oski.ch.16.1.1 predictions Word games

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oski.ch.16.1.1 predictions
  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-01

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    I’ve been requested to follow oski.ch.16.1.1 by RoRoRo the Bot
    For info on how these predictions are calculated see my predictions web page .

    • Already completed matches:

    Games completed: 0/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Nagy Fathy 2043 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 48.97% 2.57% 0.53%
    2 BigChicken 1985 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 31.10% 2.50% 1.36%
    3 Guardiana 1905 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 14.54% 2.23% 5.11%
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1719 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.92% 0.24% 42.98%
    5 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.79% 0.21% 47.81%
    6 andrew1976 1662 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.34% 0.10% 63.88%
    7 Lieven Marchand 1639 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.18% 0.05% 71.02%
    8 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.12% 0.04% 76.57%
    9 docfarm 1539 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.01% 0.01% 90.76%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-08

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Guardiana 1 – 1 BigChicken

    Games completed: 1/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guardiana 1909 - 1 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1 1 13.70% 3.26% 3.71%
    2 BigChicken 1982 1 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1 1 25.39% 3.26% 1.33%
    3 docfarm 1535 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.03% 0 90.09%
    4 michael 1619 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.13% 0.01% 74.68%
    5 Lieven Marchand 1639 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.22% 0.01% 70.14%
    6 andrew1976 1662 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.34% 0.02% 63.58%
    7 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.86% 0.04% 49.70%
    8 Ragnar Wikman 1719 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 1.06% 0.03% 46.10%
    9 Nagy Fathy 2044 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 54.92% 0.09% 0.68%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-09

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • docfarm 0 – 2 BigChicken

    Games completed: 2/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1984 - 1 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 3 1 26.85% 3.34% 0.92%
    2 Guardiana 1909 1 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1 3 12.97% 3.34% 3.75%
    3 docfarm 1533 0 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0 91.85%
    4 michael 1619 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.14% 0.01% 74.68%
    5 Lieven Marchand 1639 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.19% 0.01% 69.97%
    6 andrew1976 1662 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.33% 0.01% 63.96%
    7 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.82% 0.02% 48.71%
    8 Ragnar Wikman 1719 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.97% 0.04% 45.52%
    9 Nagy Fathy 2044 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 54.31% 0.07% 0.64%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-13

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 Nagy Fathy

    Games completed: 3/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1984 - _ 1 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 3 1 24.79% 3.03% 0.88%
    2 Nagy Fathy 2048 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 58.44% 0.04% 0.21%
    3 Guardiana 1909 1 _ - _ _ _ _ _ _ 1 3 12.21% 3.03% 3.58%
    4 michael 1619 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.10% 0 73.58%
    5 docfarm 1527 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.01% 0 92.19%
    6 Lieven Marchand 1639 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.15% 0.00% 69.00%
    7 andrew1976 1662 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.29% 0.01% 62.16%
    8 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.70% 0.02% 47.98%
    9 Ragnar Wikman 1715 _ 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.24% 0.01% 50.42%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-17

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • docfarm 0 – 2 Ragnar Wikman

    Games completed: 4/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1984 - _ _ 1 2 _ _ _ _ 3 1 24.51% 2.94% 1.05%
    2 Nagy Fathy 2048 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 58.75% 0.03% 0.25%
    3 Ragnar Wikman 1723 _ 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.32% 0.01% 39.92%
    4 Guardiana 1909 1 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 1 3 12.11% 2.94% 3.58%
    5 docfarm 1534 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 95.48%
    6 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.11% 0.00% 75.65%
    7 Lieven Marchand 1639 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.20% 0.01% 70.28%
    8 andrew1976 1662 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.28% 0.01% 64.37%
    9 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.73% 0.01% 49.40%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-20

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • BigChicken 2 – 0 Ragnar Wikman

    Games completed: 5/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1989 - _ 2 1 2 _ _ _ _ 5 5 29.41% 3.46% 0.33%
    2 Nagy Fathy 2048 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 55.18% 0.03% 0.20%
    3 Ragnar Wikman 1718 0 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.02% 0 46.48%
    4 Guardiana 1909 1 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 1 5 10.73% 3.46% 3.64%
    5 docfarm 1540 0 _ 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 94.72%
    6 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.69% 0.01% 46.63%
    7 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.09% 0.01% 74.59%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1639 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.18% 0.00% 69.95%
    9 andrew1976 1662 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.22% 0.01% 63.46%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-21

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Nagy Fathy 2 – 0 docfarm

    Games completed: 6/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1989 - _ 2 1 2 _ _ _ _ 5 5 28.63% 3.40% 0.29%
    2 Nagy Fathy 2049 _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ _ 4 4 56.49% 0.03% 0.16%
    3 Ragnar Wikman 1718 0 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ _ 2 0 0.02% 0.01% 46.20%
    4 Guardiana 1909 1 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 1 5 10.22% 3.40% 3.59%
    5 docfarm 1539 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 95.75%
    6 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.10% 0.00% 74.26%
    7 Lieven Marchand 1639 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.14% 0.01% 68.97%
    8 andrew1976 1662 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.26% 0.00% 62.57%
    9 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.71% 0.02% 48.19%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-21

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Lieven Marchand 0 – 2 BigChicken

    Games completed: 7/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1992 - _ 2 1 2 _ _ _ 2 7 5 31.20% 3.56% 0.09%
    2 Nagy Fathy 2049 _ - 2 _ _ _ _ _ 2 4 4 54.55% 0.02% 0.14%
    3 Ragnar Wikman 1718 0 0 - _ _ _ _ _ 2 2 0 0.00% 0 45.14%
    4 Guardiana 1909 1 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 1 7 9.69% 3.56% 3.46%
    5 Lieven Marchand 1636 0 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0 72.96%
    6 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0.09% 0 73.65%
    7 andrew1976 1662 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.24% 0.01% 61.63%
    8 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.59% 0.01% 46.79%
    9 docfarm 1539 0 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0 0 96.14%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-21

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • BigChicken 2 – 0 Nagy Fathy

    Games completed: 8/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 2010 - 2 2 1 _ 2 2 _ _ 9 13 71.84% 7.83% 0.00%
    2 Nagy Fathy 2031 0 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 4 14.21% 0.02% 0.47%
    3 Ragnar Wikman 1718 0 0 - _ _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.01% 0 45.00%
    4 Guardiana 1909 1 _ _ - _ _ _ _ _ 1 9 5.19% 7.83% 3.29%
    5 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 0 0 0.10% 0.00% 73.07%
    6 docfarm 1539 0 0 0 _ _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 95.74%
    7 Lieven Marchand 1636 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.02% 0 72.98%
    8 andrew1976 1662 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.21% 0.01% 61.99%
    9 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.55% 0.01% 47.46%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-22

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • BigChicken 2 – 0 andrew1976
    • docfarm 0 – 2 andrew1976
    • Ragnar Wikman 2 – 0 andrew1976

    Games completed: 11/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 2013 - 2 2 2 1 2 _ 2 _ 11 21 78.02% 8.45% 0
    2 Nagy Fathy 2031 0 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 8 9.85% 0 0.45%
    3 Ragnar Wikman 1731 0 0 - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ 4 4 0.01% 0 27.73%
    4 andrew1976 1657 0 _ 0 - _ 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.00% 0 74.42%
    5 Guardiana 1909 1 _ _ _ - _ _ _ _ 1 11 3.17% 8.45% 3.55%
    6 docfarm 1528 0 0 0 0 _ - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.72%
    7 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0 73.92%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1636 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0 73.74%
    9 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.43% 0 47.47%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-22

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Ragnar Wikman 0 – 2 Guardiana

    Games completed: 12/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 2013 - 2 2 1 2 2 _ 2 _ 11 23 72.93% 11.98% 0
    2 Nagy Fathy 2031 0 - 2 _ _ 2 _ _ _ 4 8 9.86% 0 0.34%
    3 Ragnar Wikman 1723 0 0 - 0 2 2 _ _ _ 4 4 0 0 35.96%
    4 Guardiana 1917 1 _ 2 - _ _ _ _ _ 3 19 4.70% 11.98% 1.26%
    5 andrew1976 1657 0 _ 0 _ - 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.00% 0 73.06%
    6 docfarm 1528 0 0 0 _ 0 - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 98.37%
    7 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.06% 0 72.49%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1636 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.02% 0 72.35%
    9 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.45% 0 46.17%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-23

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Guardiana 2 – 0 docfarm

    Games completed: 13/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 2013 - 1 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 11 25 71.69% 13.52% 0
    2 Guardiana 1919 1 - _ 2 _ 2 _ _ _ 5 19 4.78% 13.52% 0.87%
    3 Nagy Fathy 2031 0 _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ 4 8 9.49% 0 0.36%
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1723 0 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ _ 4 4 0 0 36.30%
    5 andrew1976 1657 0 _ _ 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0.00% 0 72.92%
    6 docfarm 1515 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.47%
    7 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.08% 0 72.00%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1636 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0 72.21%
    9 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.42% 0 45.88%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-25

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • andrew1976 0 – 2 Nagy Fathy

    Games completed: 14/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 2013 - 2 1 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 11 29 70.37% 13.28% 0
    2 Nagy Fathy 2034 0 - _ 2 2 2 _ _ _ 6 12 11.05% 0.00% 0.16%
    3 Guardiana 1919 1 _ - 2 _ 2 _ _ _ 5 19 4.86% 13.28% 0.77%
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1723 0 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ _ 4 4 0 0 34.76%
    5 andrew1976 1654 0 0 _ 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 77.02%
    6 docfarm 1515 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.44%
    7 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0.00% 71.69%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1636 0 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0.01% 0 71.52%
    9 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.38% 0 44.64%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-26

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Guardiana 2 – 0 Lieven Marchand

    Games completed: 15/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 2013 - 1 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 11 31 66.88% 16.40% 0
    2 Guardiana 1924 1 - _ 2 _ 2 _ 2 _ 7 19 5.41% 16.40% 0.21%
    3 Nagy Fathy 2034 0 _ - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 6 12 10.80% 0.00% 0.12%
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1723 0 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ _ 4 4 0 0 32.52%
    5 andrew1976 1654 0 _ 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 75.98%
    6 docfarm 1515 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.32%
    7 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.07% 0.00% 70.61%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1631 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 77.72%
    9 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.44% 0.00% 43.52%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-26

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Nagy Fathy 0 – 2 Guardiana
    • andrew1976 0 – 2 Guardiana

    Games completed: 17/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 2013 - 1 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 11 35 25.04% 56.93% 0
    2 Guardiana 1949 1 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 11 35 17.61% 56.93% 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2014 0 0 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 6 12 0.02% 0 0.34%
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1723 0 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ _ 4 4 0 0 30.50%
    5 andrew1976 1649 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 0 0 0 83.42%
    6 docfarm 1515 0 0 0 0 0 - _ _ _ 0 0 0 0 99.26%
    7 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0 69.19%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1631 0 0 _ _ _ _ _ - _ 0 0 0 0 75.87%
    9 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.37% 0 41.42%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-11-29

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Lieven Marchand 0 – 2 docfarm

    Games completed: 18/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 2013 - 1 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 11 39 24.83% 57.46% 0
    2 Guardiana 1949 1 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 11 39 17.20% 57.46% 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2014 0 0 - 2 2 2 _ _ _ 6 16 0.02% 0 0.26%
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1723 0 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ _ 4 8 0 0 26.17%
    5 andrew1976 1649 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 81.38%
    6 docfarm 1536 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 97.33%
    7 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.05% 0 67.59%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1610 0 0 _ _ _ 0 _ - _ 0 0 0 0 87.25%
    9 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.44% 0 40.02%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-06

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Nagy Fathy 2 – 0 Lieven Marchand

    Games completed: 19/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 2014 - 1 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 11 43 25.33% 57.03% 0
    2 Guardiana 1949 1 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 11 43 17.18% 57.03% 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2016 0 0 - 2 2 2 _ 2 _ 8 16 0.02% 0.00% 0.11%
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1723 0 0 0 - 2 2 _ _ _ 4 8 0 0 25.93%
    5 andrew1976 1649 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 81.16%
    6 docfarm 1536 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 _ 2 0 0 0 97.30%
    7 michael 1619 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ _ 0 0 0.04% 0 66.95%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1608 0 0 0 _ _ 0 _ - _ 0 0 0 0 89.62%
    9 Hollo 1708 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 0 0 0.40% 0.00% 38.93%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-08

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • michael 0 – 2 Nagy Fathy
    • michael 0 – 2 Guardiana
    • michael 0 – 2 Lieven Marchand
    • Lieven Marchand 0 – 2 Ragnar Wikman
    • michael 0 – 2 Hollo

    Games completed: 24/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guardiana 1953 - 1 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 13 55 20.34% 62.08% 0
    2 BigChicken 1986 1 - 2 2 2 2 2 _ _ 11 57 16.81% 62.08% 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2018 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 10 24 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1734 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 _ _ 6 12 0 0 8.54%
    5 docfarm 1536 0 0 0 0 - 0 2 _ _ 2 4 0 0 96.49%
    6 andrew1976 1649 0 0 0 0 2 - _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 82.80%
    7 Lieven Marchand 1612 0 0 0 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 93.52%
    8 Hollo 1719 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.77% 0 24.13%
    9 michael 1587 0 _ 0 _ _ _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 94.53%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-08

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • BigChicken 2 – 0 michael

    Games completed: 25/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1988 - 1 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 13 57 16.93% 68.22% 0
    2 Guardiana 1953 1 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 13 57 14.15% 68.22% 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2018 0 0 - 2 2 2 _ 2 2 10 24 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1734 0 0 0 - 2 2 _ 2 _ 6 12 0 0 7.99%
    5 andrew1976 1649 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ _ _ 2 4 0 0 81.46%
    6 docfarm 1536 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 _ 2 4 0 0 97.43%
    7 Hollo 1719 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.69% 0 23.09%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1612 0 0 0 0 _ 0 _ - 2 2 0 0 0 93.89%
    9 michael 1585 0 0 0 _ _ _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 96.14%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-09

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • docfarm 2 – 0 michael

    Games completed: 26/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1988 - 1 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 13 61 16.92% 68.74% 0
    2 Guardiana 1953 1 - 2 2 2 2 2 _ 2 13 61 13.66% 68.74% 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2018 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 10 28 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1734 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 _ _ 6 16 0 0 5.16%
    5 docfarm 1554 0 0 0 0 - 0 2 _ 2 4 4 0 0 92.12%
    6 andrew1976 1649 0 0 0 0 2 - _ _ _ 2 8 0 0 80.62%
    7 Lieven Marchand 1612 0 0 0 0 0 _ - _ 2 2 0 0 0 95.07%
    8 Hollo 1719 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - 2 2 0 0.67% 0 27.03%
    9 michael 1567 0 0 0 _ 0 _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-09

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Ragnar Wikman 2 – 0 michael

    Games completed: 27/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 Guardiana 1953 - 1 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 13 65 14.05% 67.96% 0
    2 BigChicken 1988 1 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 13 65 17.31% 67.96% 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2018 0 0 - 2 2 2 _ 2 2 10 32 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1742 0 0 0 - 2 2 _ 2 2 8 16 0 0 1.53%
    5 docfarm 1554 0 0 0 0 - 0 _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 93.45%
    6 andrew1976 1649 0 0 0 0 2 - _ _ _ 2 8 0 0 82.10%
    7 Hollo 1719 _ _ _ _ _ _ - _ 2 2 0 0.68% 0 26.32%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1612 0 0 0 0 0 _ _ - 2 2 0 0 0 96.60%
    9 michael 1559 0 0 0 0 0 _ 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-17

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Nagy Fathy 1 – 1 Hollo
    • Hollo 0 – 2 Ragnar Wikman
    • andrew1976 2 – 0 michael
    • Lieven Marchand 0 – 2 andrew1976
    • Hollo 0 – 2 BigChicken

    Games completed: 32/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1993 - 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 15 85 20.02% 79.98% 0
    2 Guardiana 1954 1 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 13 81 0 79.98% 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2007 0 0 - 2 2 2 1 2 2 11 47 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1756 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 10 30 0 0 0
    5 andrew1976 1673 0 0 0 0 - 2 _ 2 2 6 12 0 0 55.10%
    6 docfarm 1554 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 100%
    7 Hollo 1711 0 _ 1 0 _ _ - _ 2 3 11 0 0 44.90%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1599 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    9 michael 1548 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2013-12-25

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • andrew1976 2 – 0 Hollo

    Games completed: 33/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1993 - 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 15 89 18.60% 81.40% 0
    2 Guardiana 1954 1 - 2 2 2 2 _ 2 2 13 85 0 81.40% 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2007 0 0 - 2 2 2 1 2 2 11 51 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1756 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 10 34 0 0 0
    5 andrew1976 1690 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 8 18 0 0 8.14%
    6 docfarm 1554 0 0 0 0 0 - _ 2 2 4 4 0 0 100%
    7 Hollo 1694 0 _ 1 0 0 _ - _ 2 3 11 0 0 91.86%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1599 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 2 0 0 0 100%
    9 michael 1548 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-04

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Hollo 1 – 1 Lieven Marchand

    Games completed: 34/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1993 - 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 15 93 17.88% 82.12% 0
    2 Guardiana 1954 1 - 2 2 2 _ 2 2 2 13 87 0 82.12% 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2008 0 0 - 2 2 1 2 2 2 11 54 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1756 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 10 38 0 0 0
    5 andrew1976 1690 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 8 22 0 0 12.29%
    6 Hollo 1690 0 _ 1 0 0 - _ 1 2 4 14 0 0 87.71%
    7 docfarm 1554 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 2 4 6 0 0 100%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1603 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 - 2 3 4 0 0 100%
    9 michael 1548 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • RoRoRo the Bot at 2014-01-06

    Tournament: oski.ch.16.1.1
    Newly completed matches:

    • Guardiana 1 – 1 Hollo

    Games completed: 35/36

    N Player Rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Score Son p(win) p(draw) p(down)
    1 BigChicken 1993 - 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 15 96 100% 0 0
    2 Guardiana 1944 1 - 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 14 92 0 0 0
    3 Nagy Fathy 2008 0 0 - 2 2 1 2 2 2 11 55 0 0 0
    4 Ragnar Wikman 1756 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 10 40 0 0 0
    5 andrew1976 1690 0 0 0 0 - 2 2 2 2 8 24 0 0 0
    6 Hollo 1700 0 1 1 0 0 - _ 1 2 5 28 0 0 100%
    7 docfarm 1554 0 0 0 0 0 _ - 2 2 4 6 0 0 100%
    8 Lieven Marchand 1603 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 - 2 3 5 0 0 100%
    9 michael 1548 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 100%

    p(down) is the probability of being in the places 6-9 and thus being demoted

  • FatPhil at 2014-01-30

    OK, what’s p(draw) in oski? I can improve RoRoRo’s predictions if he knows there’s a probability of a draw.

    Just a gut feel would do, from people who play the game. Please don’t hammer the server finding an exact value. (Which is why I ask here, I could happily hammer the server myself, but that’s not fair to the poor server.)

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