Pearl of luck Einstein forum

5 replies. Last post: 2006-11-30

Pearl of luck
• Jonny at 2006-08-03

In all three games i have no chance to win. Very lucky games. Bad luck in the end of each game.

http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=559135&nmove=1

But no matter, congratulation to “12”, becouse: Thats the game… :-O

• Jonny at 2006-08-03

Hello again :-) …

Very lucky game too:

http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=559467&nmove=1

One player have all his stones and the other have no stone. Thats very lucky, and not very often. Do you have a game like this? Please post it here. :-))

• hanfried_c at 2006-09-10

@Jonny: Yes before the crash I had such a game.

Luck at this position http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=577856&nmove=8

The next moves are verry strange. Blue can't kick out the red 2, but this stone seems to be paralysed. Which stone makes the winning move?

• graff at 2006-10-24

I fugured that I ought to post this point here. By my calculations, rolling a one five times in a row is a 1/7776 chance.

• Theo van der Storm at 2006-11-30

> I fugured that I ought to post this point here. By my calculations,

> rolling a one five times in a row is a 1/7776 chance.

In a way you are right, but how significant is it?

It's an after-the-fact remark.

You would have made the same remark had you thrown any other digit five times

and won the point reducing the chance to 1/1296. It would still be an after-the-fact remark, though.

Some would notice the fact that 6 times the same digit occurs in sequence

i.e. for blue-red-blue-red-blue-red even if it had no apparant influence to the game outcome and claim the dice are no good. Some wouldn't even notice it.

After being unable to do any self-capture for 5 moves from the opening position:

“what was the chance of it?” Actually one can argue it is 1 (certain), because it already happened … and so forth.

Considering significance from a game playing point of view

the shortest possible point was an obvious before-the-fact candidate to watch out for. It happened to me once, I believe, and here is another one by basplund in my current group:

http://www.littlegolem.net/jsp/game/game.jsp?gid=609683&nmove=1

Calculating the change of this, however, is hard, because the other party is there to prevent you from succeeding :-)