Little Golem

hyperpape at 2012-06-19

roro, please post your predictions

FatPhil at 2012-06-19

Just for reference, RoRoRo doesn’t read the fora, so won’t see this thread.
Also note that to prevent forum spam, not everyone can request predictions to the fora. However, anyone can ask for preditions to be sent by private message.

I’ve recently simplified his interface (hence all the predictions starting today, as I debugged that new interface) - I’ll update his documentation, and start the predictions manually.

Thanks for taking an interest!

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-06-19

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
I’ve been requested to follow slither.ch.2.1.1 by FatPhil
For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

Already completed matches:

Games completed: 4/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	mungo	(1689)	-	_	_	2	_	_	_	_	_	2	4	8.23%	1.23%	30.12%
2	kyle douglas	(1800)	_	-	_	_	_	_	_	2	_	2	0	17.15%	1.76%	18.83%
3	5466	(1851)	_	_	-	_	_	_	_	2	_	2	0	29.66%	2.28%	10.34%
4	LEESD	(1874)	0	_	_	-	_	_	_	2	_	2	0	18.29%	2.09%	15.62%
5	bennok	(1675)	_	_	_	_	-	_	_	_	_	0	0	2.61%	0.51%	62.46%
6	eaeaeapepe	(1692)	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	_	_	0	0	3.39%	0.66%	57.51%
7	Ray Garrison	(1797)	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	_	0	0	15.36%	1.65%	24.28%
8	z	(1505)	_	0	0	0	_	_	_	-	_	0	0	0	0	98.87%
9	Arty Sandler	(1608)	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	0	0	0.65%	0.19%	81.97%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-06-24

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

z 0 – 2 bennok

Games completed: 5/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	mungo	(1689)	-	_	_	_	2	_	_	_	_	2	4	7.89%	1.21%	30.73%
2	bennok	(1683)	_	-	_	_	_	_	_	2	_	2	0	3.42%	0.70%	53.63%
3	kyle douglas	(1792)	_	_	-	_	_	_	_	2	_	2	0	15.45%	1.74%	21.80%
4	5466	(1864)	_	_	_	-	_	_	_	2	_	2	0	33.74%	2.48%	9.37%
5	LEESD	(1874)	0	_	_	_	-	_	_	2	_	2	0	17.94%	2.27%	16.50%
6	eaeaeapepe	(1693)	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	_	_	0	0	3.53%	0.63%	57.13%
7	Ray Garrison	(1781)	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	_	0	0	12.51%	1.53%	29.03%
8	z	(1497)	_	0	0	0	0	_	_	-	_	0	0	0	0	99.71%
9	Arty Sandler	(1608)	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	0	0	0.69%	0.19%	82.11%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-06-25

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

z 2 – 0 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 6/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	bennok	(1683)	-	_	_	_	_	2	_	_	_	2	4	3.56%	0.61%	51.03%
2	kyle douglas	(1792)	_	-	_	_	_	2	_	_	_	2	4	15.72%	1.76%	20.11%
3	mungo	(1689)	_	_	-	_	2	_	_	_	_	2	4	8.08%	1.21%	29.76%
4	5466	(1864)	_	_	_	-	_	2	_	_	_	2	4	34.13%	2.31%	8.61%
5	LEESD	(1874)	_	_	0	_	-	2	_	_	_	2	4	17.100%	2.09%	15.53%
6	z	(1517)	0	0	_	0	0	-	_	_	2	2	0	0	0	98.98%
7	eaeaeapepe	(1693)	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	_	0	0	3.21%	0.64%	56.77%
8	Ray Garrison	(1781)	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	0	0	12.51%	1.45%	28.21%
9	Arty Sandler	(1588)	_	_	_	_	_	0	_	_	-	0	0	0.25%	0.03%	90.100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-06-26

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

eaeaeapepe 0 – 2 z <-— upset!

Games completed: 7/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	z	(1540)	-	0	0	0	0	_	2	_	2	4	0	0	0	94.98%
2	bennok	(1683)	2	-	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	2	8	3.71%	0.67%	47.51%
3	kyle douglas	(1792)	2	_	-	_	_	_	_	_	_	2	8	16.66%	1.65%	17.44%
4	5466	(1864)	2	_	_	-	_	_	_	_	_	2	8	35.10%	2.28%	7.09%
5	LEESD	(1874)	2	_	_	_	-	0	_	_	_	2	8	18.18%	2.12%	12.91%
6	mungo	(1689)	_	_	_	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	4	8.30%	1.11%	28.25%
7	eaeaeapepe	(1670)	0	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	_	0	0	1.02%	0.17%	74.99%
8	Ray Garrison	(1781)	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	0	0	12.58%	1.50%	25.90%
9	Arty Sandler	(1588)	0	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	0	0	0.15%	0.04%	90.94%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-06-26

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

mungo 2 – 0 z

Games completed: 8/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	mungo	(1698)	-	2	_	_	_	2	_	_	_	4	12	11.12%	1.39%	18.33%
2	z	(1531)	0	-	0	0	0	0	2	_	2	4	0	0	0	99.46%
3	bennok	(1683)	_	2	-	_	_	_	_	_	_	2	8	3.67%	0.65%	49.17%
4	kyle douglas	(1792)	_	2	_	-	_	_	_	_	_	2	8	15.88%	1.67%	18.62%
5	5466	(1864)	_	2	_	_	-	_	_	_	_	2	8	34.50%	2.45%	7.59%
6	LEESD	(1874)	0	2	_	_	_	-	_	_	_	2	8	17.02%	2.04%	14.66%
7	eaeaeapepe	(1670)	_	0	_	_	_	_	-	_	_	0	0	1.08%	0.13%	75.13%
8	Ray Garrison	(1781)	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	0	0	12.07%	1.48%	26.17%
9	Arty Sandler	(1588)	_	0	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	0	0	0.20%	0.03%	90.86%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-06-27

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

Arty Sandler 0 – 2 LEESD

Games completed: 9/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	mungo	(1698)	-	2	2	_	_	_	_	_	_	4	16	10.54%	1.43%	18.17%
2	LEESD	(1879)	0	-	2	_	_	_	_	_	2	4	8	19.12%	2.28%	10.19%
3	z	(1531)	0	0	-	0	0	0	2	_	2	4	0	0	0	99.53%
4	bennok	(1683)	_	_	2	-	_	_	_	_	_	2	8	3.44%	0.60%	50.22%
5	kyle douglas	(1793)	_	_	2	_	-	_	_	_	_	2	8	15.44%	1.77%	18.52%
6	5466	(1868)	_	_	2	_	_	-	_	_	_	2	8	33.95%	2.45%	7.50%
7	eaeaeapepe	(1670)	_	_	0	_	_	_	-	_	_	0	0	0.99%	0.15%	75.18%
8	Ray Garrison	(1781)	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	0	0	11.86%	1.52%	26.52%
9	Arty Sandler	(1583)	_	0	0	_	_	_	_	_	-	0	0	0.05%	0.01%	94.18%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-06-30

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

kyle douglas 2 – 0 LEESD

Games completed: 10/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1812)	-	_	2	2	_	_	_	_	_	4	16	33.40%	2.30%	4.77%
2	mungo	(1678)	_	-	2	2	_	_	_	_	_	4	16	8.00%	1.14%	23.05%
3	LEESD	(1860)	0	0	-	2	_	_	_	_	2	4	8	3.17%	1.23%	23.16%
4	z	(1531)	0	0	0	-	0	0	2	_	2	4	0	0	0	99.49%
5	bennok	(1683)	_	_	_	2	-	_	_	_	_	2	8	3.33%	0.61%	49.22%
6	5466	(1873)	_	_	_	2	_	-	_	_	_	2	8	35.52%	2.34%	6.69%
7	eaeaeapepe	(1670)	_	_	_	0	_	_	-	_	_	0	0	1.02%	0.14%	74.36%
8	Ray Garrison	(1781)	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	0	0	11.42%	1.30%	25.33%
9	Arty Sandler	(1583)	_	_	0	0	_	_	_	_	-	0	0	0.07%	0.01%	93.92%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-01

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

mungo 0 – 2 5466

Games completed: 11/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1812)	-	_	_	2	2	_	_	_	_	4	16	30.56%	2.12%	4.39%
2	mungo	(1671)	_	-	0	2	2	_	_	_	_	4	16	2.57%	0.69%	29.93%
3	5466	(1885)	_	2	-	_	2	_	_	_	_	4	16	45.55%	2.23%	2.67%
4	LEESD	(1860)	0	0	_	-	2	_	_	_	2	4	8	3.12%	1.20%	22.55%
5	z	(1531)	0	0	0	0	-	0	2	_	2	4	0	0	0	99.39%
6	bennok	(1683)	_	_	_	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	8	3.06%	0.44%	49.19%
7	eaeaeapepe	(1670)	_	_	_	_	0	_	-	_	_	0	0	0.89%	0.10%	73.53%
8	Ray Garrison	(1781)	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	0	0	10.59%	1.15%	24.83%
9	Arty Sandler	(1583)	_	_	_	0	0	_	_	_	-	0	0	0.06%	0.02%	93.52%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-02

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

mungo 0 – 2 kyle douglas

Games completed: 12/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1821)	-	2	_	2	2	_	_	_	_	6	24	38.36%	2.09%	1.22%
2	mungo	(1662)	0	-	0	2	2	_	_	_	_	4	16	0.20%	0.13%	40.19%
3	5466	(1885)	_	2	-	_	2	_	_	_	_	4	16	42.25%	1.90%	2.55%
4	LEESD	(1860)	0	0	_	-	2	_	_	_	2	4	8	2.71%	1.15%	20.38%
5	z	(1531)	0	0	0	0	-	0	2	_	2	4	0	0	0	99.13%
6	bennok	(1683)	_	_	_	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	8	2.71%	0.50%	47.14%
7	eaeaeapepe	(1670)	_	_	_	_	0	_	-	_	_	0	0	0.77%	0.10%	72.35%
8	Ray Garrison	(1781)	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	0	0	9.80%	1.06%	23.99%
9	Arty Sandler	(1583)	_	_	_	0	0	_	_	_	-	0	0	0.06%	0.02%	93.03%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-05

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

kyle douglas 2 – 0 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 13/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1830)	-	2	_	2	2	_	_	_	2	8	24	42.72%	2.23%	0.60%
2	mungo	(1662)	0	-	0	2	2	_	_	_	_	4	16	0.15%	0.11%	38.84%
3	5466	(1892)	_	2	-	_	2	_	_	_	_	4	16	40.27%	1.94%	2.27%
4	LEESD	(1873)	0	0	_	-	2	_	_	_	2	4	8	2.10%	1.17%	18.42%
5	z	(1531)	0	0	0	0	-	0	2	_	2	4	0	0	0	99.18%
6	bennok	(1683)	_	_	_	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	8	2.26%	0.39%	47.21%
7	eaeaeapepe	(1670)	_	_	_	_	0	_	-	_	_	0	0	0.65%	0.06%	73.19%
8	Ray Garrison	(1781)	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	0	0	8.72%	1.15%	23.79%
9	Arty Sandler	(1577)	0	_	_	0	0	_	_	_	-	0	0	0	0	96.50%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-12

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

5466 0 – 2 LEESD

Games completed: 14/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1830)	-	2	2	_	2	_	_	_	2	8	28	52.38%	3.29%	0.63%
2	LEESD	(1905)	0	-	0	2	2	_	_	_	2	6	16	5.41%	2.85%	4.16%
3	mungo	(1662)	0	2	-	0	2	_	_	_	_	4	20	0.24%	0.16%	40.82%
4	5466	(1869)	_	0	2	-	2	_	_	_	_	4	16	23.85%	2.35%	5.85%
5	z	(1531)	0	0	0	0	-	0	2	_	2	4	0	0	0	99.54%
6	bennok	(1683)	_	_	_	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	8	2.67%	0.53%	50.95%
7	eaeaeapepe	(1670)	_	_	_	_	0	_	-	_	_	0	0	0.82%	0.09%	75.05%
8	Ray Garrison	(1781)	_	_	_	_	_	_	_	-	_	0	0	9.78%	1.31%	26.10%
9	Arty Sandler	(1577)	0	0	_	_	0	_	_	_	-	0	0	0.00%	0.00%	96.90%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-16

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

Ray Garrison 2 – 0 z

Games completed: 15/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1830)	-	2	2	_	2	_	_	_	2	8	28	50.73%	3.36%	0.73%
2	LEESD	(1905)	0	-	0	2	2	_	_	_	2	6	16	5.08%	2.93%	4.47%
3	mungo	(1662)	0	2	-	0	2	_	_	_	_	4	20	0.24%	0.19%	42.09%
4	5466	(1874)	_	0	2	-	2	_	_	_	_	4	16	23.95%	2.39%	6.02%
5	z	(1525)	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	100.00%
6	bennok	(1683)	_	_	_	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	8	2.64%	0.54%	52.05%
7	Ray Garrison	(1787)	_	_	_	_	2	_	-	_	_	2	8	11.61%	1.41%	21.63%
8	eaeaeapepe	(1670)	_	_	_	_	0	_	_	-	_	0	0	0.77%	0.09%	75.95%
9	Arty Sandler	(1577)	0	0	_	_	0	_	_	_	-	0	0	0	0.00%	97.06%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-17

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

LEESD 2 – 0 eaeaeapepe
5466 2 – 0 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 17/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1830)	-	2	_	2	2	_	_	_	2	8	32	47.91%	3.59%	0.61%
2	LEESD	(1911)	0	-	2	0	2	_	_	2	2	8	20	6.52%	3.50%	1.93%
3	5466	(1881)	_	0	-	2	2	_	_	_	2	6	16	26.59%	2.61%	3.75%
4	mungo	(1662)	0	2	0	-	2	_	_	_	_	4	24	0.18%	0.23%	40.21%
5	z	(1525)	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	100.00%
6	bennok	(1683)	_	_	_	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	8	2.37%	0.62%	51.12%
7	Ray Garrison	(1787)	_	_	_	_	2	_	-	_	_	2	8	10.71%	1.58%	20.81%
8	eaeaeapepe	(1664)	_	0	_	_	0	_	_	-	_	0	0	0.21%	0.03%	83.10%
9	Arty Sandler	(1573)	0	0	0	_	0	_	_	_	-	0	0	0	0	98.48%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-19

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

5466 0 – 2 kyle douglas

Games completed: 18/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1862)	-	2	2	2	2	_	_	_	2	10	44	83.18%	2.12%	0
2	LEESD	(1911)	0	-	2	0	2	_	_	2	2	8	20	2.12%	1.57%	2.03%
3	5466	(1823)	0	0	-	2	2	_	_	_	2	6	16	0.22%	0.22%	11.87%
4	mungo	(1662)	0	2	0	-	2	_	_	_	_	4	24	0.10%	0.07%	37.78%
5	z	(1525)	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	99.99%
6	bennok	(1683)	_	_	_	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	8	1.92%	0.31%	49.22%
7	Ray Garrison	(1787)	_	_	_	_	2	_	-	_	_	2	8	9.86%	0.97%	19.37%
8	eaeaeapepe	(1664)	_	0	_	_	0	_	_	-	_	0	0	0.19%	0.02%	81.25%
9	Arty Sandler	(1573)	0	0	0	_	0	_	_	_	-	0	0	0	0	98.48%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-20

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

eaeaeapepe 0 – 2 kyle douglas

Games completed: 19/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1869)	-	2	2	2	2	_	_	2	2	12	44	86.64%	1.24%	0
2	LEESD	(1911)	0	-	2	0	2	_	_	2	2	8	20	0.93%	1.01%	1.97%
3	5466	(1823)	0	0	-	2	2	_	_	_	2	6	16	0.02%	0.18%	10.46%
4	mungo	(1662)	0	2	0	-	2	_	_	_	_	4	24	0.02%	0.06%	34.44%
5	z	(1525)	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	99.99%
6	bennok	(1683)	_	_	_	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	8	1.80%	0.28%	47.57%
7	Ray Garrison	(1787)	_	_	_	_	2	_	-	_	_	2	8	9.06%	0.63%	17.54%
8	eaeaeapepe	(1647)	0	0	_	_	0	_	_	-	_	0	0	0	0	89.67%
9	Arty Sandler	(1573)	0	0	0	_	0	_	_	_	-	0	0	0	0	98.36%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-24

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

5466 2 – 0 bennok

Games completed: 20/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1869)	-	2	2	2	2	_	_	2	2	12	48	88.17%	1.33%	0
2	LEESD	(1911)	0	-	2	0	2	_	_	2	2	8	24	0.84%	0.88%	1.57%
3	5466	(1832)	0	0	-	2	2	2	_	_	2	8	20	0.02%	0.28%	2.54%
4	mungo	(1662)	0	2	0	-	2	_	_	_	_	4	24	0.00%	0.02%	32.13%
5	z	(1525)	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	99.98%
6	bennok	(1674)	_	_	0	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	8	0.59%	0.16%	59.60%
7	Ray Garrison	(1787)	_	_	_	_	2	_	-	_	_	2	8	8.88%	0.67%	16.65%
8	eaeaeapepe	(1647)	0	0	_	_	0	_	_	-	_	0	0	0	0	89.34%
9	Arty Sandler	(1573)	0	0	0	_	0	_	_	_	-	0	0	0	0	98.19%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-07-29

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

bennok 0 – 2 LEESD

Games completed: 21/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1869)	-	2	2	2	2	_	_	2	2	12	52	88.87%	1.31%	0
2	LEESD	(1917)	0	-	2	0	2	2	_	2	2	10	28	1.02%	1.08%	0.01%
3	5466	(1834)	0	0	-	2	2	2	_	_	2	8	20	0	0.12%	2.29%
4	mungo	(1662)	0	2	0	-	2	_	_	_	_	4	28	0	0.01%	28.24%
5	z	(1525)	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	99.99%
6	bennok	(1668)	_	0	0	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	8	0.05%	0.10%	67.41%
7	Ray Garrison	(1787)	_	_	_	_	2	_	-	_	_	2	8	8.58%	0.58%	15.37%
8	eaeaeapepe	(1647)	0	0	_	_	0	_	_	-	_	0	0	0	0	88.83%
9	Arty Sandler	(1573)	0	0	0	_	0	_	_	_	-	0	0	0	0	97.86%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-08-01

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

LEESD 2 – 0 Ray Garrison

Games completed: 22/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1869)	-	2	2	2	2	_	_	2	2	12	56	92.99%	1.65%	0
2	LEESD	(1927)	0	-	2	0	2	2	2	2	2	12	32	1.63%	1.73%	0
3	5466	(1852)	0	0	-	2	2	2	_	_	2	8	20	0	0	1.86%
4	mungo	(1662)	0	2	0	-	2	_	_	_	_	4	32	0	0.00%	26.30%
5	z	(1525)	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	99.98%
6	bennok	(1678)	_	0	0	_	2	-	_	_	_	2	8	0.01%	0.03%	62.58%
7	Ray Garrison	(1777)	_	0	_	_	2	_	-	_	_	2	8	3.53%	0.53%	22.35%
8	eaeaeapepe	(1647)	0	0	_	_	0	_	_	-	_	0	0	0	0	89.09%
9	Arty Sandler	(1573)	0	0	0	_	0	_	_	_	-	0	0	0	0	97.83%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-08-02

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

Ray Garrison 2 – 0 eaeaeapepe

Games completed: 23/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1869)	-	2	2	2	_	2	_	2	2	12	56	90.55%	1.85%	0
2	LEESD	(1927)	0	-	2	0	2	2	2	2	2	12	36	2.06%	1.89%	0
3	5466	(1852)	0	0	-	2	_	2	2	_	2	8	20	0	0	1.40%
4	mungo	(1674)	0	2	0	-	_	2	_	_	_	4	32	0	0.01%	25.81%
5	Ray Garrison	(1787)	_	0	_	_	-	2	_	2	_	4	8	5.33%	0.62%	14.48%
6	z	(1525)	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	100%
7	bennok	(1690)	_	0	0	_	_	2	-	_	_	2	8	0.01%	0.05%	63.95%
8	eaeaeapepe	(1637)	0	0	_	_	0	0	_	-	_	0	0	0	0	96.38%
9	Arty Sandler	(1573)	0	0	0	_	_	0	_	_	-	0	0	0	0	97.99%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

bennok at 2012-08-03

Oh I still have the shadow of a chance :)

FatPhil at 2012-08-03

That’s the attitude – be positive!

I’m wondering, have the top players encountered any particularly interesting games this championship, ones that would be instructive as a “LittleGolem TV” video on youtube?

kyle douglas at 2012-08-03

I found my game against LEESD was quite entertaining. Also, it was 100+ moves.

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-08-04

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

bennok 2 – 0 Arty Sandler

Games completed: 24/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1869)	-	2	2	2	_	_	2	2	2	12	56	89.64%	1.97%	0
2	LEESD	(1927)	0	-	2	0	2	2	2	2	2	12	40	2.70%	2.17%	0
3	5466	(1852)	0	0	-	2	2	_	2	_	2	8	24	0	0	1.87%
4	mungo	(1674)	0	2	0	-	_	_	2	_	_	4	32	0	0.01%	29.98%
5	bennok	(1700)	_	0	0	_	-	_	2	_	2	4	8	0.01%	0.08%	53.89%
6	Ray Garrison	(1787)	_	0	_	_	_	-	2	2	_	4	8	5.42%	0.57%	18.39%
7	z	(1525)	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	0	0	0	100%
8	eaeaeapepe	(1651)	0	0	_	_	_	0	0	-	_	0	0	0	0	96.15%
9	Arty Sandler	(1563)	0	0	0	_	0	_	0	_	-	0	0	0	0	99.72%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-08-04

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

Arty Sandler 0 – 2 Ray Garrison

Games completed: 25/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1869)	-	2	2	_	2	_	2	2	2	12	56	87.65%	2.08%	0
2	LEESD	(1927)	0	-	2	2	0	2	2	2	2	12	44	3.10%	2.21%	0
3	5466	(1852)	0	0	-	_	2	2	2	_	2	8	24	0	0	2.16%
4	Ray Garrison	(1793)	_	0	_	-	_	_	2	2	2	6	8	6.93%	0.73%	12.73%
5	mungo	(1674)	0	2	0	_	-	_	2	_	_	4	32	0	0.02%	31.38%
6	bennok	(1700)	_	0	0	_	_	-	2	_	2	4	8	0.01%	0.08%	57.57%
7	z	(1525)	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	0	0	0	100%
8	eaeaeapepe	(1651)	0	0	_	0	_	_	0	-	_	0	0	0	0	96.16%
9	Arty Sandler	(1557)	0	0	0	0	_	0	0	_	-	0	0	0	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

FatPhil at 2012-08-05

Top seed versus (probable) winner is a good candidate for being a decisive game in the tournament – it would be great if someone would make a commentary. I didn’t understand half of the moves, and felt like some were just plain wrong (because I’m so stupid!) - so there’s definitely plenty of material to learn from in that game, I’m 100% sure.

Volunteers?

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-08-06

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

bennok 2 – 0 eaeaeapepe

Games completed: 26/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	(1869)	-	2	2	_	_	2	2	2	2	12	56	86.64%	2.17%	0
2	LEESD	(1931)	0	-	2	2	2	0	2	2	2	12	48	4.10%	2.52%	0
3	5466	(1860)	0	0	-	2	_	2	2	_	2	8	28	0	0	1.36%
4	bennok	(1713)	_	0	0	-	_	_	2	2	2	6	8	0.02%	0.21%	43.62%
5	Ray Garrison	(1793)	_	0	_	_	-	_	2	2	2	6	8	6.67%	0.71%	17.98%
6	mungo	(1674)	0	2	0	_	_	-	2	_	_	4	32	0	0.05%	37.05%
7	z	(1525)	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	0	0	0	100%
8	eaeaeapepe	(1638)	0	0	_	0	0	_	0	-	_	0	0	0	0	100%
9	Arty Sandler	(1557)	0	0	0	0	0	_	0	_	-	0	0	0	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-08-09

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

kyle douglas 0 – 2 bennok

Games completed: 27/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	1847	-	2	0	2	_	2	2	2	2	12	56	67.04%	8.05%	0
2	LEESD	1931	0	-	2	2	2	0	2	2	2	12	52	16.11%	9.65%	0
3	bennok	1735	2	0	-	0	_	_	2	2	2	8	32	0.14%	0.90%	17.32%
4	5466	1840	0	0	2	-	_	2	2	_	2	8	32	0	0	5.37%
5	Ray Garrison	1793	_	0	_	_	-	_	2	2	2	6	8	6.86%	3.07%	23.75%
6	mungo	1674	0	2	_	0	_	-	2	_	_	4	32	0	0.20%	53.56%
7	z	1525	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	0	0	0	100%
8	eaeaeapepe	1638	0	0	0	_	0	_	0	-	_	0	0	0	0	100%
9	Arty Sandler	1557	0	0	0	0	0	_	0	_	-	0	0	0	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-08-11

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

Arty Sandler 0 – 2 mungo

Games completed: 28/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	1847	-	2	2	0	2	_	2	2	2	12	60	69.98%	8.40%	0
2	LEESD	1931	0	-	2	2	0	2	2	2	2	12	52	12.50%	9.43%	0
3	5466	1828	0	0	-	2	2	_	2	_	2	8	36	0	0	6.20%
4	bennok	1735	2	0	0	-	_	_	2	2	2	8	32	0.25%	1.29%	21.40%
5	mungo	1684	0	2	0	_	-	_	2	_	2	6	32	0	0.42%	40.45%
6	Ray Garrison	1793	_	0	_	_	_	-	2	2	2	6	8	7.41%	3.46%	31.95%
7	z	1525	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	0	0	0	100%
8	eaeaeapepe	1630	0	0	_	0	_	0	0	-	_	0	0	0	0	100%
9	Arty Sandler	1547	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	_	-	0	0	0	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

bennok at 2012-08-11

In the evening shadows grow larger...

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-08-15

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

eaeaeapepe 0 – 2 5466

Games completed: 29/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	1847	-	2	2	0	2	_	2	2	2	12	64	70.61%	8.10%	0
2	LEESD	1931	0	-	2	2	0	2	2	2	2	12	56	13.18%	9.08%	0
3	5466	1830	0	0	-	2	2	_	2	2	2	10	36	0	0	3.02%
4	bennok	1735	2	0	0	-	_	_	2	2	2	8	32	0	0.91%	21.95%
5	mungo	1681	0	2	0	_	-	_	2	_	2	6	32	0	0	42.23%
6	Ray Garrison	1793	_	0	_	_	_	-	2	2	2	6	8	7.13%	3.48%	32.81%
7	z	1525	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	0	0	0	100%
8	eaeaeapepe	1623	0	0	0	0	_	0	0	-	_	0	0	0	0	100%
9	Arty Sandler	1547	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	_	-	0	0	0	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

bennok at 2012-08-22

It will be remembered that “eaeaeapepe-5466” was the one crucial game when I lost my potential title of LG champion in the game of Slither :)
May the best one win and good luck to the ones who need it!
(I know : strictly speaking there is no luck involved in this game.)

Knyx at 2012-08-22

There is always next time!

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-08-24

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

mungo 2 – 0 bennok

Games completed: 30/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	1850	-	2	2	2	0	_	2	2	2	12	68	83.22%	8.83%	0
2	LEESD	1935	0	-	2	0	2	2	2	2	2	12	56	1.59%	8.83%	0
3	5466	1867	0	0	-	2	2	_	2	2	2	10	40	0	0	3.45%
4	mungo	1699	0	2	0	-	2	_	2	_	2	8	48	0	0	6.37%
5	bennok	1717	2	0	0	0	-	_	2	2	2	8	32	0	0	52.87%
6	Ray Garrison	1793	_	0	_	_	_	-	2	2	2	6	8	6.35%	2.53%	37.31%
7	z	1525	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	0	0	0	100%
8	eaeaeapepe	1623	0	0	0	_	0	0	0	-	_	0	0	0	0	100%
9	Arty Sandler	1547	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	_	-	0	0	0	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-09-01

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

bennok 0 – 2 Ray Garrison

Games completed: 31/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	1850	-	2	2	2	0	_	2	2	2	12	68	82.22%	6.85%	0
2	LEESD	1952	0	-	2	0	2	2	2	2	2	12	60	0	6.85%	0
3	5466	1883	0	0	-	2	2	_	2	2	2	10	40	0	0	0
4	mungo	1699	0	2	0	-	2	_	2	_	2	8	48	0	0	0
5	bennok	1690	2	0	0	0	-	0	2	2	2	8	32	0	0	87.78%
6	Ray Garrison	1804	_	0	_	_	2	-	2	2	2	8	24	10.92%	0	12.22%
7	z	1525	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	0	0	0	100%
8	eaeaeapepe	1623	0	0	0	_	0	0	0	-	_	0	0	0	0	100%
9	Arty Sandler	1547	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	_	-	0	0	0	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-09-03

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

kyle douglas 0 – 2 Ray Garrison

Games completed: 32/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	1832	-	2	0	2	2	0	2	2	2	12	68	57.05%	15.51%	0
2	LEESD	1952	0	-	2	2	0	2	2	2	2	12	64	0	15.51%	0
3	Ray Garrison	1822	2	0	-	_	_	2	2	2	2	10	48	27.45%	0	0
4	5466	1883	0	0	_	-	2	2	2	2	2	10	40	0	0	0
5	mungo	1699	0	2	_	0	-	2	2	_	2	8	48	0	0	0
6	bennok	1690	2	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	2	8	32	0	0	100%
7	z	1525	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	0	0	0	100%
8	eaeaeapepe	1623	0	0	0	0	_	0	0	-	_	0	0	0	0	100%
9	Arty Sandler	1547	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	_	-	0	0	0	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

FatPhil at 2012-09-03

My goodness, it gets tense...

kyle douglas at 2012-09-04

Interesting how I have chances to tie or win, while the other two players have either only a chance of winning, or only a chance of drawing.

FatPhil at 2012-09-05

Yeah, Ray’s the all-or-nothing guy, and LEESD’s scratching around for leftovers...
I see there’s more than one way how 4 people can share 12 points at the top.

Any particularly interesting games? A pedagogical game would be very useful for all us noobs. (Yes, I’m thinking LGTV on youtube again.)

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-09-05

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

Ray Garrison 0 – 2 5466

Games completed: 33/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	1832	-	2	2	0	2	0	2	2	2	12	72	74.32%	25.68%	0
2	LEESD	1952	0	-	2	2	0	2	2	2	2	12	68	0	25.68%	0
3	5466	1908	0	0	-	2	2	2	2	2	2	12	60	0	0	0
4	Ray Garrison	1810	2	0	0	-	_	2	2	2	2	10	48	0	0	0
5	mungo	1699	0	2	0	_	-	2	2	_	2	8	48	0	0	0
6	bennok	1690	2	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	2	8	32	0	0	100%
7	z	1525	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	0	0	0	100%
8	eaeaeapepe	1623	0	0	0	0	_	0	0	-	_	0	0	0	0	100%
9	Arty Sandler	1547	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	_	-	0	0	0	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

Ray Garrison ★ at 2012-09-05

So Kyle is the champion, and LEESD can tie (if I beat Mungo)...congrats Kyle!

mungo at 2012-09-07

For a tie I have to lose against eaeaeapepe also...

Two losses.... No, I hope Kyle wins

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-09-07

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

Arty Sandler 2 – 0 eaeaeapepe

Games completed: 34/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	1832	-	2	2	0	2	0	2	2	2	12	76	75.93%	24.07%	0
2	LEESD	1952	0	-	2	2	0	2	2	2	2	12	72	0	24.07%	0
3	5466	1908	0	0	-	2	2	2	2	2	2	12	64	0	0	0
4	Ray Garrison	1810	2	0	0	-	_	2	2	2	2	10	52	0	0	0
5	mungo	1699	0	2	0	_	-	2	2	2	_	8	52	0	0	0
6	bennok	1690	2	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	2	8	36	0	0	100%
7	z	1525	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	4	0	0	100%
8	Arty Sandler	1566	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	0	0	0	100%
9	eaeaeapepe	1604	0	0	0	0	_	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-09-19

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

Ray Garrison 2 – 0 mungo

Games completed: 35/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(win)	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	1845	-	2	0	2	2	0	2	2	2	12	76	61.89%	38.11%	0
2	LEESD	1952	0	-	2	2	0	2	2	2	2	12	76	0	38.11%	0
3	Ray Garrison	1821	2	0	-	0	2	2	2	2	2	12	68	0	0	0
4	5466	1913	0	0	2	-	2	2	2	2	2	12	68	0	0	0
5	mungo	1688	0	2	0	0	-	2	2	2	_	8	52	0	0	0
6	bennok	1704	2	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	2	8	36	0	0	100%
7	z	1525	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	4	0	0	100%
8	Arty Sandler	1566	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	0	0	0	100%
9	eaeaeapepe	1604	0	0	0	0	_	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

mungo at 2012-09-21

I lost both... :(
So, congratulations to kyle and LEESD!

RoRoRo the Bot at 2012-09-21

Tournament: slither.ch.2.1.1
Newly completed matches:

eaeaeapepe 2 – 0 mungo

Games completed: 36/36

N	Player	Rating	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Score	Son	p(draw)	p(down)
1	kyle douglas	1845	-	2	0	2	2	0	2	2	2	12	80	100%	0
2	LEESD	1952	0	-	2	2	0	2	2	2	2	12	80	100%	0
3	Ray Garrison	1821	2	0	-	0	2	2	2	2	2	12	72	0	0
4	5466	1916	0	0	2	-	2	2	2	2	2	12	72	0	0
5	mungo	1669	0	2	0	0	-	2	2	0	2	8	52	0	0
6	bennok	1704	2	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	2	8	40	0	100%
7	z	1525	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2	2	4	8	0	100%
8	eaeaeapepe	1623	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	-	0	2	16	0	100%
9	Arty Sandler	1566	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	-	2	4	0	100%

p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

kyle douglas at 2012-09-21

Thanks for the great tournament!

FatPhil at 2012-09-25

That’s close – 4 share the top score of 12 points. Only the rewards-success-but-doesn’t-punish-failure tie-breaker separates you lot into pairs.

I can’t propose anything better off the top of my head, but I become less of a fan of SoN over time. I notice that some techniques used for selection of candidates in democratic elections would put Kyle as the sole winner.

So who would like to volunteer to do a commentary of one of the better games (such as Kyle vs. LEESD, as I suggested a month or so back)?

Slither Championship #2 Slither forum

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