Public forum discussion.
13 Aug 2012
I've been trying to decide what to do with Sybil's endgame databases. But until I've got that figured out, I thought I'd open them up to anyone interested. If you've got a position from a game here on LG that you'd like to see the solution to, post the URL to the position (like, say, http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=1395745&nmove=61 ) up in this forum and I'll ask Sybil to reply with the winning chances (given perfect play) resulting from each possible move.
Sybil can handle any position with 7 pieces or fewer. Please no games still in progress...
14 Aug 2012
14 Aug 2012
I can answer the question. It is "yes" but probably not where you think. :)
14 Aug 2012
14 Aug 2012
This is a chance of 2/3 for capturing the 3 as well as 2/9 (11,1%) for both other moves, no wrong move here, I think, how close am I to the perfect chances?
14 Aug 2012
Sorry, I meant 2/9 (22,2%)....
14 Aug 2012
Spot on, YHW. Blue wins 2/3 of the time he takes the 3 and 2/9 of the time he doesn't.
16 Aug 2012
16 Aug 2012
Red chances of winning after each of the following moves:
1/c2-d2 -- 27.6%
1/c2xc3 -- 44.6%
1/c2-b3 -- 45.4%
5/b3xc3 -- 45.5%
5/b3-b4 -- 30.1%
5/b3xc4 -- 36.5%
Pretty close, either way.
17 Aug 2012
So I chose the worst of the three meaningful opportunities ;) Thanks !
21 Aug 2012
[game;id:1465918;move:159]