einstein.ch.15.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
I've been requested to follow einstein.ch.15.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Rex Moore | 1759 | - | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 2.36% | 0.25% | 72.62% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1812 | = | - | _ | _ | _ | = | = | _ | = | = | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 6.79% | 0.52% | 51.88% |
| 3 | JeanHebert | 1798 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 5.41% | 0.43% | 57.88% |
| 4 | JJ10 | 1750 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.95% | 0.18% | 75.87% |
| 5 | opmp | 1850 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 13.22% | 0.83% | 37.12% |
| 6 | kfiecio | 1681 | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 0.35% | 0.04% | 91.76% |
| 7 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1813 | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 6.85% | 0.58% | 52.15% |
| 8 | Paavo Pirinen | 1811 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 6.85% | 0.56% | 53.29% |
| 9 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 41.25% | 1.56% | 12.40% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.47% | 0.48% | 55.05% |
| 11 | Manou | 1761 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.63% | 0.30% | 73.41% |
| 12 | Looser | 1657 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.20% | 0.03% | 95.06% |
| 13 | Martyn Hamer | 1766 | = | = | = | _ | _ | = | = | = | = | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.71% | 0.31% | 71.50% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Can someone explain me how I got promoted from Championship level 3 (which I won) to level 1? Is my rating the reason?

are u afraid?

stop the train!!!, John-Marc wants to get off!

No train in sight. ;-)

I'm not afraid, only surprised - positively ...

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* naive_child_c 0 - 2 Martyn Hamer

Games completed: 1/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1796 | - | *2 | = | _ | _ | = | = | = | = | _ | _ | _ | = | 2 | 0 | 7.90% | 0.60% | 47.28% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1798 | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | = | = | _ | = | = | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 2.48% | 0.27% | 69.83% |
| 3 | JeanHebert | 1798 | = | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.28% | 0.49% | 58.36% |
| 4 | JJ10 | 1750 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.01% | 0.20% | 76.19% |
| 5 | opmp | 1850 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 12.66% | 0.80% | 37.62% |
| 6 | kfiecio | 1681 | = | = | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.37% | 0.06% | 91.85% |
| 7 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1813 | = | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.86% | 0.56% | 53.25% |
| 8 | Paavo Pirinen | 1811 | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.46% | 0.52% | 54.17% |
| 9 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | = | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 41.62% | 1.51% | 12.51% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | _ | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.37% | 0.52% | 55.80% |
| 11 | Manou | 1761 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.46% | 0.23% | 73.49% |
| 12 | Looser | 1657 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.20% | 0.04% | 95.05% |
| 13 | Rex Moore | 1759 | = | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 2.39% | 0.25% | 74.59% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

Will we see a rather newcomer (Martyn Hamer) to win this?

Lets hope so :o) I had all the luck against Naive Child though, so I wouldn't read too much into that one

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JJ10 0 - 2 naive_child_c

Games completed: 2/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1796 | - | 2 | = | < | _ | = | = | = | = | _ | = | = | = | 2 | 4 | 6.05% | 0.54% | 52.19% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1808 | 0 | - | = | *2 | _ | = | = | _ | = | = | = | = | = | 2 | 0 | 4.52% | 0.46% | 56.70% |
| 3 | JeanHebert | 1798 | = | = | - | = | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 5.54% | 0.44% | 58.06% |
| 4 | JJ10 | 1737 | > | *0 | = | - | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | = | > | = | 0 | 0 | 1.23% | 0.17% | 79.91% |
| 5 | opmp | 1850 | _ | _ | = | = | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | = | _ | 0 | 0 | 13.65% | 0.87% | 36.91% |
| 6 | kfiecio | 1681 | = | = | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.38% | 0.06% | 91.95% |
| 7 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1790 | = | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 4.90% | 0.37% | 61.80% |
| 8 | Paavo Pirinen | 1811 | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 6.98% | 0.59% | 53.12% |
| 9 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | = | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 42.08% | 1.61% | 12.29% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | _ | = | = | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | = | = | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.60% | 0.54% | 54.86% |
| 11 | Manou | 1761 | = | = | = | = | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 2.39% | 0.25% | 72.85% |
| 12 | Looser | 1657 | = | = | = | < | = | = | _ | _ | _ | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.01% | 95.85% |
| 13 | Rex Moore | 1759 | = | = | = | = | _ | = | = | = | = | _ | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 2.49% | 0.30% | 73.51% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Looser 0 - 2 naive_child_c
\* JJ10 0 - 2 Martyn Hamer

Games completed: 4/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1805 | - | 2 | = | *2 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | > | = | 4 | 8 | 12.69% | 0.86% | 32.46% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1819 | 0 | - | = | 2 | = | = | = | _ | = | = | = | *2 | > | 4 | 0 | 6.10% | 0.60% | 47.32% |
| 3 | JeanHebert | 1798 | = | = | - | = | = | = | = | _ | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 4.77% | 0.46% | 60.54% |
| 4 | JJ10 | 1724 | *0 | 0 | = | - | = | = | = | _ | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.02% | 94.70% |
| 5 | opmp | 1850 | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | _ | = | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 11.84% | 0.83% | 39.22% |
| 6 | kfiecio | 1681 | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.33% | 0.05% | 92.57% |
| 7 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1815 | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 6.48% | 0.56% | 53.70% |
| 8 | Paavo Pirinen | 1811 | = | _ | _ | _ | _ | = | = | - | _ | = | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 6.13% | 0.49% | 55.75% |
| 9 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | = | = | _ | _ | = | = | _ | _ | - | = | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 38.74% | 1.55% | 13.06% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 5.72% | 0.51% | 57.27% |
| 11 | Manou | 1761 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | _ | _ | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 2.26% | 0.25% | 75.08% |
| 12 | Looser | 1637 | < | *0 | = | = | = | = | = | _ | _ | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0 | 98.56% |
| 13 | Rex Moore | 1759 | = | < | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 1.71% | 0.19% | 79.77% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JJ10 2 - 0 Looser

Games completed: 5/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1668 | - | 2 | 2 | = | = | > | = | = | = | = | = | < | = | 4 | 12 | 1.25% | 0.13% | 77.31% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1812 | 0 | - | 2 | = | < | = | = | = | = | < | = | 2 | = | 4 | 4 | 3.39% | 0.39% | 61.47% |
| 3 | JJ10 | 1726 | 0 | 0 | - | = | = | = | = | = | _ | = | = | *2 | = | 2 | 0 | 0.38% | 0.06% | 89.62% |
| 4 | JeanHebert | 1798 | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | = | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 6.30% | 0.53% | 53.46% |
| 5 | opmp | 1828 | = | > | = | = | - | > | = | = | = | > | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 12.89% | 0.78% | 35.68% |
| 6 | kfiecio | 1738 | < | = | = | = | < | - | = | > | = | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.46% | 0.14% | 78.49% |
| 7 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1794 | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 5.74% | 0.52% | 56.01% |
| 8 | Paavo Pirinen | 1811 | = | = | = | = | = | < | = | - | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 6.82% | 0.53% | 53.04% |
| 9 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | = | = | _ | _ | = | = | _ | _ | - | = | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 45.72% | 1.49% | 10.09% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | = | > | = | = | < | = | = | = | = | - | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 6.31% | 0.49% | 54.22% |
| 11 | Manou | 1761 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | _ | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.01% | 0.33% | 68.73% |
| 12 | Looser | 1623 | > | 0 | *0 | = | > | = | = | = | _ | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.02% | 96.42% |
| 13 | Rex Moore | 1770 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 3.83% | 0.33% | 65.46% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Martyn Hamer 2 - 0 Paavo Pirinen

Games completed: 6/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1733 | - | 2 | 2 | > | = | = | = | *2 | = | < | > | = | < | 6 | 12 | 8.11% | 0.68% | 38.75% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1704 | 0 | - | 2 | < | < | > | > | < | = | < | > | 2 | > | 4 | 4 | 0.89% | 0.13% | 78.53% |
| 3 | JJ10 | 1750 | 0 | 0 | - | = | = | = | = | < | _ | > | < | 2 | > | 2 | 0 | 0.52% | 0.10% | 85.31% |
| 4 | JeanHebert | 1798 | < | > | = | - | = | = | = | = | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 5.94% | 0.49% | 53.66% |
| 5 | opmp | 1841 | = | > | = | = | - | > | = | = | = | > | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 14.52% | 0.95% | 32.82% |
| 6 | kfiecio | 1757 | = | < | = | = | < | - | = | > | = | < | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.59% | 0.17% | 77.40% |
| 7 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1765 | = | < | = | = | = | = | - | = | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 2.89% | 0.29% | 69.56% |
| 8 | Paavo Pirinen | 1791 | *0 | > | > | = | = | < | = | - | _ | > | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.57% | 0.38% | 61.09% |
| 9 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | = | = | _ | _ | = | = | _ | _ | - | = | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 47.43% | 1.58% | 9.62% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | > | > | < | = | < | > | = | < | = | - | = | < | > | 0 | 0 | 6.90% | 0.62% | 49.90% |
| 11 | Manou | 1761 | < | < | > | = | = | = | = | = | _ | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 2.49% | 0.24% | 72.40% |
| 12 | Looser | 1623 | = | 0 | 0 | = | > | = | = | = | _ | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.01% | 97.12% |
| 13 | Rex Moore | 1770 | > | < | < | = | = | = | = | = | = | < | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 2.23% | 0.25% | 73.81% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* opmp 2 - 0 naive_child_c

Games completed: 7/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1733 | - | 2 | = | 2 | > | = | = | 2 | = | = | = | = | < | 6 | 12 | 8.48% | 0.75% | 37.27% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1709 | 0 | - | *0 | 2 | < | > | > | < | = | < | > | 2 | > | 4 | 4 | 0.42% | 0.09% | 81.21% |
| 3 | opmp | 1850 | = | *2 | - | = | = | > | = | = | = | = | = | < | = | 2 | 8 | 15.43% | 1.06% | 29.16% |
| 4 | JJ10 | 1750 | 0 | 0 | = | - | = | = | = | < | _ | > | < | 2 | > | 2 | 0 | 0.61% | 0.11% | 84.72% |
| 5 | JeanHebert | 1798 | < | > | = | = | - | = | = | = | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 6.11% | 0.56% | 52.51% |
| 6 | kfiecio | 1757 | = | < | < | = | = | - | = | > | = | < | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.71% | 0.20% | 76.49% |
| 7 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1721 | = | < | = | = | = | = | - | = | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.09% | 0.14% | 82.67% |
| 8 | Paavo Pirinen | 1791 | 0 | > | = | > | = | < | = | - | _ | > | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.62% | 0.33% | 60.22% |
| 9 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | = | = | = | _ | _ | = | _ | _ | - | = | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 47.05% | 1.63% | 9.22% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | = | > | = | < | = | > | = | < | = | - | = | < | > | 0 | 0 | 7.19% | 0.54% | 48.96% |
| 11 | Manou | 1761 | = | < | = | > | = | = | = | = | _ | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.20% | 0.34% | 67.63% |
| 12 | Looser | 1623 | = | 0 | > | 0 | = | = | = | = | _ | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.01% | 96.95% |
| 13 | Rex Moore | 1770 | > | < | = | < | = | = | = | = | = | < | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 2.11% | 0.24% | 72.99% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* naive_child_c 2 - 0 Rex Moore
\* Paavo Pirinen 2 - 0 JJ10

Games completed: 9/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1744 | - | 2 | = | 2 | 2 | > | = | > | = | = | = | = | < | 6 | 20 | 9.61% | 0.82% | 32.35% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1753 | 0 | - | 0 | = | 2 | < | > | > | = | = | > | 2 | *2 | 6 | 4 | 2.13% | 0.27% | 56.33% |
| 3 | opmp | 1850 | = | 2 | - | > | = | = | > | > | = | = | = | < | = | 2 | 12 | 20.51% | 1.21% | 21.40% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1805 | 0 | = | < | - | *2 | = | < | = | _ | > | = | = | = | 2 | 4 | 2.86% | 0.32% | 62.76% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1745 | 0 | 0 | = | *0 | - | = | = | = | _ | > | < | 2 | > | 2 | 0 | 0.25% | 0.06% | 89.52% |
| 6 | JeanHebert | 1798 | < | > | = | = | = | - | = | = | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 5.78% | 0.48% | 54.54% |
| 7 | kfiecio | 1757 | = | < | < | > | = | = | - | = | = | < | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.46% | 0.19% | 77.82% |
| 8 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1721 | < | < | < | = | = | = | = | - | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.56% | 0.10% | 88.93% |
| 9 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | = | = | = | _ | _ | _ | = | _ | - | = | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 44.90% | 1.71% | 9.93% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | = | = | = | < | < | = | > | = | = | - | = | < | > | 0 | 0 | 5.59% | 0.49% | 55.16% |
| 11 | Manou | 1761 | = | < | = | = | > | = | = | = | _ | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 2.58% | 0.29% | 69.93% |
| 12 | Looser | 1623 | = | 0 | > | = | 0 | = | = | = | _ | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.01% | 97.17% |
| 13 | Rex Moore | 1753 | > | *0 | = | = | < | = | = | = | = | < | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0.73% | 0.14% | 84.16% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Paavo Pirinen 0 - 2 naive_child_c

Games completed: 10/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1771 | - | 0 | 0 | *2 | 2 | < | > | > | = | = | > | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 4.70% | 0.53% | 35.90% |
| 2 | Martyn Hamer | 1750 | 2 | - | = | 2 | 2 | > | = | > | = | = | = | = | < | 6 | 24 | 10.24% | 0.83% | 32.44% |
| 3 | opmp | 1850 | 2 | = | - | > | = | = | > | > | = | = | < | < | = | 2 | 16 | 17.68% | 1.05% | 25.10% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1787 | *0 | 0 | < | - | 2 | = | < | < | _ | > | = | = | = | 2 | 4 | 0.52% | 0.09% | 84.02% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1745 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | - | = | = | = | _ | > | < | 2 | > | 2 | 0 | 0.23% | 0.05% | 89.26% |
| 6 | JeanHebert | 1798 | > | < | = | = | = | - | = | = | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 5.96% | 0.49% | 54.32% |
| 7 | kfiecio | 1757 | < | = | < | > | = | = | - | = | = | < | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.38% | 0.15% | 78.66% |
| 8 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1721 | < | < | < | > | = | = | = | - | _ | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.69% | 0.09% | 87.04% |
| 9 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | = | = | = | _ | _ | _ | = | _ | - | = | _ | _ | = | 0 | 0 | 45.34% | 1.64% | 10.20% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | = | = | = | < | < | = | > | = | = | - | = | < | > | 0 | 0 | 5.89% | 0.47% | 55.18% |
| 11 | Manou | 1761 | < | = | > | = | > | = | = | = | _ | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 3.65% | 0.38% | 65.42% |
| 12 | Looser | 1623 | 0 | = | > | = | 0 | = | = | = | _ | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.01% | 97.38% |
| 13 | Rex Moore | 1753 | 0 | > | = | = | < | = | = | = | = | < | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0.77% | 0.12% | 85.06% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Looser 0 - 2 Martyn Hamer
\* JeanHebert 2 - 0 Looser

Games completed: 12/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1699 | - | 2 | = | 2 | > | 2 | = | < | > | = | = | = | *2 | 8 | 24 | 7.96% | 0.72% | 35.15% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1759 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | < | 2 | = | 2 | > | = | > | > | 2 | 8 | 8 | 3.80% | 0.42% | 41.51% |
| 3 | opmp | 1850 | = | 2 | - | > | = | = | = | = | > | = | > | < | < | 2 | 16 | 17.92% | 0.96% | 24.72% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1787 | 0 | 0 | < | - | = | 2 | > | = | < | _ | < | > | > | 2 | 4 | 0.61% | 0.10% | 80.97% |
| 5 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | = | = | - | > | = | = | = | _ | = | > | *2 | 2 | 0 | 10.86% | 0.75% | 38.42% |
| 6 | JJ10 | 1745 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | < | - | > | > | = | _ | = | < | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.04% | 92.66% |
| 7 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | = | = | = | < | = | < | - | > | < | = | > | = | < | 0 | 0 | 4.88% | 0.39% | 58.41% |
| 8 | Rex Moore | 1753 | > | 0 | = | = | = | < | < | - | = | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.63% | 0.10% | 84.77% |
| 9 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1721 | < | < | < | > | = | = | > | = | - | _ | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.96% | 0.08% | 83.45% |
| 10 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | = | = | = | _ | _ | _ | = | = | _ | - | = | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 45.54% | 1.54% | 9.83% |
| 11 | kfiecio | 1757 | = | < | < | > | = | = | < | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.59% | 0.16% | 78.14% |
| 12 | Manou | 1761 | = | < | > | < | < | > | = | = | = | _ | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 2.45% | 0.26% | 72.10% |
| 13 | Looser | 1603 | *0 | 0 | > | < | *0 | 0 | > | = | = | _ | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.84% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Looser 0 - 2 opmp
\* Paavo Pirinen 2 - 0 Looser

Games completed: 14/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1699 | - | 2 | = | 2 | 2 | > | 2 | = | = | = | < | > | = | 8 | 28 | 7.13% | 0.66% | 36.44% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1765 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | 2 | = | > | = | 2 | > | > | 8 | 12 | 3.30% | 0.41% | 42.16% |
| 3 | opmp | 1856 | = | 2 | - | > | = | = | *2 | = | > | = | = | > | < | 4 | 16 | 24.33% | 1.35% | 16.84% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | < | - | 2 | = | *2 | = | < | > | = | < | > | 4 | 4 | 0.77% | 0.11% | 79.07% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1745 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | - | < | 2 | = | = | > | > | = | < | 2 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.03% | 93.06% |
| 6 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | = | = | > | - | 2 | = | = | = | = | = | > | 2 | 0 | 9.46% | 0.75% | 40.42% |
| 7 | Looser | 1589 | 0 | 0 | *0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | = | = | > | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 8 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 42.53% | 1.63% | 10.40% |
| 9 | kfiecio | 1757 | = | < | < | > | = | = | = | = | - | < | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.28% | 0.15% | 79.06% |
| 10 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | = | = | = | < | < | = | < | = | > | - | > | < | = | 0 | 0 | 4.60% | 0.39% | 59.63% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1753 | > | 0 | = | = | < | = | = | = | = | < | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.66% | 0.10% | 85.36% |
| 12 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1721 | < | < | < | > | = | = | = | = | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.81% | 0.09% | 84.55% |
| 13 | Manou | 1761 | = | < | > | < | > | < | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 2.15% | 0.25% | 73.01% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Looser 0 - 2 Luca Bruzzi

Games completed: 15/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1688 | - | 2 | = | 2 | > | = | 2 | = | > | = | = | 2 | < | 8 | 28 | 6.01% | 0.62% | 39.58% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1771 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | < | = | 2 | > | > | = | > | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 3.03% | 0.46% | 42.54% |
| 3 | opmp | 1856 | = | 2 | - | > | = | = | = | > | > | = | < | 2 | > | 4 | 16 | 25.93% | 1.38% | 15.13% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | < | - | = | > | 2 | < | < | = | > | 2 | = | 4 | 4 | 0.74% | 0.11% | 79.45% |
| 5 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | = | = | - | = | > | = | = | = | > | 2 | = | 2 | 0 | 9.25% | 0.72% | 40.89% |
| 6 | Luca Bruzzi | 1815 | = | = | = | < | = | - | < | > | < | = | = | *2 | > | 2 | 0 | 6.31% | 0.57% | 50.68% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1745 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | < | > | - | = | = | = | < | 2 | > | 2 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.03% | 93.43% |
| 8 | kfiecio | 1757 | = | < | < | > | = | < | = | - | = | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.27% | 0.12% | 79.56% |
| 9 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1711 | < | < | < | > | = | > | = | = | - | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.57% | 0.08% | 86.50% |
| 10 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 41.43% | 1.59% | 10.50% |
| 11 | Manou | 1761 | = | < | > | < | < | = | > | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 2.05% | 0.19% | 73.18% |
| 12 | Looser | 1582 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 13 | Rex Moore | 1753 | > | 0 | < | = | = | < | < | = | = | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0.42% | 0.06% | 88.57% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Manou 2 - 0 Looser

Games completed: 16/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1704 | - | 2 | = | 2 | 2 | > | = | = | < | = | 2 | > | > | 8 | 28 | 10.50% | 0.86% | 30.80% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1807 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | = | > | 2 | > | 2 | > | < | 8 | 12 | 3.54% | 0.55% | 34.85% |
| 3 | opmp | 1856 | = | 2 | - | > | = | = | = | < | > | > | 2 | > | = | 4 | 16 | 26.63% | 1.46% | 15.56% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | < | - | 2 | = | > | > | = | < | 2 | < | = | 4 | 4 | 0.79% | 0.16% | 77.56% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1755 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | - | < | > | < | > | = | 2 | = | = | 2 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.03% | 91.62% |
| 6 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | = | = | > | - | = | > | = | = | 2 | = | = | 2 | 0 | 8.96% | 0.72% | 43.88% |
| 7 | Luca Bruzzi | 1815 | = | = | = | < | < | = | - | > | > | > | 2 | < | = | 2 | 0 | 4.26% | 0.41% | 58.79% |
| 8 | Manou | 1768 | = | < | > | < | > | < | < | - | = | = | *2 | = | = | 2 | 0 | 1.33% | 0.21% | 77.82% |
| 9 | Rex Moore | 1768 | > | 0 | < | = | < | = | < | = | - | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.57% | 0.08% | 86.53% |
| 10 | kfiecio | 1757 | = | < | < | > | = | = | < | = | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 1.15% | 0.14% | 80.96% |
| 11 | Looser | 1541 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 12 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1707 | < | < | < | > | = | = | > | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.57% | 0.09% | 88.64% |
| 13 | Ray Garrison | 1936 | < | > | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 38.49% | 1.60% | 12.97% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* naive_child_c 2 - 0 kfiecio
\* JJ10 2 - 0 Rex Moore

Games completed: 18/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1821 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | < | > | 2 | *2 | > | < | 2 | 10 | 16 | 3.39% | 0.42% | 31.65% |
| 2 | Martyn Hamer | 1704 | 2 | - | = | 2 | 2 | < | > | > | < | < | > | > | 2 | 8 | 36 | 8.18% | 0.66% | 33.71% |
| 3 | opmp | 1856 | 2 | = | - | > | = | = | = | < | > | > | > | = | 2 | 4 | 20 | 27.76% | 1.38% | 13.67% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | < | - | 2 | > | = | > | = | < | < | = | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0.82% | 0.17% | 77.47% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1779 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | - | > | < | < | *2 | = | < | = | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.04% | 93.27% |
| 6 | Luca Bruzzi | 1815 | > | > | = | < | < | - | = | > | > | > | < | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.60% | 0.56% | 45.94% |
| 7 | JeanHebert | 1806 | > | < | = | = | > | = | - | > | = | = | = | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8.62% | 0.64% | 44.92% |
| 8 | Manou | 1768 | < | < | > | < | > | < | < | - | > | = | > | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.47% | 0.19% | 76.56% |
| 9 | Rex Moore | 1752 | 0 | > | < | = | *0 | < | = | < | - | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.21% | 0.03% | 93.08% |
| 10 | kfiecio | 1756 | *0 | > | < | > | = | < | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.48% | 0.11% | 86.18% |
| 11 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1709 | < | < | < | > | > | > | = | < | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.30% | 0.06% | 91.06% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1940 | > | < | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 39.27% | 1.52% | 12.49% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Martyn Hamer 2 - 0 kfiecio

Games completed: 19/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1695 | - | 2 | = | 2 | 2 | > | < | > | *2 | < | 2 | > | > | 10 | 36 | 16.71% | 1.25% | 17.48% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1831 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | = | > | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | 10 | 16 | 5.45% | 0.56% | 24.30% |
| 3 | opmp | 1856 | = | 2 | - | > | = | = | < | < | > | > | 2 | > | = | 4 | 20 | 16.15% | 1.09% | 23.92% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | < | - | 2 | = | > | > | < | < | 2 | < | = | 4 | 8 | 0.34% | 0.07% | 85.11% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1785 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | - | < | > | < | > | 2 | 2 | < | = | 4 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.04% | 91.02% |
| 6 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | = | = | > | - | = | > | = | = | 2 | = | = | 2 | 0 | 8.86% | 0.67% | 45.04% |
| 7 | Luca Bruzzi | 1815 | > | = | > | < | < | = | - | > | > | > | 2 | < | = | 2 | 0 | 7.08% | 0.67% | 46.36% |
| 8 | Manou | 1768 | < | < | > | < | > | < | < | - | = | > | 2 | > | = | 2 | 0 | 1.89% | 0.32% | 71.81% |
| 9 | kfiecio | 1750 | *0 | 0 | < | > | < | = | < | = | - | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 96.47% |
| 10 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | > | 0 | = | < | < | = | - | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.05% | 93.42% |
| 11 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 12 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1692 | < | < | < | > | > | = | > | < | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.24% | 0.05% | 92.29% |
| 13 | Ray Garrison | 1940 | < | > | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 39.84% | 1.64% | 12.78% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Manou 0 - 2 naive_child_c

Games completed: 20/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1844 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | < | = | > | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 12 | 20 | 6.28% | 0.61% | 19.37% |
| 2 | Martyn Hamer | 1695 | 2 | - | = | 2 | 2 | > | > | < | > | 2 | < | 2 | > | 10 | 40 | 16.91% | 1.22% | 17.13% |
| 3 | opmp | 1856 | 2 | = | - | > | = | < | = | < | > | 2 | > | > | = | 4 | 24 | 16.49% | 1.10% | 23.67% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | < | - | 2 | > | = | > | < | 2 | < | < | = | 4 | 8 | 0.29% | 0.09% | 85.08% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1785 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | - | < | < | > | < | 2 | 2 | > | = | 4 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.04% | 91.04% |
| 6 | Manou | 1755 | *0 | < | > | < | > | - | < | < | > | 2 | > | = | = | 2 | 0 | 0.99% | 0.20% | 76.89% |
| 7 | JeanHebert | 1806 | > | < | = | = | > | > | - | = | = | 2 | = | = | = | 2 | 0 | 8.66% | 0.66% | 45.58% |
| 8 | Luca Bruzzi | 1815 | = | > | > | < | < | > | = | - | < | 2 | > | > | = | 2 | 0 | 7.06% | 0.61% | 46.75% |
| 9 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1692 | < | < | < | > | > | < | = | > | - | = | > | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.28% | 0.05% | 91.81% |
| 10 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1752 | 0 | > | < | > | 0 | < | = | < | < | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.03% | 93.22% |
| 12 | kfiecio | 1750 | 0 | 0 | < | > | < | = | = | < | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.02% | 96.45% |
| 13 | Ray Garrison | 1940 | > | < | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 39.70% | 1.61% | 13.00% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Luca Bruzzi 2 - 0 Martyn Hamer

Games completed: 21/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1844 | - | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | 12 | 20 | 5.92% | 0.59% | 20.98% |
| 2 | Martyn Hamer | 1704 | 2 | - | = | *0 | 2 | 2 | > | > | 2 | 2 | < | > | > | 10 | 40 | 13.64% | 1.05% | 18.94% |
| 3 | opmp | 1856 | 2 | = | - | = | > | = | < | = | > | 2 | > | > | = | 4 | 24 | 20.81% | 1.25% | 19.14% |
| 4 | Luca Bruzzi | 1825 | = | *2 | = | - | < | < | > | = | > | 2 | > | < | = | 4 | 20 | 7.52% | 0.69% | 43.50% |
| 5 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | < | > | - | 2 | > | = | < | 2 | < | < | = | 4 | 8 | 0.32% | 0.06% | 85.60% |
| 6 | JJ10 | 1785 | 0 | 0 | = | > | 0 | - | < | < | > | 2 | 2 | < | = | 4 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.03% | 92.06% |
| 7 | Manou | 1755 | 0 | < | > | < | < | > | - | < | = | 2 | > | > | = | 2 | 0 | 1.06% | 0.16% | 77.52% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 1806 | > | < | = | = | = | > | > | - | = | 2 | = | = | = | 2 | 0 | 8.53% | 0.63% | 46.64% |
| 9 | kfiecio | 1737 | 0 | 0 | < | < | > | < | = | = | - | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.02% | 97.11% |
| 10 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1752 | 0 | > | < | < | > | 0 | < | = | = | = | - | < | = | 0 | 0 | 0.18% | 0.03% | 93.34% |
| 12 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1692 | < | < | < | > | > | > | < | = | = | = | > | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.29% | 0.06% | 92.19% |
| 13 | Ray Garrison | 1940 | > | < | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 38.64% | 1.54% | 12.98% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Manou 0 - 2 Martyn Hamer

Games completed: 22/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1738 | - | 2 | 0 | = | 2 | 2 | *2 | > | > | 2 | < | 2 | > | 12 | 44 | 20.35% | 1.50% | 8.81% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1844 | 0 | - | = | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | < | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 12 | 20 | 4.86% | 0.44% | 21.57% |
| 3 | Luca Bruzzi | 1825 | 2 | = | - | = | < | < | > | = | = | 2 | > | > | < | 4 | 24 | 7.18% | 0.69% | 42.21% |
| 4 | opmp | 1856 | = | 2 | = | - | > | = | < | = | = | 2 | > | > | > | 4 | 24 | 20.06% | 1.25% | 19.43% |
| 5 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | > | < | - | 2 | > | = | = | 2 | < | < | < | 4 | 8 | 0.28% | 0.07% | 85.84% |
| 6 | JJ10 | 1799 | 0 | 0 | > | = | 0 | - | < | < | = | 2 | 2 | > | < | 4 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.04% | 92.02% |
| 7 | Manou | 1739 | *0 | 0 | < | > | < | > | - | < | = | 2 | > | = | > | 2 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.06% | 87.59% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | = | = | = | > | > | - | = | 2 | = | = | = | 2 | 0 | 7.76% | 0.70% | 46.93% |
| 9 | Ray Garrison | 1940 | < | > | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 35.71% | 1.61% | 12.90% |
| 10 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | < | > | 0 | < | = | = | = | - | = | < | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.04% | 92.94% |
| 12 | kfiecio | 1720 | 0 | 0 | < | < | > | < | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 97.43% |
| 13 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1692 | < | < | > | < | > | > | < | = | = | = | > | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0.24% | 0.04% | 92.33% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kfiecio 2 - 0 Paavo Pirinen

Games completed: 23/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1738 | - | 2 | = | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 2 | < | > | > | 12 | 48 | 19.76% | 1.48% | 8.86% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1844 | 0 | - | 0 | = | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 2 | 2 | < | > | 12 | 24 | 4.88% | 0.49% | 21.78% |
| 3 | opmp | 1856 | = | 2 | - | = | > | = | > | < | = | 2 | > | = | > | 4 | 24 | 19.44% | 1.29% | 18.77% |
| 4 | Luca Bruzzi | 1825 | 2 | = | = | - | < | < | > | > | = | 2 | > | = | < | 4 | 24 | 8.28% | 0.81% | 38.61% |
| 5 | Paavo Pirinen | 1776 | 0 | 0 | < | > | - | 2 | *0 | > | = | 2 | < | = | < | 4 | 8 | 0.16% | 0.03% | 90.12% |
| 6 | JJ10 | 1799 | 0 | 0 | = | > | 0 | - | > | < | < | 2 | 2 | = | < | 4 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.03% | 91.57% |
| 7 | kfiecio | 1739 | 0 | 0 | < | < | *2 | < | - | = | = | = | = | = | = | 2 | 8 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 97.23% |
| 8 | Manou | 1739 | 0 | 0 | > | < | < | > | = | - | < | 2 | > | = | > | 2 | 0 | 0.21% | 0.04% | 87.57% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | = | = | = | > | = | > | - | 2 | = | = | = | 2 | 0 | 7.54% | 0.71% | 46.91% |
| 10 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | 0 | - | = | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | < | > | 0 | = | < | = | = | - | = | < | 0 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.03% | 93.17% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1940 | < | > | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 36.00% | 1.67% | 12.89% |
| 13 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1692 | < | < | < | > | > | > | = | < | = | = | > | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0.26% | 0.05% | 92.51% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Manou 2 - 0 opmp

Games completed: 24/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1763 | - | 2 | = | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | 2 | > | > | 12 | 52 | 27.84% | 1.94% | 5.19% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1824 | 0 | - | 0 | = | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 2 | 2 | > | < | 12 | 28 | 3.73% | 0.39% | 26.89% |
| 3 | opmp | 1835 | = | 2 | - | = | > | *0 | = | > | = | > | 2 | > | = | 4 | 24 | 15.35% | 1.25% | 23.09% |
| 4 | Luca Bruzzi | 1825 | 2 | = | = | - | < | = | < | > | = | > | 2 | < | = | 4 | 24 | 7.94% | 0.83% | 39.35% |
| 5 | Paavo Pirinen | 1776 | 0 | 0 | < | > | - | > | 2 | 0 | = | < | 2 | < | = | 4 | 8 | 0.12% | 0.03% | 88.41% |
| 6 | Manou | 1760 | 0 | 0 | *2 | = | < | - | > | < | < | > | 2 | > | = | 4 | 8 | 0.18% | 0.06% | 85.42% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1798 | 0 | 0 | = | > | 0 | < | - | > | < | 2 | 2 | < | > | 4 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.06% | 86.50% |
| 8 | kfiecio | 1718 | 0 | 0 | < | < | 2 | > | < | - | = | = | = | = | = | 2 | 8 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 97.37% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | = | = | = | > | > | = | - | = | 2 | = | = | 2 | 0 | 7.71% | 0.69% | 46.96% |
| 10 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | < | > | < | 0 | = | = | - | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.02% | 94.67% |
| 11 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 12 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1722 | < | < | < | > | > | < | > | = | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.24% | 0.05% | 91.06% |
| 13 | Ray Garrison | 1944 | < | > | = | = | = | = | < | = | = | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 33.21% | 1.67% | 15.09% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JJ10 0 - 2 opmp

Games completed: 25/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1763 | - | 2 | = | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | > | > | 2 | 12 | 52 | 22.96% | 1.66% | 5.22% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1824 | 0 | - | 0 | = | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 2 | < | > | 2 | 12 | 28 | 2.44% | 0.21% | 26.83% |
| 3 | opmp | 1849 | = | 2 | - | = | 0 | > | *2 | > | > | > | = | > | 2 | 6 | 32 | 25.46% | 1.69% | 9.17% |
| 4 | Luca Bruzzi | 1825 | 2 | = | = | - | = | < | < | > | = | > | = | < | 2 | 4 | 24 | 6.79% | 0.69% | 38.66% |
| 5 | Manou | 1760 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | - | < | > | < | < | > | < | > | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0.08% | 0.02% | 87.46% |
| 6 | Paavo Pirinen | 1776 | 0 | 0 | < | > | > | - | 2 | 0 | = | < | = | < | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0.12% | 0.02% | 89.52% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1792 | 0 | 0 | *0 | > | < | 0 | - | > | < | 2 | > | < | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 95.37% |
| 8 | kfiecio | 1718 | 0 | 0 | < | < | > | 2 | < | - | = | = | = | = | = | 2 | 8 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 97.54% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | < | = | > | = | > | = | - | < | = | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.19% | 0.41% | 55.88% |
| 10 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | < | < | > | 0 | = | > | - | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.01% | 93.35% |
| 11 | Ray Garrison | 1950 | < | > | = | = | > | = | < | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 34.49% | 1.59% | 11.52% |
| 12 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1733 | < | < | < | > | < | > | > | = | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.25% | 0.06% | 89.50% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Martyn Hamer 2 - 0 John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor

Games completed: 26/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1798 | - | 2 | = | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | > | *2 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 31.16% | 2.06% | 2.65% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1824 | 0 | - | 0 | = | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 2 | < | > | 2 | 12 | 28 | 2.48% | 0.20% | 25.18% |
| 3 | opmp | 1849 | = | 2 | - | = | 0 | > | 2 | > | > | > | = | > | 2 | 6 | 32 | 26.09% | 1.82% | 9.32% |
| 4 | Luca Bruzzi | 1825 | 2 | = | = | - | = | < | < | > | = | > | = | < | 2 | 4 | 28 | 7.13% | 0.61% | 36.86% |
| 5 | Manou | 1760 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | - | < | > | < | < | > | < | > | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0.08% | 0.02% | 87.28% |
| 6 | Paavo Pirinen | 1776 | 0 | 0 | < | > | > | - | 2 | 0 | = | < | = | < | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0.08% | 0.02% | 89.16% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1792 | 0 | 0 | 0 | > | < | 0 | - | > | < | 2 | > | < | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.21% |
| 8 | kfiecio | 1741 | 0 | 0 | < | < | > | 2 | < | - | = | = | = | > | = | 2 | 8 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 95.39% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | < | = | > | = | > | = | - | < | = | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3.98% | 0.44% | 56.21% |
| 10 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | < | < | > | 0 | = | > | - | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.02% | 93.12% |
| 11 | Ray Garrison | 1925 | < | > | = | = | > | = | < | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 25.54% | 1.48% | 16.92% |
| 12 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1736 | *0 | < | < | > | < | > | > | < | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.02% | 92.68% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* opmp 0 - 2 Luca Bruzzi
\* Luca Bruzzi 0 - 2 Paavo Pirinen
\* naive_child_c 2 - 0 Luca Bruzzi

Games completed: 29/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1778 | - | 2 | 0 | = | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | = | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 27.30% | 2.12% | 4.21% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1840 | 0 | - | *2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 2 | = | = | 2 | 14 | 44 | 9.16% | 1.15% | 10.68% |
| 3 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | 2 | *0 | - | *2 | *0 | = | < | > | = | > | = | < | 2 | 6 | 40 | 3.08% | 0.55% | 43.98% |
| 4 | opmp | 1832 | = | 2 | *0 | - | > | 0 | 2 | > | > | > | < | > | 2 | 6 | 36 | 10.80% | 1.26% | 20.31% |
| 5 | Paavo Pirinen | 1794 | 0 | 0 | *2 | < | - | > | 2 | 0 | = | < | < | < | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0.07% | 0.03% | 90.50% |
| 6 | Manou | 1760 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | < | - | > | < | < | > | < | > | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0.11% | 0.03% | 89.95% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1782 | 0 | 0 | > | 0 | 0 | < | - | > | < | 2 | > | < | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 96.31% |
| 8 | kfiecio | 1741 | 0 | 0 | < | < | 2 | > | < | - | = | = | = | > | = | 2 | 12 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 95.58% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | = | < | = | > | > | = | - | < | = | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.74% | 0.48% | 58.88% |
| 10 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | < | > | < | 0 | = | > | - | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.03% | 93.66% |
| 11 | Ray Garrison | 1935 | = | = | = | > | > | > | < | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 40.25% | 2.20% | 11.74% |
| 12 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1772 | 0 | = | > | < | > | < | > | < | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.44% | 0.09% | 84.20% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Paavo Pirinen 0 - 2 opmp

Games completed: 30/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1778 | - | 2 | = | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | = | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 25.78% | 2.07% | 4.56% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1840 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 2 | = | = | 2 | 14 | 44 | 8.34% | 0.86% | 11.24% |
| 3 | opmp | 1846 | = | 2 | - | 0 | *2 | 0 | 2 | > | > | > | < | > | 2 | 8 | 48 | 13.92% | 1.58% | 13.23% |
| 4 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | = | < | > | = | > | = | < | 2 | 6 | 44 | 3.17% | 0.46% | 43.85% |
| 5 | Paavo Pirinen | 1780 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | - | > | 2 | 0 | = | < | < | < | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 95.99% |
| 6 | Manou | 1760 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | < | - | > | < | < | > | < | > | 2 | 4 | 16 | 0.10% | 0.03% | 89.29% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1782 | 0 | 0 | 0 | > | 0 | < | - | > | < | 2 | > | < | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 96.38% |
| 8 | kfiecio | 1741 | 0 | 0 | < | < | 2 | > | < | - | = | = | = | > | = | 2 | 12 | 0.03% | 0.00% | 95.94% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | < | = | = | > | > | = | - | < | = | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.48% | 0.44% | 58.97% |
| 10 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | < | > | < | 0 | = | > | - | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 0.12% | 0.02% | 94.06% |
| 11 | Ray Garrison | 1935 | = | = | > | = | > | > | < | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 39.83% | 2.14% | 11.82% |
| 12 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1772 | 0 | = | < | > | > | < | > | < | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.45% | 0.08% | 84.67% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* opmp 2 - 0 Martyn Hamer

Games completed: 31/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1724 | - | 2 | *0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | = | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 10.37% | 1.71% | 4.71% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1840 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 2 | = | = | 2 | 14 | 44 | 9.54% | 0.96% | 11.56% |
| 3 | opmp | 1857 | *2 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | > | > | < | > | 2 | 10 | 76 | 25.92% | 2.63% | 3.52% |
| 4 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | = | < | > | = | > | = | < | 2 | 6 | 48 | 3.36% | 0.56% | 45.36% |
| 5 | Paavo Pirinen | 1780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | > | 2 | 0 | = | < | < | = | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0.00% | 94.91% |
| 6 | Manou | 1760 | 0 | 0 | 2 | = | < | - | > | < | < | > | < | = | 2 | 4 | 20 | 0.06% | 0.03% | 91.66% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1782 | 0 | 0 | 0 | > | 0 | < | - | > | < | 2 | > | < | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 96.69% |
| 8 | kfiecio | 1752 | 0 | 0 | < | < | 2 | > | < | - | = | = | = | > | = | 2 | 12 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 95.39% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | < | = | = | > | > | = | - | < | = | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3.45% | 0.35% | 65.44% |
| 10 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | < | > | < | 0 | = | > | - | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.02% | 94.71% |
| 11 | Ray Garrison | 1935 | = | = | > | = | > | > | < | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 42.36% | 2.26% | 11.42% |
| 12 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1775 | 0 | = | < | > | = | = | > | < | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.57% | 0.09% | 84.63% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Paavo Pirinen 2 - 0 Manou

Games completed: 32/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1724 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | = | 2 | 2 | 14 | 64 | 10.55% | 1.77% | 5.63% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1843 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 2 | = | = | 2 | 14 | 48 | 5.73% | 0.78% | 16.04% |
| 3 | opmp | 1857 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | > | > | < | > | 2 | 10 | 80 | 26.17% | 2.70% | 4.01% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | 2 | 0 | < | < | < | = | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 95.71% |
| 5 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | = | < | > | = | > | = | = | 2 | 6 | 48 | 4.88% | 0.80% | 40.77% |
| 6 | Manou | 1745 | 0 | 0 | 2 | *0 | = | - | > | < | < | > | < | = | 2 | 4 | 20 | 0.03% | 0.02% | 94.78% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1782 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | > | < | - | > | < | 2 | > | < | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.79% |
| 8 | kfiecio | 1760 | 0 | 0 | < | 2 | < | > | < | - | = | = | = | > | = | 2 | 16 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 95.28% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | < | > | = | > | > | = | - | < | = | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.67% | 0.39% | 57.74% |
| 10 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | > | < | < | 0 | = | > | - | = | < | = | 0 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.03% | 95.09% |
| 11 | Ray Garrison | 1935 | = | = | > | > | = | > | < | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 42.94% | 2.23% | 12.18% |
| 12 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1787 | 0 | = | < | = | = | = | > | < | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.56% | 0.08% | 85.99% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kfiecio 0 - 2 JJ10
\* naive_child_c 0 - 2 John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor

Games completed: 34/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1724 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | = | < | 2 | 14 | 72 | 11.16% | 1.98% | 4.76% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1833 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *0 | 2 | < | = | 2 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 1.01% | 0.29% | 35.89% |
| 3 | opmp | 1857 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | > | > | > | < | > | 2 | 10 | 84 | 28.35% | 2.89% | 3.77% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 0 | < | < | < | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 95.02% |
| 5 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | < | = | = | > | = | = | > | 2 | 6 | 48 | 5.16% | 0.74% | 41.35% |
| 6 | JJ10 | 1796 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | > | - | < | < | *2 | < | > | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 95.33% |
| 7 | Manou | 1745 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | > | - | = | < | < | < | > | 2 | 4 | 20 | 0.05% | 0.01% | 94.30% |
| 8 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1825 | 0 | *2 | < | = | = | > | = | - | < | = | = | > | = | 2 | 28 | 2.19% | 0.28% | 65.86% |
| 9 | kfiecio | 1746 | 0 | 0 | < | 2 | < | *0 | > | > | - | = | = | = | = | 2 | 16 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 97.30% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | < | > | = | > | > | = | = | - | = | < | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.69% | 0.51% | 57.83% |
| 11 | Ray Garrison | 1935 | = | = | > | > | = | < | > | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 42.97% | 2.05% | 13.34% |
| 12 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | > | < | 0 | < | < | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.03% | 95.26% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | 0 | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Manou 2 - 0 JJ10
\* John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor 0 - 2 opmp

Games completed: 36/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1724 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | = | < | 2 | 14 | 76 | 10.24% | 1.95% | 5.01% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1833 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | < | = | 2 | 2 | 14 | 56 | 0.95% | 0.29% | 33.68% |
| 3 | opmp | 1871 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | *2 | > | > | < | > | 2 | 12 | 88 | 30.39% | 2.93% | 2.16% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 0 | < | < | < | 2 | 8 | 36 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 94.84% |
| 5 | Luca Bruzzi | 1808 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | = | < | = | > | = | = | > | 2 | 6 | 52 | 5.20% | 0.70% | 39.97% |
| 6 | Manou | 1763 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | - | *2 | = | < | < | < | > | 2 | 6 | 36 | 0.11% | 0.03% | 90.39% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1778 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | > | *0 | - | < | 2 | < | > | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.27% |
| 8 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1811 | 0 | 2 | *0 | = | = | = | > | - | < | = | = | > | = | 2 | 28 | 0.91% | 0.11% | 72.97% |
| 9 | kfiecio | 1746 | 0 | 0 | < | 2 | < | > | 0 | > | - | = | = | = | = | 2 | 16 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 97.33% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | < | > | = | > | > | = | = | - | = | < | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.51% | 0.56% | 57.61% |
| 11 | Ray Garrison | 1935 | = | = | > | > | = | > | < | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 43.31% | 2.07% | 12.75% |
| 12 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | > | < | < | 0 | < | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.03% | 95.02% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | 0 | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JJ10 2 - 0 Luca Bruzzi

Games completed: 37/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1738 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | = | < | 2 | 14 | 80 | 12.94% | 2.24% | 3.26% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1833 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | < | = | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 0.93% | 0.32% | 31.39% |
| 3 | opmp | 1871 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | > | < | > | 2 | 12 | 92 | 32.86% | 3.05% | 1.69% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | = | 0 | < | < | < | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 95.00% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1782 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | 0 | < | 2 | < | > | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 97.81% |
| 6 | Luca Bruzzi | 1790 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | *0 | - | = | = | > | = | = | > | 2 | 6 | 52 | 2.02% | 0.26% | 56.29% |
| 7 | Manou | 1763 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | = | - | = | = | < | < | > | 2 | 6 | 40 | 0.11% | 0.04% | 87.55% |
| 8 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1852 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | > | = | = | - | < | = | = | > | = | 2 | 28 | 1.08% | 0.21% | 66.15% |
| 9 | kfiecio | 1761 | 0 | 0 | < | 2 | 0 | < | = | > | - | = | = | = | = | 2 | 16 | 0.06% | 0.02% | 95.15% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | < | > | > | = | > | = | = | - | = | < | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.13% | 0.46% | 57.70% |
| 11 | Ray Garrison | 1935 | = | = | > | > | < | = | > | = | = | = | - | = | = | 0 | 0 | 41.52% | 2.08% | 12.94% |
| 12 | Rex Moore | 1752 | > | 0 | < | > | 0 | < | < | < | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.01% | 95.08% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | 0 | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Martyn Hamer 0 - 2 Rex Moore

Games completed: 38/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1734 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | *0 | 2 | 2 | > | = | 2 | 14 | 80 | 11.32% | 2.53% | 3.20% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1833 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | < | = | 2 | 14 | 64 | 1.13% | 0.35% | 28.23% |
| 3 | opmp | 1871 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | > | 2 | > | > | < | 2 | 12 | 92 | 33.87% | 3.53% | 1.77% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | > | 0 | < | < | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0.01% | 0 | 92.50% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | < | 2 | < | > | 2 | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 98.92% |
| 6 | Luca Bruzzi | 1790 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | < | > | = | > | = | = | 2 | 6 | 52 | 1.32% | 0.22% | 64.29% |
| 7 | Manou | 1763 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | - | > | = | = | < | < | 2 | 6 | 40 | 0.21% | 0.07% | 83.32% |
| 8 | Rex Moore | 1767 | *2 | 0 | < | > | 0 | < | < | - | < | = | > | = | = | 2 | 28 | 0.26% | 0.05% | 92.52% |
| 9 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1847 | 0 | 2 | 0 | < | > | = | = | > | - | < | = | = | = | 2 | 28 | 0.76% | 0.13% | 70.30% |
| 10 | kfiecio | 1765 | 0 | 0 | < | 2 | 0 | < | = | = | > | - | = | = | = | 2 | 16 | 0.05% | 0.03% | 94.52% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | < | > | > | = | > | < | = | = | - | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.33% | 0.53% | 57.72% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1935 | = | = | > | > | < | = | > | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 42.00% | 2.28% | 12.71% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | = | 0 | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kfiecio 2 - 0 John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor

Games completed: 39/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1735 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | = | 2 | 14 | 84 | 11.03% | 2.51% | 3.06% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1833 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | < | = | 2 | 14 | 68 | 1.14% | 0.39% | 26.93% |
| 3 | opmp | 1871 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | > | > | 2 | > | < | 2 | 12 | 92 | 35.36% | 3.49% | 1.70% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | < | > | < | < | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 92.25% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | < | > | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 98.63% |
| 6 | Luca Bruzzi | 1790 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | < | > | > | = | = | = | 2 | 6 | 52 | 1.46% | 0.18% | 63.40% |
| 7 | Manou | 1763 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | - | = | > | < | < | < | 2 | 6 | 40 | 0.08% | 0.04% | 87.86% |
| 8 | kfiecio | 1794 | 0 | 0 | < | 2 | 0 | < | = | - | < | *2 | = | = | = | 4 | 20 | 0.08% | 0.03% | 92.87% |
| 9 | Rex Moore | 1767 | 2 | 0 | < | > | 0 | < | < | > | - | < | > | = | = | 2 | 28 | 0.27% | 0.05% | 90.74% |
| 10 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1833 | 0 | 2 | 0 | < | > | = | > | *0 | > | - | = | = | = | 2 | 28 | 0.39% | 0.13% | 71.88% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | < | > | > | = | > | = | < | = | - | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.15% | 0.50% | 57.71% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1935 | = | = | > | > | < | = | > | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 41.44% | 2.17% | 12.96% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | = | 0 | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor 2 - 0 JJ10

Games completed: 40/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Martyn Hamer | 1692 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | = | 2 | 14 | 88 | 8.92% | 2.18% | 4.04% |
| 2 | naive_child_c | 1810 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | = | 2 | 14 | 68 | 0.93% | 0.29% | 30.67% |
| 3 | opmp | 1871 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | > | > | < | 2 | 12 | 96 | 34.21% | 3.27% | 1.77% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 0 | < | < | < | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 92.46% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1749 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | *0 | 2 | 2 | < | > | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 99.83% |
| 6 | Luca Bruzzi | 1790 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | < | = | > | > | = | = | 2 | 6 | 52 | 1.47% | 0.17% | 64.28% |
| 7 | Manou | 1763 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | - | < | = | > | < | < | 2 | 6 | 40 | 0.10% | 0.04% | 88.92% |
| 8 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1852 | 0 | 2 | 0 | < | *2 | = | > | - | 0 | > | = | = | = | 4 | 44 | 0.57% | 0.17% | 66.04% |
| 9 | kfiecio | 1794 | 0 | 0 | < | 2 | 0 | < | = | 2 | - | < | = | = | = | 4 | 24 | 0.11% | 0.06% | 92.98% |
| 10 | Rex Moore | 1767 | 2 | 0 | < | > | 0 | < | < | < | > | - | > | = | = | 2 | 28 | 0.27% | 0.05% | 91.19% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | > | < | > | > | = | > | = | = | < | - | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.39% | 0.44% | 56.03% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1935 | = | = | > | > | < | = | > | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 44.75% | 2.15% | 11.78% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | = | 0 | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* opmp 2 - 0 kfiecio

Games completed: 41/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | opmp | 1883 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | *2 | = | > | < | 2 | 14 | 104 | 35.25% | 3.29% | 0.94% |
| 2 | Martyn Hamer | 1692 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | = | 2 | 14 | 88 | 8.28% | 1.82% | 4.65% |
| 3 | naive_child_c | 1810 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | = | 2 | 14 | 68 | 0.91% | 0.27% | 31.27% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1795 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | 0 | < | < | < | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 92.28% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1749 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | > | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 99.86% |
| 6 | Luca Bruzzi | 1790 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | < | = | > | > | = | = | 2 | 6 | 56 | 1.45% | 0.18% | 64.16% |
| 7 | Manou | 1763 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | - | < | = | > | < | < | 2 | 6 | 44 | 0.08% | 0.03% | 88.58% |
| 8 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1852 | 0 | 0 | 2 | < | 2 | = | > | - | 0 | > | = | = | = | 4 | 44 | 0.58% | 0.20% | 65.36% |
| 9 | kfiecio | 1782 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | < | = | 2 | - | < | = | = | = | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 96.55% |
| 10 | Rex Moore | 1767 | = | 2 | 0 | > | 0 | < | < | < | > | - | > | = | = | 2 | 28 | 0.49% | 0.08% | 88.24% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1806 | < | < | > | > | > | = | > | = | = | < | - | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.39% | 0.47% | 56.28% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1935 | > | = | = | > | < | = | > | = | = | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 44.42% | 2.23% | 11.83% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | = | 0 | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor 0 - 2 Paavo Pirinen
\* naive_child_c 2 - 0 Ray Garrison

Games completed: 43/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1833 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | *2 | 2 | 16 | 72 | 3.83% | 1.28% | 0.11% |
| 2 | opmp | 1887 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | < | 2 | 14 | 112 | 55.95% | 4.60% | 0.91% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1691 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | = | 2 | 14 | 96 | 10.20% | 2.24% | 4.65% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1811 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 0 | < | < | < | 2 | 10 | 48 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 92.65% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1794 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | > | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 99.36% |
| 6 | Luca Bruzzi | 1790 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | < | < | = | > | = | > | 2 | 6 | 56 | 1.15% | 0.28% | 68.04% |
| 7 | Manou | 1763 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | - | < | = | = | < | = | 2 | 6 | 44 | 0.16% | 0.12% | 85.61% |
| 8 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1789 | 2 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | > | > | - | 0 | > | < | = | = | 4 | 48 | 0.11% | 0.09% | 82.31% |
| 9 | kfiecio | 1796 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | = | 2 | - | = | < | < | = | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 96.17% |
| 10 | Rex Moore | 1767 | 0 | = | 2 | > | 0 | < | = | < | = | - | > | = | = | 2 | 28 | 0.95% | 0.21% | 83.55% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1806 | > | < | < | > | = | = | > | > | > | < | - | = | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.23% | 0.72% | 51.29% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1914 | *0 | > | = | > | < | < | = | = | > | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 14.64% | 2.44% | 35.36% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | = | 0 | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JeanHebert 2 - 0 naive_child_c

Games completed: 44/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1823 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | *0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 72 | 0.54% | 0.68% | 0.21% |
| 2 | opmp | 1887 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | 2 | = | < | 2 | 14 | 112 | 50.79% | 4.71% | 2.06% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1691 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | 2 | 0 | < | 2 | 14 | 96 | 5.85% | 1.97% | 7.40% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1811 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 0 | < | < | 2 | 10 | 48 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 96.96% |
| 5 | JJ10 | 1775 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | 2 | > | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 99.55% |
| 6 | Luca Bruzzi | 1790 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | < | < | < | = | > | > | 2 | 6 | 56 | 1.12% | 0.23% | 77.93% |
| 7 | Manou | 1763 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | - | < | < | = | = | = | 2 | 6 | 44 | 0.26% | 0.14% | 87.61% |
| 8 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1789 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | > | - | < | 0 | = | > | = | 4 | 48 | 0.19% | 0.13% | 82.87% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 1823 | *2 | < | < | > | = | > | > | > | - | > | < | = | 2 | 4 | 32 | 15.91% | 1.03% | 34.42% |
| 10 | kfiecio | 1786 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | = | = | 2 | < | - | = | < | = | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 97.29% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1767 | 0 | = | 2 | > | 0 | < | = | = | > | = | - | = | = | 2 | 28 | 1.68% | 0.39% | 82.02% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1914 | 0 | > | > | > | < | < | = | < | = | > | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 17.81% | 2.91% | 31.67% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | = | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kfiecio 2 - 0 Manou
\* Luca Bruzzi 0 - 2 kfiecio

Games completed: 46/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1809 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 80 | 0.21% | 0.31% | 0.28% |
| 2 | opmp | 1887 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | = | < | 2 | 14 | 120 | 56.16% | 3.70% | 1.11% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1691 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | > | 0 | < | 2 | 14 | 104 | 5.57% | 1.48% | 4.79% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1811 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | < | < | 2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 97.43% |
| 5 | kfiecio | 1826 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | *2 | *2 | 2 | < | = | < | = | 8 | 52 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 88.16% |
| 6 | JJ10 | 1775 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | > | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 99.34% |
| 7 | Luca Bruzzi | 1775 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | *0 | 0 | - | < | < | < | > | > | 2 | 6 | 56 | 0.11% | 0.03% | 91.27% |
| 8 | Manou | 1750 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | > | - | < | < | = | = | 2 | 6 | 44 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 96.79% |
| 9 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1800 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | > | > | - | < | = | > | = | 4 | 48 | 0.03% | 0.04% | 83.50% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1823 | 2 | < | < | > | > | = | > | > | > | - | < | = | 2 | 4 | 32 | 16.42% | 0.68% | 30.05% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1767 | 0 | = | 2 | > | = | 0 | < | = | = | > | - | = | = | 2 | 28 | 1.76% | 0.40% | 78.61% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1914 | 0 | > | > | > | > | < | < | = | < | = | = | - | = | 0 | 0 | 15.27% | 2.53% | 28.67% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Manou 2 - 0 Luca Bruzzi

Games completed: 47/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1847 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 84 | 0.18% | 0.25% | 0.17% |
| 2 | opmp | 1887 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | = | < | 2 | 14 | 120 | 58.75% | 4.03% | 0.23% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1721 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | 0 | < | 2 | 14 | 108 | 4.30% | 1.07% | 4.64% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1811 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | < | < | 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 96.20% |
| 5 | kfiecio | 1845 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | = | < | = | 8 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 86.73% |
| 6 | Manou | 1767 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | = | < | = | = | 2 | 8 | 56 | 0.00% | 0.02% | 92.21% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1785 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | = | 2 | > | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 99.42% |
| 8 | Luca Bruzzi | 1758 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | - | < | < | > | > | 2 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 96.34% |
| 9 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1793 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | > | - | < | = | > | = | 4 | 48 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 88.07% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1823 | 2 | < | < | > | > | > | = | > | > | - | = | = | 2 | 4 | 32 | 16.13% | 0.45% | 24.50% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1767 | 0 | = | 2 | > | = | = | 0 | < | = | = | - | < | = | 2 | 28 | 0.72% | 0.20% | 86.80% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1914 | 0 | > | > | > | > | = | < | < | < | = | > | - | = | 0 | 0 | 15.53% | 2.82% | 24.69% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Luca Bruzzi 0 - 2 John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor

Games completed: 48/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1798 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 84 | 0.10% | 0.26% | 0.31% |
| 2 | opmp | 1887 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | < | < | 2 | 14 | 124 | 46.42% | 3.56% | 0.58% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1717 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | 0 | < | 2 | 14 | 112 | 6.09% | 0.77% | 7.17% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1811 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | < | < | 2 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 98.22% |
| 5 | kfiecio | 1862 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | < | < | = | 8 | 60 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 90.45% |
| 6 | Manou | 1767 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | = | 2 | < | = | = | 2 | 8 | 56 | 0.03% | 0.05% | 93.10% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | = | 2 | > | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 99.59% |
| 8 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1811 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 2 | - | *2 | < | = | > | = | 6 | 60 | 0.02% | 0.03% | 83.75% |
| 9 | Luca Bruzzi | 1744 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | < | > | > | 2 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 99.00% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1823 | 2 | < | < | > | > | > | = | > | > | - | = | = | 2 | 4 | 32 | 19.82% | 0.48% | 26.58% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1767 | 0 | > | 2 | > | > | = | 0 | = | < | = | - | < | = | 2 | 28 | 1.72% | 0.42% | 77.92% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1914 | 0 | > | > | > | > | = | < | < | < | = | > | - | = | 0 | 0 | 21.77% | 2.64% | 23.32% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | 0 | = | 0 | 0 | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor 2 - 0 Manou
\* Rex Moore 2 - 0 Paavo Pirinen
\* JeanHebert 2 - 0 Manou

Games completed: 51/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1766 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 88 | 0.06% | 0.14% | 0.31% |
| 2 | opmp | 1887 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | > | < | < | 2 | 14 | 128 | 49.66% | 3.17% | 0.49% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1653 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | 0 | < | 2 | 14 | 116 | 4.35% | 0.49% | 9.59% |
| 4 | Paavo Pirinen | 1793 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | *0 | < | 2 | 10 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 99.22% |
| 5 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1776 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | *2 | 2 | 2 | < | = | > | = | 8 | 76 | 0.06% | 0.05% | 79.26% |
| 6 | kfiecio | 1884 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | = | < | < | = | 8 | 64 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 86.20% |
| 7 | Manou | 1741 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | *0 | > | = | 2 | 8 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 99.52% |
| 8 | JJ10 | 1715 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | = | 2 | > | 2 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 99.60% |
| 9 | Luca Bruzzi | 1744 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | = | > | > | 2 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 98.26% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1836 | 2 | < | < | > | > | = | *2 | = | = | - | = | = | 2 | 6 | 48 | 17.57% | 0.46% | 31.39% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1785 | 0 | > | 2 | *2 | = | > | < | 0 | < | = | - | < | = | 4 | 48 | 1.92% | 0.54% | 73.56% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1914 | 0 | > | > | > | < | > | = | < | < | = | > | - | = | 0 | 0 | 22.74% | 2.52% | 22.60% |
| 13 | Looser | 1537 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | = | = | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Looser 0 - 2 Rex Moore
\* Ray Garrison 2 - 0 Looser
\* Looser 0 - 2 kfiecio

Games completed: 54/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1772 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 100 | 0.06% | 0.17% | 0.40% |
| 2 | opmp | 1887 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | > | < | < | 2 | 14 | 132 | 48.59% | 3.48% | 0.51% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1653 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | 0 | < | 2 | 14 | 120 | 3.92% | 0.48% | 10.70% |
| 4 | kfiecio | 1892 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | = | < | < | *2 | 10 | 64 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 85.09% |
| 5 | Paavo Pirinen | 1793 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 0 | < | 2 | 10 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 99.41% |
| 6 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1776 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | = | > | = | 8 | 76 | 0.05% | 0.05% | 81.17% |
| 7 | Manou | 1741 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | = | 2 | 8 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 99.49% |
| 8 | JJ10 | 1715 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | = | 2 | > | 2 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 99.66% |
| 9 | Luca Bruzzi | 1744 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | = | > | > | 2 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 98.67% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1836 | 2 | < | < | = | > | > | 2 | = | = | - | = | = | 2 | 6 | 48 | 17.14% | 0.46% | 33.58% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1791 | 0 | > | 2 | > | 2 | = | < | 0 | < | = | - | < | *2 | 6 | 48 | 2.39% | 0.63% | 70.03% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1917 | 0 | > | > | > | > | < | = | < | < | = | > | - | *2 | 2 | 0 | 23.88% | 2.84% | 21.30% |
| 13 | Looser | 1525 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | = | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | *0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor 2 - 0 Looser

Games completed: 55/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1776 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 100 | 0.03% | 0.12% | 0.45% |
| 2 | opmp | 1887 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | > | < | < | 2 | 14 | 136 | 49.04% | 3.27% | 0.51% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1659 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | 0 | < | 2 | 14 | 124 | 4.33% | 0.47% | 10.71% |
| 4 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1782 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | = | > | *2 | 10 | 76 | 0.04% | 0.04% | 77.32% |
| 5 | kfiecio | 1892 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | = | < | < | 2 | 10 | 68 | 0.00% | 0.02% | 86.36% |
| 6 | Paavo Pirinen | 1793 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 0 | < | 2 | 10 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 99.51% |
| 7 | Manou | 1741 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | = | 2 | 8 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 99.60% |
| 8 | JJ10 | 1719 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | = | 2 | > | 2 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 99.66% |
| 9 | Luca Bruzzi | 1744 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | = | > | > | 2 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 98.69% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1836 | 2 | < | < | > | = | > | 2 | = | = | - | = | = | 2 | 6 | 48 | 16.66% | 0.40% | 34.47% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1791 | 0 | > | 2 | = | > | 2 | < | 0 | < | = | - | < | 2 | 6 | 48 | 2.43% | 0.67% | 70.28% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1917 | 0 | > | > | < | > | > | = | < | < | = | > | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23.72% | 2.60% | 22.43% |
| 13 | Looser | 1519 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ray Garrison 0 - 2 JJ10 <--- upset!
\* Martyn Hamer 0 - 2 Ray Garrison

Games completed: 57/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1765 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 108 | 0.06% | 0.14% | 0.26% |
| 2 | opmp | 1887 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | > | < | < | 2 | 14 | 140 | 56.20% | 3.76% | 0.46% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1661 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | > | 0 | *0 | 2 | 14 | 128 | 0.90% | 0.36% | 10.21% |
| 4 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1782 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | = | > | 2 | 10 | 80 | 0.07% | 0.06% | 75.84% |
| 5 | kfiecio | 1867 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | < | < | 2 | 10 | 68 | 0 | 0.02% | 87.77% |
| 6 | Paavo Pirinen | 1793 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 0 | < | 2 | 10 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 99.38% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1743 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | = | 2 | *2 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 99.51% |
| 8 | Manou | 1741 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | > | = | 2 | 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 99.55% |
| 9 | Luca Bruzzi | 1744 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | = | > | > | 2 | 6 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 98.49% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1836 | 2 | < | < | > | = | > | = | 2 | = | - | = | = | 2 | 6 | 48 | 18.26% | 0.40% | 33.60% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1791 | 0 | > | 2 | = | > | 2 | 0 | < | < | = | - | < | 2 | 6 | 48 | 2.56% | 0.75% | 69.46% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1899 | 0 | > | *2 | < | > | > | *0 | = | < | = | > | - | 2 | 4 | 28 | 17.74% | 3.09% | 25.48% |
| 13 | Looser | 1519 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Luca Bruzzi 2 - 0 Rex Moore

Games completed: 58/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1789 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 112 | 0.07% | 0.24% | 0.07% |
| 2 | opmp | 1887 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | > | < | < | 2 | 14 | 140 | 54.86% | 4.47% | 0.38% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1671 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | > | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 128 | 0.85% | 0.42% | 9.05% |
| 4 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1782 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | = | > | 2 | 10 | 84 | 0.04% | 0.04% | 80.43% |
| 5 | kfiecio | 1842 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | = | < | < | 2 | 10 | 72 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 87.88% |
| 6 | Paavo Pirinen | 1793 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | 0 | < | 2 | 10 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 99.25% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1743 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | = | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 99.41% |
| 8 | Luca Bruzzi | 1762 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | = | *2 | > | 2 | 8 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 97.47% |
| 9 | Manou | 1741 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | > | = | 2 | 8 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 99.42% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1836 | 2 | < | < | > | = | > | = | = | 2 | - | = | < | 2 | 6 | 48 | 16.65% | 0.35% | 30.94% |
| 11 | Rex Moore | 1773 | 0 | > | 2 | = | > | 2 | 0 | *0 | < | = | - | < | 2 | 6 | 48 | 1.35% | 0.52% | 77.43% |
| 12 | Ray Garrison | 1899 | 0 | > | 2 | < | > | > | 0 | < | = | > | > | - | 2 | 4 | 28 | 21.22% | 4.05% | 18.26% |
| 13 | Looser | 1519 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: einstein.ch.15.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* opmp 0 - 2 Ray Garrison

Games completed: 59/78
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. 12 |_. 13 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | naive_child_c | 1771 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 116 | 0.08% | 0.26% | 0.10% |
| 2 | opmp | 1872 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | *0 | > | < | 2 | 14 | 140 | 46.89% | 5.21% | 0.43% |
| 3 | Martyn Hamer | 1686 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | > | 0 | 2 | 14 | 128 | 1.00% | 0.40% | 9.40% |
| 4 | John-Marc 'Johnny' McGregor | 1757 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | > | < | = | 2 | 10 | 84 | 0.03% | 0.02% | 83.62% |
| 5 | kfiecio | 1854 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | < | = | < | 2 | 10 | 72 | 0.00% | 0.02% | 87.88% |
| 6 | Paavo Pirinen | 1793 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | < | < | 0 | 2 | 10 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 99.32% |
| 7 | JJ10 | 1761 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | = | 2 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 99.29% |
| 8 | Luca Bruzzi | 1762 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | > | = | 2 | 2 | 8 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 98.02% |
| 9 | Manou | 1741 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | = | 0 | > | 2 | 8 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 99.48% |
| 10 | Ray Garrison | 1914 | 0 | *2 | 2 | < | > | > | 0 | < | = | - | > | > | 2 | 6 | 56 | 27.95% | 4.84% | 12.37% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1836 | 2 | < | < | > | = | > | = | = | 2 | < | - | = | 2 | 6 | 48 | 16.95% | 0.30% | 32.33% |
| 12 | Rex Moore | 1773 | 0 | > | 2 | = | > | 2 | 0 | 0 | < | < | = | - | 2 | 6 | 48 | 1.38% | 0.56% | 77.75% |
| 13 | Looser | 1519 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-13 and thus being demoted