brkthr.ch.19.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
I've been requested to follow brkthr.ch.19.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kyle douglas | 2095 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 20.15% | 1.74% | 12.48% |
| 2 | halladba | 2159 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 38.71% | 2.25% | 5.29% |
| 3 | Stop Sign | 2085 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 17.90% | 1.75% | 14.62% |
| 4 | MojoRising | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 9.48% | 1.17% | 26.57% |
| 5 | wanderer_c | 2006 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.15% | 0.94% | 35.45% |
| 6 | ypercube | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.34% | 0.47% | 58.28% |
| 7 | kingofthebesI | 1874 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.62% | 0.14% | 78.23% |
| 8 | isketzo067 | 1872 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.57% | 0.14% | 79.44% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.20% | 0.05% | 89.64% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Good luck to all players!!!

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* halladba 2 - 0 wanderer_c

Games completed: 1/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | halladba | 2168 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 48.13% | 2.19% | 1.97% |
| 2 | Blizzard | 1816 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.04% | 87.22% |
| 3 | isketzo067 | 1872 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.51% | 0.13% | 76.29% |
| 4 | kingofthebesI | 1874 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.55% | 0.12% | 76.14% |
| 5 | ypercube | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 2.07% | 0.36% | 55.90% |
| 6 | wanderer_c | 1997 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.63% | 0.42% | 46.30% |
| 7 | MojoRising | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 8.68% | 1.09% | 26.65% |
| 8 | Stop Sign | 2085 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 16.58% | 1.51% | 15.51% |
| 9 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 18.42% | 1.54% | 14.02% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* halladba 2 - 0 Blizzard
\* Blizzard 0 - 2 kyle douglas
\* Stop Sign 2 - 0 Blizzard
\* Blizzard 0 - 2 isketzo067
\* Blizzard 0 - 2 ypercube
\* Blizzard 0 - 2 MojoRising
\* wanderer_c 2 - 0 Blizzard

Games completed: 8/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | halladba | 2168 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 47.64% | 2.68% | 1.83% |
| 2 | ypercube | 1942 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 2.17% | 0.53% | 51.01% |
| 3 | isketzo067 | 1872 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.64% | 0.17% | 72.86% |
| 4 | wanderer_c | 2010 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 2.01% | 0.71% | 39.77% |
| 5 | MojoRising | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 8.79% | 1.29% | 25.67% |
| 6 | Stop Sign | 2085 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 15.91% | 1.86% | 15.11% |
| 7 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 18.28% | 1.94% | 13.72% |
| 8 | Blizzard | 1816 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 1874 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.54% | 0.10% | 80.03% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* wanderer_c 2 - 0 MojoRising

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | halladba | 2168 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 8 | 50.77% | 2.70% | 1.73% |
| 2 | wanderer_c | 2030 | 0 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 4.83% | 1.24% | 17.65% |
| 3 | isketzo067 | 1872 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.64% | 0.18% | 73.25% |
| 4 | ypercube | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 2.22% | 0.48% | 53.74% |
| 5 | MojoRising | 2019 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 2.99% | 0.72% | 42.86% |
| 6 | Stop Sign | 2085 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 16.00% | 1.70% | 15.58% |
| 7 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 18.26% | 1.88% | 14.16% |
| 8 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 1874 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.44% | 0.10% | 81.03% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* isketzo067 0 - 2 wanderer_c

Games completed: 10/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2039 | - | 0 | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 6.37% | 1.46% | 9.92% |
| 2 | halladba | 2168 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 50.31% | 2.71% | 1.73% |
| 3 | isketzo067 | 1867 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.15% | 0.05% | 82.62% |
| 4 | ypercube | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 2.00% | 0.50% | 53.71% |
| 5 | MojoRising | 2019 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 2.78% | 0.75% | 42.42% |
| 6 | Stop Sign | 2085 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 15.91% | 1.76% | 15.35% |
| 7 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 17.98% | 1.91% | 13.65% |
| 8 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | kingofthebesI | 1874 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.50% | 0.10% | 80.60% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kingofthebesI 2 - 0 Blizzard

Games completed: 11/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2040 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6.62% | 1.64% | 10.64% |
| 2 | halladba | 2168 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 50.07% | 2.88% | 1.72% |
| 3 | isketzo067 | 1867 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.07% | 82.80% |
| 4 | kingofthebesI | 1874 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.57% | 0.19% | 74.10% |
| 5 | ypercube | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.06% | 0.52% | 55.35% |
| 6 | MojoRising | 2019 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.80% | 0.76% | 44.46% |
| 7 | Stop Sign | 2085 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15.65% | 1.84% | 16.19% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17.81% | 2.04% | 14.74% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* ypercube 0 - 2 wanderer_c

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2051 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 12 | 9.87% | 1.96% | 3.10% |
| 2 | halladba | 2168 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 49.96% | 2.94% | 1.43% |
| 3 | isketzo067 | 1867 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.05% | 82.12% |
| 4 | kingofthebesI | 1874 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.51% | 0.16% | 73.13% |
| 5 | ypercube | 1931 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.53% | 0.25% | 68.81% |
| 6 | MojoRising | 2019 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.44% | 0.79% | 42.89% |
| 7 | Stop Sign | 2085 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15.04% | 1.95% | 15.04% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17.20% | 2.06% | 13.47% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* MojoRising 2 - 0 halladba

Games completed: 13/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2052 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 16 | 17.43% | 3.26% | 2.88% |
| 2 | halladba | 2146 | 2 | - | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 25.64% | 3.53% | 4.74% |
| 3 | MojoRising | 2041 | 0 | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9.40% | 2.65% | 14.51% |
| 4 | isketzo067 | 1867 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.21% | 0.09% | 86.59% |
| 5 | kingofthebesI | 1850 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.49% | 0.16% | 83.06% |
| 6 | ypercube | 1931 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.64% | 0.35% | 75.52% |
| 7 | Stop Sign | 2085 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18.54% | 2.28% | 17.28% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21.33% | 2.45% | 15.41% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* MojoRising 2 - 0 isketzo067

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2054 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 20 | 17.36% | 3.65% | 2.87% |
| 2 | MojoRising | 2049 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 12 | 12.43% | 3.19% | 8.36% |
| 3 | halladba | 2146 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 24.07% | 3.75% | 4.78% |
| 4 | isketzo067 | 1859 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.03% | 93.24% |
| 5 | kingofthebesI | 1850 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.43% | 0.19% | 83.38% |
| 6 | ypercube | 1931 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.62% | 0.27% | 75.63% |
| 7 | Stop Sign | 2085 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18.23% | 2.40% | 16.50% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20.08% | 2.51% | 15.24% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* isketzo067 0 - 2 halladba

Games completed: 15/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2054 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16.26% | 3.84% | 2.76% |
| 2 | halladba | 2151 | 2 | - | 0 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 28.26% | 4.26% | 2.87% |
| 3 | MojoRising | 2049 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12.66% | 3.44% | 7.77% |
| 4 | isketzo067 | 1854 | 0 | *0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 95.75% |
| 5 | kingofthebesI | 1850 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.49% | 0.16% | 82.42% |
| 6 | ypercube | 1931 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.65% | 0.32% | 74.17% |
| 7 | Stop Sign | 2065 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14.47% | 2.17% | 19.81% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20.24% | 2.56% | 14.44% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Stop Sign 0 - 2 wanderer_c

Games completed: 16/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2070 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32.58% | 4.56% | 0.03% |
| 2 | halladba | 2151 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 24 | 28.27% | 4.56% | 1.96% |
| 3 | MojoRising | 2049 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 9.21% | 3.79% | 6.68% |
| 4 | isketzo067 | 1864 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.77% |
| 5 | kingofthebesI | 1850 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.46% | 0.16% | 80.02% |
| 6 | ypercube | 1931 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.43% | 0.20% | 70.73% |
| 7 | Stop Sign | 2049 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.94% | 1.14% | 33.83% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19.24% | 2.32% | 12.97% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* isketzo067 0 - 2 Stop Sign

Games completed: 17/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2070 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 28 | 32.99% | 4.79% | 0.05% |
| 2 | halladba | 2151 | 2 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 24 | 27.47% | 4.60% | 2.24% |
| 3 | MojoRising | 2049 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 9.00% | 3.59% | 7.49% |
| 4 | Stop Sign | 2057 | 0 | _ | _ | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3.83% | 1.53% | 24.47% |
| 5 | isketzo067 | 1856 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.48% |
| 6 | kingofthebesI | 1850 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.44% | 0.15% | 81.68% |
| 7 | ypercube | 1931 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.36% | 0.24% | 72.72% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18.91% | 2.53% | 12.87% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* ypercube 2 - 0 halladba <--- upset!

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2077 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 32 | 49.27% | 4.82% | 0.00% |
| 2 | halladba | 2127 | 2 | - | 0 | *0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 24 | 7.17% | 2.73% | 9.95% |
| 3 | MojoRising | 2049 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 8.34% | 2.47% | 13.45% |
| 4 | ypercube | 1955 | 0 | *2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2.01% | 0.90% | 41.74% |
| 5 | Stop Sign | 2069 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4.48% | 1.09% | 31.74% |
| 6 | isketzo067 | 1859 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.97% |
| 7 | kingofthebesI | 1848 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.48% | 0.16% | 85.90% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21.72% | 2.90% | 18.24% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* ypercube 2 - 0 isketzo067

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2077 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 36 | 49.67% | 5.21% | 0.02% |
| 2 | halladba | 2127 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 24 | 6.18% | 2.87% | 11.68% |
| 3 | ypercube | 1966 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 3.07% | 1.29% | 31.42% |
| 4 | MojoRising | 2049 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 7.85% | 2.35% | 16.38% |
| 5 | Stop Sign | 2073 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4.61% | 1.11% | 33.91% |
| 6 | isketzo067 | 1848 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.99% |
| 7 | kingofthebesI | 1848 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.47% | 0.13% | 86.60% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21.31% | 3.09% | 20.00% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* MojoRising 2 - 0 ypercube

Games completed: 20/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2077 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 40 | 49.00% | 4.64% | 0.01% |
| 2 | MojoRising | 2061 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 28 | 13.13% | 2.78% | 3.42% |
| 3 | halladba | 2127 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 24 | 5.76% | 2.72% | 10.60% |
| 4 | ypercube | 1954 | 0 | *0 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0.28% | 0.52% | 48.41% |
| 5 | Stop Sign | 2073 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4.53% | 1.08% | 32.59% |
| 6 | isketzo067 | 1848 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.98% |
| 7 | kingofthebesI | 1848 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.53% | 0.15% | 85.97% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20.38% | 2.93% | 19.02% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* ypercube 0 - 2 Stop Sign
\* MojoRising 0 - 2 Stop Sign

Games completed: 22/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2059 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 48 | 46.44% | 5.21% | 0.02% |
| 2 | Stop Sign | 2103 | 0 | - | *2 | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 32 | 15.41% | 2.33% | 2.94% |
| 3 | MojoRising | 2046 | 0 | *0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0.71% | 1.75% | 6.52% |
| 4 | halladba | 2127 | 2 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 24 | 10.17% | 2.33% | 9.29% |
| 5 | ypercube | 1945 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0.01% | 73.60% |
| 6 | isketzo067 | 1848 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.99% |
| 7 | kingofthebesI | 1835 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.31% | 0.13% | 88.83% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20.53% | 3.11% | 18.81% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* halladba 2 - 0 Stop Sign

Games completed: 23/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2063 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 48 | 47.86% | 6.71% | 0.03% |
| 2 | halladba | 2141 | 2 | - | 0 | *2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 40 | 19.22% | 4.62% | 1.52% |
| 3 | MojoRising | 2046 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 32 | 1.12% | 2.62% | 5.43% |
| 4 | Stop Sign | 2089 | 0 | *0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 32 | 1.56% | 2.88% | 7.05% |
| 5 | ypercube | 1945 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0.01% | 73.46% |
| 6 | isketzo067 | 1848 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | kingofthebesI | 1826 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.35% | 0.11% | 90.77% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2095 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21.23% | 3.10% | 21.74% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* wanderer_c 2 - 0 kyle douglas

Games completed: 24/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2052 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 91.46% | 2.80% | 0 |
| 2 | halladba | 2141 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 44 | 4.26% | 2.46% | 1.06% |
| 3 | MojoRising | 2046 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0.01% | 0.26% | 4.02% |
| 4 | Stop Sign | 2089 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0.12% | 4.80% |
| 5 | ypercube | 1945 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 63.81% |
| 6 | isketzo067 | 1848 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | kingofthebesI | 1826 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.34% | 0.15% | 88.60% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2077 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.08% | 0.12% | 37.72% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* isketzo067 0 - 2 kingofthebesI

Games completed: 25/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2053 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 88.37% | 3.46% | 0 |
| 2 | halladba | 2141 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 44 | 5.96% | 2.83% | 1.62% |
| 3 | MojoRising | 2046 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0.03% | 0.55% | 5.20% |
| 4 | Stop Sign | 2089 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0.17% | 6.05% |
| 5 | ypercube | 1945 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 65.91% |
| 6 | kingofthebesI | 1843 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | *2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.83% | 0.27% | 83.09% |
| 7 | isketzo067 | 1831 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | kyle douglas | 2077 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.24% | 0.22% | 38.13% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Stop Sign 2 - 0 kyle douglas
\* kyle douglas 2 - 0 isketzo067

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2053 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 60 | 89.79% | 3.35% | 0 |
| 2 | Stop Sign | 2104 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0.48% | 0.14% |
| 3 | halladba | 2141 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 48 | 6.15% | 2.73% | 1.57% |
| 4 | MojoRising | 2046 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0.10% | 4.49% |
| 5 | ypercube | 1945 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 59.38% |
| 6 | kingofthebesI | 1843 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.69% | 0.47% | 81.50% |
| 7 | kyle douglas | 2068 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | *2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.05% | 52.91% |
| 8 | isketzo067 | 1825 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: brkthr.ch.19.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* wanderer_c 2 - 0 kingofthebesI

Games completed: 28/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | wanderer_c | 2036 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 68 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Stop Sign | 2104 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | halladba | 2141 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 1.01% |
| 4 | MojoRising | 2046 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 2.86% |
| 5 | ypercube | 1945 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 55.69% |
| 6 | kingofthebesI | 1835 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 89.51% |
| 7 | kyle douglas | 2068 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.93% |
| 8 | isketzo067 | 1825 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Blizzard | 1816 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Congrats to wanderer_c and Richard Lorentz.

Thanks, ypercube! The reality is that Wanderer was just very lucky this time around. 3 of his wins should have been losses. In these 3 games he was outplayed until late in the game when his opponents missed winning moves (at move numbers 52, 59, and 64) and let him back in.

Also, considering the recent drubbing he's been taking (see the last 5 or so games against edbonnet and his last game against Gardiyan) I think people are starting to figure out how to win against him. We are going to have to make some major improvements in the program if he is going to have any chance in the next Championship.

Congrats to wanderer_c and Richard Lorentz also from me.
What a steep curve of progress...

Ingo.