shogi.ch.4.1.1 predictions

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
I've been requested to follow shogi.ch.4.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | eaeaeapepe | 1700 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% | 84.39% |
| 2 | Zandor | 1702 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.01% | 84.46% |
| 3 | Kisoul | 1760 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.05% | 71.84% |
| 4 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.04% | 75.67% |
| 5 | takodori | 2143 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 39.91% | 2.63% | 1.12% |
| 6 | CalvinB | 2045 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 16.33% | 2.03% | 5.29% |
| 7 | kimagure | 1779 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.23% | 0.08% | 67.71% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2088 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 25.26% | 2.40% | 2.83% |
| 9 | Karthum | 2032 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 14.36% | 1.85% | 6.69% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Kisoul 0 - 2 takodori

Games completed: 1/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2144 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 42.20% | 2.89% | 0.44% |
| 2 | eaeaeapepe | 1700 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.02% | 81.67% |
| 3 | Zandor | 1702 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.02% | 81.26% |
| 4 | Kisoul | 1757 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.02% | 72.50% |
| 5 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.05% | 71.48% |
| 6 | CalvinB | 2045 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 15.95% | 2.26% | 4.33% |
| 7 | kimagure | 1713 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.01% | 80.52% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2088 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 23.93% | 2.58% | 2.36% |
| 9 | Karthum | 2032 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 13.87% | 2.00% | 5.44% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zandor 0 - 2 takodori

Games completed: 2/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2146 | - | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 44.03% | 2.84% | 0.32% |
| 2 | eaeaeapepe | 1700 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.02% | 81.01% |
| 3 | Zandor | 1700 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 83.99% |
| 4 | Kisoul | 1757 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.03% | 72.12% |
| 5 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.12% | 0.02% | 71.32% |
| 6 | CalvinB | 2045 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 15.24% | 2.21% | 4.03% |
| 7 | kimagure | 1719 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.02% | 79.26% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2088 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 23.55% | 2.59% | 2.45% |
| 9 | Karthum | 2032 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 13.35% | 1.92% | 5.49% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Karthum 2 - 0 Zandor

Games completed: 3/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2146 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 42.78% | 3.27% | 0.27% |
| 2 | Karthum | 2036 | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 14.78% | 2.36% | 2.90% |
| 3 | eaeaeapepe | 1700 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.01% | 81.06% |
| 4 | Zandor | 1696 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 88.27% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1757 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.03% | 71.90% |
| 6 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.04% | 71.75% |
| 7 | CalvinB | 2045 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 14.93% | 2.38% | 4.23% |
| 8 | kimagure | 1728 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.02% | 77.21% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2088 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 23.11% | 2.91% | 2.40% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Kisoul 0 - 2 kimagure

Games completed: 4/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2146 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 43.05% | 3.04% | 0.34% |
| 2 | kimagure | 1754 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.22% | 0.07% | 55.13% |
| 3 | Karthum | 2009 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 11.04% | 1.87% | 4.88% |
| 4 | eaeaeapepe | 1700 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.02% | 82.84% |
| 5 | Zandor | 1696 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89.69% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1741 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 88.40% |
| 7 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.06% | 72.47% |
| 8 | CalvinB | 2045 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 15.00% | 2.35% | 4.40% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 26.72% | 2.84% | 1.85% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kimagure 2 - 0 eaeaeapepe

Games completed: 5/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2146 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 42.87% | 3.08% | 0.37% |
| 2 | kimagure | 1767 | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 0.40% | 0.12% | 40.59% |
| 3 | Karthum | 2009 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 10.94% | 1.85% | 5.02% |
| 4 | eaeaeapepe | 1687 | _ | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 93.29% |
| 5 | Zandor | 1696 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 90.36% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1741 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 90.09% |
| 7 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.05% | 73.77% |
| 8 | CalvinB | 2045 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 15.23% | 2.32% | 4.60% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 26.65% | 2.82% | 1.91% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Karthum 2 - 0 Kisoul

Games completed: 6/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2146 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 42.06% | 3.43% | 0.24% |
| 2 | kimagure | 1710 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.08% | 50.45% |
| 3 | Karthum | 2014 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 12.93% | 2.29% | 2.59% |
| 4 | eaeaeapepe | 1687 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 92.02% |
| 5 | Zandor | 1696 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 87.45% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1736 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.35% |
| 7 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.05% | 68.70% |
| 8 | CalvinB | 2045 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 14.67% | 2.54% | 3.70% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 25.88% | 3.16% | 1.50% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zandor 0 - 2 kimagure

Games completed: 7/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | kimagure | 1725 | - | _ | _ | 2 | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 0 | 0.25% | 0.18% | 33.31% |
| 2 | takodori | 2147 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 41.53% | 3.46% | 0.40% |
| 3 | Karthum | 2014 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 12.72% | 2.29% | 2.97% |
| 4 | eaeaeapepe | 1687 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 94.20% |
| 5 | Zandor | 1681 | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.64% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1736 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.33% |
| 7 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.12% | 0.05% | 70.75% |
| 8 | CalvinB | 2045 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 14.96% | 2.62% | 3.82% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 26.20% | 3.26% | 1.58% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 2 - 0 eaeaeapepe

Games completed: 8/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2149 | - | _ | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 0 | 43.38% | 3.69% | 0.22% |
| 2 | kimagure | 1725 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 0 | 0.21% | 0.15% | 32.94% |
| 3 | Karthum | 2014 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 12.47% | 2.54% | 3.03% |
| 4 | eaeaeapepe | 1685 | *0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.36% |
| 5 | Zandor | 1681 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.63% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1736 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.09% |
| 7 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.06% | 70.05% |
| 8 | CalvinB | 2045 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 14.04% | 2.66% | 4.11% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 25.34% | 3.49% | 1.57% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zandor 0 - 2 CalvinB

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2121 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 0 | 37.63% | 3.45% | 0.42% |
| 2 | kimagure | 1779 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 0 | 0.62% | 0.31% | 25.88% |
| 3 | Karthum | 2014 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 13.14% | 2.30% | 3.29% |
| 4 | CalvinB | 2048 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 17.09% | 2.76% | 2.85% |
| 5 | eaeaeapepe | 1685 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 95.88% |
| 6 | Zandor | 1678 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.27% |
| 7 | Kisoul | 1736 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.03% |
| 8 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.12% | 0.03% | 74.54% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 27.12% | 3.28% | 1.84% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Kisoul 2 - 0 Zandor

Games completed: 10/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2117 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 36.53% | 3.37% | 0.52% |
| 2 | kimagure | 1802 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 0.93% | 0.42% | 23.34% |
| 3 | Karthum | 2014 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 13.64% | 2.37% | 3.60% |
| 4 | Kisoul | 1749 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.53% |
| 5 | CalvinB | 2048 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 17.34% | 2.66% | 3.55% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1685 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 96.45% |
| 7 | Zandor | 1665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.80% |
| 8 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.14% | 0.03% | 77.23% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 27.12% | 3.16% | 1.97% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 2 - 0 kimagure

Games completed: 11/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2121 | - | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 16 | 40.41% | 3.52% | 0.19% |
| 2 | kimagure | 1798 | *0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 0.20% | 0.20% | 26.68% |
| 3 | Karthum | 2014 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 12.67% | 2.37% | 3.35% |
| 4 | Kisoul | 1749 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92.95% |
| 5 | CalvinB | 2048 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 15.99% | 2.78% | 3.44% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1685 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 96.14% |
| 7 | Zandor | 1665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.80% |
| 8 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.11% | 0.03% | 75.65% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 26.28% | 3.37% | 1.80% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* CalvinB 2 - 0 kimagure

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2070 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 16 | 30.38% | 3.28% | 0.34% |
| 2 | kimagure | 1851 | 0 | - | *0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 0.06% | 0.12% | 26.56% |
| 3 | CalvinB | 2056 | _ | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 22.85% | 3.11% | 1.28% |
| 4 | Karthum | 2016 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 13.83% | 2.33% | 3.56% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1749 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.26% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1685 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 96.16% |
| 7 | Zandor | 1665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.84% |
| 8 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.13% | 0.04% | 77.07% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 28.42% | 3.28% | 1.93% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 2 - 0 CalvinB

Games completed: 13/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2119 | - | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 10 | 24 | 56.55% | 3.47% | 0.00% |
| 2 | kimagure | 1887 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 4 | 0.01% | 0.17% | 21.55% |
| 3 | CalvinB | 2043 | *0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 3.49% | 1.91% | 2.60% |
| 4 | Karthum | 2016 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 11.43% | 2.18% | 3.85% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1749 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.75% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1685 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 96.44% |
| 7 | Zandor | 1665 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.82% |
| 8 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.10% | 0.04% | 79.81% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 24.67% | 2.99% | 2.18% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* eaeaeapepe 0 - 2 Zandor

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2119 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 10 | 28 | 56.35% | 3.68% | 0.00% |
| 2 | kimagure | 1883 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 8 | 0.02% | 0.18% | 20.63% |
| 3 | CalvinB | 2043 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 3.69% | 2.10% | 2.41% |
| 4 | Karthum | 2016 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 11.64% | 2.32% | 3.77% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1749 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 93.46% |
| 6 | Zandor | 1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.55% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1676 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | *0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.59% |
| 8 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.04% | 79.48% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 24.20% | 3.18% | 2.10% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* eaeaeapepe 0 - 2 Kisoul

Games completed: 15/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2125 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 10 | 32 | 57.38% | 3.65% | 0.00% |
| 2 | kimagure | 1883 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 12 | 0.02% | 0.11% | 21.61% |
| 3 | CalvinB | 2043 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 16 | 3.44% | 2.07% | 2.71% |
| 4 | Karthum | 2016 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 11.29% | 2.35% | 3.79% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1761 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 89.89% |
| 6 | Zandor | 1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.60% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1664 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | *0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.74% |
| 8 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.03% | 80.17% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 23.83% | 3.12% | 2.48% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Kisoul 0 - 2 CalvinB

Games completed: 16/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2125 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 10 | 36 | 57.16% | 3.98% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2048 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 24 | 4.12% | 2.42% | 0.89% |
| 3 | kimagure | 1883 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 12 | 0.01% | 0.14% | 19.38% |
| 4 | Karthum | 2016 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 10.89% | 2.29% | 3.26% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1756 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 95.70% |
| 6 | Zandor | 1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.61% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1664 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.73% |
| 8 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.01% | 79.44% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 23.57% | 3.31% | 1.99% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Karthum 0 - 2 takodori

Games completed: 17/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2136 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 12 | 44 | 72.69% | 3.54% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2048 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 6 | 24 | 0.84% | 2.52% | 0.80% |
| 3 | kimagure | 1883 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 18.58% |
| 4 | Karthum | 2005 | *0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0.35% | 0.91% | 5.24% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 95.58% |
| 6 | Zandor | 1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.53% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1664 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.70% |
| 8 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.02% | 78.65% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 22.53% | 3.48% | 1.93% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Karthum 0 - 2 CalvinB

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2133 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 12 | 48 | 71.52% | 5.24% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2062 | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 8 | 32 | 1.65% | 5.14% | 0.01% |
| 3 | kimagure | 1903 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0.00% | 14.80% |
| 4 | Karthum | 1963 | 0 | *0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0.01% | 12.22% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 94.63% |
| 6 | Zandor | 1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.51% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1664 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.55% |
| 8 | Nexus | 1748 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.07% | 0.02% | 77.43% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 21.51% | 5.18% | 1.85% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Nexus 2 - 0 Karthum <--- upset!

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2133 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 12 | 48 | 70.80% | 5.31% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2062 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 32 | 1.91% | 5.23% | 0.01% |
| 3 | kimagure | 1903 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0.02% | 18.00% |
| 4 | Karthum | 1917 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | *0 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 42.25% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 93.49% |
| 6 | Nexus | 1772 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.25% | 0.08% | 45.56% |
| 7 | Zandor | 1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.24% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1664 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.31% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 21.70% | 5.27% | 2.14% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* eaeaeapepe 2 - 0 Karthum <--- major upset!

Games completed: 20/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2133 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 12 | 52 | 70.38% | 5.26% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2062 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 1.79% | 5.21% | 0.01% |
| 3 | kimagure | 1903 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0.01% | 13.49% |
| 4 | Karthum | 1892 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | *0 | 0 | 2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 63.37% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1756 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 85.52% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1689 | 0 | _ | 0 | *2 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 95.49% |
| 7 | Nexus | 1772 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.27% | 0.09% | 41.80% |
| 8 | Zandor | 1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.83% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2102 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 22.25% | 5.24% | 1.48% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JeanHebert 2 - 0 Karthum

Games completed: 21/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2139 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 52 | 66.32% | 6.52% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2062 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 32 | 1.63% | 6.46% | 0.00% |
| 3 | kimagure | 1903 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0.01% | 8.48% |
| 4 | Karthum | 1799 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 79.68% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1757 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 80.42% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1689 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 95.10% |
| 7 | Nexus | 1772 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.20% | 0.08% | 37.48% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2106 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 25.30% | 6.49% | 0.45% |
| 9 | Zandor | 1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.38% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kimagure 2 - 0 Karthum

Games completed: 22/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2139 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 12 | 56 | 66.68% | 6.75% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2062 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 36 | 1.65% | 6.66% | 0.01% |
| 3 | kimagure | 1914 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.38% |
| 4 | Karthum | 1788 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 97.77% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1757 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 73.34% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1689 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 95.18% |
| 7 | Nexus | 1772 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0.20% | 0.09% | 34.73% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2106 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 24.71% | 6.66% | 0.46% |
| 9 | Zandor | 1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.12% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 2 - 0 Nexus

Games completed: 23/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2132 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | 14 | 60 | 67.54% | 7.25% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2062 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 7.24% | 0.01% |
| 3 | kimagure | 1918 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0.30% |
| 4 | Karthum | 1780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 97.41% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1757 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 71.05% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1689 | 0 | _ | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 94.94% |
| 7 | Nexus | 1769 | *0 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0.02% | 37.97% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2106 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 25.20% | 7.25% | 0.35% |
| 9 | Zandor | 1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 97.97% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kimagure 2 - 0 Nexus

Games completed: 24/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2132 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 14 | 64 | 67.62% | 7.39% | 0 |
| 2 | kimagure | 1929 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | CalvinB | 2062 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 7.39% | 0.01% |
| 4 | Karthum | 1780 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 96.11% |
| 5 | Kisoul | 1757 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 61.22% |
| 6 | eaeaeapepe | 1689 | 0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 93.71% |
| 7 | Nexus | 1760 | 0 | *0 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 51.06% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2106 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 24.99% | 7.39% | 0.31% |
| 9 | Zandor | 1682 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 97.59% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Zandor 0 - 2 Nexus

Games completed: 25/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2166 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 14 | 68 | 69.28% | 7.28% | 0 |
| 2 | kimagure | 1860 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | CalvinB | 2062 | 0 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 7.28% | 0.01% |
| 4 | Nexus | 1772 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | *2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 40.81% |
| 5 | Karthum | 1776 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1757 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 63.72% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1669 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 95.24% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2110 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 23.43% | 7.28% | 0.22% |
| 9 | Zandor | 1670 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* CalvinB 2 - 0 eaeaeapepe

Games completed: 26/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2185 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 14 | 72 | 70.93% | 7.71% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2065 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 7.71% | 0 |
| 3 | kimagure | 1860 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Nexus | 1772 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 39.20% |
| 5 | Karthum | 1776 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100.00% |
| 6 | Kisoul | 1757 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.56% |
| 7 | eaeaeapepe | 1666 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | 2 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 97.98% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2110 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 8 | 21.36% | 7.71% | 0.26% |
| 9 | Zandor | 1670 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | _ | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JeanHebert 2 - 0 Zandor

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2155 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 66.00% | 9.47% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2065 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 9.47% | 0 |
| 3 | kimagure | 1860 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Nexus | 1772 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 39.22% |
| 5 | JeanHebert | 2112 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | 4 | 12 | 24.53% | 9.47% | 0.14% |
| 6 | Karthum | 1776 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Kisoul | 1757 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.64% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1666 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 98.00% |
| 9 | Zandor | 1668 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JeanHebert 2 - 0 Kisoul

Games completed: 28/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2187 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 66.52% | 9.94% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2065 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 9.94% | 0 |
| 3 | kimagure | 1839 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | JeanHebert | 2115 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 23.55% | 9.94% | 0.02% |
| 5 | Nexus | 1772 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 35.97% |
| 6 | Karthum | 1776 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Kisoul | 1754 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 66.08% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1666 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 97.92% |
| 9 | Zandor | 1668 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* CalvinB 2 - 0 Nexus

Games completed: 29/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2175 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 76 | 64.92% | 12.24% | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2069 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 0 | 12.24% | 0 |
| 3 | kimagure | 1852 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | JeanHebert | 2119 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22.84% | 12.24% | 0.02% |
| 5 | Nexus | 1768 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 43.65% |
| 6 | Karthum | 1776 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Kisoul | 1754 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 58.70% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1666 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 97.64% |
| 9 | Zandor | 1668 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

*Tournament: shogi.ch.4.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JeanHebert 0 - 2 takodori

Games completed: 30/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2188 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 88 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | CalvinB | 2069 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | kimagure | 1821 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | JeanHebert | 2106 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0.03% |
| 5 | Nexus | 1768 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 43.12% |
| 6 | Karthum | 1776 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Kisoul | 1754 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 59.25% |
| 8 | eaeaeapepe | 1666 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 97.59% |
| 9 | Zandor | 1668 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted