loa.ch.25.1.1 predictions LOA forum

16 replies. Last post: 2014-07-23

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loa.ch.25.1.1 predictions
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-18

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
    I’ve been requested to follow loa.ch.25.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
    For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

    • Already completed matches:

    Games completed: 0/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Miky23 1931 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 9.30% 0.89% 20.80%
    2 kyle douglas 1741 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.30% 0.06% 81.11%
    3 pim 1789 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.80% 0.15% 67.93%
    4 vic 1808 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.17% 0.20% 62.07%
    5 CalvinB 1814 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.36% 0.21% 60.70%
    6 Elsabio 1835 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.97% 0.27% 53.70%
    7 Ragnar Wikman 1864 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.36% 0.42% 43.75%
    8 kingofthebesI 2124 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 67.38% 1.62% 1.14%
    9 emilioes 1950 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 12.03% 0.97% 18.57%
    10 gamesorry 1697 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.09% 0.03% 90.22%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
  • Chaosu at 2014-04-18

    wow that started quick!

  • FatPhil at 2014-04-18

    stop complaining! good luck, and no luck-but-skill-instead, to all!
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-28

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • vic 0 – 2 emilioes
    • vic 0 – 2 CalvinB
    • vic 0 – 2 Ragnar Wikman
    • vic 0 – 2 kyle douglas

    Games completed: 4/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 emilioes 1959 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 14.16% 1.07% 11.90%
    2 kyle douglas 1758 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 0.54% 0.12% 70.05%
    3 CalvinB 1831 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 2.12% 0.36% 46.52%
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1877 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 4.58% 0.62% 32.08%
    5 kingofthebesI 2124 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 62.07% 1.78% 1.20%
    6 Miky23 1957 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 11.78% 1.04% 16.65%
    7 Elsabio 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.77% 0.27% 54.66%
    8 vic 1755 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.91%
    9 gamesorry 1697 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.08% 0.02% 90.41%
    10 pim 1765 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.43% 0.10% 77.61%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-28

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Elsabio 2 – 0 vic

    Games completed: 5/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 kyle douglas 1758 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.60% 0.11% 71.69%
    2 CalvinB 1831 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 2.16% 0.28% 48.10%
    3 emilioes 1959 _ _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 13.76% 1.09% 13.67%
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1877 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 4.54% 0.60% 33.93%
    5 Elsabio 1847 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 2.76% 0.37% 44.25%
    6 vic 1743 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.85%
    7 gamesorry 1697 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.09% 0.02% 91.09%
    8 kingofthebesI 2124 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 61.64% 1.65% 1.39%
    9 pim 1765 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.48% 0.07% 77.71%
    10 Miky23 1957 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 11.65% 0.96% 18.32%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-29

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • kingofthebesI 0 – 2 kyle douglas
    • kingofthebesI 0 – 2 Elsabio
    • pim 2 – 0 kingofthebesI
    • gamesorry 2 – 0 kingofthebesI
    • emilioes 2 – 0 kingofthebesI
    • kingofthebesI 0 – 2 Miky23
    • CalvinB 2 – 0 kingofthebesI
    • Ragnar Wikman 2 – 0 kingofthebesI
    • kingofthebesI 0 – 2 vic

    Games completed: 14/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 CalvinB 1831 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 7.41% 1.00% 30.89%
    2 emilioes 1959 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 33.04% 2.24% 7.00%
    3 Ragnar Wikman 1877 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 13.45% 1.51% 20.26%
    4 Elsabio 1847 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 9.21% 1.16% 27.75%
    5 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 2.38% 0.44% 57.01%
    6 pim 1765 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 1.83% 0.29% 64.41%
    7 gamesorry 1697 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0.49% 0.11% 82.57%
    8 vic 1743 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 99.68%
    9 Miky23 1957 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 28.28% 2.06% 10.43%
    10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-29

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Miky23 2 – 0 vic

    Games completed: 15/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Elsabio 1847 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 8.65% 1.29% 26.77%
    2 kyle douglas 1758 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 2.26% 0.45% 55.76%
    3 emilioes 1959 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 30.81% 2.34% 7.50%
    4 Miky23 1964 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 32.55% 2.26% 6.99%
    5 CalvinB 1831 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 6.78% 1.08% 33.68%
    6 Ragnar Wikman 1877 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 12.57% 1.56% 21.83%
    7 gamesorry 1697 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0.43% 0.11% 82.48%
    8 vic 1736 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    9 pim 1765 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 1.83% 0.31% 64.99%
    10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-02

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • CalvinB 2 – 0 pim
    • pim 0 – 2 gamesorry

    Games completed: 17/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 CalvinB 1842 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 2 6 8 9.47% 1.37% 20.50%
    2 gamesorry 1714 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 0.98% 0.19% 67.86%
    3 emilioes 1959 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 29.12% 2.23% 7.22%
    4 Miky23 1973 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 33.71% 2.42% 5.77%
    5 Ragnar Wikman 1882 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 12.30% 1.59% 19.43%
    6 Elsabio 1847 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 8.13% 1.23% 28.10%
    7 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 4 4 2.14% 0.40% 57.71%
    8 vic 1736 0 _ 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    9 pim 1710 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.06% 0.01% 93.40%
    10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-04

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • gamesorry 2 – 0 vic

    Games completed: 18/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 gamesorry 1731 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 2 6 8 1.82% 0.46% 54.95%
    2 CalvinB 1842 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 2 6 8 8.92% 1.37% 23.92%
    3 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 2.06% 0.41% 58.56%
    4 emilioes 1959 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 28.53% 2.38% 8.17%
    5 Miky23 1979 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 34.77% 2.55% 6.43%
    6 Ragnar Wikman 1882 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 11.97% 1.60% 22.07%
    7 Elsabio 1847 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 4 4 7.56% 1.25% 31.65%
    8 vic 1719 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    9 pim 1710 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.03% 0.02% 94.25%
    10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-07

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • pim 2 – 0 vic

    Games completed: 19/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 gamesorry 1731 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 2 6 12 1.96% 0.55% 54.46%
    2 CalvinB 1845 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 2 6 12 9.78% 1.53% 23.48%
    3 emilioes 1943 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 24.82% 2.28% 10.24%
    4 Miky23 1980 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 36.06% 2.65% 6.20%
    5 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 2.07% 0.51% 60.21%
    6 pim 1726 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 4 4 0.12% 0.05% 89.00%
    7 Ragnar Wikman 1882 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 4 4 12.49% 1.69% 23.30%
    8 Elsabio 1847 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 4 4 8.08% 1.29% 33.10%
    9 vic 1703 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-14

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Miky23 2 – 0 Elsabio

    Games completed: 20/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 gamesorry 1731 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 2 6 12 1.86% 0.50% 52.76%
    2 Miky23 1968 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 2 6 12 41.88% 2.76% 3.24%
    3 CalvinB 1845 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 2 6 12 9.98% 1.53% 21.95%
    4 emilioes 1943 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 24.49% 2.31% 9.80%
    5 Ragnar Wikman 1885 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 13.00% 1.77% 19.99%
    6 Elsabio 1838 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 4 4 2.35% 0.74% 43.16%
    7 pim 1726 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 2 2 4 4 0.13% 0.05% 88.77%
    8 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 4 4 1.94% 0.47% 60.34%
    9 vic 1703 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-15

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Elsabio 2 – 0 Ragnar Wikman

    Games completed: 21/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Miky23 1977 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 6 16 46.77% 2.83% 2.61%
    2 Elsabio 1856 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 2 6 12 5.42% 1.41% 18.40%
    3 CalvinB 1845 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 2 6 12 9.84% 1.61% 22.76%
    4 gamesorry 1731 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 2 6 12 1.89% 0.49% 56.48%
    5 pim 1726 _ _ 0 0 - _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 0.12% 0.05% 88.56%
    6 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 4 4 1.98% 0.50% 60.12%
    7 Ragnar Wikman 1867 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 4 4 4.48% 1.04% 39.53%
    8 emilioes 1943 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 4 4 25.06% 2.24% 11.54%
    9 vic 1703 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
  • Chaosu at 2014-05-19

    since King of Thebes I decided to resign in all of his games i got a question to him

    Could you sign off the championships next time? Someone else could have used your spot, and you would avoid droping to second league. 
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-30

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1 Newly completed matches: * Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 CalvinB Games completed: 22/45 table{background:#ffe700;border:1}. {background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) | | 1 | CalvinB | 1855 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 17.43% | 2.06% | 8.78% | | 2 | Miky23 | 1959 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 41.41% | 2.73% | 3.03% | | 3 | gamesorry | 1731 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 1.99% | 0.47% | 51.92% | | 4 | Elsabio | 1856 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 5.66% | 1.23% | 20.24% | | 5 | pim | 1726 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.09% | 0.05% | 88.24% | | 6 | kyle douglas | 1758 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2.06% | 0.48% | 57.82% | | 7 | emilioes | 1946 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 26.45% | 2.19% | 9.64% | | 8 | Ragnar Wikman | 1850 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.72% | 0.44% | 60.34% | | 9 | vic | 1703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | | 10 | kingofthebesI | 2124 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
  • Elsabio at 2014-06-25

    RoRoRo please wake up, there is a job to do :)
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-07-23

    Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1 Newly completed matches: * CalvinB 0 – 2 Elsabio * kyle douglas 0 – 2 Ragnar Wikman * gamesorry 2 – 0 Elsabio * CalvinB 0 – 2 gamesorry * gamesorry 0 – 2 Miky23 * emilioes 2 – 0 pim * Miky23 2 – 0 emilioes * Elsabio 2 – 0 emilioes * Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 Miky23 * Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 gamesorry * emilioes 2 – 0 CalvinB * emilioes 2 – 0 Ragnar Wikman * CalvinB 0 – 2 Miky23 * Ragnar Wikman 2 – 0 pim * pim 2 – 0 Miky23 <-— major upset! * pim 2 – 0 Elsabio <-— upset! * kyle douglas 2 – 0 pim * Miky23 2 – 0 kyle douglas Games completed: 40/45 table{background:#ffe700;border:1}. {background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) | | 1 | Miky23 | 1997 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 112 | 100% | 0 | 0 | | 2 | gamesorry | 1786 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 12 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 3 | Elsabio | 1853 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | emilioes | 1893 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 1.07% | | 5 | pim | 1714 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 90.66% | | 6 | CalvinB | 1828 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 57.71% | | 7 | Ragnar Wikman | 1862 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 100% | | 8 | kyle douglas | 1756 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 50.55% | | 9 | vic | 1703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | | 10 | kingofthebesI | 2124 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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