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shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1 predictions

Public forum discussion.

Chess

#1 · RoRoRo the Bot

17 Aug 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
I've been requested to follow shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot

For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .
\* Already completed matches:

Games completed: 0/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | Richard Malaschitz | 1864 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.49% | 0.34% |
| 2 | Ray Garrison | 1966 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.64% | 1.11% |
| 3 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% |
| 4 | kenjuggle | 1766 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.24% | 0.06% |
| 5 | takodori | 2099 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 33.84% | 2.36% |
| 6 | Thnikkaman | 1653 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.00% |
| 7 | JeanHebert | 2031 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 17.07% | 1.80% |
| 8 | Karthum | 2042 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 19.38% | 1.90% |
| 9 | Ruroni | 2026 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 16.31% | 1.78% |

#2 · RoRoRo the Bot

20 Aug 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 2 - 0 Thnikkaman

Games completed: 1/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | takodori | 2101 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 35.39% | 2.40% |
| 2 | Richard Malaschitz | 1864 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.54% | 0.35% |
| 3 | Ray Garrison | 1966 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 7.41% | 1.21% |
| 4 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% |
| 5 | kenjuggle | 1766 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.23% | 0.06% |
| 6 | Thnikkaman | 1656 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 7 | JeanHebert | 2031 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 16.82% | 1.88% |
| 8 | Karthum | 2042 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 18.92% | 1.98% |
| 9 | Ruroni | 2026 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 15.54% | 1.86% |

#3 · RoRoRo the Bot

22 Aug 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Karthum 0 - 2 takodori

Games completed: 2/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | takodori | 2114 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 4 | 0 | 53.27% | 2.48% |
| 2 | Richard Malaschitz | 1856 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 1.10% | 0.24% |
| 3 | Ray Garrison | 1966 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 6.52% | 1.04% |
| 4 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.04% | 0.01% |
| 5 | kenjuggle | 1766 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.17% | 0.05% |
| 6 | Thnikkaman | 1669 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| 7 | JeanHebert | 2034 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 15.82% | 1.69% |
| 8 | Karthum | 2037 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 4.90% | 1.24% |
| 9 | Ruroni | 2029 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 14.69% | 1.65% |

#4 · RoRoRo the Bot

24 Aug 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Thnikkaman 0 - 2 Karthum
\* kenjuggle 0 - 2 Karthum

Games completed: 4/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | takodori | 2129 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 8 | 56.61% | 2.66% |
| 2 | Karthum | 2045 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | *2 | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 5.95% | 1.51% |
| 3 | Richard Malaschitz | 1856 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.88% | 0.28% |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1966 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 5.82% | 1.00% |
| 5 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.00% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1750 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.00% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1663 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2034 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 14.57% | 1.79% |
| 9 | Ruroni | 2021 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 12.48% | 1.66% |

#5 · RoRoRo the Bot

25 Aug 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 2 - 0 Ray Garrison

Games completed: 5/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |
| 1 | takodori | 2137 | - | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 8 | 67.50% | 2.18% |
| 2 | Karthum | 2045 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 0 | 3.68% | 1.15% |
| 3 | Richard Malaschitz | 1856 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.83% | 0.18% |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1958 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.99% | 0.33% |
| 5 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.00% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1750 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.05% | 0.02% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1663 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2034 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 12.99% | 1.45% |
| 9 | Ruroni | 2021 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 11.28% | 1.37% |

#6 · RoRoRo the Bot

27 Aug 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 2 - 0 kenjuggle
\* kenjuggle 2 - 0 Thnikkaman

Games completed: 7/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2116 | - | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 12 | 66.25% | 2.34% | 0.04% |
| 2 | Karthum | 2045 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 3.50% | 1.20% | 8.18% |
| 3 | kenjuggle | 1759 | *0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.01% | 86.78% |
| 4 | Richard Malaschitz | 1856 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.95% | 0.23% | 56.94% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1958 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.83% | 0.41% | 32.45% |
| 6 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 93.05% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1651 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.12% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2034 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 13.94% | 1.61% | 10.56% |
| 9 | Ruroni | 2021 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 11.65% | 1.43% | 12.89% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#7 · RoRoRo the Bot

28 Aug 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ray Garrison 2 - 0 kenjuggle

Games completed: 8/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2116 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 16 | 66.51% | 2.39% | 0.05% |
| 2 | Karthum | 2045 | 0 | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 4 | 3.58% | 1.20% | 8.71% |
| 3 | Ray Garrison | 1965 | 0 | _ | - | *2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 1.13% | 0.48% | 22.84% |
| 4 | kenjuggle | 1752 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.87% |
| 5 | Richard Malaschitz | 1856 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.89% | 0.19% | 59.04% |
| 6 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.00% | 93.23% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1651 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.08% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2034 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 13.28% | 1.54% | 10.59% |
| 9 | Ruroni | 2021 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 11.73% | 1.46% | 12.60% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#8 · RoRoRo the Bot

30 Aug 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ray Garrison 0 - 2 Karthum

Games completed: 9/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2122 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 8 | 20 | 66.52% | 2.67% | 0.04% |
| 2 | Karthum | 2057 | 0 | - | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 8 | 5.66% | 1.87% | 2.39% |
| 3 | Ray Garrison | 1953 | 0 | *0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.06% | 0.16% | 34.22% |
| 4 | kenjuggle | 1737 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.87% |
| 5 | Richard Malaschitz | 1856 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.91% | 0.24% | 56.28% |
| 6 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 92.58% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1651 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.88% |
| 8 | JeanHebert | 2034 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 12.83% | 1.67% | 9.76% |
| 9 | Ruroni | 2021 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 10.91% | 1.61% | 11.97% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#9 · RoRoRo the Bot

4 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Thnikkaman 0 - 2 Ruroni

Games completed: 10/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2115 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 8 | 20 | 64.43% | 2.84% | 0.05% |
| 2 | Karthum | 2057 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 5.93% | 1.94% | 2.47% |
| 3 | Ray Garrison | 1953 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.05% | 0.17% | 34.59% |
| 4 | kenjuggle | 1737 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.33% |
| 5 | Ruroni | 2031 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 12.82% | 1.84% | 8.43% |
| 6 | Richard Malaschitz | 1856 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.83% | 0.26% | 57.50% |
| 7 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 93.12% |
| 8 | Thnikkaman | 1665 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.32% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2034 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 12.56% | 1.80% | 10.19% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#10 · RoRoRo the Bot

6 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Richard Malaschitz 0 - 2 takodori

Games completed: 11/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2132 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | _ | 2 | _ | 10 | 20 | 71.87% | 2.29% | 0 |
| 2 | Karthum | 2057 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 3.59% | 1.74% | 2.06% |
| 3 | Ray Garrison | 1953 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.02% | 0.11% | 31.52% |
| 4 | kenjuggle | 1725 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.94% |
| 5 | Ruroni | 2034 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 12.10% | 1.59% | 7.13% |
| 6 | Richard Malaschitz | 1851 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.08% | 0.06% | 63.53% |
| 7 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.00% | 92.01% |
| 8 | Thnikkaman | 1669 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.11% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2022 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 9.73% | 1.40% | 10.70% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#11 · RoRoRo the Bot

7 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Karthum 0 - 2 Ruroni

Games completed: 12/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2132 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | 10 | 20 | 63.91% | 1.61% | 0.00% |
| 2 | Karthum | 2040 | 0 | - | *0 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 6 | 8 | 0.02% | 0.18% | 4.54% |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2052 | _ | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 4 | 12 | 23.93% | 1.59% | 1.57% |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1953 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.02% | 0.11% | 31.79% |
| 5 | kenjuggle | 1725 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.66% |
| 6 | Richard Malaschitz | 1851 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.06% | 0.06% | 64.98% |
| 7 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 92.39% |
| 8 | Thnikkaman | 1669 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.18% |
| 9 | JeanHebert | 2022 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 10.15% | 1.54% | 10.89% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#12 · RoRoRo the Bot

7 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* takodori 0 - 2 JeanHebert

Games completed: 13/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2112 | - | 2 | _ | *0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 10 | 20 | 37.73% | 2.83% | 0 |
| 2 | Karthum | 2040 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0.06% | 0.48% | 5.34% |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2052 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 25.49% | 2.88% | 1.81% |
| 4 | JeanHebert | 2042 | *2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 20 | 32.82% | 2.98% | 1.85% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1953 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.09% | 0.43% | 34.79% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1725 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.61% |
| 7 | Richard Malaschitz | 1851 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.18% | 0.09% | 67.91% |
| 8 | cutecat | 1692 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 0.01% | 93.35% |
| 9 | Thnikkaman | 1669 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.34% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#13 · RoRoRo the Bot

7 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* cutecat 0 - 2 takodori

Games completed: 14/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2114 | - | 2 | _ | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 39.23% | 2.83% | 0 |
| 2 | Karthum | 2040 | 0 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0.44% | 5.09% |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2052 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 24.83% | 2.98% | 1.78% |
| 4 | JeanHebert | 2042 | 2 | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 24 | 32.30% | 2.96% | 1.80% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1953 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 0.05% | 0.39% | 34.16% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1725 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.46% |
| 7 | Richard Malaschitz | 1851 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.12% | 0.08% | 67.82% |
| 8 | cutecat | 1690 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 94.61% |
| 9 | Thnikkaman | 1669 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.28% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#14 · RoRoRo the Bot

10 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ray Garrison 2 - 0 Thnikkaman

Games completed: 15/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2092 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 37.32% | 2.83% | 0 |
| 2 | Karthum | 2040 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0.54% | 5.72% |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2052 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 12 | 26.46% | 2.95% | 1.78% |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1958 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | 4 | 4 | 0.06% | 0.51% | 30.05% |
| 5 | JeanHebert | 2043 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 24 | 32.43% | 2.94% | 1.78% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1725 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.22% |
| 7 | Richard Malaschitz | 1851 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.16% | 0.10% | 69.26% |
| 8 | cutecat | 1690 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 95.31% |
| 9 | Thnikkaman | 1664 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.88% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#15 · RoRoRo the Bot

10 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Karthum 2 - 0 Richard Malaschitz

Games completed: 16/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2092 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 37.72% | 2.94% | 0 |
| 2 | Karthum | 2048 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | *2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0.74% | 0.72% |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2052 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 26.66% | 2.91% | 1.27% |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1958 | 0 | 0 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.02% | 0.41% | 27.20% |
| 5 | JeanHebert | 2043 | 2 | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 24 | 32.03% | 2.93% | 1.47% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1725 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.09% |
| 7 | Richard Malaschitz | 1843 | 0 | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.04% | 78.67% |
| 8 | cutecat | 1690 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 94.72% |
| 9 | Thnikkaman | 1672 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.87% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#16 · RoRoRo the Bot

13 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JeanHebert 2 - 0 Karthum

Games completed: 17/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2101 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 24.72% | 3.77% | 0 |
| 2 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | - | *0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1.50% |
| 3 | JeanHebert | 2062 | 2 | *2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 40 | 50.19% | 3.83% | 0.23% |
| 4 | Ruroni | 2055 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 16 | 21.10% | 3.85% | 1.48% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1958 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.02% | 0.19% | 27.68% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1734 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.79% |
| 7 | Richard Malaschitz | 1843 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03% | 78.67% |
| 8 | cutecat | 1690 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 94.81% |
| 9 | Thnikkaman | 1672 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.84% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#17 · RoRoRo the Bot

16 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kenjuggle 0 - 2 Ruroni

Games completed: 18/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2104 | - | 2 | _ | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 24.33% | 4.69% | 0 |
| 2 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1.38% |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2059 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22.62% | 4.81% | 0.83% |
| 4 | JeanHebert | 2062 | 2 | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 40 | 48.15% | 4.70% | 0.23% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1958 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.01% | 0.16% | 26.57% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1730 | 0 | 0 | *0 | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.11% |
| 7 | Richard Malaschitz | 1843 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 0.04% | 78.23% |
| 8 | cutecat | 1690 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01% | 94.82% |
| 9 | Thnikkaman | 1667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.85% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#18 · RoRoRo the Bot

18 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* kenjuggle 2 - 0 Richard Malaschitz

Games completed: 19/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2117 | - | 2 | _ | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 24.90% | 4.64% | 0 |
| 2 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1.09% |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2046 | _ | 2 | - | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 24 | 20.00% | 4.74% | 0.53% |
| 4 | JeanHebert | 2064 | 2 | 2 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 4 | 40 | 50.29% | 4.67% | 0.10% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1958 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0.02% | 0.12% | 18.07% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1751 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | *2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.19% |
| 7 | Richard Malaschitz | 1822 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | *0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90.91% |
| 8 | cutecat | 1690 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 94.29% |
| 9 | Thnikkaman | 1667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.82% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#19 · RoRoRo the Bot

19 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* cutecat 0 - 2 JeanHebert

Games completed: 20/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2131 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 23.05% | 5.00% | 0 |
| 2 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0.79% |
| 3 | JeanHebert | 2067 | 2 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | *2 | _ | 6 | 40 | 55.06% | 5.04% | 0.03% |
| 4 | Ruroni | 2034 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 24 | 16.77% | 5.05% | 0.76% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1958 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0.02% | 0.10% | 17.20% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1751 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94.98% |
| 7 | Richard Malaschitz | 1822 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | - | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90.39% |
| 8 | cutecat | 1687 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.00% |
| 9 | Thnikkaman | 1667 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.86% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#20 · RoRoRo the Bot

20 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Thnikkaman 2 - 0 Richard Malaschitz

Games completed: 21/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2131 | - | 2 | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 22.58% | 5.22% | 0 |
| 2 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0.72% |
| 3 | JeanHebert | 2067 | 2 | 2 | - | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 6 | 40 | 54.86% | 5.31% | 0.03% |
| 4 | Ruroni | 2036 | _ | 2 | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 17.18% | 5.33% | 0.23% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1958 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0.01% | 0.08% | 12.14% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1755 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 94.97% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1689 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | *2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.42% |
| 8 | Richard Malaschitz | 1800 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 0 | *0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.87% |
| 9 | cutecat | 1687 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.61% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#21 · RoRoRo the Bot

21 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JeanHebert 2 - 0 kenjuggle

Games completed: 22/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2131 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 18.06% | 5.97% | 0 |
| 2 | JeanHebert | 2071 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | _ | *2 | _ | _ | 2 | 8 | 48 | 59.87% | 5.99% | 0.00% |
| 3 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0.59% |
| 4 | Ruroni | 2036 | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 16.04% | 5.99% | 0.23% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1958 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0.01% | 0.05% | 8.46% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1751 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 99.30% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1689 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.25% |
| 8 | Richard Malaschitz | 1800 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 96.83% |
| 9 | cutecat | 1687 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.34% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#22 · RoRoRo the Bot

25 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JeanHebert 2 - 0 Ray Garrison

Games completed: 23/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2131 | - | 0 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 7.37% | 9.05% | 0 |
| 2 | JeanHebert | 2081 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | *2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 56 | 68.79% | 9.06% | 0 |
| 3 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0.39% |
| 4 | Ruroni | 2037 | _ | _ | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 28 | 14.77% | 9.06% | 0.16% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1948 | 0 | *0 | 0 | _ | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 13.01% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1744 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.82% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1689 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.81% |
| 8 | Richard Malaschitz | 1800 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 95.28% |
| 9 | cutecat | 1687 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.53% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#23 · RoRoRo the Bot

26 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ruroni 2 - 0 Richard Malaschitz

Games completed: 24/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2131 | - | 0 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 7.24% | 11.88% | 0 |
| 2 | JeanHebert | 2081 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 56 | 64.51% | 11.92% | 0 |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2043 | _ | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | *2 | _ | 8 | 28 | 16.33% | 11.92% | 0.04% |
| 4 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0.39% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1948 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 11.12% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1744 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.47% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1689 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.80% |
| 8 | Richard Malaschitz | 1794 | 0 | _ | *0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.15% |
| 9 | cutecat | 1687 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93.03% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#24 · RoRoRo the Bot

27 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ruroni 2 - 0 takodori

Games completed: 25/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2125 | - | 0 | *0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | JeanHebert | 2081 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 56 | 55.13% | 0.09% | 0 |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2053 | *2 | _ | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 52 | 44.78% | 0.09% | 0 |
| 4 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0.48% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1948 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 11.23% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.64% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1689 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.73% |
| 8 | Richard Malaschitz | 1794 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98.00% |
| 9 | cutecat | 1687 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92.92% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#25 · RoRoRo the Bot

28 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ray Garrison 2 - 0 Ruroni

Games completed: 26/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2125 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | JeanHebert | 2081 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 60 | 61.18% | 0.25% | 0 |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2034 | 2 | _ | - | 2 | *0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 52 | 38.57% | 0.25% | 0 |
| 4 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1.08% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1968 | 0 | 0 | *2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1.53% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1689 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.99% |
| 8 | Richard Malaschitz | 1794 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.73% |
| 9 | cutecat | 1687 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97.66% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#26 · RoRoRo the Bot

28 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* cutecat 0 - 2 kenjuggle

Games completed: 27/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2125 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | JeanHebert | 2081 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 64 | 60.74% | 0.15% | 0 |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2034 | 2 | _ | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 56 | 39.11% | 0.15% | 0 |
| 4 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0.47% |
| 5 | Ray Garrison | 1968 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 6 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0.52% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1734 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | *2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1689 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Richard Malaschitz | 1794 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.81% |
| 9 | cutecat | 1673 | 0 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | *0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.19% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#27 · RoRoRo the Bot

28 Sep 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* cutecat 0 - 2 Ray Garrison

Games completed: 28/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2125 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | JeanHebert | 2081 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 10 | 68 | 60.68% | 0.14% | 0 |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2034 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 10 | 56 | 39.18% | 0.14% | 0 |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | *2 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0.20% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1734 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | Thnikkaman | 1689 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Richard Malaschitz | 1794 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | cutecat | 1669 | 0 | 0 | _ | *0 | _ | 0 | _ | _ | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99.80% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#28 · RoRoRo the Bot

1 Oct 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Thnikkaman 0 - 2 cutecat

Games completed: 29/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2127 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | JeanHebert | 2081 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 10 | 72 | 60.55% | 0.15% | 0 |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2037 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 39.29% | 0.15% | 0 |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0.43% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1734 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | cutecat | 1685 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | - | *2 | _ | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 99.57% |
| 8 | Thnikkaman | 1673 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Richard Malaschitz | 1820 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#29 · RoRoRo the Bot

4 Oct 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Richard Malaschitz 0 - 2 cutecat

Games completed: 30/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | takodori | 2127 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | JeanHebert | 2081 | 2 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | _ | 10 | 76 | 59.88% | 0.28% | 0 |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2046 | 2 | _ | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 39.84% | 0.28% | 0 |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1.67% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | cutecat | 1706 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | *2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.33% |
| 8 | Thnikkaman | 1673 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Richard Malaschitz | 1799 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#30 · RoRoRo the Bot

5 Oct 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* JeanHebert 2 - 0 Thnikkaman

Games completed: 31/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | JeanHebert | 2083 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | _ | 12 | 80 | 60.17% | 0.03% | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2131 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2049 | _ | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 39.81% | 0.03% | 0 |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1.54% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | cutecat | 1706 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.46% |
| 8 | Thnikkaman | 1671 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Richard Malaschitz | 1799 | _ | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#31 · RoRoRo the Bot

10 Oct 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Richard Malaschitz 0 - 2 JeanHebert

Games completed: 32/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | JeanHebert | 2088 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 14 | 80 | 59.72% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | takodori | 2139 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ruroni | 2058 | _ | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 40.28% | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1972 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1.58% |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | cutecat | 1706 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 98.42% |
| 8 | Thnikkaman | 1688 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Richard Malaschitz | 1794 | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#32 · RoRoRo the Bot

22 Oct 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ruroni 2 - 0 cutecat

Games completed: 33/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | JeanHebert | 2088 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 80 | 54.20% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ruroni | 2058 | _ | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 64 | 45.80% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | takodori | 2167 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1972 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | cutecat | 1703 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Thnikkaman | 1688 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Richard Malaschitz | 1805 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#33 · RoRoRo the Bot

23 Oct 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Richard Malaschitz 0 - 2 Ray Garrison

Games completed: 34/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | JeanHebert | 2088 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 84 | 54.48% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ruroni | 2058 | _ | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 64 | 45.52% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | takodori | 2141 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1980 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | *2 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Karthum | 2032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | kenjuggle | 1711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | cutecat | 1703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Thnikkaman | 1688 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Richard Malaschitz | 1797 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#34 · RoRoRo the Bot

30 Oct 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Karthum 0 - 2 cutecat <--- major upset!

Games completed: 35/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | JeanHebert | 2088 | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 88 | 53.95% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ruroni | 2062 | _ | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 68 | 46.05% | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | takodori | 2146 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1980 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Karthum | 2009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | *0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | cutecat | 1730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | *2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | kenjuggle | 1711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Thnikkaman | 1688 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Richard Malaschitz | 1797 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

#35 · RoRoRo the Bot

1 Nov 2012

*Tournament: shogi.cv.MINISHOGI.6.1.1
Newly completed matches:
\* Ruroni 0 - 2 JeanHebert

Games completed: 36/36
table{background:#ffe700;border:1}.
{background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) |
| 1 | JeanHebert | 2102 | - | *2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 112 | 100% | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ruroni | 2048 | *0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | takodori | 2146 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ray Garrison | 1980 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Karthum | 2009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | cutecat | 1730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 7 | kenjuggle | 1711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 8 | Thnikkaman | 1688 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |
| 9 | Richard Malaschitz | 1797 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% |

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted