shogi.ch.5.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
I've been requested to follow shogi.ch.5.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2197 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 44.45% | 1.62% | 1.87% |
| 2 | Kisoul | 1777 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 93.39% |
| 3 | dktn | 1788 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 92.22% |
| 4 | kimagure | 1791 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.00% | 92.26% |
| 5 | David Rockwell | 1860 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.29% | 0.05% | 79.60% |
| 6 | koshiro | 1932 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.24% | 0.18% | 57.25% |
| 7 | SleepingChinchilla | 1986 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.30% | 0.44% | 37.71% |
| 8 | kokoro | 2044 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 8.06% | 0.74% | 21.02% |
| 9 | CalvinB | 2044 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.96% | 0.75% | 21.46% |
| 10 | Tellmarch | 2161 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 32.21% | 1.46% | 4.21% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1675 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 99.03% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JeanHebert 0 - 2 kokoro
\* CalvinB 2 - 0 JeanHebert
\* JeanHebert 0 - 2 koshiro
\* JeanHebert 0 - 2 kimagure
\* JeanHebert 0 - 2 Tellmarch
\* David Rockwell 2 - 0 JeanHebert
\* JeanHebert 0 - 2 Kisoul

Games completed: 7/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2047 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 8.37% | 0.95% | 19.30% |
| 2 | koshiro | 1941 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 1.52% | 0.26% | 52.98% |
| 3 | David Rockwell | 1867 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.28% | 0.07% | 77.71% |
| 4 | kimagure | 1801 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.01% | 90.32% |
| 5 | CalvinB | 2017 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 5.40% | 0.56% | 29.09% |
| 6 | Tellmarch | 2170 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 34.02% | 1.66% | 3.90% |
| 7 | Kisoul | 1787 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 92.29% |
| 8 | takodori | 2202 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 44.66% | 1.69% | 2.41% |
| 9 | dktn | 1814 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.01% | 90.45% |
| 10 | SleepingChinchilla | 1986 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.05% | 0.39% | 41.55% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1636 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 2 - 0 JeanHebert

Games completed: 8/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Kisoul | 1787 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.02% | 91.43% |
| 2 | koshiro | 1941 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 1.43% | 0.20% | 52.99% |
| 3 | kimagure | 1780 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.02% | 92.61% |
| 4 | David Rockwell | 1867 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.30% | 0.06% | 77.00% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2170 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 34.13% | 1.60% | 3.38% |
| 6 | kokoro | 2047 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 8.26% | 0.95% | 20.02% |
| 7 | CalvinB | 2017 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 5.49% | 0.66% | 28.63% |
| 8 | takodori | 2203 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 44.63% | 1.77% | 2.25% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 1635 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | SleepingChinchilla | 1986 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 3.03% | 0.40% | 41.24% |
| 11 | dktn | 1814 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0.09% | 0.02% | 90.45% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* dktn 2 - 0 JeanHebert

Games completed: 9/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Kisoul | 1787 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.01% | 91.69% |
| 2 | takodori | 2203 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 44.92% | 1.75% | 1.93% |
| 3 | Tellmarch | 2170 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 33.61% | 1.60% | 3.47% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2017 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 5.24% | 0.64% | 27.96% |
| 5 | kokoro | 2050 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 8.69% | 0.87% | 19.74% |
| 6 | koshiro | 1941 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 1.44% | 0.21% | 54.85% |
| 7 | dktn | 1832 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.03% | 85.84% |
| 8 | kimagure | 1780 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 93.29% |
| 9 | David Rockwell | 1867 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.32% | 0.05% | 79.04% |
| 10 | JeanHebert | 1627 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | SleepingChinchilla | 1986 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 3.08% | 0.37% | 42.20% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* SleepingChinchilla 2 - 0 JeanHebert

Games completed: 10/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | koshiro | 1937 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.21% | 0.23% | 55.44% |
| 2 | takodori | 2203 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 43.78% | 1.72% | 2.01% |
| 3 | CalvinB | 2017 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5.00% | 0.64% | 28.82% |
| 4 | kokoro | 2057 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8.94% | 0.97% | 18.84% |
| 5 | SleepingChinchilla | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 0 | 3.24% | 0.43% | 38.64% |
| 6 | Tellmarch | 2178 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 34.89% | 1.60% | 3.54% |
| 7 | Kisoul | 1787 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.00% | 92.57% |
| 8 | dktn | 1825 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.01% | 87.37% |
| 9 | kimagure | 1780 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 93.55% |
| 10 | David Rockwell | 1867 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.27% | 0.05% | 79.22% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Tellmarch 2 - 0 Kisoul

Games completed: 11/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Tellmarch | 2183 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 37.13% | 1.72% | 2.36% |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2017 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.83% | 0.62% | 28.08% |
| 3 | takodori | 2204 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 42.16% | 1.81% | 1.99% |
| 4 | kokoro | 2057 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8.47% | 1.00% | 18.21% |
| 5 | SleepingChinchilla | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3.08% | 0.44% | 37.89% |
| 6 | koshiro | 1937 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.25% | 0.27% | 57.14% |
| 7 | David Rockwell | 1867 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.28% | 0.08% | 78.97% |
| 8 | kimagure | 1801 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.01% | 91.05% |
| 9 | dktn | 1810 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.01% | 89.80% |
| 10 | Kisoul | 1784 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 94.50% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Tellmarch 2 - 0 kimagure

Games completed: 12/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Tellmarch | 2186 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 38.77% | 1.66% | 1.92% |
| 2 | David Rockwell | 1867 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.27% | 0.05% | 77.38% |
| 3 | kokoro | 2060 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8.41% | 1.00% | 17.59% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2017 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.53% | 0.68% | 29.29% |
| 5 | takodori | 2204 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 41.06% | 1.69% | 2.18% |
| 6 | SleepingChinchilla | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.99% | 0.46% | 38.01% |
| 7 | koshiro | 1942 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.32% | 0.22% | 56.36% |
| 8 | kimagure | 1776 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 94.88% |
| 9 | dktn | 1826 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.03% | 87.77% |
| 10 | Kisoul | 1784 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 94.63% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Kisoul 2 - 0 dktn

Games completed: 13/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Tellmarch | 2192 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 12 | 39.84% | 1.68% | 1.66% |
| 2 | Kisoul | 1802 | 0 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 87.20% |
| 3 | kimagure | 1776 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 94.45% |
| 4 | dktn | 1821 | _ | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 93.14% |
| 5 | takodori | 2204 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 40.15% | 1.72% | 2.03% |
| 6 | David Rockwell | 1867 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.23% | 0.04% | 77.86% |
| 7 | koshiro | 1936 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.13% | 0.19% | 57.13% |
| 8 | SleepingChinchilla | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.70% | 0.40% | 38.30% |
| 9 | kokoro | 2067 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9.10% | 1.05% | 17.21% |
| 10 | CalvinB | 2017 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.34% | 0.55% | 31.01% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kimagure 0 - 2 Kisoul

Games completed: 14/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Tellmarch | 2192 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 39.74% | 1.83% | 1.72% |
| 2 | Kisoul | 1814 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0.08% | 0.02% | 81.54% |
| 3 | takodori | 2204 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 39.76% | 1.96% | 2.10% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2017 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.22% | 0.67% | 29.10% |
| 5 | kokoro | 2068 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9.21% | 1.19% | 16.48% |
| 6 | SleepingChinchilla | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.80% | 0.45% | 38.42% |
| 7 | koshiro | 1936 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.13% | 0.22% | 58.18% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1867 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.26% | 0.06% | 79.32% |
| 9 | kimagure | 1707 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 99.26% |
| 10 | dktn | 1821 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 93.87% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kimagure 0 - 2 takodori

Games completed: 15/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | Tellmarch | 2192 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 39.00% | 1.69% | 1.76% |
| 2 | Kisoul | 1814 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0.07% | 0.01% | 81.14% |
| 3 | takodori | 2205 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 41.02% | 1.79% | 1.92% |
| 4 | kokoro | 2068 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8.98% | 1.01% | 16.38% |
| 5 | CalvinB | 2017 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.28% | 0.61% | 29.01% |
| 6 | SleepingChinchilla | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.73% | 0.45% | 38.99% |
| 7 | koshiro | 1936 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.11% | 0.18% | 58.00% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1867 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.29% | 0.06% | 79.29% |
| 9 | dktn | 1821 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 93.97% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1706 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.54% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Kisoul 0 - 2 takodori

Games completed: 16/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2164 | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 33.56% | 1.76% | 2.72% |
| 2 | Tellmarch | 2192 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 43.68% | 1.83% | 1.74% |
| 3 | Kisoul | 1811 | *0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 85.17% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2017 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.98% | 0.68% | 28.39% |
| 5 | kokoro | 2068 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10.24% | 1.11% | 16.10% |
| 6 | SleepingChinchilla | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3.22% | 0.48% | 37.96% |
| 7 | koshiro | 1936 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.27% | 0.23% | 57.66% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1867 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.30% | 0.06% | 79.19% |
| 9 | kimagure | 1706 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.58% |
| 10 | dktn | 1843 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.02% | 91.48% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kokoro 2 - 0 Kisoul

Games completed: 17/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2164 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 33.01% | 1.80% | 2.55% |
| 2 | Tellmarch | 2192 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 42.12% | 1.98% | 1.79% |
| 3 | Kisoul | 1806 | 0 | 0 | - | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 91.10% |
| 4 | kokoro | 2073 | _ | _ | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12.14% | 1.41% | 11.25% |
| 5 | CalvinB | 2022 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5.17% | 0.78% | 26.60% |
| 6 | SleepingChinchilla | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3.17% | 0.49% | 36.95% |
| 7 | koshiro | 1936 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.27% | 0.22% | 56.79% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1867 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.25% | 0.07% | 78.46% |
| 9 | dktn | 1801 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.00% | 95.09% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1713 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.42% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 2 - 0 David Rockwell

Games completed: 18/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2177 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 20 | 37.91% | 1.92% | 1.35% |
| 2 | Tellmarch | 2192 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 39.47% | 1.95% | 1.57% |
| 3 | Kisoul | 1806 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 90.14% |
| 4 | kokoro | 2073 | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10.93% | 1.35% | 10.60% |
| 5 | CalvinB | 2022 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5.06% | 0.72% | 25.08% |
| 6 | SleepingChinchilla | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.81% | 0.50% | 35.73% |
| 7 | koshiro | 1930 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.00% | 0.16% | 57.78% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1863 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.02% | 82.76% |
| 9 | kimagure | 1713 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.37% |
| 10 | dktn | 1789 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 95.62% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* koshiro 0 - 2 takodori

Games completed: 19/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2183 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 24 | 42.88% | 1.99% | 0.38% |
| 2 | Tellmarch | 2192 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 37.06% | 1.97% | 1.44% |
| 3 | Kisoul | 1806 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | 89.41% |
| 4 | kokoro | 2073 | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10.13% | 1.36% | 9.70% |
| 5 | kimagure | 1733 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.76% |
| 6 | SleepingChinchilla | 1989 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.61% | 0.45% | 33.30% |
| 7 | koshiro | 1924 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.24% | 0.10% | 64.86% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1863 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.02% | 81.29% |
| 9 | dktn | 1789 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 95.44% |
| 10 | CalvinB | 2022 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.34% | 0.71% | 25.43% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kimagure 0 - 2 SleepingChinchilla
\* koshiro 2 - 0 kimagure

Games completed: 21/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2183 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 28 | 42.87% | 1.92% | 0.55% |
| 2 | Tellmarch | 2192 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 36.57% | 1.97% | 1.55% |
| 3 | Kisoul | 1806 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 90.77% |
| 4 | kokoro | 2073 | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10.06% | 1.36% | 10.73% |
| 5 | koshiro | 1931 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.28% | 0.11% | 59.29% |
| 6 | SleepingChinchilla | 1994 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3.13% | 0.55% | 31.70% |
| 7 | David Rockwell | 1863 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.02% | 82.72% |
| 8 | dktn | 1789 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.01% | 0 | 95.69% |
| 9 | kimagure | 1721 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | *0 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.93% |
| 10 | CalvinB | 2022 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4.35% | 0.73% | 27.07% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* dktn 2 - 0 kimagure
\* David Rockwell 0 - 2 koshiro
\* kimagure 0 - 2 CalvinB
\* takodori 2 - 0 SleepingChinchilla
\* kokoro 2 - 0 kimagure
\* kimagure 0 - 2 David Rockwell

Games completed: 27/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2195 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 48.89% | 2.17% | 0.10% |
| 2 | kokoro | 2090 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 10.89% | 1.65% | 8.55% |
| 3 | Tellmarch | 2192 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 32.42% | 2.14% | 1.86% |
| 4 | koshiro | 1943 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0.27% | 0.14% | 47.30% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1806 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 91.72% |
| 6 | CalvinB | 2029 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4.29% | 0.76% | 24.13% |
| 7 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.45% | 0.23% | 45.41% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1860 | 0 | _ | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | *2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 89.80% |
| 9 | dktn | 1830 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | *2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.03% | 0.00% | 91.14% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | *0 | *0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Kisoul 0 - 2 CalvinB

Games completed: 28/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2195 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 48.99% | 2.25% | 0.07% |
| 2 | Tellmarch | 2192 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 31.00% | 2.22% | 1.88% |
| 3 | kokoro | 2092 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 11.10% | 1.69% | 8.49% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2035 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 5.24% | 0.96% | 17.21% |
| 5 | koshiro | 1943 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0.31% | 0.18% | 48.63% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 96.81% |
| 7 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.45% | 0.23% | 45.90% |
| 8 | dktn | 1830 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 90.73% |
| 9 | David Rockwell | 1860 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 90.27% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 2 - 0 CalvinB

Games completed: 29/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2212 | - | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 56 | 58.24% | 2.04% | 0 |
| 2 | kokoro | 2092 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 9.35% | 1.70% | 7.73% |
| 3 | Tellmarch | 2192 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 29.06% | 1.96% | 1.68% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2018 | *0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0.60% | 0.35% | 25.57% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 95.69% |
| 6 | koshiro | 1943 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0.16% | 0.11% | 46.19% |
| 7 | dktn | 1830 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.01% | 0 | 90.06% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1860 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 88.74% |
| 9 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.27% | 0.19% | 44.34% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* koshiro 2 - 0 Kisoul
\* kokoro 2 - 0 koshiro

Games completed: 31/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2213 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 56.01% | 2.61% | 0 |
| 2 | kokoro | 2101 | _ | - | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 12.85% | 2.32% | 3.49% |
| 3 | koshiro | 1944 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0.00% | 0.02% | 47.02% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2018 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0.48% | 0.37% | 26.65% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2192 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 27.47% | 2.55% | 2.01% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.50% |
| 7 | dktn | 1841 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.03% | 0.00% | 87.90% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1860 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.00% | 89.11% |
| 9 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.27% | 0.17% | 44.32% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kokoro 2 - 0 takodori

Games completed: 32/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2193 | - | *0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 25.25% | 3.72% | 0 |
| 2 | kokoro | 2121 | *2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 60 | 39.83% | 4.02% | 0.24% |
| 3 | koshiro | 1944 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0.02% | 0.04% | 48.23% |
| 4 | Tellmarch | 2192 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 28.64% | 3.69% | 1.99% |
| 5 | CalvinB | 2018 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 1.13% | 0.56% | 27.45% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.52% |
| 7 | dktn | 1841 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.04% | 0 | 88.49% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1860 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 89.56% |
| 9 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.58% | 0.27% | 44.52% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* David Rockwell 0 - 2 kokoro

Games completed: 33/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2193 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 20.43% | 4.34% | 0 |
| 2 | kokoro | 2126 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 68 | 45.20% | 4.60% | 0.06% |
| 3 | koshiro | 1944 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0.00% | 0.04% | 46.83% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2018 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 1.18% | 0.54% | 26.34% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2192 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 27.59% | 4.25% | 1.88% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.46% |
| 7 | dktn | 1841 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.04% | 0.00% | 88.01% |
| 8 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.56% | 0.23% | 43.21% |
| 9 | David Rockwell | 1855 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 94.20% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Tellmarch 0 - 2 kokoro

Games completed: 34/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2145 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 80 | 85.84% | 1.38% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2193 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 8.13% | 0.95% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 1944 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0.01% | 46.16% |
| 4 | Tellmarch | 2173 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 3.00% | 0.30% | 4.99% |
| 5 | CalvinB | 2018 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 1.04% | 0.67% | 27.08% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.46% |
| 7 | Adam Szlachta | 1864 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.05% | 0.00% | 84.85% |
| 8 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.49% | 0.35% | 43.36% |
| 9 | David Rockwell | 1855 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 94.11% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* CalvinB 2 - 0 Tellmarch

Games completed: 35/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2145 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 80 | 82.18% | 3.34% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2193 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 64 | 9.00% | 2.86% | 0.00% |
| 3 | CalvinB | 2040 | _ | 0 | - | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 4.51% | 2.92% | 7.27% |
| 4 | koshiro | 1944 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0.00% | 0 | 50.86% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2151 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0.13% | 0.15% | 15.80% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.67% |
| 7 | Adam Szlachta | 1864 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.07% | 0.00% | 85.95% |
| 8 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.53% | 0.38% | 45.51% |
| 9 | David Rockwell | 1855 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 94.94% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* koshiro 2 - 0 CalvinB

Games completed: 36/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2145 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 14 | 84 | 88.96% | 1.02% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2193 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 68 | 8.75% | 0.75% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 1971 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0.01% | 0 | 22.30% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2020 | _ | 0 | *0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0.38% | 0.38% | 20.70% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2151 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0.21% | 0.15% | 18.57% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.83% |
| 7 | David Rockwell | 1855 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 96.46% |
| 8 | Adam Szlachta | 1864 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.07% | 0.00% | 88.96% |
| 9 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.48% | 0.30% | 53.19% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kokoro 2 - 0 CalvinB

Games completed: 37/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2155 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 100 | 96.96% | 0.43% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2193 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 68 | 2.20% | 0.35% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 1971 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 20.87% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2010 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 30.01% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2151 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0.02% | 0.04% | 16.43% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.77% |
| 7 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.35% | 0.34% | 50.85% |
| 8 | Adam Szlachta | 1877 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 85.90% |
| 9 | David Rockwell | 1855 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 96.17% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 2 - 0 Adam Szlachta

Games completed: 38/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2155 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 104 | 96.53% | 0.43% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2197 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 76 | 2.70% | 0.38% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 1971 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 19.72% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 29.35% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2151 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0.02% | 0.04% | 15.72% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.75% |
| 7 | Adam Szlachta | 1873 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.01% | 0 | 88.91% |
| 8 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.31% | 0.38% | 50.63% |
| 9 | David Rockwell | 1855 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 95.93% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Adam Szlachta 0 - 2 kokoro

Games completed: 39/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2160 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 18 | 112 | 99.47% | 0.32% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2197 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 76 | 0 | 0.32% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 1983 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 17.49% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 28.47% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2151 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 15.67% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.71% |
| 7 | Adam Szlachta | 1887 | *0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 91.41% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1855 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 95.65% |
| 9 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.21% | 0.32% | 51.59% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Adam Szlachta 0 - 2 Tellmarch

Games completed: 40/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2160 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 116 | 99.42% | 0.35% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2197 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 76 | 0 | 0.35% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 2006 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 14.58% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 27.84% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2134 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 14.97% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 99.73% |
| 7 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.23% | 0.35% | 51.29% |
| 8 | Adam Szlachta | 1881 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | *0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 95.87% |
| 9 | David Rockwell | 1855 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 95.71% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Adam Szlachta 0 - 2 koshiro
\* CalvinB 0 - 2 Adam Szlachta

Games completed: 42/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2160 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 18 | 124 | 99.33% | 0.39% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2197 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 84 | 0 | 0.39% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 2016 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 2.85% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 1987 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | *0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 49.62% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2134 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 11.48% |
| 6 | Adam Szlachta | 1867 | 0 | 0 | *0 | *2 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 97.81% |
| 7 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 99.29% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1855 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 93.91% |
| 9 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.27% | 0.39% | 45.05% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* David Rockwell 2 - 0 Adam Szlachta

Games completed: 43/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2170 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 18 | 128 | 99.49% | 0.29% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2197 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 88 | 0 | 0.29% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 2031 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 2.90% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 1997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 48.64% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2134 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 12.74% |
| 6 | Adam Szlachta | 1844 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | *0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 99.30% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1871 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 89.23% |
| 9 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.22% | 0.29% | 47.19% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Tellmarch 0 - 2 koshiro

Games completed: 44/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2170 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 18 | 132 | 99.48% | 0.32% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2197 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 92 | 0 | 0.32% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 2051 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 41.55% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2114 | 0 | _ | *0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 28.76% |
| 6 | Adam Szlachta | 1886 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 99.01% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1871 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 87.20% |
| 9 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.20% | 0.32% | 43.49% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1615 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* CalvinB 2 - 0 David Rockwell

Games completed: 45/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2170 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 18 | 136 | 99.55% | 0.28% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2197 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 96 | 0 | 0.28% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 2052 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 14 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | *2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 26.49% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2115 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 32.23% |
| 6 | Adam Szlachta | 1894 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | David Rockwell | 1861 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 95.79% |
| 8 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 99.75% |
| 9 | SleepingChinchilla | 1987 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.17% | 0.28% | 45.74% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1615 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* SleepingChinchilla 2 - 0 David Rockwell
\* Tellmarch 0 - 2 takodori

Games completed: 47/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2171 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 140 | 99.03% | 0.97% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2209 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 116 | 0 | 0.97% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 2052 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 21.42% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2103 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 52.43% |
| 6 | Adam Szlachta | 1875 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | SleepingChinchilla | 1997 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | *2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0.97% | 27.77% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1851 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | *0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 98.88% |
| 9 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 99.50% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1621 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* David Rockwell 0 - 2 Tellmarch

Games completed: 48/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2171 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 144 | 99.08% | 0.92% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2209 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 120 | 0 | 0.92% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 2052 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 24.45% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 45.07% |
| 6 | Adam Szlachta | 1895 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | David Rockwell | 1845 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | SleepingChinchilla | 1998 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0.92% | 30.66% |
| 9 | Kisoul | 1790 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 99.82% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1621 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Kisoul 2 - 0 David Rockwell

Games completed: 49/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2171 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 148 | 99.10% | 0.90% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2209 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 124 | 0 | 0.90% | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 2058 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 24.11% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 43.96% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1808 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 99.55% |
| 7 | Adam Szlachta | 1901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | SleepingChinchilla | 1998 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0.90% | 32.38% |
| 9 | David Rockwell | 1827 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1662 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.5.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Kisoul 2 - 0 SleepingChinchilla <--- upset!

Games completed: 50/55
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. 11 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kokoro | 2171 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 18 | 152 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2209 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | koshiro | 2060 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 14 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 17.16% |
| 5 | Tellmarch | 2110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 25.21% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1831 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 98.71% |
| 7 | Adam Szlachta | 1901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | David Rockwell | 1827 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | SleepingChinchilla | 1975 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | *0 | _ | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 58.92% |
| 10 | kimagure | 1662 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 11 | JeanHebert | 1624 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-11 and thus being demoted

Congrats to kokoro !

Beating (the 4 times champion) takodori looks impressive.