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loa.ch.20.1.1 predictions

Public forum discussion.

#1 · RoRoRo the Bot

19 Jun 2012

*Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
I've been requested to follow loa.ch.20.1.1 by FatPhil

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 26/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Hartmut | (2008) | -| 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 | 14 | 72 | 70.51% | 0.24% | 0 |
| 2 | mikeg | (1947)| 0 | -| 2 0 _ 2 2 _ 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1.75% |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | (1847)| 0 0 | -| 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 6.62% |
| 4 | Orbilin | (1758)| 0 2 0 | -| 0 0 2 _ 2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 76.38% |
| 5 | emilioes | (1818)| 0 _ _ 2 | -| 2 _ _ 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0.24% | 18.82% |
| 6 | Arty Sandler | (1730)| 0 0 0 2 0 | -| 0 _ 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.36% |
| 7 | Francesco | (1758)| 0 0 0 0 _ 2 | -| _ 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 93.77% |
| 8 | kingofthebesI | (2022)| _ _ _ _ _ _ _ | -| 2 | 2 | 0 | 29.26% | 0.24% | 3.31% |
| 9 | calvorota | (1545)| 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#2 · RoRoRo the Bot

27 Jun 2012

*Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* mikeg 2 - 0 emilioes

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Hartmut | (2008) | -| 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 | 14 | 76 | 70.38% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | mikeg | (1957)| 0 | -| 2 0 *2 2 2 _ 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | (1847)| 0 0 | -| 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 5.71% |
| 4 | Orbilin | (1758)| 0 2 0 | -| 0 0 2 _ 2 | 6 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 72.34% |
| 5 | emilioes | (1808)| 0 *0 _ 2 | -| 2 _ _ 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 25.86% |
| 6 | Arty Sandler | (1730)| 0 0 0 2 0 | -| 0 _ 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.09% |
| 7 | Francesco | (1744)| 0 0 0 0 _ 2 | -| _ 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 93.100% |
| 8 | kingofthebesI | (2022)| _ _ _ _ _ _ _ | -| 2 | 2 | 0 | 29.62% | 0 | 3.00% |
| 9 | calvorota | (1545)| 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#3 · RoRoRo the Bot

28 Jun 2012

*Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* emilioes 0 - 2 Francesco

Games completed: 28/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Hartmut | (2008) | -| 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 | 14 | 80 | 70.36% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | mikeg | (1957)| 0 | -| 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | (1847)| 0 0 | -| 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 5.81% |
| 4 | Orbilin | (1758)| 0 2 0 | -| 2 0 0 _ 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 53.42% |
| 5 | Francesco | (1762)| 0 0 0 0 | -| *2 2 _ 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 83.90% |
| 6 | emilioes | (1790)| 0 0 _ 2 *0 | -| 2 _ 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 56.29% |
| 7 | Arty Sandler | (1730)| 0 0 0 2 0 0 | -| _ 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 97.52% |
| 8 | kingofthebesI | (2022)| _ _ _ _ _ _ _ | -| 2 | 2 | 0 | 29.64% | 0 | 3.06% |
| 9 | calvorota | (1545)| 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#4 · RoRoRo the Bot

29 Jun 2012

*Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Arty Sandler 0 - 2 kingofthebesI

Games completed: 29/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Hartmut | (2008) | -| 2 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 | 14 | 80 | 65.67% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | mikeg | (1957)| 0 | -| 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | (1847)| 0 0 | -| 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 5.88% |
| 4 | Orbilin | (1758)| 0 2 0 | -| 2 0 0 _ 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 51.57% |
| 5 | Francesco | (1762)| 0 0 0 0 | -| 2 2 _ 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 84.27% |
| 6 | emilioes | (1790)| 0 0 _ 2 0 | -| 2 _ 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 55.84% |
| 7 | Arty Sandler | (1725)| 0 0 0 2 0 0 | -| *0 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 8 | kingofthebesI | (2027)| _ _ _ _ _ _ *2 | -| 2 | 4 | 8 | 34.33% | 0 | 2.44% |
| 9 | calvorota | (1545)| 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#5 · RoRoRo the Bot

2 Jul 2012

*Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kingofthebesI 2 - 0 Francesco

Games completed: 30/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Hartmut | (2008) | -| 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 | 14 | 80 | 61.29% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | mikeg | (1957)| 0 | -| 2 0 2 _ 2 2 2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | (1859)| 0 0 | -| 2 2 _ _ 2 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 4.69% |
| 4 | Orbilin | (1758)| 0 2 0 | -| 2 _ 0 0 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 43.66% |
| 5 | Francesco | (1757)| 0 0 0 0 | -| *0 2 2 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 6 | kingofthebesI | (2032)| _ _ _ _ *2 | -| _ 2 2 | 6 | 20 | 38.71% | 0 | 0.80% |
| 7 | emilioes | (1790)| 0 0 _ 2 0 _ | -| 2 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 50.86% |
| 8 | Arty Sandler | (1725)| 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 | -| 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 9 | calvorota | (1545)| 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#6 · RoRoRo the Bot

5 Jul 2012

*Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Hartmut 0 - 2 kingofthebesI

Games completed: 31/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Hartmut | (1994) | -| 2 *0 2 2 2 2 2 2 | 14 | 80 | 24.91% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | mikeg | (1957)| 0 | -| _ 2 0 2 2 2 2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | kingofthebesI | (2046)| *2 _ | -| _ _ 2 _ 2 2 | 8 | 48 | 75.09% | 0 | 0.11% |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | (1859)| 0 0 _ | -| 2 2 _ 2 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 4.85% |
| 5 | Orbilin | (1758)| 0 2 _ 0 | -| 2 0 0 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 43.59% |
| 6 | Francesco | (1757)| 0 0 0 0 0 | -| 2 2 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 7 | emilioes | (1790)| 0 0 _ _ 2 0 | -| 2 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 51.45% |
| 8 | Arty Sandler | (1725)| 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 | -| 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 9 | calvorota | (1545)| 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#7 · RoRoRo the Bot

16 Jul 2012

*Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* emilioes 0 - 2 Ragnar Wikman

Games completed: 32/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Hartmut | (1994) | -| 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 | 14 | 84 | 24.89% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | mikeg | (1957)| 0 | -| 2 _ 0 2 2 2 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ragnar Wikman | (1871)| 0 0 | -| _ 2 2 *2 2 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | kingofthebesI | (2046)| 2 _ _ | -| _ 2 _ 2 2 | 8 | 48 | 75.11% | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Orbilin | (1758)| 0 2 0 _ | -| 2 0 0 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 14.77% |
| 6 | Francesco | (1757)| 0 0 0 0 0 | -| 2 2 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | emilioes | (1778)| 0 0 *0 _ 2 0 | -| 2 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 85.23% |
| 8 | Arty Sandler | (1725)| 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 | -| 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | calvorota | (1548)| 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#8 · RoRoRo the Bot

20 Jul 2012

*Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Orbilin 0 - 2 kingofthebesI

Games completed: 33/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Hartmut | (1994) | -| 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 | 14 | 84 | 17.00% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | kingofthebesI | (2051)| 2 | -| _ _ *2 2 _ 2 2 | 10 | 60 | 83.00% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | mikeg | (1957)| 0 _ | -| 2 0 2 2 2 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | (1871)| 0 _ 0 | -| 2 2 2 2 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Orbilin | (1753)| 0 *0 2 0 | -| 2 0 0 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 17.08% |
| 6 | Francesco | (1757)| 0 0 0 0 0 | -| 2 2 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | emilioes | (1778)| 0 _ 0 0 2 0 | -| 2 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 82.92% |
| 8 | Arty Sandler | (1725)| 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 | -| 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | calvorota | (1548)| 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#9 · RoRoRo the Bot

28 Jul 2012

*Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kingofthebesI 2 - 0 emilioes

Games completed: 34/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Hartmut | (1994) | -| 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 | 14 | 84 | 9.30% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | kingofthebesI | (2056)| 2 | -| _ _ 2 2 *2 2 2 | 12 | 72 | 90.70% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | mikeg | (1957)| 0 _ | -| 2 0 2 2 2 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | (1871)| 0 _ 0 | -| 2 2 2 2 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Orbilin | (1753)| 0 0 2 0 | -| 2 0 0 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Francesco | (1757)| 0 0 0 0 0 | -| 2 2 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | emilioes | (1773)| 0 *0 0 0 2 0 | -| 2 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Arty Sandler | (1725)| 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 | -| 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | calvorota | (1538)| 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#10 · RoRoRo the Bot

12 Aug 2012

*Tournament: loa.ch.20.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ragnar Wikman 0 - 2 kingofthebesI
\* kingofthebesI 2 - 0 mikeg

Games completed: 36/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kingofthebesI | 2075 | - | 2 | *2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 112 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hartmut | 1994 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | mikeg | 1946 | *0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ragnar Wikman | 1863 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Orbilin | 1753 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Francesco | 1760 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | emilioes | 1773 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Arty Sandler | 1725 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | calvorota | 1538 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted