A thread for RoRoRo's predictions. Our resident cheater may well make the p(win) meaningless, but at least the new p(stay)/p(down) figures may be interesting.

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

I've been requested to follow amzn.ch.22.1.1 by FatPhil

Already completed matches:

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 1/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1JaMaIcAn_CoMpAnY(1987)-_2_______2027.65%1.78%9.24%2Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(1997)_-________0011.77%1.30%23.59%3TUMRAK(2205)0_-_______0042.54%2.33%2.48%4cutecat(1891)___-______002.15%0.31%59.78%5pedropajarito(1836)____-_____000.77%0.15%77.40%6Jitka Bartova(1851)_____-____001.01%0.20%73.90%7p_a_k_o(1930)______-___004.36%0.62%47.04%8tasuki(1935)_______-__004.67%0.67%46.18%9ypercube(1865)________-_001.31%0.24%70.56%10Kisoul(1778)_________-000.19%0.04%89.83%

p(down) is the probability of being in the bottom 5. and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Kisoul 0 - 2 JA___mai___CA

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 2/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1JA___mai___CA(1994)-_2______24033.90%2.01%5.01%2Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(1997)_-________0011.01%1.25%22.05%3TUMRAK(2211)0_-_______0038.68%2.29%2.24%4cutecat(1891)___-______002.24%0.34%57.73%5pedropajarito(1836)____-_____000.75%0.14%75.63%6Jitka Bartova(1779)_____-____000.15%0.03%88.09%7p_a_k_o(1930)______-___004.00%0.60%45.01%8tasuki(1935)_______-__004.46%0.62%43.52%9ypercube(1865)________-_001.24%0.21%68.72%10Kisoul(1787)0________-000.07%0.02%92.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the bottom 5. and thus being demoted

Phil, what's with the black on nearly black?

what is it? a pain to read :)

select the table with the mouse cursor. This works too if some funny guy uses white text on white background ;-)

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Kisoul 2 - 0 p_a_k_o <— upset!

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 3/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1JA___mai___CA(1994)-22_______4436.04%1.94%4.26%2Kisoul(1809)0-____2___200.20%0.06%77.32%3TUMRAK(2211)0_-_______0038.83%2.16%2.11%4cutecat(1891)___-______002.07%0.29%56.46%5pedropajarito(1836)____-_____000.79%0.14%74.37%6Jitka Bartova(1779)_____-____000.18%0.05%87.39%7p_a_k_o(1908)_0____-___001.33%0.19%66.19%8tasuki(1935)_______-__004.78%0.61%41.69%9ypercube(1865)________-_001.33%0.21%67.00%10Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(1997)_________-0011.28%1.19%23.22%

p(down) is the probability of being in the bottom 5. and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• pedropajarito 2 - 0 Jitka Bartova
• Jitka Bartova 0 - 2 Kisoul
• Jitka Bartova 0 - 2 JA___mai___CA
• Jitka Bartova 0 - 2 p_a_k_o
• Jitka Bartova 0 - 2 TUMRAK
• Jitka Bartova 0 - 2 ypercube

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 9/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1JA___mai___CA(2001)-22___2___61239.56%2.09%3.33%2Kisoul(1820)0-__2_2___440.33%0.07%71.51%3TUMRAK(2213)0_-___2___2035.79%2.25%2.39%4pedropajarito(1845)___-__2___200.97%0.22%69.65%5p_a_k_o(1915)_0__-_2___201.39%0.23%63.13%6ypercube(1874)_____-2___201.71%0.32%62.13%7Jitka Bartova(1681)000000-___0000100.00%8cutecat(1902)_______-__002.31%0.38%56.58%9tasuki(1935)________-_004.25%0.63%45.41%10Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(1997)_________-0010.33%1.22%25.88%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• pedropajarito 0 - 2 Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 10/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1JA___mai___CA(2001)-2__2__2__61238.02%2.26%3.36%2Kisoul(1820)0-_2___2__440.31%0.08%71.24%3Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(2006)__-___2___2413.73%1.48%16.05%4p_a_k_o(1915)_0_-___2__201.49%0.26%62.91%5TUMRAK(2217)0___-__2__2034.79%2.34%2.42%6ypercube(1874)_____-_2__201.57%0.30%61.52%7pedropajarito(1836)__0___-2__200.25%0.08%80.84%8Jitka Bartova(1681)00_0000-__0000100.00%9tasuki(1935)________-_004.05%0.62%45.27%10cutecat(1905)_________-002.28%0.36%56.39%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Bollocks. He's gone a bit crazy…

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card 2 - 0 Jitka Bartova

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 11/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1JA___mai___CA(2001)-_2_2__2__61236.87%2.37%3.38%2Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(2010)_-____22__4414.96%1.81%13.67%3Kisoul(1820)0_-2___2__440.28%0.07%72.33%4p_a_k_o(1915)__0-___2__201.31%0.25%63.07%5TUMRAK(2217)0___-__2__2034.84%2.51%2.39%6ypercube(1874)_____-_2__201.50%0.30%61.98%7pedropajarito(1836)_0____-2__200.26%0.10%81.39%8Jitka Bartova(1677)0000000-__0000100.00%9tasuki(1935)________-_003.89%0.62%45.00%10cutecat(1905)_________-002.34%0.37%56.79%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Kisoul 2 - 0 pedropajarito
• JA___mai___CA 2 - 0 pedropajarito

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 13/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1JA___mai___CA(2009)-2__2_22__82045.04%2.65%1.39%2Kisoul(1836)0-_2__22__680.48%0.12%56.01%3Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(2010)__-___22__4413.52%1.74%14.88%4p_a_k_o(1915)_0_-___2__201.05%0.23%64.39%5TUMRAK(2217)0___-__2__2029.14%2.48%2.57%6ypercube(1874)_____-_2__201.38%0.28%62.29%7pedropajarito(1812)000___-2__200.00%0.00%97.03%8Jitka Bartova(1677)0000000-__0000100.00%9tasuki(1935)________-_003.48%0.56%44.92%10cutecat(1905)_________-002.18%0.40%56.52%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• p_a_k_o 0 - 2 Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 14/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Join_the_jamaican_well_known_eater_gang(2009)-_2_2_22__82042.40%2.90%1.22%2Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(2021)_-_2__22__6818.20%2.24%6.89%3Kisoul(1836)0_-2__22__680.40%0.11%55.85%4p_a_k_o(1904)_00-___2__200.19%0.06%78.00%5TUMRAK(2217)0___-__2__2028.27%2.74%2.17%6ypercube(1874)_____-_2__201.29%0.27%60.80%7pedropajarito(1812)000___-2__2000.00%96.64%8Jitka Bartova(1677)0000000-__0000100.00%9tasuki(1935)________-_003.39%0.52%43.18%10cutecat(1905)_________-001.92%0.32%55.25%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• tasuki 2 - 0 Jitka Bartova

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 15/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Ja_mai_ca(2009)-_2__2_22_82042.48%2.92%1.23%2Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(2021)_-_2___22_6817.64%2.23%7.27%3Kisoul(1836)0_-2___22_680.42%0.12%57.40%4p_a_k_o(1904)_00-____2_200.23%0.07%78.26%5tasuki(1940)____-___2_203.89%0.70%38.51%6TUMRAK(2217)0____-__2_2028.05%2.78%2.60%7ypercube(1874)______-_2_201.20%0.28%62.40%8pedropajarito(1812)000____-2_200.00%096.97%9Jitka Bartova(1672)00000000-_0000100.00%10cutecat(1905)_________-002.01%0.35%55.36%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• ypercube 0 - 2 tasuki
• p_a_k_o 2 - 0 ypercube

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 17/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Ja_mai_ca(2009)-_2__2_22_82041.29%2.88%1.36%2Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(2021)_-_2___22_61218.15%2.21%6.83%3Kisoul(1836)0_-2___22_6120.43%0.14%54.89%4p_a_k_o(1918)_00-__2_2_440.38%0.11%67.16%5tasuki(1952)____-_2_2_446.13%0.96%26.64%6TUMRAK(2217)0____-__2_2027.63%2.82%2.56%7ypercube(1848)___00_-_2_200.08%0.03%87.88%8pedropajarito(1812)000____-2_200097.02%9Jitka Bartova(1672)00000000-_0000100.00%10cutecat(1905)_________-001.83%0.37%55.66%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Ja_mai_ca 2 - 0 p_a_k_o

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 18/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Ja_mai_ca(2020)-_22_2_22_102852.61%3.28%0.17%2Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(2021)_-_2___22_61216.04%2.42%6.08%3Kisoul(1836)0_-2___22_6120.26%0.08%51.97%4p_a_k_o(1907)000-__2_2_440.00%0.00%81.97%5tasuki(1952)____-_2_2_445.41%1.01%23.67%6TUMRAK(2217)0____-__2_2019.82%3.02%2.16%7ypercube(1848)___00_-_2_200.09%0.02%85.47%8pedropajarito(1812)000____-2_200096.45%9Jitka Bartova(1672)00000000-_0000100.00%10cutecat(1905)_________-001.67%0.30%52.05%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• cutecat 2 - 0 Jitka Bartova
• Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card 0 - 2 Kisoul <— upset!

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 20/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Ja_mai_ca(2022)-2_2__2_22103263.75%2.43%0.13%2Kisoul(1859)0-22____228241.07%0.32%16.81%3Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(1998)_0-2____226125.71%1.04%17.53%4p_a_k_o(1907)000-___2_24400.01%84.95%5tasuki(1952)____-__2_2446.11%1.14%24.03%6cutecat(1842)_____-___2200.65%0.14%70.16%7TUMRAK(2218)0_____-__22019.52%1.94%2.27%8ypercube(1848)___00__-_2200.10%0.01%86.82%9pedropajarito(1812)000_____-2200097.30%10Jitka Bartova(1663)000000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Ja_mai_ca 2 - 0 Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 21/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Ja_mai_ca(2036)-222__2_22124483.81%1.57%02Kisoul(1859)0-22____228240.35%0.08%16.01%3Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(1984)00-2____226120.12%0.06%30.83%4p_a_k_o(1907)000-___2_24400.00%81.89%5tasuki(1952)____-__2_2444.77%1.10%22.57%6cutecat(1853)_____-___2200.58%0.14%64.77%7TUMRAK(2218)0_____-__2208.63%1.19%2.04%8ypercube(1848)___00__-_2200.05%0.00%85.24%9pedropajarito(1812)000_____-2200096.65%10Jitka Bartova(1663)000000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• Kisoul 0 - 2 TUMRAK

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 22/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Ja_mai_ca(2036)-2222___22124883.45%1.57%02Kisoul(1856)0-202___228240.05%0.02%17.75%3Mojmir Hanes with yellow black and red card(1984)00-_2___226120.12%0.06%30.49%4TUMRAK(2221)02_-_____24169.61%1.29%0.91%5p_a_k_o(1907)000_-__2_24400.00%81.66%6tasuki(1952)_____-_2_2444.51%1.09%22.66%7cutecat(1853)______-__2200.54%0.14%64.96%8ypercube(1848)____00_-_2200.05%0.01%84.98%9pedropajarito(1812)000_____-2200096.58%10Jitka Bartova(1663)000000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• tasuki 0 - 2 Ja_mai_ca

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 23/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Ja_mai_ca(2048)-22222__22145697.38%0.14%02Kisoul(1856)0-202___228240013.60%3Mojmir Hanes with yellow black(1984)00-_2___226120025.80%4TUMRAK(2223)02_-_____24162.01%0.10%0.76%5p_a_k_o(1907)000_-__2_2440079.38%6tasuki(1940)0____-_2_2440.08%0.00%34.61%7cutecat(1855)______-__2200.38%0.10%60.87%8ypercube(1810)____00_-_2200.01%0.00%89.05%9pedropajarito(1812)000_____-2200095.92%10Jitka Bartova(1663)000000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

Tournament: amzn.ch.22.1.1

Newly completed matches:

• cutecat 0 - 2 Ja_mai_ca

Num Players: 10

Games completed: 24/45

NPlayerRating12345678910ScoreSonp(win)p(draw)p(down)1Ja_mai_ca(2067)-222222_221660100.00%002Kisoul(1856)0-202___228240010.35%3Mojmir Hanes with yellow black(1984)00-_2___226120023.15%4TUMRAK(2233)02_-_____2416000.52%5p_a_k_o(1907)000_-__2_2440077.93%6tasuki(1940)0____-_2_2440032.38%7cutecat(1851)0_____-__2200070.53%8ypercube(1801)____00_-_2200089.62%9pedropajarito(1812)000_____-2200095.52%10Jitka Bartova(1663)000000000-0000100.00%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted