wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1 predictions Word games

13 replies. Last post: 2013-12-21

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wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1 predictions
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-09

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    I’ve been requested to follow wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
    For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

    • Already completed matches:

    Games completed: 0/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 AaronM 2141 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 33.87% 1.92% 9.12%
    2 Martyn Hamer 1855 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.28% 0.08% 87.72%
    3 passenger 1869 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.47% 0.10% 85.58%
    4 Super Chicken 1977 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 3.58% 0.53% 54.57%
    5 Nagy Fathy 2001 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.40% 0.67% 46.29%
    6 BigChicken 2007 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.99% 0.74% 45.06%
    7 bloke 2043 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 10.20% 1.02% 32.96%
    8 karlhanf 2087 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 17.93% 1.45% 21.00%
    9 imperatore 2088 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 18.50% 1.50% 21.10%
    10 pienza 1778 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 96.59%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-09

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Super Chicken 2 – 0 Martyn Hamer

    Games completed: 1/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Super Chicken 2001 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 2 0 5.90% 0.73% 40.94%
    2 pienza 1778 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 96.73%
    3 AaronM 2149 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 33.96% 1.96% 9.37%
    4 karlhanf 2097 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 19.09% 1.50% 19.04%
    5 bloke 2043 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 9.21% 0.92% 34.44%
    6 BigChicken 2011 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 5.60% 0.72% 46.07%
    7 Nagy Fathy 2005 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 5.06% 0.66% 48.59%
    8 passenger 1869 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.40% 0.08% 87.60%
    9 Martyn Hamer 1845 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.07% 0.01% 94.69%
    10 imperatore 2088 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 16.97% 1.37% 22.52%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-09

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • AaronM 0 – 2 Martyn Hamer <-— major upset!
    • AaronM 2 – 0 BigChicken
    • BigChicken 0 – 2 Martyn Hamer
    • AaronM 2 – 0 Super Chicken

    Games completed: 5/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Martyn Hamer 1894 - 2 0 _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 8 2.28% 0.39% 53.46%
    2 AaronM 2142 0 - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 4 30.29% 2.44% 7.94%
    3 Super Chicken 2002 2 0 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 3.78% 0.63% 47.20%
    4 karlhanf 2097 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 21.76% 1.74% 18.99%
    5 pienza 1778 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 97.03%
    6 bloke 2043 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 10.90% 1.14% 34.80%
    7 passenger 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.33% 0.08% 89.25%
    8 Nagy Fathy 2005 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 6.33% 0.82% 48.71%
    9 BigChicken 1987 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.48% 0.16% 79.87%
    10 imperatore 2088 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 19.56% 1.59% 22.76%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-10

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Nagy Fathy 0 – 2 AaronM

    Games completed: 6/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 AaronM 2151 - 0 2 _ _ _ _ 2 2 _ 6 4 39.27% 2.81% 2.90%
    2 Martyn Hamer 1894 2 - 0 _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ 4 12 2.14% 0.32% 50.59%
    3 Super Chicken 2002 0 2 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 2.99% 0.54% 46.36%
    4 karlhanf 2097 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 20.68% 1.65% 18.32%
    5 pienza 1778 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 96.81%
    6 bloke 2043 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 10.02% 1.12% 34.54%
    7 passenger 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.34% 0.09% 88.63%
    8 Nagy Fathy 1996 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.81% 0.35% 60.74%
    9 BigChicken 1987 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.40% 0.13% 79.23%
    10 imperatore 2088 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 18.26% 1.54% 21.87%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-10

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • BigChicken 0 – 2 Super Chicken

    Games completed: 7/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 AaronM 2151 - 0 2 _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ 6 8 38.72% 2.69% 2.82%
    2 Martyn Hamer 1894 2 - 0 _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 12 1.71% 0.36% 53.16%
    3 Super Chicken 2017 0 2 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 8 5.40% 0.82% 29.43%
    4 pienza 1778 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0.01% 96.93%
    5 karlhanf 2097 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 20.03% 1.68% 18.74%
    6 bloke 2043 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 9.97% 1.20% 34.42%
    7 BigChicken 1972 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.02% 91.35%
    8 Nagy Fathy 1996 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.85% 0.36% 61.11%
    9 passenger 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.30% 0.08% 89.57%
    10 imperatore 2088 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 17.77% 1.56% 22.46%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-10

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • karlhanf 2 – 0 Martyn Hamer

    Games completed: 8/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 AaronM 2151 - 0 2 _ _ _ 2 2 _ _ 6 8 37.86% 2.56% 2.59%
    2 Martyn Hamer 1887 2 - 0 0 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 12 0.43% 0.12% 62.48%
    3 Super Chicken 2017 0 2 - _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 8 5.28% 0.73% 29.58%
    4 karlhanf 2104 _ 2 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 8 24.73% 1.84% 12.46%
    5 pienza 1761 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0.01% 97.50%
    6 bloke 2043 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 9.14% 0.98% 33.38%
    7 BigChicken 1972 0 0 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0.02% 90.60%
    8 Nagy Fathy 1996 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 1.72% 0.31% 60.18%
    9 passenger 1859 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.30% 0.07% 88.95%
    10 imperatore 2088 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 16.62% 1.51% 22.28%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-17

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Nagy Fathy 0 – 2 BigChicken
    • karlhanf 0 – 2 BigChicken
    • karlhanf 2 – 0 Super Chicken
    • BigChicken 2 – 0 imperatore
    • Martyn Hamer 0 – 2 Nagy Fathy
    • imperatore 0 – 2 AaronM
    • karlhanf 0 – 2 imperatore
    • Nagy Fathy 0 – 2 karlhanf
    • imperatore 0 – 2 Nagy Fathy
    • Martyn Hamer 0 – 2 passenger
    • Martyn Hamer 2 – 0 imperatore <-— upset!
    • Super Chicken 0 – 2 Nagy Fathy
    • AaronM 0 – 2 karlhanf

    Games completed: 21/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 karlhanf 2134 - 2 2 0 2 2 0 _ _ _ 8 48 58.23% 5.93% 0.30%
    2 AaronM 2166 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ _ _ 8 36 30.38% 5.96% 0.31%
    3 Martyn Hamer 1870 0 2 - 2 0 0 2 0 _ _ 6 32 0 0.00% 60.48%
    4 BigChicken 2061 2 0 0 - 2 0 2 _ _ _ 6 32 1.56% 1.24% 10.49%
    5 Nagy Fathy 2015 0 0 2 0 - 2 2 _ _ _ 6 24 0.06% 0.05% 29.37%
    6 Super Chicken 1940 0 0 2 2 0 - _ _ _ _ 4 24 0.01% 0.03% 69.69%
    7 imperatore 2035 2 0 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ 2 16 0 0 77.13%
    8 passenger 1898 _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ - _ _ 2 12 1.98% 0.37% 72.61%
    9 bloke 1893 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 1.00% 0.24% 81.80%
    10 pienza 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.05% 0.01% 97.82%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-19

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • passenger 0 – 2 karlhanf

    Games completed: 22/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 karlhanf 2140 - 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 _ _ 10 52 71.21% 6.40% 0
    2 AaronM 2166 0 - 2 0 2 2 2 _ _ _ 8 36 19.84% 6.24% 0.23%
    3 BigChicken 2061 2 0 - 0 2 0 2 _ _ _ 6 36 0.88% 0.78% 9.03%
    4 Martyn Hamer 1880 0 2 2 - 0 0 2 0 _ _ 6 32 0 0 58.47%
    5 Nagy Fathy 2015 0 0 0 2 - 2 2 _ _ _ 6 24 0.02% 0.02% 27.30%
    6 Super Chicken 1940 0 0 2 2 0 - _ _ _ _ 4 24 0.00% 0.01% 69.70%
    7 imperatore 2035 2 0 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ 2 20 0 0.00% 76.00%
    8 passenger 1892 0 _ _ 2 _ _ _ - _ _ 2 12 0.28% 0.04% 80.10%
    9 bloke 1893 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.97% 0.22% 81.37%
    10 pienza 1761 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.03% 0.01% 97.80%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-19

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • pienza 0 – 2 AaronM
    • pienza 0 – 2 BigChicken
    • pienza 0 – 2 Super Chicken
    • pienza 0 – 2 Martyn Hamer
    • Nagy Fathy 2 – 0 pienza
    • Nagy Fathy 2 – 0 passenger
    • pienza 0 – 2 karlhanf

    Games completed: 29/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 karlhanf 2143 - 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 _ 12 72 79.60% 5.00% 0
    2 AaronM 2168 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 _ 2 _ 10 52 13.89% 4.79% 0.08%
    3 Nagy Fathy 2030 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 10 36 0 0.01% 9.71%
    4 BigChicken 2065 2 0 2 - 0 0 2 _ 2 _ 8 48 0.46% 0.55% 6.25%
    5 Martyn Hamer 1890 0 2 0 2 - 0 2 0 2 _ 8 40 0 0 51.90%
    6 Super Chicken 1948 0 0 0 2 2 - _ _ 2 _ 6 32 0 0 70.89%
    7 imperatore 2035 2 0 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ 2 24 0 0 85.08%
    8 passenger 1882 0 _ 0 _ 2 _ _ - _ _ 2 16 0.05% 0.01% 92.16%
    9 pienza 1729 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    10 bloke 1893 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.81% 0.23% 83.92%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-19

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • passenger 2 – 0 pienza

    Games completed: 30/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 karlhanf 2143 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 0 _ 2 12 76 79.77% 4.85% 0
    2 AaronM 2168 0 - 2 2 0 2 _ 2 _ 2 10 52 13.88% 4.63% 0.09%
    3 Nagy Fathy 2030 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 10 40 0 0.00% 9.39%
    4 BigChicken 2065 2 0 2 - 0 0 _ 2 _ 2 8 48 0.54% 0.55% 6.83%
    5 Martyn Hamer 1898 0 2 0 2 - 0 0 2 _ 2 8 40 0 0 52.46%
    6 Super Chicken 1948 0 0 0 2 2 - _ _ _ 2 6 32 0 0 71.99%
    7 passenger 1891 0 _ 0 _ 2 _ - _ _ 2 4 16 0.04% 0 89.55%
    8 imperatore 2035 2 0 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ 2 24 0 0 85.15%
    9 bloke 1893 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.75% 0.20% 84.52%
    10 pienza 1720 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-20

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • imperatore 2 – 0 pienza

    Games completed: 31/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 karlhanf 2143 - 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 _ 2 12 76 79.91% 5.41% 0
    2 AaronM 2168 0 - 2 2 0 2 2 _ _ 2 10 56 13.07% 5.25% 0.12%
    3 Nagy Fathy 2030 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 _ 2 10 44 0 0.00% 8.89%
    4 BigChicken 2065 2 0 2 - 0 0 2 _ _ 2 8 52 0.57% 0.58% 7.14%
    5 Martyn Hamer 1882 0 2 0 2 - 0 2 0 _ 2 8 44 0 0 54.88%
    6 Super Chicken 1949 0 0 0 2 2 - _ _ _ 2 6 32 0 0 73.13%
    7 imperatore 2039 2 0 0 0 0 _ - _ _ 2 4 24 0 0 82.54%
    8 passenger 1907 0 _ 0 _ 2 _ _ - _ 2 4 16 0.06% 0.00% 88.21%
    9 bloke 1893 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.79% 0.21% 85.10%
    10 pienza 1716 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-21

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • passenger 2 – 0 BigChicken

    Games completed: 32/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 karlhanf 2143 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 _ 12 80 85.62% 0.59% 0
    2 AaronM 2168 0 - 2 2 0 _ 2 2 2 _ 10 56 12.69% 0.40% 0.29%
    3 Nagy Fathy 2030 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 _ 10 48 0 0.03% 4.69%
    4 BigChicken 2046 2 0 2 - 0 0 0 2 2 _ 8 52 0 0 25.19%
    5 Martyn Hamer 1882 0 2 0 2 - 0 0 2 2 _ 8 44 0 0 62.24%
    6 passenger 1929 0 _ 0 2 2 - _ _ 2 _ 6 32 0.32% 0.02% 67.45%
    7 Super Chicken 1949 0 0 0 2 2 _ - _ 2 _ 6 32 0 0 74.70%
    8 imperatore 2039 2 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 _ 4 24 0 0 81.03%
    9 pienza 1716 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 0 0 0 0 100%
    10 bloke 1893 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.77% 0.23% 84.40%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-21

    Tournament: wyps.cv.ens.20.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • bloke 0 – 2 passenger
    • bloke 0 – 2 karlhanf
    • BigChicken 2 – 0 bloke
    • bloke 0 – 2 Nagy Fathy
    • Martyn Hamer 2 – 0 bloke
    • bloke 0 – 2 pienza
    • bloke 0 – 2 AaronM
    • Super Chicken 2 – 0 bloke

    Games completed: 40/45

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 karlhanf 2148 - 2 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 2 14 104 100% 0 0
    2 AaronM 2173 0 - 2 2 0 _ 2 2 2 2 12 72 0 0 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2039 0 0 - 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 12 64 0 0 0
    4 BigChicken 2052 2 0 2 - 0 0 0 2 2 2 10 64 0 0 1.46%
    5 Martyn Hamer 1897 0 2 0 2 - 0 0 2 2 2 10 56 0 0 50.61%
    6 passenger 1942 0 _ 0 2 2 - _ _ 2 2 8 44 0 0 71.42%
    7 Super Chicken 1959 0 0 0 2 2 _ - _ 2 2 8 44 0 0 79.87%
    8 imperatore 2039 2 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 _ 4 32 0 0 96.63%
    9 pienza 1737 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    10 bloke 1809 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-10 and thus being demoted

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