - | < | 2 | 2 | = | > | < | > | > | = | = | 6 | 28 | 33.37% | 2.15% | 13.20% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1838 | 0 | > | - | 2 | > | *2 | 2 | < | > | < | = | < | 6 | 20 | 21.93% | 1.81% | 17.39% |
| 4 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1844 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | > | < | = | > | 6 | 12 | 2.11% | 0.52% | 47.41% |
| 5 | hershoff | 1660 | 2 | 0 | < | 0 | - | < | 0 | = | < | > | = | = | 2 | 12 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 98.66% |
| 6 | kpato | 1787 | 2 | = | *0 | 0 | > | - | < | < | = | = | = | > | 2 | 12 | 0.69% | 0.22% | 80.95% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1755 | 0 | < | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | - | > | < | > | = | = | 2 | 4 | 0.20% | 0.06% | 90.37% |
| 8 | luiser | 1710 | < | > | > | < | = | > | < | - | = | < | = | < | 0 | 0 | 1.07% | 0.17% | 85.78% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1802 | < | < | < | < | > | = | > | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.76% | 0.45% | 69.55% |
| 10 | simon craddock | 1814 | < | < | > | > | < | = | < | > | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 7.11% | 0.68% | 57.29% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 4.71% | 0.53% | 67.83% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | > | = | > | < | = | < | = | > | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 15.44% | 1.30% | 39.24% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* jano_wol 2 - 0 luiser

Games completed: 16/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1817 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | > | > | *2 | < | 8 | 28 | 6.65% | 0.89% | 24.87% |
| 2 | Carroll | 1821 | 2 | - | < | 2 | = | 2 | > | = | > | > | < | = | 6 | 32 | 34.11% | 2.19% | 12.22% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1808 | 0 | > | - | 2 | 2 | > | 2 | = | > | = | < | < | 6 | 20 | 21.86% | 1.74% | 17.42% |
| 4 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1844 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | > | < | > | > | 6 | 12 | 2.12% | 0.44% | 45.01% |
| 5 | kpato | 1787 | 2 | = | 0 | 0 | - | > | < | = | = | = | < | > | 2 | 16 | 0.79% | 0.18% | 80.31% |
| 6 | hershoff | 1660 | 2 | 0 | < | 0 | < | - | 0 | = | < | > | = | = | 2 | 16 | 0.01% | 0 | 98.52% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1755 | 0 | < | 0 | 0 | > | 2 | - | = | < | > | > | = | 2 | 4 | 0.18% | 0.05% | 90.92% |
| 8 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 4.90% | 0.48% | 66.64% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1802 | < | < | < | < | = | > | > | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.83% | 0.38% | 69.07% |
| 10 | simon craddock | 1814 | < | < | = | > | = | < | < | = | = | - | > | = | 0 | 0 | 5.69% | 0.55% | 62.47% |
| 11 | luiser | 1685 | *0 | > | > | < | > | = | < | = | = | < | - | < | 0 | 0 | 0.20% | 0.04% | 93.93% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | > | = | > | < | < | = | = | = | = | = | > | - | 0 | 0 | 15.66% | 1.28% | 38.63% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* RoRoRo the Bot 2 - 0 luiser

Games completed: 17/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1817 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | = | < | 8 | 32 | 4.37% | 0.57% | 34.73% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1853 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | < | > | = | > | 8 | 12 | 2.71% | 0.59% | 34.24% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1821 | 2 | 2 | - | < | 2 | = | > | < | > | > | = | = | 6 | 36 | 33.83% | 2.16% | 12.44% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1808 | 0 | 2 | > | - | > | 2 | 2 | = | = | > | = | < | 6 | 24 | 25.15% | 1.90% | 15.27% |
| 5 | hershoff | 1660 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | - | < | 0 | = | > | < | = | = | 2 | 16 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 98.61% |
| 6 | kpato | 1787 | 2 | 0 | = | 0 | > | - | < | < | < | = | = | > | 2 | 16 | 0.47% | 0.14% | 85.07% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1742 | 0 | 0 | < | 0 | 2 | > | - | > | > | < | = | = | 2 | 4 | 0.13% | 0.03% | 92.20% |
| 8 | luiser | 1678 | 0 | *0 | > | = | = | > | < | - | < | = | = | < | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.02% | 96.06% |
| 9 | simon craddock | 1814 | = | > | < | = | < | > | < | > | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 8.87% | 0.86% | 51.33% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1802 | < | < | < | < | > | = | > | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.60% | 0.43% | 68.81% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 4.67% | 0.50% | 67.85% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | > | < | = | > | = | < | = | > | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 12.08% | 1.13% | 43.38% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Martyn Hamer 0 - 2 luiser

Games completed: 18/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1817 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | = | > | < | 8 | 36 | 5.91% | 0.78% | 32.39% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1832 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | < | > | > | 8 | 16 | 1.49% | 0.42% | 41.01% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1821 | 2 | 2 | - | < | = | 2 | < | > | = | > | > | > | 6 | 36 | 40.89% | 2.32% | 10.65% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1810 | 0 | 2 | > | - | 2 | > | *0 | 2 | = | = | > | = | 6 | 24 | 19.17% | 1.78% | 21.20% |
| 5 | kpato | 1795 | 2 | 0 | = | 0 | - | > | < | < | = | < | = | > | 2 | 16 | 0.61% | 0.21% | 84.18% |
| 6 | hershoff | 1660 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | < | - | = | 0 | = | > | < | = | 2 | 16 | 0.02% | 0.00% | 98.77% |
| 7 | luiser | 1755 | 0 | 0 | > | *2 | > | = | - | < | = | = | < | < | 2 | 12 | 1.34% | 0.29% | 77.52% |
| 8 | Omo321 | 1726 | 0 | 0 | < | 0 | > | 2 | > | - | = | > | < | > | 2 | 4 | 0.27% | 0.06% | 91.00% |
| 9 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 4.91% | 0.53% | 67.42% |
| 10 | simon craddock | 1814 | = | > | < | = | > | < | = | < | = | - | = | < | 0 | 0 | 8.35% | 0.75% | 54.78% |
| 11 | CHJ | 1802 | < | < | < | < | = | > | > | > | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 4.70% | 0.51% | 66.54% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | > | < | < | = | < | = | > | < | = | > | = | - | 0 | 0 | 8.26% | 0.83% | 54.55% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Carroll 0 - 2 Martyn Hamer

Games completed: 19/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1817 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | = | = | < | 8 | 40 | 6.45% | 0.75% | 33.37% |
| 2 | Martyn Hamer | 1836 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | > | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | = | = | = | 8 | 36 | 29.31% | 2.29% | 9.99% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1832 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | = | > | 8 | 16 | 1.48% | 0.37% | 42.96% |
| 4 | Carroll | 1805 | 2 | *0 | 2 | - | 2 | < | > | > | > | > | = | > | 6 | 36 | 27.99% | 2.20% | 14.17% |
| 5 | hershoff | 1660 | 2 | < | 0 | 0 | - | = | < | 0 | < | > | = | = | 2 | 16 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 98.79% |
| 6 | luiser | 1739 | 0 | 2 | 0 | > | = | - | > | < | < | = | = | < | 2 | 16 | 1.24% | 0.26% | 77.84% |
| 7 | kpato | 1795 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | > | < | - | < | > | < | = | > | 2 | 16 | 0.63% | 0.16% | 84.68% |
| 8 | Omo321 | 1710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | < | 2 | > | > | - | = | = | = | > | 2 | 4 | 0.15% | 0.04% | 92.23% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1802 | < | < | < | < | > | > | < | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.52% | 0.39% | 73.19% |
| 10 | simon craddock | 1814 | = | = | > | < | < | = | > | = | = | - | = | < | 0 | 0 | 10.51% | 0.93% | 50.66% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 5.23% | 0.56% | 68.22% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | > | = | < | < | = | > | < | < | = | > | = | - | 0 | 0 | 9.19% | 0.95% | 53.90% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Omo321 2 - 0 kpato

Games completed: 20/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1817 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | > | = | = | < | 8 | 44 | 7.52% | 0.96% | 25.73% |
| 2 | Martyn Hamer | 1811 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 0 | 2 | > | = | = | = | 8 | 40 | 23.91% | 2.08% | 12.27% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1832 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | = | > | 8 | 20 | 1.36% | 0.31% | 44.55% |
| 4 | Carroll | 1805 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | > | 2 | < | > | > | > | = | > | 6 | 36 | 33.21% | 2.36% | 10.34% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1729 | 0 | 0 | 0 | < | - | 2 | > | *2 | = | = | = | > | 4 | 8 | 0.29% | 0.09% | 89.23% |
| 6 | hershoff | 1660 | 2 | < | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | = | < | < | > | = | = | 2 | 16 | 0.02% | 0 | 98.69% |
| 7 | luiser | 1739 | 0 | 2 | 0 | > | < | = | - | > | < | = | = | < | 2 | 16 | 1.13% | 0.24% | 78.41% |
| 8 | kpato | 1776 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | *0 | > | < | - | > | < | = | > | 2 | 16 | 0.27% | 0.08% | 90.23% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1802 | < | < | < | < | = | > | > | < | - | < | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.16% | 0.19% | 84.45% |
| 10 | simon craddock | 1814 | = | = | > | < | = | < | = | > | > | - | = | < | 0 | 0 | 11.86% | 1.08% | 45.73% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 5.67% | 0.63% | 67.04% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | > | = | < | < | < | = | > | < | = | > | = | - | 0 | 0 | 9.27% | 0.95% | 53.34% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Omo321 0 - 2 Carroll

Games completed: 21/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1811 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | > | = | = | = | 8 | 44 | 22.65% | 1.89% | 13.24% |
| 2 | Carroll | 1817 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | < | > | 2 | > | = | = | > | 8 | 44 | 32.20% | 2.19% | 8.78% |
| 3 | jano_wol | 1817 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | > | = | = | < | 8 | 44 | 6.97% | 0.81% | 27.07% |
| 4 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | = | < | > | 8 | 20 | 1.07% | 0.27% | 46.05% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1717 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | = | 2 | 2 | = | = | = | > | 4 | 8 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 95.83% |
| 6 | luiser | 1739 | 2 | > | 0 | 0 | = | - | > | = | < | = | = | < | 2 | 16 | 1.59% | 0.26% | 74.50% |
| 7 | kpato | 1776 | 0 | < | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | - | > | > | = | < | > | 2 | 16 | 0.27% | 0.10% | 90.14% |
| 8 | hershoff | 1647 | < | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | < | - | < | = | > | = | 2 | 16 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 98.91% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1802 | < | < | < | < | = | > | < | > | - | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 1.16% | 0.19% | 84.40% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 5.62% | 0.55% | 66.95% |
| 11 | simon craddock | 1814 | = | = | = | > | = | = | > | < | > | = | - | < | 0 | 0 | 15.48% | 1.20% | 40.95% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | = | < | > | < | < | > | < | = | = | = | > | - | 0 | 0 | 8.91% | 0.95% | 53.18% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* jano_wol 2 - 0 CHJ

Games completed: 22/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1832 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | *2 | = | = | < | 10 | 44 | 9.46% | 1.12% | 19.14% |
| 2 | Carroll | 1817 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | 2 | < | > | = | = | > | 8 | 48 | 33.58% | 2.40% | 8.25% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1817 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 0 | = | = | = | = | 8 | 44 | 19.57% | 1.88% | 16.18% |
| 4 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1846 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | = | < | > | 8 | 20 | 1.10% | 0.19% | 51.86% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1725 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | > | = | = | = | > | 4 | 8 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 93.54% |
| 6 | kpato | 1776 | 2 | < | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | > | < | = | = | < | > | 2 | 20 | 0.26% | 0.06% | 91.94% |
| 7 | hershoff | 1654 | 2 | 0 | < | 0 | 0 | < | - | = | < | = | > | = | 2 | 20 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 98.82% |
| 8 | luiser | 1764 | 0 | > | 2 | 0 | < | > | = | - | < | = | = | < | 2 | 16 | 1.49% | 0.23% | 75.35% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1787 | *0 | < | = | = | = | = | > | > | - | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 1.50% | 0.25% | 80.35% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 4.99% | 0.55% | 68.60% |
| 11 | simon craddock | 1814 | = | = | = | > | = | > | < | = | > | = | - | < | 0 | 0 | 14.76% | 1.11% | 42.22% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | > | < | = | < | < | < | = | > | = | = | > | - | 0 | 0 | 9.04% | 0.89% | 53.75% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Carroll 0 - 2 luiser
\* simon craddock 0 - 2 jano_wol
\* Omo321 2 - 0 luiser

Games completed: 25/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | *2 | = | < | 12 | 52 | 11.75% | 1.74% | 4.18% |
| 2 | Carroll | 1799 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | *0 | > | 2 | > | = | = | > | 8 | 56 | 27.73% | 3.07% | 9.93% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1832 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | = | > | = | = | 8 | 48 | 32.66% | 2.78% | 9.05% |
| 4 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1846 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | < | = | > | 8 | 28 | 2.27% | 0.34% | 43.67% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1772 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | 2 | 2 | = | = | = | > | 6 | 16 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 89.37% |
| 6 | luiser | 1773 | 0 | *2 | 2 | 0 | *0 | - | = | = | = | = | = | = | 4 | 32 | 1.17% | 0.27% | 73.42% |
| 7 | kpato | 1790 | 2 | < | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | - | > | = | = | = | > | 2 | 24 | 0.66% | 0.18% | 84.45% |
| 8 | hershoff | 1642 | 2 | 0 | < | 0 | 0 | = | < | - | < | > | = | = | 2 | 24 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 99.23% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1787 | 0 | < | = | = | = | = | = | > | - | < | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.38% | 0.14% | 84.10% |
| 10 | simon craddock | 1799 | *0 | = | < | > | = | = | = | < | > | - | = | < | 0 | 0 | 2.91% | 0.36% | 74.94% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 5.27% | 0.57% | 71.06% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | > | < | = | < | < | = | < | = | = | > | = | - | 0 | 0 | 9.14% | 0.97% | 56.59% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Carroll 2 - 0 kpato

Games completed: 26/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | < | 12 | 52 | 10.35% | 1.50% | 3.85% |
| 2 | Carroll | 1818 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | *2 | = | > | = | > | 10 | 60 | 40.73% | 3.11% | 4.11% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1832 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | 2 | = | = | = | = | 8 | 52 | 23.53% | 2.31% | 13.07% |
| 4 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1846 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | < | = | > | 8 | 28 | 1.79% | 0.23% | 44.02% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1758 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | = | = | > | 6 | 16 | 0.01% | 0.03% | 86.03% |
| 6 | luiser | 1762 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | = | = | = | = | = | = | 4 | 36 | 0.93% | 0.23% | 74.79% |
| 7 | hershoff | 1642 | 2 | 0 | < | 0 | 0 | = | - | < | > | < | = | = | 2 | 24 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 99.13% |
| 8 | kpato | 1775 | 2 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | > | - | = | = | = | > | 2 | 24 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 91.91% |
| 9 | simon craddock | 1799 | 0 | = | = | = | < | = | < | = | - | > | = | < | 0 | 0 | 2.47% | 0.31% | 78.35% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1787 | 0 | < | = | > | = | = | > | = | < | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.87% | 0.21% | 78.80% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 5.00% | 0.56% | 70.86% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | > | < | = | < | < | = | = | < | > | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 8.73% | 0.93% | 55.07% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* luiser 0 - 2 kpato
\* RoRoRo the Bot 2 - 0 simon craddock

Games completed: 28/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | < | 12 | 56 | 8.63% | 1.60% | 4.96% |
| 2 | Carroll | 1818 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | = | = | > | 10 | 68 | 43.38% | 3.23% | 3.12% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1859 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | *2 | = | > | 10 | 32 | 3.60% | 0.38% | 23.10% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1832 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | = | = | = | = | 8 | 60 | 24.57% | 2.45% | 11.75% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1758 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | > | = | > | 6 | 20 | 0.01% | 0 | 86.76% |
| 6 | luiser | 1751 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | *0 | = | = | = | = | = | 4 | 36 | 0.04% | 0.04% | 88.75% |
| 7 | kpato | 1793 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *2 | - | > | = | = | = | > | 4 | 32 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 85.92% |
| 8 | hershoff | 1642 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | 0 | = | < | - | < | > | = | = | 2 | 24 | 0.00% | 0 | 99.36% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1787 | 0 | < | > | = | = | = | = | > | - | < | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.72% | 0.18% | 78.50% |
| 10 | simon craddock | 1786 | 0 | = | *0 | = | < | = | = | < | > | - | = | < | 0 | 0 | 0.55% | 0.13% | 90.23% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 4.93% | 0.54% | 70.55% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | > | < | < | = | < | = | < | = | = | > | = | - | 0 | 0 | 7.98% | 0.89% | 56.98% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Martyn Hamer 0 - 2 simon craddock

Games completed: 29/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | < | 12 | 60 | 11.89% | 1.94% | 4.32% |
| 2 | Carroll | 1818 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | = | > | 10 | 68 | 50.15% | 2.88% | 3.51% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1859 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | = | > | 10 | 36 | 4.84% | 0.61% | 22.39% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1814 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | *0 | = | = | = | 8 | 60 | 10.60% | 1.33% | 23.35% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1758 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | = | = | > | 6 | 20 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 86.68% |
| 6 | luiser | 1751 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | > | = | = | = | = | 4 | 36 | 0.07% | 0.05% | 87.49% |
| 7 | kpato | 1779 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | > | = | = | = | > | 4 | 32 | 0.04% | 0.07% | 85.96% |
| 8 | hershoff | 1642 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | 0 | < | < | - | > | < | = | < | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0.00% | 99.80% |
| 9 | simon craddock | 1804 | 0 | = | 0 | *2 | < | = | = | < | - | > | = | < | 2 | 16 | 1.54% | 0.39% | 80.26% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1787 | 0 | < | > | = | = | = | = | > | < | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 2.02% | 0.23% | 79.53% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 5.14% | 0.61% | 71.05% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1835 | > | < | < | = | < | = | < | > | > | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 9.34% | 0.97% | 55.65% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ragnar Wikman 0 - 2 RoRoRo the Bot

Games completed: 30/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | < | 12 | 64 | 15.31% | 1.91% | 4.11% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1873 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | = | *2 | 12 | 36 | 7.25% | 0.79% | 15.26% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1799 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | = | > | 10 | 72 | 42.84% | 2.78% | 6.27% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1814 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | 0 | = | = | = | 8 | 64 | 11.68% | 1.47% | 24.40% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1758 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | > | = | > | 6 | 20 | 0.02% | 0.03% | 81.30% |
| 6 | luiser | 1734 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | > | = | = | = | = | 4 | 36 | 0.09% | 0.04% | 89.55% |
| 7 | kpato | 1760 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | > | < | = | = | > | 4 | 32 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 92.77% |
| 8 | hershoff | 1642 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | 0 | < | < | - | > | < | = | < | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0.00% | 99.72% |
| 9 | simon craddock | 1804 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | < | = | > | < | - | > | = | < | 2 | 16 | 2.41% | 0.55% | 74.49% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1787 | 0 | > | < | = | < | = | = | > | < | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 2.37% | 0.22% | 80.92% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 6.14% | 0.61% | 69.92% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1821 | > | *0 | < | = | < | = | < | > | > | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 7.40% | 0.84% | 61.29% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Omo321 2 - 0 simon craddock

Games completed: 31/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | < | 12 | 68 | 14.89% | 1.92% | 3.84% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1883 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | = | 2 | 12 | 40 | 7.21% | 0.82% | 13.51% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1823 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | = | > | 10 | 76 | 50.32% | 2.81% | 4.39% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1877 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | = | 0 | = | = | < | 8 | 68 | 7.45% | 1.01% | 30.37% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1768 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | > | = | > | 8 | 24 | 0.04% | 0.05% | 72.44% |
| 6 | luiser | 1772 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | > | = | = | = | = | 4 | 36 | 0.13% | 0.09% | 84.52% |
| 7 | kpato | 1760 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | > | < | = | = | > | 4 | 32 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 92.39% |
| 8 | hershoff | 1625 | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | < | < | - | > | < | = | < | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0.00% | 99.81% |
| 9 | simon craddock | 1786 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | *0 | = | > | < | - | > | = | < | 2 | 16 | 0.55% | 0.16% | 86.13% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1796 | 0 | > | < | = | < | = | = | > | < | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 2.19% | 0.27% | 81.30% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 4.85% | 0.58% | 73.53% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1821 | > | 0 | < | > | < | = | < | > | > | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 8.17% | 1.00% | 57.76% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* luiser 0 - 2 simon craddock

Games completed: 32/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | 2 | < | 12 | 72 | 9.90% | 1.84% | 4.61% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1883 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | < | 2 | 12 | 44 | 4.94% | 0.56% | 13.01% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1823 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | 2 | = | > | > | 10 | 76 | 59.15% | 2.91% | 2.49% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1868 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | = | = | < | 8 | 68 | 6.18% | 0.94% | 30.14% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1768 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | > | > | 8 | 28 | 0.02% | 0.03% | 70.29% |
| 6 | luiser | 1760 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | *0 | > | = | = | < | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 97.09% |
| 7 | kpato | 1760 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | < | > | = | = | = | 4 | 32 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 94.59% |
| 8 | simon craddock | 1802 | 0 | 0 | < | 2 | 0 | *2 | > | - | < | = | > | < | 4 | 24 | 0.42% | 0.11% | 86.86% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1629 | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | < | < | > | - | = | < | < | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0.00% | 99.58% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 4.37% | 0.62% | 71.15% |
| 11 | CHJ | 1796 | 0 | > | < | = | < | = | = | < | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 1.79% | 0.24% | 80.08% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1804 | > | 0 | < | > | < | > | = | > | > | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 9.20% | 1.03% | 50.10% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* simon craddock 2 - 0 kpato

Games completed: 33/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | < | 12 | 76 | 11.98% | 1.56% | 4.48% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1898 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | 2 | 12 | 48 | 6.36% | 0.52% | 7.53% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1841 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | = | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | > | 10 | 76 | 56.44% | 2.69% | 2.50% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1869 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | = | = | = | 8 | 68 | 10.39% | 1.17% | 23.98% |
| 5 | Omo321 | 1783 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | > | = | 8 | 32 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 77.74% |
| 6 | simon craddock | 1816 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | < | = | > | = | 6 | 32 | 1.56% | 0.51% | 67.37% |
| 7 | luiser | 1775 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | > | = | = | < | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 97.12% |
| 8 | kpato | 1746 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | - | > | = | = | < | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 99.16% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1607 | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | > | < | < | - | = | < | < | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 99.68% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | < | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 2.92% | 0.44% | 77.84% |
| 11 | CHJ | 1796 | 0 | > | < | = | < | < | = | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 1.81% | 0.22% | 82.15% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1804 | > | 0 | < | = | = | = | > | > | > | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 4.86% | 0.38% | 60.44% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Martyn Hamer 2 - 0 hershoff
\* Carroll 0 - 2 simon craddock

Games completed: 35/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | < | 12 | 84 | 17.95% | 1.88% | 5.11% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1910 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | > | 2 | 12 | 52 | 9.71% | 0.93% | 7.01% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1821 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | *0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | = | > | 10 | 76 | 26.21% | 2.51% | 5.23% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1895 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | *2 | > | = | = | 10 | 72 | 30.26% | 1.86% | 10.01% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1832 | 0 | 0 | *2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | > | = | = | 8 | 56 | 2.48% | 1.16% | 48.06% |
| 6 | Omo321 | 1783 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | = | = | 8 | 36 | 0.00% | 0 | 82.47% |
| 7 | luiser | 1768 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | > | = | = | = | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 97.50% |
| 8 | kpato | 1760 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | > | > | = | < | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 99.43% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1749 | 2 | 0 | 0 | *0 | > | 0 | < | < | - | = | = | < | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 99.82% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1796 | 0 | > | < | < | < | < | = | < | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.65% | 0.08% | 93.20% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | < | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 3.13% | 0.36% | 83.02% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1804 | > | 0 | < | = | = | = | = | > | > | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 5.24% | 0.45% | 69.14% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* luiser 2 - 0 hershoff

Games completed: 36/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | < | 12 | 88 | 18.79% | 1.85% | 4.85% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1910 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | 2 | 12 | 56 | 9.85% | 1.05% | 7.31% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1821 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | > | 10 | 76 | 25.62% | 2.51% | 5.38% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1895 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | = | 10 | 72 | 29.77% | 1.77% | 10.34% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | = | > | = | 8 | 60 | 2.75% | 1.23% | 47.64% |
| 6 | Omo321 | 1783 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | > | = | 8 | 40 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 82.24% |
| 7 | luiser | 1783 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | *2 | = | = | = | 6 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 96.75% |
| 8 | kpato | 1760 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | > | = | > | < | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 99.45% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1734 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | > | 0 | *0 | < | - | = | = | < | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 99.93% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | < | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.09% | 0.40% | 82.86% |
| 11 | CHJ | 1796 | 0 | > | < | < | < | < | = | < | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.62% | 0.08% | 93.38% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1804 | > | 0 | < | = | = | = | = | > | > | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 5.01% | 0.53% | 69.85% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* luiser 2 - 0 Ragnar Wikman

Games completed: 37/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | < | 12 | 92 | 22.81% | 0.78% | 3.84% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1910 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | 2 | 12 | 60 | 10.63% | 1.33% | 7.18% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1821 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | > | 10 | 76 | 23.74% | 1.64% | 6.01% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1895 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | = | 10 | 72 | 28.04% | 1.70% | 10.06% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | = | > | > | 8 | 64 | 6.57% | 2.25% | 24.93% |
| 6 | Omo321 | 1783 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | > | = | 8 | 44 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 83.81% |
| 7 | luiser | 1812 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | = | > | *2 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 92.93% |
| 8 | kpato | 1760 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | > | = | > | < | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 99.77% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1705 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | > | 0 | 0 | < | - | = | = | < | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 99.98% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | < | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.14% | 0.38% | 83.81% |
| 11 | CHJ | 1796 | 0 | > | < | < | < | < | < | < | = | = | - | > | 0 | 0 | 0.38% | 0.06% | 96.14% |
| 12 | Ragnar Wikman | 1788 | > | 0 | < | = | < | = | *0 | > | > | = | < | - | 0 | 0 | 0.66% | 0.19% | 91.55% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ragnar Wikman 2 - 0 Martyn Hamer

Games completed: 38/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 92 | 46.29% | 1.29% | 1.18% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1910 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 12 | 64 | 22.59% | 1.63% | 6.32% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1821 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 10 | 76 | 11.35% | 1.47% | 18.03% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1875 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *0 | _ | _ | 10 | 72 | 1.03% | 0.51% | 30.32% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 64 | 4.84% | 1.43% | 38.17% |
| 6 | luiser | 1812 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0.00% | 89.20% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1783 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 44 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 85.43% |
| 8 | kpato | 1760 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | 99.00% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1705 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 99.76% |
| 10 | Ragnar Wikman | 1808 | _ | 0 | _ | *2 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 20 | 3.90% | 0.71% | 72.99% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.76% | 0.43% | 78.50% |
| 12 | CHJ | 1796 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.50% | 0.19% | 81.09% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Is something wrong with you Rororo that you don't put game outcome predictions anymore?
And how does the result of Ragnar against Martyn manage to drop my chances from 23% to 11%?

I'm guessing the two issues are connected, Carroll. If RoRoRo no longer uses the match info in his calculations, your chances will decrease, since in the last post, you were ahead in two of your three remaining matches, with a "=" in the last match. Using that information obviously gives you a higher win probability than not using it.

I was in that bit of the code yesterday. Looks like I broke something. It may just be cosmetic, I hope it's not made the predictions invalid.

Thanks for the prompt report!

Here's one of the lines I typed yesterday:
# PHIL!!!! FIX THIS!!!!!
And sure enough, the following line needs to change...

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ragnar Wikman 0 - 2 Carroll

Games completed: 39/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1847 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | = | 2 | 12 | 92 | 31.32% | 1.66% | 1.65% |
| 2 | Carroll | 1843 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | = | = | 12 | 80 | 28.69% | 2.72% | 2.37% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1910 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | = | 12 | 64 | 26.47% | 1.90% | 3.79% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1816 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | = | > | 10 | 76 | 0.94% | 0.74% | 25.02% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1832 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | < | = | = | > | 8 | 68 | 3.92% | 1.55% | 36.89% |
| 6 | luiser | 1834 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | > | 8 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 85.49% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1766 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | < | > | > | 8 | 44 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 87.70% |
| 8 | kpato | 1760 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | > | < | = | > | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 99.48% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1718 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | > | 0 | 0 | < | - | < | = | = | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 99.97% |
| 10 | Ragnar Wikman | 1793 | > | *0 | 0 | 2 | = | 0 | > | > | > | - | = | < | 2 | 20 | 1.37% | 0.64% | 75.20% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | = | < | = | = | < | < | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 2.12% | 0.30% | 87.55% |
| 12 | CHJ | 1796 | 0 | = | = | < | < | < | < | < | = | > | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0.53% | 0.10% | 94.89% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* CHJ 0 - 2 RoRoRo the Bot

Games completed: 40/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1920 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | *2 | 14 | 64 | 43.19% | 1.76% | 0.07% |
| 2 | jano_wol | 1847 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | = | 2 | 12 | 96 | 21.72% | 0.79% | 1.62% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1843 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | = | 12 | 84 | 27.50% | 1.40% | 1.82% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1816 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | = | > | 10 | 80 | 0.25% | 0.24% | 22.48% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | < | = | = | > | 8 | 68 | 1.84% | 1.47% | 38.26% |
| 6 | luiser | 1834 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | > | 8 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 88.09% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1766 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | < | > | > | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0.00% | 87.76% |
| 8 | kpato | 1760 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | > | < | = | > | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 99.52% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1718 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | > | 0 | 0 | < | - | < | = | = | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 99.98% |
| 10 | Ragnar Wikman | 1793 | 0 | > | 0 | 2 | = | 0 | > | > | > | - | = | < | 2 | 20 | 0.64% | 0.62% | 74.28% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | < | = | = | = | = | < | < | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 1.63% | 0.31% | 87.56% |
| 12 | CHJ | 1786 | *0 | 0 | = | < | < | < | < | < | = | > | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 98.56% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* simon craddock 0 - 2 hershoff

Games completed: 41/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1920 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 68 | 47.76% | 1.08% | 0.04% |
| 2 | jano_wol | 1847 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | 2 | = | 12 | 96 | 22.14% | 0.96% | 1.31% |
| 3 | Carroll | 1804 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | = | 12 | 88 | 24.35% | 1.14% | 1.80% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1806 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | > | 10 | 84 | 0.48% | 0.39% | 14.24% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1812 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | *0 | = | > | = | 8 | 68 | 0.52% | 0.20% | 44.15% |
| 6 | luiser | 1866 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | 8 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 89.09% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1777 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | < | = | > | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 90.74% |
| 8 | kpato | 1750 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | > | < | > | = | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 99.40% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1759 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | *2 | 0 | 0 | < | - | < | = | = | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 99.92% |
| 10 | Ragnar Wikman | 1793 | 0 | > | 0 | 2 | = | 0 | > | > | > | - | < | = | 2 | 20 | 0.88% | 0.80% | 73.77% |
| 11 | CHJ | 1786 | 0 | 0 | = | < | < | = | = | < | = | > | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.04% | 96.11% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | < | = | = | < | = | < | < | = | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 1.39% | 0.27% | 89.45% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* CHJ 0 - 2 Carroll

Games completed: 42/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Carroll | 1819 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | *2 | 14 | 88 | 47.73% | 1.44% | 0.01% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1920 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 2 | 14 | 68 | 28.55% | 0.56% | 0.09% |
| 3 | jano_wol | 1847 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | = | 2 | 12 | 96 | 19.24% | 1.32% | 1.71% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1806 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | > | 10 | 88 | 0.33% | 0.24% | 12.43% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1812 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | = | > | 8 | 72 | 0.34% | 0.14% | 43.40% |
| 6 | luiser | 1877 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | = | 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 89.12% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1777 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | < | > | = | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 90.16% |
| 8 | kpato | 1750 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | > | < | = | > | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 99.51% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1782 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | - | < | = | = | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 99.90% |
| 10 | Ragnar Wikman | 1793 | 0 | 0 | > | 2 | = | 0 | > | > | > | - | = | < | 2 | 20 | 0.52% | 0.48% | 73.65% |
| 11 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | < | = | < | = | < | < | = | = | = | - | < | 0 | 0 | 1.12% | 0.22% | 91.24% |
| 12 | CHJ | 1771 | *0 | 0 | 0 | < | < | = | = | < | = | > | > | - | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 98.79% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

Oooh, that's a bug!

RoRoRo hasn't seen that Carroll has won a frame in the final remaining match, and therefore has an advantage.

Fixed, but it will take 6 or more hours before the next update comes...

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* CHJ 2 - 0 Omo321

Games completed: 43/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Carroll | 1819 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 92 | 50.55% | 2.39% | 0.00% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1923 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 72 | 15.54% | 0.31% | 0.02% |
| 3 | jano_wol | 1847 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | = | 12 | 100 | 30.41% | 2.40% | 0.54% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1825 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | = | > | 10 | 88 | 0.02% | 0.04% | 16.71% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1812 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | > | < | 8 | 72 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 41.71% |
| 6 | luiser | 1877 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 80.54% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1738 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | < | *0 | > | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 97.78% |
| 8 | kpato | 1750 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | > | < | > | < | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 99.31% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1733 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | - | < | = | = | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 99.91% |
| 10 | Ragnar Wikman | 1793 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | = | 0 | > | > | > | - | < | = | 2 | 20 | 0.14% | 0.17% | 78.73% |
| 11 | CHJ | 1786 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | < | = | *2 | < | = | > | - | > | 2 | 16 | 0.00% | 0 | 94.28% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | < | < | = | < | > | < | < | > | = | = | < | - | 0 | 0 | 0.58% | 0.17% | 90.47% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* hershoff 0 - 2 Ragnar Wikman

Games completed: 44/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Carroll | 1828 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 96 | 51.52% | 2.18% | 0.01% |
| 2 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1923 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 76 | 15.23% | 0.36% | 0.01% |
| 3 | jano_wol | 1847 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | = | 12 | 100 | 29.69% | 2.18% | 0.64% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1781 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | = | > | 10 | 88 | 0.03% | 0.02% | 21.73% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1812 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | > | < | 8 | 72 | 0.04% | 0.00% | 44.00% |
| 6 | luiser | 1833 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | = | > | 8 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 79.90% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1728 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | < | 0 | > | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 98.05% |
| 8 | hershoff | 1697 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | = | *0 | = | = | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 9 | kpato | 1712 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | - | < | > | < | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 99.60% |
| 10 | Ragnar Wikman | 1805 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | = | 0 | > | *2 | > | - | < | = | 4 | 28 | 0.14% | 0.21% | 74.42% |
| 11 | CHJ | 1786 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | < | = | 2 | = | < | > | - | > | 2 | 16 | 0.00% | 0 | 93.12% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | < | < | = | < | > | < | < | = | > | = | < | - | 0 | 0 | 0.77% | 0.20% | 88.53% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ragnar Wikman 0 - 2 jano_wol

Games completed: 45/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1861 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | *2 | 2 | = | 14 | 108 | 56.63% | 4.10% | 0 |
| 2 | Carroll | 1828 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 100 | 30.00% | 4.06% | 0.00% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1923 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 76 | 8.24% | 0.17% | 0.02% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1790 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | = | > | 10 | 88 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 16.00% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1812 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | > | < | 8 | 72 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 39.92% |
| 6 | luiser | 1833 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | 8 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 79.44% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1728 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | = | 0 | > | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 94.47% |
| 8 | kpato | 1722 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | = | < | > | < | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 99.49% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1697 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | - | 0 | = | = | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 99.99% |
| 10 | Ragnar Wikman | 1791 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 0 | = | > | 2 | - | < | = | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 91.30% |
| 11 | CHJ | 1786 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | < | = | 2 | < | = | > | - | > | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 91.93% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | < | < | < | > | < | < | > | = | = | < | - | 0 | 0 | 0.83% | 0.21% | 87.43% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* CHJ 2 - 0 luiser

Games completed: 46/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1861 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | 14 | 112 | 54.46% | 5.55% | 0 |
| 2 | Carroll | 1838 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 104 | 31.05% | 5.51% | 0 |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1923 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 80 | 8.05% | 0.13% | 0.02% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1790 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 0 | > | 10 | 88 | 0.01% | 0.02% | 17.47% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1812 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | > | = | < | 8 | 72 | 0 | 0.00% | 38.47% |
| 6 | luiser | 1808 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | *0 | 2 | > | 8 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 99.31% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1728 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | = | > | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 94.10% |
| 8 | kpato | 1736 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | = | = | = | < | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 98.76% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1697 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | - | < | 0 | = | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 99.98% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1803 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | < | *2 | 2 | = | > | - | > | > | 4 | 32 | 0.00% | 0 | 73.17% |
| 11 | Ragnar Wikman | 1791 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 0 | = | = | 2 | < | - | = | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 92.32% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | < | < | < | > | < | < | > | = | < | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0.73% | 0.17% | 86.39% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* CHJ 0 - 2 simon craddock

Games completed: 47/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1861 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | 14 | 116 | 55.74% | 4.92% | 0 |
| 2 | Carroll | 1838 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 104 | 30.77% | 4.91% | 0.00% |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1923 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 84 | 7.86% | 0.10% | 0.02% |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1783 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 0 | > | 10 | 88 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 18.53% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1827 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | *2 | = | < | 10 | 80 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 30.43% |
| 6 | luiser | 1808 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | 8 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 99.55% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | = | > | 8 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 94.33% |
| 8 | hershoff | 1682 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | = | < | 0 | = | 4 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 99.99% |
| 9 | kpato | 1736 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | - | = | = | < | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 98.86% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1788 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | *0 | 2 | 2 | > | = | - | > | > | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 79.55% |
| 11 | Ragnar Wikman | 1791 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 0 | = | 2 | = | < | - | > | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 90.27% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | < | < | < | > | < | < | = | > | < | < | - | 0 | 0 | 0.59% | 0.11% | 88.46% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* CHJ 2 - 0 Martyn Hamer

Games completed: 48/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1861 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 14 | 120 | 53.72% | 6.19% | 0 |
| 2 | Carroll | 1850 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 108 | 31.70% | 6.16% | 0 |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1927 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 88 | 7.62% | 0.20% | 0 |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1731 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | *0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | 10 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 38.59% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1827 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | = | < | 10 | 84 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 30.39% |
| 6 | luiser | 1811 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | 8 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 99.65% |
| 7 | Omo321 | 1711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | 8 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 91.93% |
| 8 | CHJ | 1802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | > | = | = | > | 6 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 69.15% |
| 9 | hershoff | 1668 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | - | = | 0 | < | 4 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 10 | kpato | 1736 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | = | - | = | < | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 98.56% |
| 11 | Ragnar Wikman | 1791 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 0 | = | = | 2 | = | - | > | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 86.37% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | = | < | < | < | > | < | < | < | > | > | < | - | 0 | 0 | 0.57% | 0.23% | 85.37% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ragnar Wikman 2 - 0 Omo321
\* simon craddock 0 - 2 Ragnar Wikman

Games completed: 50/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1861 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | > | 14 | 128 | 57.53% | 13.38% | 0 |
| 2 | Carroll | 1868 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 116 | 24.72% | 13.37% | 0 |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1927 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 96 | 3.81% | 0.14% | 0 |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1731 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | 10 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 35.83% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1810 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | *0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | < | 10 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 63.05% |
| 6 | luiser | 1811 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | 8 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 99.19% |
| 7 | Ragnar Wikman | 1820 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | *2 | 0 | - | *2 | = | 2 | = | > | 8 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 54.60% |
| 8 | Omo321 | 1699 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | *0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | 8 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | = | 2 | - | > | = | > | 6 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 65.38% |
| 10 | hershoff | 1655 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | < | - | = | < | 4 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 99.99% |
| 11 | kpato | 1748 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 0 | = | = | - | < | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 97.33% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | < | < | < | < | > | = | < | < | < | > | > | - | 0 | 0 | 0.42% | 0.15% | 84.62% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kpato 0 - 2 Ragnar Wikman

Games completed: 51/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1861 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | > | 14 | 132 | 65.27% | 9.66% | 0 |
| 2 | Carroll | 1874 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 120 | 20.68% | 9.66% | 0 |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1927 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 100 | 3.85% | 0.16% | 0 |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1723 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | 10 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 40.50% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1810 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | < | 10 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 68.29% |
| 6 | Ragnar Wikman | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | = | 2 | *2 | > | 10 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 38.97% |
| 7 | luiser | 1795 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | 8 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 98.93% |
| 8 | Omo321 | 1704 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | 8 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | 2 | 2 | - | > | = | > | 6 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 67.67% |
| 10 | hershoff | 1655 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | < | - | = | < | 4 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 11 | kpato | 1736 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | 0 | = | = | - | < | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | < | < | < | < | > | < | = | < | < | > | > | - | 0 | 0 | 0.37% | 0.16% | 85.65% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kpato 2 - 0 CHJ

Games completed: 52/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1861 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | > | 14 | 132 | 61.71% | 12.47% | 0 |
| 2 | Carroll | 1842 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 124 | 20.96% | 12.46% | 0 |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1914 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 104 | 4.68% | 0.03% | 0 |
| 4 | Martyn Hamer | 1811 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | 10 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 10.00% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1810 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | < | 10 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 73.69% |
| 6 | Ragnar Wikman | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | 2 | > | 10 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 39.20% |
| 7 | luiser | 1799 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 8 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 99.61% |
| 8 | Omo321 | 1773 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | 8 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | kpato | 1755 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | *2 | = | < | 6 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1784 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | 2 | 2 | *0 | - | > | > | 6 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 84.23% |
| 11 | hershoff | 1699 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | < | - | < | 4 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 99.98% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | < | < | < | < | > | < | = | < | > | < | > | - | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.03% | 93.29% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* hershoff 0 - 2 CHJ
\* kpato 2 - 0 hershoff

Games completed: 54/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1861 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | 14 | 136 | 69.24% | 8.35% | 0 |
| 2 | Carroll | 1842 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 14 | 132 | 14.66% | 8.31% | 0 |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1892 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 14 | 112 | 7.40% | 0.03% | 0 |
| 4 | simon craddock | 1810 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | < | 10 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 63.72% |
| 5 | Martyn Hamer | 1803 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | 10 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 21.71% |
| 6 | Ragnar Wikman | 1832 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | 2 | > | 10 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 45.03% |
| 7 | luiser | 1799 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 8 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 99.98% |
| 8 | kpato | 1777 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | *2 | < | 8 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Omo321 | 1773 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | > | 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1796 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | *2 | > | 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 77.18% |
| 11 | hershoff | 1693 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | *0 | - | < | 4 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | < | = | < | > | < | < | = | > | < | < | > | - | 0 | 0 | 0.32% | 0.07% | 92.39% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ragnar Wikman 2 - 0 CHJ

Games completed: 55/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | janowol | 1861 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | 14 | 140 | 85.30% | 6.67% | 0 |
| 2 | Carroll | 1832 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 14 | 136 | 5.27% | 6.63% | 0 |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1912 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 14 | 116 | 2.00% | 0.00% | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1846 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | = | 12 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 20.38% |
| 5 | simon craddock | 1810 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | < | 10 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 83.24% |
| 6 | Martyn Hamer | 1766 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | 10 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 20.48% |
| 7 | luiser | 1728 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 8 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 99.97% |
| 8 | kpato | 1675 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | 8 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Omo321 | 1733 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | > | 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | CHJ | 1782 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | > | 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | hershoff | 1708 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | < | 4 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1771 | < | = | = | = | > | < | = | > | < | < | > | - | 0 | 0 | 0.75% | 0.05% | 75.93% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Martyn Hamer 2 - 0 Luca Bruzzi

Games completed: 56/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1861 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | 14 | 144 | 89.17% | 3.97% | 0 |
| 2 | Carroll | 1812 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 14 | 136 | 4.40% | 3.94% | 0 |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1920 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 14 | 116 | 1.89% | 0.00% | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1846 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 12 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 22.52% |
| 5 | Martyn Hamer | 1816 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 12 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 8.86% |
| 6 | simon craddock | 1810 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | 10 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 87.49% |
| 7 | luiser | 1731 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 8 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | kpato | 1690 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | < | 8 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1798 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | > | 8 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | Omo321 | 1764 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | > | 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | hershoff | 1697 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | < | 4 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1757 | < | = | = | = | *0 | > | = | > | < | < | > | - | 0 | 0 | 0.57% | 0.03% | 81.13% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.17.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Luca Bruzzi 0 - 2 jano_wol

Games completed: 57/66
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | jano_wol | 1872 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | *2 | 16 | 144 | 95.12% | 4.60% | 0 |
| 2 | Carroll | 1812 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 14 | 140 | 0.24% | 4.60% | 0 |
| 3 | RoRoRo the Bot | 1920 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 14 | 116 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1846 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 12 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 20.36% |
| 5 | Martyn Hamer | 1816 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 8.30% |
| 6 | simon craddock | 1810 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | 10 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 86.82% |
| 7 | luiser | 1731 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | 8 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | kpato | 1705 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | < | 8 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | CHJ | 1798 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | > | 8 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | Omo321 | 1764 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | > | 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | hershoff | 1680 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | < | 4 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 12 | Luca Bruzzi | 1746 | *0 | = | = | = | 0 | > | = | > | < | < | > | - | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0 | 84.52% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-12 and thus being demoted