amzn.ch.30.1.1 predictions Amazons forum
27 replies. Last post: 2013-06-30
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-22
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
I’ve been requested to follow amzn.ch.30.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .- Already completed matches:
Games completed: 0/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 JJ10 2118 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 40.09% 1.72% 4.92% 2 bennok 1837 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.62% 0.12% 78.90% 3 celticjim 1852 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.80% 0.12% 75.35% 4 Arrow2_bot 1855 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.71% 0.14% 74.81% 5 Orbilin 1877 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.17% 0.23% 68.72% 6 p_a_k_o 1957 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.40% 0.65% 40.90% 7 cutecat 1976 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 7.09% 0.80% 34.54% 8 mungo 1982 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 7.82% 0.79% 32.48% 9 Kisoul 2098 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 32.87% 1.69% 7.72% 10 FatPhil 1833 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.48% 0.10% 81.64% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-03-27
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- Arrow2_bot 2 – 0 Kisoul <-— major upset!
Games completed: 1/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1880 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 4.38% 0.65% 45.99% 2 FatPhil 1833 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.68% 0.14% 82.00% 3 JJ10 2118 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 47.91% 2.08% 5.70% 4 mungo 1982 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 9.49% 0.97% 33.72% 5 cutecat 1976 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 8.81% 0.97% 36.08% 6 p_a_k_o 1957 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 6.73% 0.80% 42.55% 7 Orbilin 1877 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.55% 0.25% 71.87% 8 celticjim 1857 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.10% 0.23% 77.36% 9 bennok 1837 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.71% 0.14% 82.40% 10 Kisoul 2073 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 15.01% 1.41% 22.34% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-02
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- mungo 2 – 0 Kisoul
Games completed: 2/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 mungo 2002 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 21.64% 1.72% 13.70% 2 Arrow2_bot 1880 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 4.03% 0.57% 48.37% 3 Kisoul 2053 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.63% 0.72% 40.64% 4 cutecat 1976 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 8.97% 0.90% 35.45% 5 p_a_k_o 1957 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 6.84% 0.78% 42.40% 6 Orbilin 1877 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 1.64% 0.27% 70.81% 7 bennok 1837 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.66% 0.12% 81.98% 8 FatPhil 1833 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.68% 0.13% 82.74% 9 celticjim 1857 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 1.10% 0.20% 77.55% 10 JJ10 2118 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 47.24% 2.09% 6.37% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-03
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- Kisoul 0 – 2 celticjim <-— upset!
Games completed: 3/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1880 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 3.87% 0.56% 49.84% 2 celticjim 1881 _ - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 3.77% 0.52% 49.76% 3 mungo 2002 _ _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 0 20.77% 1.40% 15.53% 4 bennok 1837 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.76% 0.13% 79.96% 5 Kisoul 2029 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.44% 0.20% 69.23% 6 cutecat 1976 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 9.27% 0.93% 35.34% 7 p_a_k_o 1957 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 6.81% 0.82% 41.81% 8 Orbilin 1877 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.78% 0.26% 70.39% 9 JJ10 2118 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 48.54% 2.02% 5.91% 10 FatPhil 1833 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.69% 0.13% 82.23% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-09
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- FatPhil 0 – 2 Arrow2_bot
Games completed: 4/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1893 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 4 0 6.13% 0.89% 35.46% 2 mungo 2002 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 20.35% 1.56% 14.80% 3 celticjim 1864 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 2.84% 0.46% 55.75% 4 bennok 1837 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.74% 0.17% 80.42% 5 cutecat 1976 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 9.07% 0.94% 34.49% 6 p_a_k_o 1957 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 6.96% 0.76% 40.99% 7 Orbilin 1877 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 1.73% 0.33% 69.74% 8 JJ10 2118 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 48.15% 2.05% 5.85% 9 FatPhil 1820 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.20% 0.05% 91.06% 10 Kisoul 2029 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.34% 0.18% 71.45% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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JJ10 at 2013-04-12
Good luck to everyone playing in the championship. I don’t have as much time as I thought I would have so I am going to resign my games.
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-12
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- JJ10 0 – 2 bennok
- bennok 0 – 2 Kisoul
- JJ10 0 – 2 Arrow2_bot
- cutecat 2 – 0 JJ10
- Kisoul 2 – 0 JJ10
- FatPhil 2 – 0 JJ10
- JJ10 0 – 2 p_a_k_o
- JJ10 0 – 2 mungo
- Orbilin 2 – 0 JJ10
- celticjim 2 – 0 JJ10
Games completed: 14/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1911 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 6 12 14.37% 1.60% 21.71% 2 mungo 2013 _ - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 35.30% 2.32% 9.09% 3 celticjim 1914 _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 11.40% 1.36% 29.89% 4 Kisoul 2056 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0.22% 0.29% 52.11% 5 Orbilin 1891 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 3.81% 0.68% 58.74% 6 p_a_k_o 1975 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 13.51% 1.50% 31.22% 7 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 15.43% 1.60% 28.99% 8 bennok 1847 _ _ _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 1.18% 0.28% 78.75% 9 FatPhil 1814 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.32% 0.12% 89.49% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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mungo at 2013-04-12
Sad to see the reigning champion resign all games. Hope you will be back for the next championship!
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-18
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- mungo 2 – 0 Arrow2_bot
Games completed: 15/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 mungo 2024 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 6 20 48.47% 2.56% 3.45% 2 Arrow2_bot 1900 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 6 12 4.58% 0.88% 32.07% 3 celticjim 1914 _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 10.39% 1.19% 29.29% 4 Kisoul 2056 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0.20% 0.26% 51.46% 5 Orbilin 1891 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 3.75% 0.60% 58.19% 6 p_a_k_o 1975 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 12.60% 1.37% 30.62% 7 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 14.59% 1.46% 28.16% 8 bennok 1847 _ _ _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 1.04% 0.24% 78.56% 9 FatPhil 1820 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.37% 0.14% 88.19% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-20
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- Arrow2_bot 2 – 0 Orbilin
Games completed: 16/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1915 - 0 _ 2 2 _ _ _ 2 2 8 16 8.31% 1.26% 14.97% 2 mungo 2024 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 6 24 50.11% 2.48% 2.84% 3 celticjim 1893 _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 7.84% 0.98% 33.90% 4 Kisoul 2056 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0.11% 0.17% 51.39% 5 Orbilin 1876 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.99% 0.26% 75.34% 6 p_a_k_o 1975 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 12.94% 1.36% 29.20% 7 bennok 1847 _ _ _ 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 1.04% 0.25% 77.21% 8 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 14.59% 1.55% 27.29% 9 FatPhil 1820 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.25% 0.08% 87.85% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-25
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- p_a_k_o 0 – 2 Arrow2_bot
Games completed: 17/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1933 - 0 _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 2 10 20 18.12% 2.03% 2.31% 2 mungo 2024 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 6 28 52.15% 2.52% 2.06% 3 celticjim 1878 _ _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 8 6.51% 0.91% 35.44% 4 Kisoul 2056 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0.04% 0.10% 49.76% 5 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 14.56% 1.40% 24.17% 6 FatPhil 1820 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.21% 0.09% 86.14% 7 bennok 1847 _ _ _ 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 1.12% 0.26% 75.56% 8 Orbilin 1876 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.58% 0.26% 74.69% 9 p_a_k_o 1957 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 2.87% 0.80% 49.87% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-26
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- bennok 0 – 2 celticjim
Games completed: 18/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1933 - 0 _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 2 10 20 17.38% 2.00% 1.79% 2 mungo 2024 2 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 6 28 50.63% 2.42% 2.11% 3 celticjim 1892 _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ 2 6 12 10.35% 1.22% 21.07% 4 Kisoul 2056 0 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0.02% 0.06% 52.85% 5 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 14.08% 1.32% 23.61% 6 Orbilin 1876 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.60% 0.18% 74.20% 7 bennok 1833 _ _ 0 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0.18% 0.06% 88.50% 8 FatPhil 1820 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.18% 0.09% 86.35% 9 p_a_k_o 1957 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 2.87% 0.76% 49.52% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-04-28
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- celticjim 2 – 0 p_a_k_o
Games completed: 19/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1933 - _ 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 10 20 15.32% 1.45% 1.77% 2 celticjim 1910 _ - _ 2 2 _ _ 2 _ 2 8 16 19.26% 1.57% 6.46% 3 mungo 2024 2 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 6 28 48.08% 2.16% 1.79% 4 Kisoul 2056 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0.01% 0.01% 50.09% 5 p_a_k_o 1939 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.15% 0.11% 71.07% 6 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 13.12% 1.30% 22.17% 7 FatPhil 1820 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0.17% 0.11% 85.22% 8 bennok 1833 _ 0 _ 0 _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.11% 0.05% 88.14% 9 Orbilin 1876 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.65% 0.18% 73.29% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-05-07
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- Orbilin 0 – 2 celticjim
- p_a_k_o 0 – 2 Kisoul
- Arrow2_bot 2 – 0 bennok
- Kisoul 2 – 0 FatPhil
Games completed: 23/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1944 - _ 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 2 12 32 18.89% 1.32% 0.05% 2 celticjim 1905 _ - 2 _ 2 2 2 _ _ 2 10 28 21.13% 1.68% 1.26% 3 Kisoul 2072 0 0 - 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 8 12 0 0.00% 21.98% 4 mungo 2024 2 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 6 40 45.75% 1.73% 1.27% 5 bennok 1822 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 95.14% 6 Orbilin 1861 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.01% 0.01% 86.85% 7 p_a_k_o 1929 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 83.48% 8 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 11.75% 1.15% 19.72% 9 FatPhil 1814 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.03% 0.02% 90.25% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-05-09
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- celticjim 0 – 2 Arrow2_bot
Games completed: 24/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1958 - 2 2 0 2 _ 2 2 2 2 14 52 34.35% 1.85% 0 2 celticjim 1894 0 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 10 28 4.78% 1.63% 2.56% 3 Kisoul 2072 0 0 - 0 2 _ _ 2 2 2 8 12 0 0 21.49% 4 mungo 2024 2 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 6 44 46.23% 1.87% 1.22% 5 p_a_k_o 1929 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 83.05% 6 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 12.08% 0.97% 19.04% 7 Orbilin 1861 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0.01% 87.18% 8 bennok 1822 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 95.63% 9 FatPhil 1814 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.01% 0.02% 89.81% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-05-12
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- Kisoul 2 – 0 Orbilin
Games completed: 25/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1958 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 14 56 33.57% 1.97% 0 2 celticjim 1899 0 - 2 _ _ 2 2 2 _ 2 10 32 5.06% 1.74% 2.38% 3 Kisoul 2079 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 10 16 0 0 13.05% 4 mungo 2024 2 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 6 48 46.81% 1.92% 1.15% 5 FatPhil 1814 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.00% 0.01% 89.88% 6 bennok 1822 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 95.65% 7 Orbilin 1854 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 93.45% 8 p_a_k_o 1929 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 84.37% 9 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 11.97% 0.96% 20.07% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-05-14
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- Orbilin 0 – 2 p_a_k_o
Games completed: 26/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1958 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 14 60 33.00% 1.71% 0 2 celticjim 1861 0 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 10 36 3.60% 1.37% 3.36% 3 Kisoul 2079 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 10 20 0 0 14.92% 4 mungo 2024 2 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 6 48 48.51% 1.72% 1.13% 5 p_a_k_o 1941 0 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 75.80% 6 FatPhil 1814 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.00% 0.01% 89.86% 7 bennok 1822 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 96.18% 8 Orbilin 1842 0 0 0 _ 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 98.16% 9 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 12.53% 1.02% 20.59% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-05-17
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- bennok 2 – 0 Orbilin
Games completed: 27/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1958 - 2 2 0 2 2 _ 2 2 2 14 64 33.26% 1.83% 0 2 celticjim 1861 0 - 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 2 2 10 40 3.58% 1.49% 3.47% 3 Kisoul 2079 0 0 - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 2 10 24 0 0 15.72% 4 mungo 2024 2 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 6 48 48.42% 1.73% 1.21% 5 bennok 1838 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 91.64% 6 p_a_k_o 1941 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 77.38% 7 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 12.31% 0.99% 20.57% 8 FatPhil 1814 0 _ 0 _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.01% 0.03% 90.24% 9 Orbilin 1826 0 0 0 _ 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 99.76% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-05-23
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- FatPhil 0 – 2 mungo
Games completed: 28/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1958 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 _ 2 2 14 64 25.35% 1.49% 0 2 celticjim 1817 0 - 2 _ 2 2 _ _ 2 2 10 40 2.38% 1.04% 2.73% 3 Kisoul 2079 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 _ 2 2 10 24 0 0 15.28% 4 mungo 2031 2 _ 2 - _ _ 2 _ _ 2 8 52 58.39% 1.56% 0.31% 5 bennok 1838 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 91.64% 6 p_a_k_o 1941 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 76.46% 7 FatPhil 1807 0 _ 0 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 94.87% 8 cutecat 1985 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 11.87% 0.96% 18.97% 9 Orbilin 1826 0 0 0 _ 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 99.73% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-05-26
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- Arrow2_bot 2 – 0 cutecat
Games completed: 29/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1975 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 68 46.56% 1.20% 0 2 celticjim 1806 0 - 2 _ 2 2 2 _ _ 2 10 40 0 0.67% 1.33% 3 Kisoul 2079 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 _ 2 2 10 24 0 0 11.67% 4 mungo 2031 2 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 2 8 56 52.24% 1.20% 0.27% 5 p_a_k_o 1941 0 0 0 _ - _ 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 70.70% 6 bennok 1838 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 _ _ 2 4 4 0 0 89.54% 7 Orbilin 1826 0 0 0 _ 0 0 - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0 99.47% 8 cutecat 1968 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0.53% 33.75% 9 FatPhil 1807 0 _ 0 0 _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 93.27% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-05-29
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- FatPhil 0 – 2 p_a_k_o
Games completed: 30/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1975 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 72 48.19% 1.38% 0 2 celticjim 1831 0 - 2 _ 2 2 _ 2 _ 2 10 44 0 0.89% 0.77% 3 Kisoul 2079 0 0 - 0 2 2 _ 2 2 2 10 28 0 0 13.47% 4 mungo 2031 2 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ 2 2 8 56 50.43% 1.38% 0.31% 5 p_a_k_o 1951 0 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 2 2 6 8 0 0 61.84% 6 bennok 1838 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 90.07% 7 cutecat 1968 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 2 0 0 0.49% 36.09% 8 Orbilin 1826 0 0 0 _ 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 99.56% 9 FatPhil 1797 0 _ 0 0 0 _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 97.89% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-05-30
Tournament: amzn.ch.30.1.1
Newly completed matches:- mungo 0 – 2 p_a_k_o
- Orbilin 2 – 0 mungo <-— upset!
Games completed: 32/45
N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down) 1 Arrow2_bot 1975 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 16 80 100% 0 0 2 celticjim 1831 0 - 2 _ 2 2 2 _ _ 2 10 52 0 0 1.04% 3 Kisoul 2079 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 10 36 0 0 19.95% 4 mungo 1989 2 _ 2 - 0 0 _ 2 _ 2 8 56 0 0 4.19% 5 p_a_k_o 1970 0 0 0 2 - 2 _ 2 _ 2 8 28 0 0 35.16% 6 Orbilin 1849 0 0 0 2 0 - 0 _ _ 2 4 16 0 0 100% 7 bennok 1838 0 0 0 _ _ 2 - _ _ 2 4 8 0 0 93.64% 8 FatPhil 1797 0 _ 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 99.33% 9 cutecat 1968 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 46.69% 10 JJ10 1820 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100% p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted
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Martin Mueller at 2013-06-04
The program does not care, but as one of the authors I am happy with most of the games. It does not feel like a real win though, since Arrow also had a completely lost game against JJ10 when he dropped out.
I will try to analyze some of the games and put that analysis on my web page later in the summer.
How do people feel about future tournaments? Should I retire Arrow2_bot and let it play only friendly games, or should I keep entering it?
Martin -
mungo at 2013-06-04
I wouldn’t mind if it entered the next championship. If it wins the next one also, I might change my mind...
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darse at 2013-06-30
Congratulations, Martin et al.!
This is another major triumph for the UCT algorithm. Amazons has a branching factor of around 2000, along with a number of subtleties, making the game practically hopeless for other algorithms, like the traditional fixed-depth Alpha-Beta search used in chess.
But even with a breakthrough algorithm, it takes a lot of hard work to build a program like Arrow2. If i was a serious Amazons player, i’d consider having it as a ready opponent to be a treasure.