#51 · Marius Halsor
19 Sep 2012
@sghsal: For me, the INTERRESTING part of this discussion was always about "predicting the outcome of games", unlike what you wrote in your last post. So that's what I'll stick to.
As I see it, FairyTail realized he had discussed ongoing games in his first post, agreed that this was a bad thing, and apologized for it. We all make mistakes like this - no big deal as long as we realize it was an error. Do YOU also agree that his statement indeed WAS a discussion of ongoing games, and do YOU also see this as a bad thing? (Since it wasn't you who posted it, the part about apologizing obviously doesn't apply to you :-) ). I hope you do, despite your previous statements:
"I agree that an ongoing game should not be discussed, but to guess which player will win canât be that bad"
and
"However, tell me what kind of information does a prediction about which player will win leak to the participants? Well, sure, the player who can supposedly win, may think a bit more about the current position (assumed he didnât know a winning move before), but he still have to come up with a possible solution by himself."
Guessing what player will win BEFORE THE GAME STARTS is obviously no problem. But once it has started, such a "guess" is actually discussing the game.
Telling someone that they should win a particular game IS discussing the ongoing game. And it CAN affect the outcome. In many cases, the player still sees the game as undecided, or even think's he's losing. Telling him he has a winning position will make often MAKE him look hard enough at the game to find the winning move - a move he would not otherwise have found. At least to me, KNOWING I have a winning position sure is an advantage. I know that, since in D&B you sometimes can see that you have a guaranteed winning position without knowing the winning move, and in such situations, I thoroughly analyze the game until I (usually) find the winning move. I won't make that same effort in every position, because, obviously, I don't have the time for that.
It was not you who discussed ongoing games here. I just want to make sure we agree that such discussions is a bad thing, and that predicting the outcome of a game BASED ON THE SITUATION IN THE GAME is a bad thing (RoRoRo's predictions is NOT based on the situation in the game).
PS. I take it for granted that we can stay on issue, and avoid any further "smoke" :-)