loa.ch.25.1.1 predictions LOA forum
16 replies. Last post: 2014-07-23
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-18
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
I’ve been requested to follow loa.ch.25.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .- Already completed matches:
Games completed: 0/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Miky23 1931 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 9.30% 0.89% 20.80% 2 kyle douglas 1741 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.30% 0.06% 81.11% 3 pim 1789 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.80% 0.15% 67.93% 4 vic 1808 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.17% 0.20% 62.07% 5 CalvinB 1814 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.36% 0.21% 60.70% 6 Elsabio 1835 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.97% 0.27% 53.70% 7 Ragnar Wikman 1864 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 3.36% 0.42% 43.75% 8 kingofthebesI 2124 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 67.38% 1.62% 1.14% 9 emilioes 1950 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 12.03% 0.97% 18.57% 10 gamesorry 1697 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.09% 0.03% 90.22% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-28
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
Newly completed matches:- vic 0 – 2 emilioes
- vic 0 – 2 CalvinB
- vic 0 – 2 Ragnar Wikman
- vic 0 – 2 kyle douglas
Games completed: 4/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 emilioes 1959 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 14.16% 1.07% 11.90% 2 kyle douglas 1758 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 0.54% 0.12% 70.05% 3 CalvinB 1831 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 2.12% 0.36% 46.52% 4 Ragnar Wikman 1877 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 0 4.58% 0.62% 32.08% 5 kingofthebesI 2124 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 62.07% 1.78% 1.20% 6 Miky23 1957 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 11.78% 1.04% 16.65% 7 Elsabio 1835 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.77% 0.27% 54.66% 8 vic 1755 0 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.91% 9 gamesorry 1697 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.08% 0.02% 90.41% 10 pim 1765 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.43% 0.10% 77.61% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-28
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
Newly completed matches:- Elsabio 2 – 0 vic
Games completed: 5/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 kyle douglas 1758 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.60% 0.11% 71.69% 2 CalvinB 1831 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 2.16% 0.28% 48.10% 3 emilioes 1959 _ _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 13.76% 1.09% 13.67% 4 Ragnar Wikman 1877 _ _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 4.54% 0.60% 33.93% 5 Elsabio 1847 _ _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 2.76% 0.37% 44.25% 6 vic 1743 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.85% 7 gamesorry 1697 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.09% 0.02% 91.09% 8 kingofthebesI 2124 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 61.64% 1.65% 1.39% 9 pim 1765 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.48% 0.07% 77.71% 10 Miky23 1957 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 11.65% 0.96% 18.32% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-29
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
Newly completed matches:- kingofthebesI 0 – 2 kyle douglas
- kingofthebesI 0 – 2 Elsabio
- pim 2 – 0 kingofthebesI
- gamesorry 2 – 0 kingofthebesI
- emilioes 2 – 0 kingofthebesI
- kingofthebesI 0 – 2 Miky23
- CalvinB 2 – 0 kingofthebesI
- Ragnar Wikman 2 – 0 kingofthebesI
- kingofthebesI 0 – 2 vic
Games completed: 14/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 CalvinB 1831 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 7.41% 1.00% 30.89% 2 emilioes 1959 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 33.04% 2.24% 7.00% 3 Ragnar Wikman 1877 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 13.45% 1.51% 20.26% 4 Elsabio 1847 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 9.21% 1.16% 27.75% 5 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 2.38% 0.44% 57.01% 6 pim 1765 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 1.83% 0.29% 64.41% 7 gamesorry 1697 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0.49% 0.11% 82.57% 8 vic 1743 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 99.68% 9 Miky23 1957 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 28.28% 2.06% 10.43% 10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-04-29
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
Newly completed matches:- Miky23 2 – 0 vic
Games completed: 15/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Elsabio 1847 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 8.65% 1.29% 26.77% 2 kyle douglas 1758 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 2.26% 0.45% 55.76% 3 emilioes 1959 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 30.81% 2.34% 7.50% 4 Miky23 1964 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 32.55% 2.26% 6.99% 5 CalvinB 1831 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 6.78% 1.08% 33.68% 6 Ragnar Wikman 1877 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 12.57% 1.56% 21.83% 7 gamesorry 1697 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0.43% 0.11% 82.48% 8 vic 1736 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 100% 9 pim 1765 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 1.83% 0.31% 64.99% 10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-02
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
Newly completed matches:- CalvinB 2 – 0 pim
- pim 0 – 2 gamesorry
Games completed: 17/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 CalvinB 1842 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 2 6 8 9.47% 1.37% 20.50% 2 gamesorry 1714 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 0.98% 0.19% 67.86% 3 emilioes 1959 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 29.12% 2.23% 7.22% 4 Miky23 1973 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 33.71% 2.42% 5.77% 5 Ragnar Wikman 1882 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 12.30% 1.59% 19.43% 6 Elsabio 1847 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 8.13% 1.23% 28.10% 7 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 4 4 2.14% 0.40% 57.71% 8 vic 1736 0 _ 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 2 0 0 0 100% 9 pim 1710 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.06% 0.01% 93.40% 10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-04
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
Newly completed matches:- gamesorry 2 – 0 vic
Games completed: 18/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 gamesorry 1731 - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 2 6 8 1.82% 0.46% 54.95% 2 CalvinB 1842 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 2 6 8 8.92% 1.37% 23.92% 3 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 2.06% 0.41% 58.56% 4 emilioes 1959 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 28.53% 2.38% 8.17% 5 Miky23 1979 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 34.77% 2.55% 6.43% 6 Ragnar Wikman 1882 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 11.97% 1.60% 22.07% 7 Elsabio 1847 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 _ 2 4 4 7.56% 1.25% 31.65% 8 vic 1719 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 2 0 0 0 100% 9 pim 1710 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.03% 0.02% 94.25% 10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-07
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
Newly completed matches:- pim 2 – 0 vic
Games completed: 19/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 gamesorry 1731 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 2 6 12 1.96% 0.55% 54.46% 2 CalvinB 1845 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 2 6 12 9.78% 1.53% 23.48% 3 emilioes 1943 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 24.82% 2.28% 10.24% 4 Miky23 1980 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 36.06% 2.65% 6.20% 5 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 2.07% 0.51% 60.21% 6 pim 1726 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 4 4 0.12% 0.05% 89.00% 7 Ragnar Wikman 1882 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 4 4 12.49% 1.69% 23.30% 8 Elsabio 1847 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 4 4 8.08% 1.29% 33.10% 9 vic 1703 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-14
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
Newly completed matches:- Miky23 2 – 0 Elsabio
Games completed: 20/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 gamesorry 1731 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 2 6 12 1.86% 0.50% 52.76% 2 Miky23 1968 _ - _ _ _ 2 _ _ 2 2 6 12 41.88% 2.76% 3.24% 3 CalvinB 1845 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 2 6 12 9.98% 1.53% 21.95% 4 emilioes 1943 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 24.49% 2.31% 9.80% 5 Ragnar Wikman 1885 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 13.00% 1.77% 19.99% 6 Elsabio 1838 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 4 4 2.35% 0.74% 43.16% 7 pim 1726 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 2 2 4 4 0.13% 0.05% 88.77% 8 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 4 4 1.94% 0.47% 60.34% 9 vic 1703 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-15
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1
Newly completed matches:- Elsabio 2 – 0 Ragnar Wikman
Games completed: 21/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Miky23 1977 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 6 16 46.77% 2.83% 2.61% 2 Elsabio 1856 0 - _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 2 6 12 5.42% 1.41% 18.40% 3 CalvinB 1845 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 2 6 12 9.84% 1.61% 22.76% 4 gamesorry 1731 _ _ _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 2 6 12 1.89% 0.49% 56.48% 5 pim 1726 _ _ 0 0 - _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 0.12% 0.05% 88.56% 6 kyle douglas 1758 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 4 4 1.98% 0.50% 60.12% 7 Ragnar Wikman 1867 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 4 4 4.48% 1.04% 39.53% 8 emilioes 1943 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 4 4 25.06% 2.24% 11.54% 9 vic 1703 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100% 10 kingofthebesI 2124 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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Chaosu at 2014-05-19
since King of Thebes I decided to resign in all of his games i got a question to him
Could you sign off the championships next time? Someone else could have used your spot, and you would avoid droping to second league. -
RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-05-30
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1 Newly completed matches: * Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 CalvinB Games completed: 22/45 table{background:#ffe700;border:1}. {background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) | | 1 | CalvinB | 1855 | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 17.43% | 2.06% | 8.78% | | 2 | Miky23 | 1959 | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 41.41% | 2.73% | 3.03% | | 3 | gamesorry | 1731 | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 1.99% | 0.47% | 51.92% | | 4 | Elsabio | 1856 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 5.66% | 1.23% | 20.24% | | 5 | pim | 1726 | 0 | _ | 0 | _ | - | _ | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.09% | 0.05% | 88.24% | | 6 | kyle douglas | 1758 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2.06% | 0.48% | 57.82% | | 7 | emilioes | 1946 | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | _ | - | _ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 26.45% | 2.19% | 9.64% | | 8 | Ragnar Wikman | 1850 | 0 | _ | _ | 0 | _ | _ | _ | - | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.72% | 0.44% | 60.34% | | 9 | vic | 1703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | | 10 | kingofthebesI | 2124 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-07-23
Tournament: loa.ch.25.1.1 Newly completed matches: * CalvinB 0 – 2 Elsabio * kyle douglas 0 – 2 Ragnar Wikman * gamesorry 2 – 0 Elsabio * CalvinB 0 – 2 gamesorry * gamesorry 0 – 2 Miky23 * emilioes 2 – 0 pim * Miky23 2 – 0 emilioes * Elsabio 2 – 0 emilioes * Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 Miky23 * Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 gamesorry * emilioes 2 – 0 CalvinB * emilioes 2 – 0 Ragnar Wikman * CalvinB 0 – 2 Miky23 * Ragnar Wikman 2 – 0 pim * pim 2 – 0 Miky23 <-— major upset! * pim 2 – 0 Elsabio <-— upset! * kyle douglas 2 – 0 pim * Miky23 2 – 0 kyle douglas Games completed: 40/45 table{background:#ffe700;border:1}. {background:#ff8000}. |_. N |_. Player |_. Rating |_. 1 |_. 2 |_. 3 |_. 4 |_. 5 |_. 6 |_. 7 |_. 8 |_. 9 |_. 10 |_. Score |_. Son |_. p(win) |_. p(draw) |_. p(down) | | 1 | Miky23 | 1997 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 112 | 100% | 0 | 0 | | 2 | gamesorry | 1786 | 0 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 12 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 3 | Elsabio | 1853 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 4 | emilioes | 1893 | 0 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 1.07% | | 5 | pim | 1714 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 90.66% | | 6 | CalvinB | 1828 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | _ | 2 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 57.71% | | 7 | Ragnar Wikman | 1862 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 100% | | 8 | kyle douglas | 1756 | 0 | _ | _ | _ | 2 | _ | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 50.55% | | 9 | vic | 1703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | | 10 | kingofthebesI | 2124 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100% | p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted